Browsing by Subject "mortality"
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Item Benefits and Risks of Weight-Loss Treatment for Older, Obese Women(2013-02) Rossen, Lauren M.; Milsom, Vanessa A.; Middleton, Kathryn R.; Daniels, Michael J.; Perri, Michael G.; Daniels, Michael J.Background: A key issue in the treatment of obesity in older adults is whether the health benefits of weight loss outweigh the potential risks with respect to musculoskeletal injury. Objective: To compare change in weight, improvements in metabolic risk factors, and reported musculoskeletal adverse events in middle-aged (50-59 years) and older (65-74 years), obese women. Materials and methods: Participants completed an initial 6-month lifestyle intervention for weight loss, comprised of weekly group sessions, followed by 12 months of extended care with biweekly contacts. Weight and fasting blood samples were assessed at baseline, month 6, and month 18; data regarding adverse events were collected throughout the duration of the study. Results: Both middle-aged (n = 162) and older (n = 56) women achieved significant weight reductions from baseline to month 6 (10.1 +/- 0.68 kg and 9.3 +/- 0.76 kg, respectively) and maintained a large proportion of their losses at month 18 (7.6 +/- 0.87 kg and 7.6 +/- 1.3 kg, respectively); there were no significant differences between the two groups with respect to weight change. Older women further experienced significant reductions in systolic blood pressure, HbA(1c), and C-reactive protein from baseline to month 6 and maintained these improvements at month 18. Despite potential safety concerns, we found that older women were no more likely to experience musculoskeletal adverse events during the intervention as compared with their middle-aged counterparts. Conclusion: These results suggest that older, obese women can experience significant health benefits from lifestyle treatment for obesity, including weight loss and improvements in disease risk factors. Further investigation of the impact of weight loss on additional health-related parameters and risks (eg, body composition, muscular strength, physical functioning, and injuries) in older adults is needed.Item Disparities in children's health across sociodemographic groups in Chile(2014-05) Kesterson, Khristian; Green, PennyItem Dynamics And Distribution Of Cyanophages And Their Effect On Marine Synechococcus Spp(1994-09) Suttle, Curtis A.; Chan, Amy M.; Suttle, Curtis A.; Chan, Amy M.Cyanophages infecting marine Synechococcus cells were frequently very abundant and were found in every seawater sample along a transect in the western Gulf of Mexico and during a 28-month period in Aransas Pass, Tex. In Aransas Pass their abundance varied seasonally, with the lowest concentrations coincident with cooler water and lower salinity. Along the transect, viruses infecting Synechococcus strains DC2 and SYN48 ranged in concentration from a few hundred per milliliter at 97 m deep and 83 km offshore to ca. 4 x 10(5) ml(-1) near the surface at stations within 18 km of the coast. The highest concentrations occurred at the surface, where salinity decreased from ca. 35.5 to 34 ppt and Synechococcus concentrations were greatest. Viruses infecting strains SNC1, SNC2, and 838BG were distributed in a similar manner but were much less abundant (<10 to >5 x 10(3) ml(-1)). When Synechococcus concentrations exceeded ca. 10(3) ml(-1), cyanophage concentrations increased markedly (ca. 10(2) to > 10(5) ml(-1)), suggesting that a minimum host density was required for efficient viral propagation. Data on the decay rate of viral infectivity d (per day), as a function of solar irradiance I (millimoles of quanta per square meter per second), were used to develop a relationship (d = 0.2610I-0.00718; r(2) = 0.69) for conservatively estimating the destruction of infectious viruses in the mixed layer of two offshore stations. Assuming that virus production balances losses and that the burst size is 250, ca. 5 to 7% of Synechococcus cells would be infected daily by viruses. Calculations based on contact rates between Synechococcus cells and infectious viruses produce similar results (5 to 14%). Moreover, balancing estimates of viral production with contact rates for the farthest offshore station required that most Synechococcus cells be susceptible to infection, that most contacts result in infection, and that the burst size be about 324 viruses per lytic event. In contrast, in nearshore waters, where ca. 80% of Synechococcus cells would be contacted daily by infectious cyanophages, only ca. 1% of the contacts would have to result in infection to balance the estimated virus removal rates. These results indicate that cyanophages are an abundant and dynamic component of marine planktonic communities and are probably responsible for lysing a small but significant portion of the Synechococcus population on a daily basis.Item Effect Of Body Mass Index On Survival In Patients Having Aortic Valve Replacement For Aortic Stenosis With Or Without Concomitant Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting(2011-12) Roberts, William Clifford; Roberts, Carey Camille; Vowels, Travis James; Ko, Jong Mi; Filardo, Giovanni; Hamman, Baron Lloyd; Matter, Gregory John; Henry, Albert Carl; Hebeler, Robert Frederick; Vowels, Travis JamesThe purpose of this report is to describe the effect of body mass index (BMI) on 30-day and late outcome in patients having aortic valve replacement (AVR) for aortic stenosis (AS) with or without concomitant coronary artery bypass grafting. From January 2002 through June 2010 (8.5 years), 1,040 operatively excised stenotic aortic valves were submitted to the cardiovascular laboratory at Baylor University Medical Center at Dallas. Of the 1,040 cases 175 were eliminated because they had a previous cardiac operation. The present study included 865 adults whose AVR for AS was their first cardiac operation. Propensity-adjusted analysis showed that 30-day and late mortality were strongly and significantly associated with BMI. Decreased risk of 30-day and long-term mortality was observed for patients with BMI in the low 30s compared to patients with BMI in the mid 20s or >40 kg/m(2). In conclusion, the findings in this study indicate a strong and significant adjusted association between BMI and 30-day and long-term mortality in patients having AVR for AS with or without concomitant coronary artery bypass grafting. Better survival was observed in patients with BMIs in the low 30s compared to patients with BMIs in the mid 20s and >40 kg/m(2). (C) 2011 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. (Am J Cardiol 2011;108:1767-1771)Item Empiric Guideline-Recommended Weight-Based Vancomycin Dosing and Nephrotoxicity Rates in Patients with Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus Aureus Bacteremia: A Retrospective Cohort Study(2013-02) Hall, Ronald G., II; Hazlewood, Kathleen A.; Brouse, Sara D.; Giuliano, Christopher A.; Haase, Krystal K.; Frei, Chistopher R.; Forcade, Nicolas A.; Bell, Todd; Bedimo, Roger J.; Alvarez, Carlos A.; Frei, Chistopher R.; Forcade, Nicolas A.Previous studies have established a correlation between vancomycin troughs and nephrotoxicity. However, data are currently lacking regarding the effect of guideline-recommended weight-based dosing on nephrotoxicity in methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia (MRSAB). Methods: Adults who were at least 18 years of age with methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia and received of empiric vancomycin therapy for at least 48 hours (01/07/2002 and 30/06/2008) were included in this multicenter, retrospective cohort study. The association between guideline-recommended, weight-based vancomycin dosing (at least 15 mg/kg/dose) and nephrotoxicity (increase in serum creatinine (SCr) by more than 0.5 mg/dl or at least a 50% increase from baseline on at least two consecutive laboratory tests) was evaluated. Potential independent associations were evaluated using a multivariable general linear mixed-effect model. Results: Overall, 23% of patients developed nephrotoxicity. Thirty-four percent of the 337 patients who met study criteria received weight-based dosing. The cohort was composed of 69% males with a median age of 55 years. The most common sources of MRSAB included skin/soft tissue (32%), catheter-related bloodstream bacteremia (20%), pulmonary (18%). Eighty-six percent of patients received twice daily dosing. Similar rates of nephrotoxicity were observed regardless of the receipt of guideline-recommended dosing (22% vs. 24%, OR 0.91 [95% CI 0.53-1.56]). This finding was confirmed in the multivariable analysis (OR 1.52 [95% CI 0.75-3.08]). Independent predictors of nephrotoxicity were (OR, 95% CI) vancomycin duration of greater than 15 days (3.36, 1.79-6.34), weight over 100 kg (2.74, 1.27-5.91), Pitt bacteremia score of 4 or greater (2.73, 1.29-5.79), vancomycin trough higher than 20 mcg/ml (2.36, 1.07-5.20), and age over 52 years (2.10, 1.08-4.08). Conclusions: Over one out of five patients in this study developed nephrotoxicity while receiving vancomycin for MRSAB. The receipt of guideline-recommended, weight-based vancomycin was not an independent risk factor for the development of nephrotoxicity.Item Estimated COVID-19 Mortality in China, December 16, 2022-January 19, 2023(2023-02) Du, Zhanwei; Meyers, Lauren AncelThe recent wave of COVID-19 in China peaked in late December of 2022, with 0.07 million deaths confirmed in hospitals between December 16, 2022 and January 19, 2023.Item How Losing Family Members Earlier than Expected Adds to Racial Disadvantage for U.S. Blacks(University of Texas at Austin Population Research Center, 2017-01) Umberson, DebraItem La Mortalite dans les campagnes: Le duche de Brabant aux XVIIe et XVIIIe siecles by Claude Bruneel(The Journal of Economic History, 1979) Gutmann, Myron P.Item Letter to H.B. Stenzel from S.A. Lynch on 1947-05-15(1947-05-15) Lynch, S.A.Item Non-invasive mechanical ventilation and mortality in elderly immunocompromised patients hospitalized with pneumonia: a retrospective cohort study(BMC Pulmonary Medicine, 2014-01-27) Johnson, Christopher S.; Frei, Christopher R.; Metersky, Mark L.; Anzueto, Antonio R.; Mortensen, Eric M.Background: Mortality after pneumonia in immunocompromised patients is higher than for immunocompetent patients. The use of non-invasive mechanical ventilation for patients with severe pneumonia may provide beneficial outcomes while circumventing potential complications associated with invasive mechanical ventilation. The aim of our study was to determine if the use of non-invasive mechanical ventilation in elderly immunocompromised patients with pneumonia is associated with higher all-cause mortality. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, data were obtained from the Department of Veterans Affairs administrative databases. We included veterans age ≥65 years who were immunocompromised and hospitalized due to pneumonia. Multilevel logistic regression analysis was used to determine the relationship between the use of invasive versus non-invasive mechanical ventilation and 30-day and 90-day mortality. Results: Of 1,946 patients in our cohort, 717 received non-invasive mechanical ventilation and 1,229 received invasive mechanical ventilation. There was no significant association between all-cause 30-day mortality and non-invasive versus invasive mechanical ventilation in our adjusted model (odds ratio (OR) 0.85, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.66-1.10). However, those patients who received non-invasive mechanical ventilation had decreased 90-day mortality (OR 0.66, 95% CI 0.52-0.84). Additionally, receipt of guideline-concordant antibiotics in our immunocompromised cohort was significantly associated with decreased odds of 30-day mortality (OR 0.31, 95% CI 0.24-0.39) and 90-day mortality (OR 0.41, 95% CI 0.31-0.53). Conclusions: Our findings suggest that physicians should consider the use of non-invasive mechanical ventilation, when appropriate, for elderly immunocompromised patients hospitalized with pneumonia.Item Optimal H1N1 vaccination strategies based on self-interest versus group interest(BMC Public Health, 2011-02-25) Shim, Eunha; Ancel Meyers. Lauren; Galvani, Alison P.Background: Influenza vaccination is vital for reducing H1N1 infection-mediated morbidity and mortality. To reduce transmission and achieve herd immunity during the initial 2009-2010 pandemic season, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recommended that initial priority for H1N1 vaccines be given to individuals under age 25, as these individuals are more likely to spread influenza than older adults. However, due to significant delay in vaccine delivery for the H1N1 influenza pandemic, a large fraction of population was exposed to the H1N1 virus and thereby obtained immunity prior to the wide availability of vaccines. This exposure affects the spread of the disease and needs to be considered when prioritizing vaccine distribution. Methods: To determine optimal H1N1 vaccine distributions based on individual self-interest versus population interest, we constructed a game theoretical age-structured model of influenza transmission and considered the impact of delayed vaccination. Results: Our results indicate that if individuals decide to vaccinate according to self-interest, the resulting optimal vaccination strategy would prioritize adults of age 25 to 49 followed by either preschool-age children before the pandemic peak or older adults (age 50-64) at the pandemic peak. In contrast, the vaccine allocation strategy that is optimal for the population as a whole would prioritize individuals of ages 5 to 64 to curb a growing pandemic regardless of the timing of the vaccination program. Conclusions: Our results indicate that for a delayed vaccine distribution, the priorities that are optimal at a population level do not align with those that are optimal according to individual self-interest. Moreover, the discordance between the optimal vaccine distributions based on individual self-interest and those based on population interest is even more pronounced when vaccine availability is delayed. To determine optimal vaccine allocation for pandemic influenza, public health agencies need to consider both the changes in infection risks among age groups and expected patterns of adherence.Item Vaccination Against 2009 Pandemic H1N1 in a Population Dynamical Model of Vancouver, Canada: Timing is Everything(2011-12) Conway, Jessica M.; Tuite, Ashleigh R.; Fisman, David N.; Hupert, Nathaniel; Meza, Rafael; Davoudi, Bahman; English, Krista; van den Driessche, P.; Brauer, Fred; Ma, Junling; Meyers, Lauren Ancel; Smieja, Marek; Greer, Amy; Skowronski, Danuta M.; Buckeridge, David L.; Kwong, Jeffrey C.; Wu, Jianhong; Moghadas, Seyed M.; Coombs, Daniel; Brunham, Robert C.; Pourbohloul, Babak; Meyers, Lauren AncelMuch remains unknown about the effect of timing and prioritization of vaccination against pandemic (pH1N1) 2009 virus on health outcomes. We adapted a city-level contact network model to study different campaigns on influenza morbidity and mortality. Methods: We modeled different distribution strategies initiated between July and November 2009 using a compartmental epidemic model that includes age structure and transmission network dynamics. The model represents the Greater Vancouver Regional District, a major North American city and surrounding suburbs with a population of 2 million, and is parameterized using data from the British Columbia Ministry of Health, published studies, and expert opinion. Outcomes are expressed as the number of infections and deaths averted due to vaccination. Results: The model output was consistent with provincial surveillance data. Assuming a basic reproduction number = 1.4, an 8-week vaccination campaign initiated 2 weeks before the epidemic onset reduced morbidity and mortality by 79-91% and 80-87%, respectively, compared to no vaccination. Prioritizing children and parents for vaccination may have reduced transmission compared to actual practice, but the mortality benefit of this strategy appears highly sensitive to campaign timing. Modeling the actual late October start date resulted in modest reductions in morbidity and mortality (13-25% and 16-20%, respectively) with little variation by prioritization scheme. Conclusion: Delays in vaccine production due to technological or logistical barriers may reduce potential benefits of vaccination for pandemic influenza, and these temporal effects can outweigh any additional theoretical benefits from population targeting. Careful modeling may provide decision makers with estimates of these effects before the epidemic peak to guide production goals and inform policy. Integration of real-time surveillance data with mathematical models holds the promise of enabling public health planners to optimize the community benefits from proposed interventions before the pandemic peak.