Estimation of population sizes for the Jollyville Plateau Salamander (Eurycea tonkawae) using a mark-recapture method

dc.contributor.advisorSarkar, Sahotraen
dc.contributor.committeeMemberPullum, Thomas W.en
dc.creatorLuo, Liming, 1976-en
dc.date.accessioned2010-11-29T17:23:14Zen
dc.date.available2010-11-29T17:23:14Zen
dc.date.available2010-11-29T17:23:21Zen
dc.date.issued2010-05en
dc.date.submittedMay 2010en
dc.date.updated2010-11-29T17:23:21Zen
dc.descriptiontexten
dc.description.abstractThe Jollyville Plateau Salamander (JPS), Eurycea tonkawae, is a species of salamander endemic to Texas, the United States. It is a candidate for protection under the Endangered Species Act. This report assesses the JPS population abundances at Lanier Spring, Long Hollow Creek at Wheless Spring, and Ribelin Spring in Austin using a mark-recapture method. The maximum likelihood estimation method was used to obtain the population size estimates under two models, the M₀ model and the M[subscript t] model. The M₀ model assumes that every animal has the same capture probability in the population for each sampling period while the M[subscript t] model allows capture probabilities to vary by time. Simulations were performed by using an MCMC algorithm based on the M₀ model. Between 2007 and 2009, the population size estimates for JPS (>16mm snout-vent length, (SVL)) at Lanier Spring varied between 86 and 554 under the M₀ model, between 80 and 549 under the M[subscript t] model, and between 76 and 564 using MCMC simulations. During 2007 monitoring periods, the population size estimates for JPS (>16mm SVL) at Ribelin Spring varied between 105 and 236 under the M₀ model, between 104 and 196 under the M[subscript t] model, and between 105 and 265 using MCMC simulations. During 2007 and 2008 monitoring periods, the population size estimates for JPS (>16mm SVL) at Wheless Spring varied between 368 and 1087 under the M₀ model, between 339 and 1075 under the M[subscript t] model, and between 411 and 1098 using MCMC simulations. Different estimation methods yielded consistent estimates. No clear population trends were detected due to the big fluctuations in estimates in this study.en
dc.description.departmentMathematicsen
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2152/ETD-UT-2010-05-1299en
dc.language.isoengen
dc.subjectJollyville Plateau Salamanderen
dc.subjectPopulation sizeen
dc.subjectMark-recapture methoden
dc.subjectAustin, Texasen
dc.subjectEurycea tonkawaeen
dc.titleEstimation of population sizes for the Jollyville Plateau Salamander (Eurycea tonkawae) using a mark-recapture methoden
dc.type.genrethesisen
thesis.degree.departmentMathematicsen
thesis.degree.disciplineStatisticsen
thesis.degree.grantorUniversity of Texas at Austinen
thesis.degree.levelMastersen
thesis.degree.nameMaster of Science in Statisticsen

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