Quantitative relationships between crash risks and pavement skid resistance

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Long, Kan

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Faced with continuously increasing maintenance due to aging infrastructure, the Texas Department of Transportation (TxDOT) is evaluating the potential impact of reduced funding on highway safety. The main objective of this thesis is to develop a methodological procedure to identify threshold levels of pavement skid resistance for highways in the context of traffic crashes, assisting TxDOT Administration and engineers in making proper maintenance decisions. As a result, the efficiency and safety of the highway system could be preserved. The scope of this study covers all types of state-maintained highways in Texas. The primary objectives of this thesis include: 1) synthesis of literature; 2) quantification of the relationship between crash risk and pavement skid resistant; 3) determination of critical skid resistant threshold levels; and, 4) benefit cost analysis. A detailed methodology framework was developed and a comprehensive database was generated from four data files containing pavement, geometry, traffic, and crash information to support this research. The impact of skid resistance level on crash risks was proven to be significant based on the results of regression analysis and insights provided by TxDOT experts. The quantitative relationships between crash risk and skid resistance were quantified using the Crash Rate Ratio method. Hierarchical structure grouping was used to categorize the entire network into homogeneous groups based on traffic level, roadway alignment and other factors. Critical skid resistance threshold levels were determined for the whole state as well as for stratified highway groups. Finally, benefit/cost ratio analyses were conducted to evaluate the effectiveness of pavement maintenance treatments to restore or increase skid resistance.



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