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dc.creatorRen, Diandongen_US
dc.creatorFu, Rongen_US
dc.creatorLeslie, Lance M.en_US
dc.creatorDickinson, Robert E.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2016-10-28T19:50:43Z
dc.date.available2016-10-28T19:50:43Z
dc.date.issued2011-02en_US
dc.identifierdoi:10.15781/T2W950R1G
dc.identifier.citationRen, Diandong, Rong Fu, Lance M. Leslie, and Robert E. Dickinson. "Predicting storm-triggered landslides." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 92, No. 2 (Feb., 2011): 129.en_US
dc.identifier.issn0003-0007en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2152/43208
dc.description.abstractPREDICTING STORM-TRIGGERED LANDSLIDES An overview of storm-triggered landslides is presented. Then a recently developed and extensively verified landslide modeling system is used to illustrate the importance of two important but presently overlooked mechanisms involved in landslides. The model's adaptive design makes the incorporation of new physical mechanisms convenient. For example, by implementing a land surface scheme that simulates macropore features of fractured sliding material in the draining of surface ponding, it explains. why precipitation intensity is critical in triggering catastrophic landslides. Based on this model, the authors made projections of landslide occurrence in the upcoming 10 years over a region of Southern California, using atmospheric parameters provided by a high-resolution climate model under a viable emission future scenario. Current global coupled ocean atmosphere climate model (CGCM) simulations of precipitation, properly interpreted, provide valuable information to guide studies of storm-triggered landslides. For the area of interest, the authors examine changes in recurrence frequency and spatial distribution of storm-triggered landslides. For some locations, the occurrences of severe landslides (i.e., those with a sliding mass greater than 10(4) m(3)) are expected to increase by similar to 5% by the end of the twenty-first century. The authors also provide a perspective on the ecosystem consequences of an increase in storm-triggered mudslides. For single plants, the morphological features required for defense against extreme events-and those required to maximize growth and reproduction are at odds. Natural selection has resulted in existing plants allocating just enough resources to cope with natural hazards under a naturally varying climate. Consequently, many plant species are not prepared for the expected large changes in extremes caused by anthropogenic climate changes in the present and future centuries.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipNSF AGS-0937400en_US
dc.language.isoEnglishen_US
dc.relation.ispartofen_US
dc.rightsAdministrative deposit of works to Texas ScholarWorks: This works author(s) is or was a University faculty member, student or staff member; this article is already available through open access or the publisher allows a PDF version of the article to be freely posted online. The library makes the deposit as a matter of fair use (for scholarly, educational, and research purposes), and to preserve the work and further secure public access to the works of the University.en_US
dc.subjectcontiguous united-statesen_US
dc.subjectdebris flowsen_US
dc.subjecthydrological cycleen_US
dc.subjectclimate-changeen_US
dc.subjectmodelen_US
dc.subjectextremesen_US
dc.subjectrainfallen_US
dc.subjectprecipitationen_US
dc.subject21st-centuryen_US
dc.subjectsystemen_US
dc.subjectmeteorology & atmospheric sciencesen_US
dc.titlePredicting Storm-Triggered Landslidesen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.description.departmentGeological Sciencesen_US
dc.rights.restrictionOpenen_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1175/2010bams3017.1en_US
dc.contributor.utaustinauthorDickinson, Robert E.en_US
dc.relation.ispartofserialBulletin of the American Meteorological Societyen_US


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