This ain't your daddy's dixie: explaining partisan change in southern U.S. House elections, 1988-2004

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2005
Authors
McKee, Seth Charles
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I seek to explain partisan change in southern U.S. House races from 1988 to 2004. Partisan change over this span of elections is characterized by the ascendancy of the Republican party. I contend that the Republican takeover of the southern House delegation is due to a combination of three interrelated factors: (1) increasing Republican identification among white southerners, (2) redistricting, and (3) the emergence of viable Republican candidates. In the extant literature, these factors are often analyzed separately, but these factors are complementary and each is necessary to account for partisan change in southern congressional elections. I test my explanation for partisan change by constructing micro- and macro-level statistical models that assess the partisan electoral effects of structural and behavioral factors in southern U.S. House elections.

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