Multi-state PLS based data-driven predictive modeling for continuous process analytics

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Kumar, Vinay

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Today’s process control industry, which is extensively automated, generates huge amounts of process data from the sensors used to monitor the processes. These data if effectively analyzed and interpreted can give a clearer picture of the performance of the underlying process and can be used for its proactive monitoring. With the great advancements in computing systems a new genre of process monitoring and fault detection systems are being developed which are essentially data-driven. The objectives of this research are to explore a set of data-driven methodologies with a motive to provide a predictive modeling framework and to apply it to process control. This project explores some of the data-driven methods being used in the process control industry, compares their performance, and introduces a novel method based on statistical process control techniques. To evaluate the performance of this novel predictive modeling technique called Multi-state PLS, a patented continuous process analytics technique that is being developed at Emerson Process Management, Austin, some extensive simulations were performed in MATLAB. A MATLAB Graphical User Interface has been developed for implementing the algorithm on the data generated from the simulation of a continuously stirred blending tank. The effects of noise, disturbances, and different excitations on the performance of this algorithm were studied through these simulations. The simulations have been performed first on a steady state system and then applied to a dynamic system .Based on the results obtained for the dynamic system, some modifications have been done in the algorithm to further improve the prediction performance when the system is in dynamic state. Future work includes implementing of the MATLAB based predictive modeling technique to real production data, assessing the performance of the algorithm and to compare with the performance for simulated data.



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