Browsing by Subject "B.1.1.7 variant"

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    Potential impacts of statewide relaxation of COVID-19 policies, the B.1.1.7 variant, and vaccination in Austin - March 2021
    (2021-03) Lachmann, Michael; Fox, Spencer J.; Woody, Spencer; Johnson, Kaitlyn; Meyers, Lauren Ancel
    To support public health decision-making and healthcare planning, we developed a model for the five-county Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area (henceforth Austin​) that can provide real-time estimates of the prevalence and transmission rate of COVID-19 and project healthcare needs into the future. The model incorporates key epidemiological characteristics of the disease, demographic information for Austin, and local mobility data from anonymized cell phone traces. It uses daily COVID-19 hospitalization data to estimate the changing transmission rate and prevalence of disease. The framework can be readily applied to provide pandemic situational awareness and short-term healthcare projections in other cities around the US. In this report, we use COVID-19 hospitalization data for Austin from March 13, 2020 to March 5, 2021 to estimate the state of the pandemic in early March and project hospitalizations up to June of 2021.
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    Supplementary Material to "Early estimates of SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 variant emergence in a university setting"
    (2021-02) Johnson, Kaitlyn; Woody, Spencer; Lachmann, Michael; Fox, Spencer J.; Klima, Jessica; Hines, Terrance S.; Meyers, Lauren Ancel