Browsing by Subject "Omicron variant"
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Item Omicron scenario projections for the Austin-Round Rock MSA(2022-01) Bouchnita, Anass; Fox, Spencer J.; Lachmann, Michael; Herrera-Diestra, Jose L.; Gibson, Graham; Meyers, Lauren AncelThe ongoing COVID-19 surge is straining healthcare systems in the Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan area. As of January 21, 2022, COVID-19 hospital admissions have reached record numbers and the total number of COVID-19 patients in hospitals and ICUs continue to rise. To support response efforts and public risk awareness, we used a data-driven mathematical model to simulate the continued spread of the Omicron variant in the Austin-Round Rock MSA area from January 22, 2022 to June 21, 2022 under four plausible scenarios. Our projections suggest that the 7-day rolling average of reported new cases in the five-county MSA likely peaked on January 9, 2022 at a value 6,109.