Financial Markets Functioning Well in a Pandemic

Date

2020-03-15

Authors

Bauguess, Scott W.

Journal Title

Journal ISSN

Volume Title

Publisher

Abstract

Five reasons to be cautiously optimistic about their continued resiliency NCAA officials did their part in addressing COVID-19 fears, but cancelling the 64-team tournament didn't extinguish March Madness. It is alive and well in financial markets. Each day delivers upsets and unexpected developments, leaving commentators struggling to keep up with their recycled vocabularies. Superficial headlines abound. Markets reel. Stocks plunge. S&P gives back gains. Trillions wiped out. Investors riled. It is hard to find information of substance. Like being on the scene of a tragic accident, onlookers can't get beyond the surface images. Perhaps the most intelligent thing I've read all week came, aptly, from the WSJ's Intelligent Investor columnist Jason Zweig. He reminded his audience of enduring good advice from Warren Buffet's mentor, Benjamin Graham. [1] Buy-and-hold investors shouldn't be spooked by down markets. Sharp price declines provide an opportunity to buy wisely. And if you are trying to time the market (a.k.a., a speculator), be forewarned that in games of chance, casinos are the winners. All of this trading is great for market-makers on Wall Street. It is likely that the news driving markets could get worse as the "what-if" tree grows. The economic and social consequences of the recently announced travel ban and unprepared healthcare system is the current focus. I worry most about a potential leadership crisis. Imagine an election year where candidates face significant mortality risk. The coronavirus has shown to play favorites among the aged, which includes three presidential candidates and septuagenarian leaders of Congress. And some of them have revealed they may already be infected with hubris ... about the risks. But prospects aren't entirely bad. Financial markets have actually handled the pandemic remarkably well. As we head into a new week of market uncertainty, there are several reason to be optimistic about their continued resiliency.

Department

Description

Promoting the relevance of academic research in the design, implementation, and evaluation of financial market regulation. Through events, analysis, and commentary, the program on financial markets regulation aims to elevate the role evidence-based decision making in the policy development process. Bringing the rigor of peer-reviewed research to decision-makers can mitigate the bias and conflicts that underlie many proposed regulatory actions, and lead to more balanced consideration of competing interests and perspectives among financial market participants. To achieve this, each initiative is focused on raising awareness of where evidence in support of financial market policy is needed, promoting regulator engagement with academic experts, and creating incentives for academics to apply their expertise to policy issues by measuring the relevance of their contributions to regulatory outcomes.

LCSH Subject Headings

Citation

Collections