Center for Pandemic Decision Science

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Browsing Center for Pandemic Decision Science by Subject "b.1.1.7 variant"

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    Early introductions and projections of the B.1.1.7 SARS-CoV-2 variant at the University of Texas at Austin
    (2021-02) Johnson, Kaitlyn; Woody, Spencer; Pasco, Remy; Matsui, Cameron; Lachmann, Michael; Fox, Spencer J.; Meyers, Lauren Ancel
    Recent identification of the highly transmissible novel SARS-CoV-2 variant in the UK (B.1.1.7) has raised concerns for renewed pandemic surges around the globe [1]. While this variant has only recently been identified in the United States, it has been predicted to become dominant as early as March of 2021 [2]. Starting in January of 2021, the University of Texas at Austin (UT) began sequencing positive SARS-CoV-2 specimens to accelerate the detection of novel variants. An estimated 390 to 1,000 University of Texas at Austin (UT) students arrived in Austin infected with SARS-CoV-2 at the start of the spring semester (January 2021) [3]. Some of these cases may have been infected with novel variants [4,5]. Given that UT recently confirmed its first cases of the B.1.1.7 variant among students, we conducted a rapid risk assessment to estimate the prevalence and future spread of the variant within the UT community.
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    Emergence of the B.1.1.7 SARS-CoV-2 variant at the University of Texas at Austin - March 5, 2021
    (2021-03) Johnson, Kaitlyn; Woody, Spencer; Pasco, Remy; Matsui, Cameron; Lachmann, Michael; Fox, Spencer J.; Meyers, Lauren Ancel
    Recent identification of the highly transmissible novel SARS-CoV-2 variant in the UK (B.1.1.7) has raised concerns for renewed pandemic surges around the globe [1]. While this variant has only recently been identified in the United States, it has been predicted to become dominant as early as March of 2021 [2]. Starting in January of 2021, the University of Texas at Austin (UT) began sequencing positive SARS-CoV-2 specimens to accelerate the detection of novel variants. An estimated 390 to 1,000 University of Texas at Austin (UT) students arrived in Austin infected with SARS-CoV-2 at the start of the spring semester (January 2021) [3]. Some of these cases may have been infected with novel variants [4,5]. Given that UT had confirmed via sequencing 22 cases of the B.1.1.7 variant among students as of March 5th, we conducted a rapid risk assessment to estimate the prevalence and future spread of the variant within the UT community.