Scenario projections for the spread of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.4 and BA.5 subvariants in the US and Texas

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dc.creatorBi, Kaiming
dc.creatorBouchnita, Anass
dc.creatorEgbelowo, Oluwaseun F.
dc.creatorFox, Spencer J.
dc.creatorLachmann, Michael
dc.creatorMeyers, Lauren Ancel
dc.date.accessioned2024-07-29T20:41:44Z
dc.date.available2024-07-29T20:41:44Z
dc.date.issued2022-08
dc.description.abstractThis report projects the spread and burden of the highly-transmissible SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.4 and BA.5 variants based on data through July 5, 2022. By that date, BA.4 and BA.5 were the predominant variants in the US and COVID-19 hospitalizations were increasing. Using a stochastic compartmental model that tracks population-level immunity derived from infections, primary vaccines, and booster vaccines, we project COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths over a twelve month period for both the entire United States and the state of Texas. We simulate sixteen different scenarios in which we vary the transmission properties of the Omicron BA.4/BA.5 variants and the rate of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine booster uptake.
dc.description.departmentIntegrative Biology
dc.identifier.doi10.15781/zvv0-rh65
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/2152/126274
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.26153/tsw/52811
dc.subjectCOVID-19
dc.subjectSARS-CoV-2
dc.subjectomicron BA.4
dc.subjectomicron BA.5
dc.subjectUnited States
dc.subjectTexas
dc.subjectprojections
dc.titleScenario projections for the spread of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.4 and BA.5 subvariants in the US and Texas
dc.typeDataPaper

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