'TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW A. Monthly Summary of Business and Economic Conditions in Texas BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH THE UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS VOL. XXVIII, No. 4 TWENTY CENTS A COPY-TWO DOLLARS A YEAR APRIL 1954 Retail trade goes to town Like a magnetic field, the area around a major shopping center has lines of "gravitation." And they pull the customers straight to town --the largest and nearest one Circling the Austin bullseye on this map are two lines. The inner one encloses Austin's primary retail trade area, from which it draws over half the out-of-town trade. Within the outer line is the city's secondary trade area, from which it attracts slightly less than half such trade. Beginning on page I 0 of this issue, Ralph B. Thompson, associate professor of marketing in the College of Business Administration, reviews the methods and uses of trade area research, illustrating his discussion with a case study of Austin, Texas. The results of this Austin trade area survey, a project recently completed under Dr. Thompson's supervision, are completely described and charted in a new publication of the Bureau of Business Research, to be released this month (A Retail Trade Area Survey of Austin, Texas, by Ralph B. Thompson and Robert A. Jones. Bureau of Business Research Studies in Marketing, No. I. $2.00J. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW The Business Situation in Texas February business activity rises. Business activity in Texas in February strengthened somewhat as most of the barometers compiled by the Bureau of Business Re· search rose. A general increase in the business indexes brought the February level to approximately the same position at which they closed the year 1953. In view of the increasing gloom over the condition of business in the remainder of the country, there seems to be little rea­son to conclude that the improved showing of the Texas figures for February is the result of anything more than an erratic movement that so frequently characterizes the measures of business activity. The rise in the composite index of Texas business ac· tivity resulted from general increases in the component series. The table below shows that only one of the indi­vidual series on which the index is based registered a de­cline in February. INDEX OF TEXAS BUSINESS ACTIVITY AND COMPONENT SERIES (adjusted for seasonal variation, 1947-49=100) Feb Jan Percent Indexes Weight 1954 1954 change INDEX OF BUSINESS ACTIVITY (COMPOSITE) -------------------------­100.0 143• 136• + 5 Total electric power consumption_ _______ 3.0 211 208 + 1 Crude rum to stills ----------------­---·------­ 8.9 128 124 + 3 Cr ude petroleum production ------ ------­- 8.1 117 119 2 Urban building permits, adiuated for price changes ·--------------­------------------­-­ 9.4 120• gs• + 22 Miscellaneous freight carloadings -­--­ 10.0 95 95 0 Industrial electric power consumption_ 14.6 284 226 + 4 Retail sales, adjusted for price changes_ _ 51.0 147• 139• + 6 •Preliminary. The index of business in February stood at 143% of the 1947-49 base, compared with 150% a year ago, in spite of the rise in the various components of the index during February. The index of retail sales, which carries the largest weight in the composite, was still 7% below the level of a year ago in spite of the 6% rise between January and February. Crude petroleum production was down 9% over the period of a year, and crude runs to stills down 3%. Although building permits rose 22% in February, the index was 2% below the level of Febru­ary 1953. Freight carloadings were only 1% below a year ago, and both of the electric power series rose, in· dustrial power consumption 5% and total consumption 6%. In order not to place too much importance on the rise shown in the February figures, it is important to keep in mind that business in Texas is substantially below its level at this time last year. While it is not unexpected for the level of business in Texas to hold up better than for the nation as a whole, there is little hope that any serious decline in the U. S. economy would not be felt in this area. The economy of the nation is too closely integrated for one section to show any substantial deviation from the trend of the whole. There is still a tendency for business analysts to talk in terms of "readjustment" rather than "recession," but it is rapidly becoming clear that the level of business activity for the nation is showing a serious decline. In­dustrial production has failed to follow the forecasts that the decline would stop; retail trade has been holding up better than production, but sales are being made from inventories as businessmen try to get their stocks back into line with prospective demand. Consumers becoming more cautious. The most comprehensive information on what consumers may he expected to do during 1954 comes from the annual survey of consumer finances and buying intentions made by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System each Texas Business Activity Index • Adiusted for seasonal variation • 1947-1949 •100 200 j \ A.a.. w v ti - - ~v­ -,, ~ ~' ~ ,,,. - ·~ \/ .,r/" ~ 200 150 150 100 108 50 50 0 0 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 year. The preliminary announcement of the results of this survey was made late in March, and it appears that con· sumers are becoming more cautious. The interviews for this report were made in January and February, and the results suggest strongly that there is a substantial move· ment on the part of consumers to proceed with caution in their purchases this year. The percentage of consumers planning to buy new cars declined from 9.0% in 1953 to 7.8% in 1954; 26.8% plan to buy furniture and major appliances in 1954, compared to 31.9% expressing simi· lar plans in 1953; and 6.8% plan to buy houses this year, while 8.8% had such plans last year. The reluctance to buy major items of durable goods undoubtedly can be traced to the expectation that income will be less in 1954 than in 1953. The answers to this question showed that more people are thinking their in­comes will be smaller this year than last, and fewer peo­ple believe their incomes will be larger. The increasing level of unemployment and the reduction in the number of hours worked are apparently having their effect on the thinking of consumers. These influences may be expected to be felt during the coming months, and there is no reason to believe that Texas business will depart much from this general trend. The decline of 7% in sales of durable-goods stores be­tween February 1953 and February 1954 probably does not mark the end of the downward movement in consumer expenditures. While it is possible that an improvement in the business picture might induce consumers to in­crease their spending plans, it is equally likely that any deterioration in the level of expected income might bring about a revision downward. Information just released by the Department of Com· merce and the Securities and Exchange Commission on business plans for capital expenditures during 1954 in­dicate that business spending will ease off during the year, with a total of $27.2 billion of such capital expenditures in 1954 compared with $28.4 billion in 1953. This is a decline of only 4% and would leave 1954 the second largest year in business investment. Because of the rapid growth of industry in the Southwest, it is to be expected that Texas will fare at least as well as the remainder of the country and probably better. The mining industry expects to spend 3% more this year than last; yet manu­facturing industries, railroads, and utilities expect to spend less. Railroads expect to spend 28% less, durable­goods manufacturers 10% less, and nondurable-goods manufacturers 4% less. The total investment of commer· cial concerns is expected to rise during 1954. Since the rising level of business in Texas has been strongly influenced by the rising capital investment in the state, any slowing down of the rate of investment will be felt in the barometers of business. It is also important to remember in using these data that investment plans can !>e reduced if business activity continues to decline. Dur­ mg the long period of expansion since the end of World War II, the estimates of investment expenditures tended to be low, and business spent more than was originally planned. With a decline in activity the reverse pattern might easily hold, with expansion programs slowing down until management can see how serious the decline in business may be. The construction industry continues to furnish sub­ stantial support to the level of business in the state, as the Bureau's index of the value of urban building au· thorized for February 1954 rose above the February 1953 value. Although declining building costs brought the index 2% below a year ago after adjustment for price changes, it is significant that building continues at a high rate. All analyses of the backlog of construction needs in the state indicate that there is still a need for a great deal of building; in many categories the construc­tion industry has not caught up with the soaring demand. This backlog of demand is one reason for believing that the present decline in business activity bears no resem­blance to the 1929-32 debacle. Unemployment reflects decline. Public attention has been focused on the number of unemployed as a measure of the severity of the decline in business. Many analysts have pointed out that these data are not necessarily the best indexes of the level of business, but since unemploy­ment is one of the most serious consequences of a decline in business activity, it is watched with a great deal of in­terest. Additional interest in the level of unemployment was created when President Eisenhower announced that the March figures would decide whether or not the federal government would embark on an antirecession program. Some confusion has resulted from the fact that the Bureau of the Census has just announced a revised method of estimating unemployment, with the result that the currently compiled data are not exactly comparable with previous data. However, both the new and the old series showed a strong rise in the number unemployed in Feb­ruary. An indication that the decline was not arrested in March came from a report from the Bureau of Employ­ment Security of the Department of Labor which stated that unemployment continued to rise in March and was spreading to a wide range of industries. Virtually all of the 149 labor-market areas suffered increases in unem­ployment and 40 areas were moved into classifications of greater worker surpluses. Two of these areas are in Texas; San Antonio was shifted from the "moderate" to the "substantial" surplus class, and Houston was classi­fied as a "moderate" surplus area. Bank Debits in Texa$ Index • Adjusted for seasonal variation •1947-1949. JOO The index of bank debits constructed from data for 20 Texas cities compiled by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas rose 1% in February, bringing the level 1% higher than in February 1953. The chart above shows that this barometer has given a somewhat less pessimistic picture of the level of business over the past twelve months than the index of business activity. The February value of 165 is slightly higher than the 163 average for the year 1953 and considerably above the 154 average level of 1952. JOHN R. STOCKTON TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Managing Editor Robert H. Ryan..·--------­ College of Business Administration, The University of Texas William R. Sprleg:ei__________________.,ean Business Research Council William R. Sprlegel (ex officio), A. Hamilton Chute, F. L. Cox, Elizabeth Lanham, R. H. Montgomery, G. H. Newlove, and Charis E. Walker. STAFF OF THE BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH John R. Stockton Director Stanley A. Arblngaat Assiatant Director Resou.,.ces Specialist Florence Escott Re•earch Supervisor Richard C. Henshaw, Statistician Jr. Raymond V. Lesikar Research AasociatKS, 80 ; anres...___ 75.8 75.4 71.6 + 6 present evidence in cases where it believes the prevailing + 1 Automotive -----·······-········ 52.1 62.6 50.3 + 4 -1 wage determination is in.accurate. Employers must offer Apparel ------·······-····-··-27.5 27.7 27.6 -1 x on-the-job insurance coverage as well as occupational in­ Other retail trade --··········· 210.5 211.1 204.2 + 3 surance coverage, both at the workers' expense. The agree­ Finance, insurance, and ment also provides for a joint binational commission to real estate --·········-98.6 98.0 93.4 + 6 + 1study overall problems of illegal immigration and make Banks and trust companies 24.6 24.3 23.9 + 3 + 1 recommendations by October 31. Insurance ------·-···· 42.9 42.7 39.5 + 9 x Real estate and finan ce____ 31.1 31.0 30.0 + 4 x Ten new labor-management disputes reported to TEC Service and miscella neous..-263.9 263.2 255.6 x in February involved 435 workers. Four settlements of + 3 Hotels and lodging places 27.3 26.9 26.7 + 2 + 1 disputes removed 42 workers from dispute status. At the Laundries and clee.ners...-29.l 29.0 30.1 x end of the month, 1,800 were involved in 60 disputes, -8 Other busln.ess services _ 207.5 207.3 198.8 + 4 x compared with 1,407 in 54 disputes in January. x Cha n g:e is less than on e-half of one per cent. ANNE K. SCHULER *Prelimina r y. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION The proof of the drilling. When the nation's oil men took an overall look at their basic inventories last month, their reactions ranged from complacent optimism to gen­uine alarm. The American Petroleum Institute and Amer­ican Gas Association released their annual joint report on U. S. proved reserves of hydrocarbons, showing not only the national picture but also the relative status of each producing state. Their estimates showed that at the end of 1953 Texas still had more than half the underground oil and gas known to exist in the country. But the proportions (51.8% of oil and 50.3 % of natural gas) were the smallest in years. During 1953, the API-AGA report showed, Texas expansion of proved reserves, only 82.5 million barrels net, was outranked by expansion in three other states, Louisiana, Wyoming, and Oklahoma, in that order. In 1946 Texas had 55% of the nation's liquid hydrocarbons in reserve. But since then the Texas share has declined every year except in 1951, when the potential production ELECTRIC POWER CONSUMPTION Consumption (thous kw-hrs) Percent change F eb 1954 Feb 1954 Feb _Jan Feb from from Use 1954 1954 1953 Feb 1953 Jan 1954 TOTAL -----------1,168,412 1,202,525 1,105,035 6 3 + Commercial --------------176,486 187,018 183,462 4 -6 Industrial ---·---------584,542 588,812 558,142 + 5 Residential -------------196,885 217,873 172,968 + 14 -10 Other ---------------------210,499 208,822 190,463 + 11 + 1 Prepared from reports of 10 electric power companies to the Bureau of Business Research. Industrial Electric Power Use in Texas Index • Adjusted for seasonal variation •1947·1949 •100 WELL COMPLETIONS Source: Tke Oil 4"d GM Jourftt-S 9,661 + 4 - 6 Bank debits (thousands) --­----$ 2,796 x -13 Annual rate of deposit turnover___ 8.0 - 18 +us End-of-month deposits (thousands) i---$ 6,028 + I -2 Annual rate o! deposit turnover_____ 6.6 1 -10 KERMIT (pop. 6,912) Postal receipts -----------­-­---$ Value of building permitsll --­----$ 3,910 174,975 x +1607 -16 -18 LONGVIEW (pop. 24,502) Poetal receipts -------·-------$ 22,772 - 6 -15 Bank debits (thousands) -----• End-of-month deposits (thoueands) i­s Annual rate of deposit turnover___ 2,448 2,189 10.4 -n -57 + ll -29 -87 -20 Value of building permitsU ________$ Bank debits (thousands ) ------$ Emd-of-month deposits (thousands) t--$ 161,300 29,369 35,430 -43 -H -6 -7S Annual rate of deposit turnover_____ 9.8 - 8 + KILGORE (pop. 9,638) Postal receipts ----------­--------$ Value of building permits! ------$ Bank debits (thousands) -------• End-of-month deposits (thousands) i-S 9,217 7,000 12,006 18,968 -5 -511 2 -a -25 -10 ll g Employment (area) --------------­-Manufacturing employment (area) ___ Percent of labor force unemployed (area) -------­---­---­-­Air express 1hipments --------­ 23,850 8,985 5.6 118 - 26 x x + a -24 Annual rate of deposit turnover___ Employment (area) -------------­ 10.0 21,860 -1 x LUBBOCK (pop. 71,747) Manufacturing employment (area) __ 1,985 x Retail sales ------------­--­ -20 -H Percent of labor force unemployed Automotive stores -----------­ -21 - 8 (area) ----------------­ 5.5 + 8 Department and apparel stores_____ - 9 -22 Furniture and household KILLEEN (pop. 7,045) Postal receipts ---------------------$ Value of building permitsII ------$ Bank debits (thousands ) ___________$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) t--S Annual rate of deposit turnover_____ 21,195 208,799 4,657 9,708 6.8 + 64 +581 + 4 8 + 9 + 20 +274 + 'x + 7 appliance stores ---------­----­General merchandise stores ------·---­Lumber, building material, and hardware stores ------­-------­Postal recr,ipts ----------- ------------$ 72,601 Value of building permitsll -------$ 3,199,703 Bank debits (thousands) ----------$ 99,605 -23 -10 -42 -s +120 -15 -1 -22 -20 -19 + 53 -26 End-of-month deposits (thousands) i- S 86,233 -25 - 7 LAMESA (pop.10,704) Postal receipts ------------------------­$ 5,825 - 3 -22 Annual rate of deposit turnover________ Employment --------------------------­ 13.S 39,100 6 + 1 -25 Value of building permitsll ---­-$ 24,800 - 6 +107 Manufacturing employment ----­ S,780 + 4 x Bank debits (thousands) -------------$ 6,753 -20 -13 Percent of labor force unemployed____ 6.1 + 85 + 9 End-of-month deposits (thousands) i._$ 10,969 -18 6 Air express shipments -------------­ 676 + 24 7 Annual rate of deposit turnover_____ 7.2 - 3 -9 LAMPASAS (pop. 4,869) Retail sales• -----­---------­ -17 + 13 LUFKIN (pop. 15,135) Postal receipts --­-----------------------­$ Bank debits (thousands) __________________$ 11,989 12,837 2 16 -19 -23 Postal receipts -----------------­---$ Bank debits (thousands) _ _________$ 2,765 8,088 + 1 -H -37 -18 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t____$ Annual rate of deposit turnover____ _ 19,983 7.8 - 10 6 + 4 -21 End-of-month deposits (thousands) i---S 6,129 -5 -1 Air express shipments ------­----­---­---­ 24 -52 -11 Annual rate of deposit turnover ____ 6.0 - 10 -10 McALLEN (pop. 20,067) LAREDO (pop. 51,910) Poetal receipts -----------------------$ Value uf building permits! ---­--S Bank debits (thousands) _______$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) i_ $ 22,955 34,345 18,779 18,805 + 11 -94 -10 -28 -5 x -13 + 1 Retail sales ---------------------------­Department and apparel stores__ Postal receipts ---------­----------$ Value of building permitsll ------$ Air express shipments --­------­ 16,275 31,500 39 -15 + 3 + 12 -57 7 2 3 -25 + 8 Annual rate of deposit turnover___ 12.1 + 1 -12 Air express shipments ­------------­Tourists entering Mexico ------­ 147 8,483 -37 -17 + 2 + 7 MARSHALL (pop. 22,327) Retail sales --­---­--------------­ - 3 + 2 Tourist cars entering Mexico ----­-­ 3,232 - 7 + 5 Department and apparel storea____ -11 -11 LEVELLAND (pop. 8,264) Postal receipts - ---­-----­----------------$ 5,058 Value of building permitsU-----S 88,525 Bank debits (thousands) _________ $ 6,050 End-of-month deP'>sits (thousands) t----­$ 10,217 -1 +a22 -21 + 20 -21 + 90 -29 -a Postal receipts -----------­----------­--$ Value of building permitsll __________ $ Bank debits (thousands) ___________$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) t---$ Annual rate of deposit turnover____ Air express shipments ---------­14,375 78,975 13,322 20,226 7.9 15 + 8 I 1 + 3 -14 + 88 x -1 0 -32 Annual rate of deposit turnover______ 7.0 - 27 -26 LLANO (pop. 2,954) Poetal receipts -------­--- -------$ 1,492 + 1 -30 MERCEDES (pop.10,081) Postal receipts ----------------­--$ 4,265 Value of building permitsD -------$ 3,750 + 1 -96 -7 -51 Value of buildini' permitsO --------$ Bank debits (thoueands) ________, End-of-month deposits (thousands) i----S Annual rate of depo1it turnover_____ _ 15,000 1,94' 3,284 7.0 + + 6 3 3 8 + 25 8 2 ' Bank debits (thousands ) __________$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) t__$ Annual rate of deposit turnover_____ 6,251 5,520 13.2 -1 -10 + 10 -20 -5 -11 For explanation of aymbola, see paJl'e 23. 22 TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW LOCAL BUSINESS CONDITIONS Per cent change Percent change Feb 1954 Feb 1954 Feb 1954 Feb 1954 February from from February from from City and item 1954 Feb 1953 Jan 1954 City and Item 1954 Feb 1953 Jan 1954 MIDLAND (pop. 21,713) PLAINVIEW (pop. 14,044) P ostal receipts __________________$ 41,514 + 3 -11 Retail sales --------------------+ 3 + 1 Value of building permitsll ----------$ 923,543 -7 + 56 Department and apparel stores..______ -7 31 - Bank debits (thousands) ______________$ 43,342 -16 -16 Pasta! receipts --------------$ 10,601 -12 -23 End-of-month deposits (thousands) l---S 67,522 + 2 x Value of building permitsll -------·······$ 96,050 -22 -65 Annual rate of deposit turnover_____ 7.7 -21 -15 Bank debits (thousands) _____ _ __ ___$ 17,294 1 -30 Air express shipments -------------------295 + 47 + 20 End-of-month deposits (thousands);__ $ 24,615 + 1 -9 Annual rate of deposit turnover ----­8.0 -2 -29 NACOGDOCHES (pop. 12,327) Air express shipments ----------------13 -43 -50 Postal receipts ----····---····------···$ 10,266 + 34 + 3 Value of building permitsll --·---·----$ 22,530 + 85 + 90 PORT ARTHUR (pop. 57,530) Bank debits (thousands) _________$ 8,252 7 5 End-of-month deposits (thousands); ___$ 14,587 -5 1 R"tail sales* ------------­+ 3 Annual rate of deposit turnover______ 6.8 -3 4 Automotive stores• ---------21 + 12 Department and apparel stores_____ + 20 -9 -100 0 Drug stores• ------------­+ 3 + 1 Eating and drinking places• ----··· --59 -12 NEW BRAUNFELS (pop. 12,210) Filling stations• -------------+ 7 6 Postal receipts --··-·-··----------$ 11,303 + 14 -9 Food stores• --------------+ 25 8 Value of building permitsll --·-·-····---$ 64,815 -17 -29 Furniture and household Bank debits (thousands) --·-----------$ 6,322 + 6 6 appliance stores• ------------------­+ 16 2 End-of-month deposits (thousands ) :I--$ 9,227 -11 Lumber, building material, Annual rate of deposit turnover___ 8.2 5 and hardware stores• -----------­+ 8 + 28 Postal receipts ----·-···---------$ 30,488 + 3 -23 Value of building permitsll _________$ 234,212 -43 + 53 ODESSA (pop. 29,495) Bank debits (thousands) _ ______$ 42,054 2 8 Retail sales -----------------­-2 + 13 Fnd-of-month deposits (thousandsJ*.._ $ 39,543 9 + Postal receipts ·----------------------$ 34,103 + 8 -11 Annual rate of deposit turnover___ 13.0 2 9 Value of building permits ll -···-------$' 552,087 -35 -32 Employment (area) ·······-----------78,000Bank debits (thousands) --·--------$ 31,343 -9 8 Manufacturing employment (area) _ 26,220 End-of-month deposits (thousands );____$ 29,283 -14 -8 Percent of labor force unemployed Annual rate of deposit turnover______ 12.3 + 3 -1 (area) -----······------------7.4 + 51 + 14 Air express shipments --------------142 + 7 + 16 Air express shipments --------------93 -21 + 21 ORANGE (pop. 21,174) ROCKDALE (pop. 2,321) Postal receipts ····---···---------$ 13,269 + 3 -26 Value of building permits ll ---··-··-·-$ 218,538 + 30 + 31 Postal receipts - ------------------$ 3,886 + 37 -6 Bank debits (thousands) __________$ 17,221 + 3 7 Value of building permitsll ···-··--·-··----$ 82,650 -49 +106 24,502 Bank debits (thousands) _____________ _$ 3,718 -17 5 End-of-month deposits (thousands) l ---$ + + 3 Annual rate of deposit turnover_____ 8.6 7 End-of-month deposits (thousands) :I--$ 3,540 -14 8 + 2 Annual rate of deposit turnover________ 12.1 -11 + PALESTINE (pop.12,503) Postal receipts ---······--------------$ 9,346 -6 -3 SAN ANGELO (pop. 52,093) Value of building permits ll --------$ 87,291 -56 +121 -19 Retail sales ----------------·----­Bank debits (thousands ) _________$ 5,349 -10 Department and apparel stores____ 9 -26 End-of-month deposits (thousands) :l--S 12,804 + 1 Postal receipts __________ _________$ 48,109 -12 + 9 Annual rate of deposit turnover_______ 6.0 -11 Value of building permitsll ___:_____$ 1,038,847 +z53 +153 Bank debits (thousands) _______$ 34,973 -11 PAMPA (pop.16,583) End-of-month deposits (thousands) t-$ 44,786 -15 -2 Postal receipts ______ ________$ 13,179 -2 -5 Annual rate of deposit turnover_ _ _ 9.2 + 10 -11 Value of building permitsll _________$ 70,075 -86 -45 Employment ---------------21,650 + 3 x Bank debits (thousands) __________$ 13,984 -1 8 Manufacturing employment -----2,430 + 13 2 End-of-month deposits (thousands) l --$ 20,804 + 38 2 Percent of labor force unemployed____ 6.3 + 37 + Annual rate of deposit turnover___ 8.1 -18 6 Air express shipments -----------342 + 71 + 5 PARIS (pop. 21,643) SAN MARCOS (pop. 9,980) Department and apparel store sales__ -3 -8 Postal receipts _______________$ 10,574 + 1 -7 P ostal receipts ------------------$ 13,463 + 2 -12 Value of building permitsll --------$ 106,546 +249 +101 Value of building permitsll --··--------$ 66,950 +135 +513 Bank debits (thousands) -----------$ 4,764 -9 + 2 Bank debits (thousands) _________ $ 11,967 7 + 2 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t.--$ 8,370 + 9 +End-of-month deposits (thousands) :I.-.$ 14,670 7 -2 Annual rate of deposit turnover.______. 6.9 -16 + Annual rate of deposit turnover_________ 9.7 + 6 0 Air express shipments ----------41 0 + 11 SEGUIN (pop. 9,733) Postal receipts _ ____________$ 7,807 7 RAYMONDVILLE (pop. 9,136) + 2 Postal receipts _____________ ___$ 4,244 3 -9 Value of building permitsll -----$ 103,291 + 78 + 2 -Value of building permitsll _________$ 500 -97 + 11 Bank debits (thousands) ________ $ 6,494 2 16,776 Bank debits (thousands) --------------$ 3,758 -13 --22 78 End-of-month deposits (thousands) :I----$ + 7 + Annual rate of deposit turnover_________ 4.7 + • End-of-month deposits (thousands) t--$ 7,669 -13 -8 Annual rate of deposit turnover____ _ 5.8 + 2 -19 For explanation o! aymbola, aee p~e 28. APRIL 1954 23 LOCAL BUSINESS CONDITIONS Percent change Percent change Feb 1954 Feb 1954 Feb 1954 F eb 1954 February from from February from from City and •tern 195.4 Feb 1953 Jan 1954 City and item 1954 Feb 1953 Jan 1954 SHERMAN (pop. 20,150) TEXAS CITY (pop. 16,620) Department and apparel store sales----··­3 -10 Retail sales ··----··-·-···-····-······--·-·-···---·------· 5 + 10 + Department and apparel stores_________ -4 Postal receipts --·-------·----------------------··$ 12,716 -5 -12 + Value of building permits ll --·---------··---$ 302,460 -11 -48Postal receipts ······-----------------··-·-----------·-······$ 20,982 + 6 x Bank debits (thousands ) ---------------·-------$ 22,527 -13 -13Value of building permits II --------·---·-------$ 212,686 + 55 + 57 E'nd-of-month deposits (thousands ) t -----$ 22,703 7 -13 Annual rate of deposit turnover____________ 11.0 8 8SAN ANTONIO (pop. 408,442) Employment (area ) ···-··------·-··-·--·-----------45,200 6 x Retail sales• -··--·-·······--·----·------------·---·-··· -7 + 1 Manufacturing employment (area) ··­11,000 6 Apparel stores• ·-----······-----··----------··-·--·­-3 -6 Percent of labor force unemployed Automotive stores• ---·-----------------------­-10 + 27 (area ) ------------··---·-·-------------·-·-----5.9 + 64 + 4 Department storest ·-------------------------------11 8 Drug stores• ----------------------------------------2 2 TEXARKANA (pop. 40,628) § Eating and drinking places• -···--·---·--­9 5 Retail sales§ -----··----------··------·-----···-·-··----3 x Filling stations• ----------------------------------­+ x Department and apparel stores§__······­-5 Food stores• ------------------------------------...-­ + Postal receipts§ -----·-------·---·-·----------------$ 40,100 + 10 -22 Furniture and household Value of building permits§ -··--·-·---·---···-$ 61,219 -25 + 9 appliance stores• -----------------------------­-21 + Bank debits (thousands ) § --------··---·-····-$ 33,528 -1 -12 General merchandise stores• -------------­-11 -12 End-of-month deposits (thousands ) t ------$ 17,873 -34 2 Lumber, building material, Annual rate of deposit turnover___________ 10.9 + 5 -8 and hardware stores* ----------------------+ 9 + 27 Employment§ ---------------------·-----------85,900 -16 -5Postal receipts ----·---·-·---······--·····---·-··---·-$ 475,283 + 7 -1 Manufacturing employment§ ----·---····· 6,730 -30 -16 Value of building permitsll ···---·······---·-----$ 3,196,884 -52 + 27 Percent of labor force unemployed§ ···-­11.6 +lrn + 16Bank debits (thousands) ---------·--···---····-·-$ 354,025 + 2 7 Air express shipments§ ·-·-·-····---··------179 +116 -24 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ------$ 308,284 -23 x Annual rate of deposit turnover___·---·----13.8 + 5 Employment ------····-------------------------··--··--175,200 -6 x WACO (pop. 87,706) Manufacturing employment ---·-·------·-·· 19,550 -6 x Retail sales ·----------·---·----·--·-·----------· -14 -7 Percent of labor force unemployed________ 8.8 + + Apparel stores -­ 69 2 ------···------------··--·-·­26 20 2,065 -1 3 Automotive stores --------------­-20 3 Department storest --------·-···-------5 + 1 Florists ····----------··----·····--··--------19 + 2 SNYDER (pop. 12,010) General merchandise stores -------­5 -10 Postal receipts -----·-----------·-··-·----·------------···$ 7,706 -1 -15 Postal receipts --·-----···-·---·-·-·-------·-------$ 93,725 + 2 -12Value of building permitsll -··---------····-·-$ 208,650 +328 +346 Value of building permitsll ----------··---···-$ 882,476 + 9 -30Bank debits (thousands) ----··------------·----$ 11,207 -18 -13 Bank debits (thousands ) ·--··-····---·------··$ 73,501 + 7 3End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ------$ 10,533 -15 -17 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t --·--$ 66,300 -23 Annual rate of deposit turnover.____________ 11.5 -12 -4 + Annual rate of deposit turnover____________ 13.4 3 Employment ---------------··--··---········---43,050 -2 + SWEETWATER (pop.13,619) Manufacturing employment ---------7,910 -1 x Postal receipts -------·-------------------·····--·--$ 10,607 -2 -21 7.9 + 96 8 Percent of labor force unemployed_________. Value of building permits II ··--·-·---·------$ 49,175 +109 + 1 Air express shipments ---------------------------261 + 49 Bank debits (thousands) --·---··-··-····---$ 8,236 + 4 -18 End-of-month deposits (thousands ) t -·-·-$ 9,530 -7 -11 + WAXAHACHIE (pop.11,204) Annual rate of deposit turnover_·--------·· 9.7 5 -15 Postal receipts ---···---··---···--·-------··-----$ 9,643 -48 + 16Air express shipments ----··--···-----··----------37 +147 -23 Value of building permitsll ·--·-·---------·$ 118,100 +275 -41 Bank debits (thousands) ----·-·--······-·----$ 3,869 + 15 + 6 TAYLOR (pop. 9,071) End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ---··$ 3,367 1 -40 Postal receipts ---·---·-·--··--·---------···---·-··--$ 6,207 -1 -25 Annual rate of deposit turnover___________ 10.4 -8 + 37 Value of ·building permitsll -·------··--$ 75,255 + 97 + 70 Bank debits (thousands ) -·------------··-$ 8,959 -12 -11 + End-of-month deposits (thousands) t----·-$ 15,550 8 -2 WICHITA FALLS (pop. 68,042) Annual rate of deposit turnover_____________ 6.8 -19 -12 Retail sales ---------------·---··----·---·-------····--14 -9 Department and apparel stores_______.. + 4 -22 Postal receipts -·---··-·----------------··········$ 68,459 9 -14 TEMPLE (pop. 25,467) Value of building permits!!--··-·--·-----·---$ 930,012 16 + 149Retail sales --··-----···-----·-····----------------3 + 17 Bank debits (thousands) ··--·---·----··$ 79,188 1 3Department and apparel stores._.__ 10 ­ -12 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t .-.$ 99,086 8 Postal receipts ··-------·-·-------··----··-$ 23,465 -7 -17 Annual rate of deposit turnover_·--·-----· 9.4 Value of building permitsII ----------·-$ 205,902 + 12 +283 Employment ···-·---·----·-·-----------·-----·-34,450 5 Bank debits (thousands) ···------··--·-··$ 14,916 1 8 Manufacturing employment ----------------­3,420 -12 2 End-of-month deposits (thousands) L--$ 23,165 -2 ­ 1 Percent of labor force unemployed-----·· 6.3 + 19 + 9 Annual rate of deposit turnover_ ____ 7.7 1 3 + ­Air express shipments ·-----------------------496 +123 -23Air express shipments ---------------------144 +235 + 64 xChange is less than one half of one percent. TYLER (pop. 38,968) *Preliminary. Postal receipts ··---------····-----------·--$ 56,629 -12 -3 tReported by the Federal Reserve Board of Dallas. Value of building permitsll ·--·--··---$ 3,531,994 +532 +643 tExcludes deposits to credit of banks. Bank debits (thousands) ----------·-----$ 53,965 -t s 8 fl Federal contracts are not included. 4 -2 End-of-month deposits (thousands)*-··-$ 55,510 UReported by Bureau of Business and Economic Research, University Annual rate of deposit turnover.-·--·----­11.5 of Houston. -5 Air express shipments ····-··-·······---··-··--189 §Figures include Texa.rkana, Arkansas (pop. 15,875 ) and Texarkana, + -10 Texas (pop. 24,753). TEX.AS BUSINESS REVIEW BAROMETERS OF TEXAS BUSINESS Feb Jan Dec Feb 1964 1964 1953 1953 .~1 -)1' GENERAL BUSINESS ACTIVITY ·­ tlndex of Texas Business Activity (100.0) __ _ ______________________________________________ __ _ 143* 136* 142* 148 ]!'' Index of bank debits_______ ____ ____________ . ···-------------------------------------------------------------------· 165 163 163 163 Index of bank debits in the United States...........................................____ _______ _________ 162 153 154 148 ~·" Income payments to individuals in the U.S. (bilions-seasonally adjusted at annual rate) -------------------------------------·----·--------------------------------............ $ 282.5 $ 284.6 $ 281.0 s 280.5 Index of wholesale prices in the U.S. (unadjusted) ............................................ 110.5 110.8 110.l 109.6 109.9 Index of consumers' prices in the U.S. (unadjusted) __________________________ ..______ ....... 115.0 115.2 114.9 113.4 113.9 :t:lndex of consumers' prices in Houston (adjustedl-----------------------------------------------· 116.9 116.1 Index of postal receipts ·---·-------------·--------·------------------------------..·---------..·-----..--.......... 162 155 180 156 153 tlndex of miscellaneous freight carloadings in the Southwestern District (10.0) _ ________________ ____________________ ,.___________ _ _________,.____ ,.___ ......................................... 95 95 86 96 102 Business corporation charters issued (number) ________________________........................... 291* 306 273 347 340 Business failures (number) -----------------------------------------------------------..·---------..·--------..·· 18 12 24 15 . 8 Index of ordinary life insurance sales (adjusted for price changes) _______________ _ 188 183 200 179 184 Index of ordinary life insurance sales....... -·----------·------------------------------------------163 159 174 158 162 Index of life insurance sales in the West South Central states______ _________________ _ 180 167 173 168 165 Index of life insurance sales in the United States....-------------------------------------------­ 160 150 169 151 146 TRADE tlndex of total retail sales (adjusted for price changes, 51.0) ______ 132* 124* 134 142 146 Index of total retail sales___________________________________________________________ ,.............................. 147 139 150 158 163 Durable-goods stores__________________________________________________________________________________________ _ 173 153 159 186 191 Nondurable-goods stores...---------------------------------------------------------------------------------134 131 146 143 149 Ratio of credit sales to net sales in department and apparel stores__________________ _ 64.9 63.5 58.9 64.8 63.4 Ratio of collections to outstandings in department and apparel stores____ 38.0 42.0 39.8 39.5 42.7 PRODUCTION tlndex of industrial electric power consumption (14.6) _________ 234 226 232 223 225 tlndex of crude runs to stills (3.9) ---------------128 124 118 132 133 Index of wheat grindings·----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------­61 65 64 67 lndex of cottonseed crushed..-----------------·-----------------------------------------------------------------121 122 127 119 lndex of southern pine production (1935-39=100, unadjusted) _ _____ 115 109 118 129 tlndex of urban building permits (adjusted for price changes, 9.4) 121* 98' 98° 123 119 Index of urban building permits--·--------------------------------------------------------------------------157* 128* 127° 152 147 tlndex of crude petroleum production (8.1) _______________ 117 119 120 129 130 Index of gasoline consumption.........------------------------------------------·-------------------·------·---164 185 172 196 tlndex of total electric power consumption (3.0) ____ 211 208 216 200 200 Index of industrial production in the U.S·-----------·--------------------------------------------------· 123° 125* 126 134 134 Index of cement production....----------------------------------------------------------------------------------140 104 143 149 Construction contracts awarded (thousands) ....................................................... s 87,620 s 85,815 $104,755 $100,902 s88,081 AGRICULTURE Index of farm cash income (unadjusted)--------------------------------------------------------------85 123 49 91 Index of prices received by farmers (1909-14=100, unadjusted) ..........__________ _ 272 267 263 287 291 Index of prices paid by farmers in the U.S. (parity index-unadjusted, 1910-14=100) ----------------------------------------------------------··----------------------·------------------· 282 282 278 281 284 Parity ratio....---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------96 95 95 102 102 lndex of prices received by farmers-livestock (unadjusted, 1909-14=100). 309 305 296 328 339 Index of prices received by farmers-all crops (unadjusted, 1909-14=100) .. 243 238 237 257 255 FINANCE Loans, reporting member banks in Dallas district (millions) ____ ________________________ _ $ 1,889 $ 1,909 $ 1,905 s 1,755 $ 1,756 Loans and investments, reporting member banks in Dallas district (millions) ______ _____________ ____ ·------------------------------------------------·------------------------------------$ 3,326 s 3,372 $ 3,377 s 3,091 s 3,158 Demand deposits adjusted, reporting member banks in Dallas district (mill ions) _._ _________ ........ -·-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------s 2,455 $ 2,545 $ 2,623 s 2,448 s 2,533 Bank debits in 20 cities (millions) _________________________________________________________________________ . s 5,094 s 5,903 s 6,422 s 5,046 s 5,948 Revenue receipts of the State Comptroller (thousands) ____ ________________________________ . s 55,117 s 53,239 s 97,247 s 54,479 s 54,444 Federal Internal Revenue collections (thousands)---------------------------------------------$307,707 $207,860 s 69,339 $250,434 $275,449 LABOR Total nonagricultural employment (thousands)--------------------------------------------------· 2,209.6 2,216.8 2,277.9 2,214.8 2,221.4 Total manufacturing employment (thousands) ............................................. 424.3 428.2 429.4 435.5 434.6 Durable-goods employment (thousands) ·----------------------------------------------­198.5 201.3 200.6 208.5 206.7 Nondurable-goods employment (thousands)-----------------------------------------225.8 226.9 228.8 227.0 227.9 All ftl1.'llreo are for Texas unless otherwise indicated. All indexes are based on the average months for 1947--49 except where indicated and are adjusted for seasonal variation (except annual indexes). Manufacturing employment estimates have been adjusted to first quarter 1953 benchmarks. *Preliminary. tThe index of business activity Is a weighted average of the Indexes Indicated by a dagger (t). The weight rfven each Index In compntln1 th• eomposite Is given In parenthesea. Undex computed for February, May, August, and November only.