TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW VOL. XXXVII, NO. 4 APRIL 1963 Editor: Stanley A. Arbingast I Associate Editor: Francis B. May I Managing Editor: James J. Kelly CONTENTS 77: THE BUSINESS SITUATION IN TEXAS by Francis B. May 79: POPULATION ESTIMATES FOR TEXAS COUNTIES, 1961 and 1962 by Godfrey Baldwin and Betty Maynard 88: TEXAS BUILDING CONSTRUCTION IN FEBRUARY by Robert M. Lockwood 89: TEXAS RETAIL TRADE by James J . Kelly 91 : LOCAL BUSINESS CONDITIONS BUSINESS RESEARCH COUNCIL John Arch White, Dean of the College of Business Admin­istration (ex offici,o); John R. Stockton; Jim G. Ashburne, Jessamon Dawe, Stephen L. McDonald, E. W. Mumma, David C. Townsend, and W. T. Tucker. COOPERATING FACULTY Charles T. C"lark: Associate Professor of Business Sta­tistics Robert H. Ryan: Special Instructor in Business Commu­nications Kornelis J. Walraven: Assistant Professor of Finance The Bureau of Business Research is a member of the Associated University Bureaus of Business and Economic Research Puhli:-;hf'.'d month!y by thr. Bureau of Ilushe:•:~ Re~earch, Culler.r.c of BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH Director: John R. Stockton Associate Director and Resources Specialist : Stanley A Arbingast Assistant to the Director: Florence Escott Statistician: Francis B. May Administrative Assistant: Juanita Hammons Research Associate: Charles 0. Bettinger, Alfred G. Dale, Marie Fletcher, James J. Kelly, Ida M. Lambeth, Robert M. Lockwood, Margaret Paulissen, Elizabeth R. Turpin Research Assistant: Stanley Ault, Rick P. Fisher, Sneed Lary, Theodore ten Broeke Administrative Secretary: Margaret F. Smith Senior Secretary: Elsa Acker Senior Clerk Typist: Linda Beard, Claire Howard, Elnora Mixson, Janet Redding Cartographer: Jo Ann Turk, Ellen Wray Library Assistant: Merle Danz Statistical Technician: Eva A. Arias Statistical .4ssistant: Mildred Anderson, Carol Laws, Gary Patterson Clerical Assistant : Mike Pettit, Diana Rausch Offset Press Operator: Robert Dorsett, Daniel P. Rosas Business Administration, The University of Texas. Au~tin 12. Second-cb!'R P0~1a1!~' pai:l at Au~tin, Texas. Con tent of thi::; pub1ication is not copyrighted and may be reproduced freely. Acknowledgment of source will be n11pr<·l'1:1~€d. S11Uscnption, $3.()0 a year; individual copies, 25 cents. AFTER RISING IN J ANUARY TO AN ALL-TI ME HIGH OF 138.3% of the 1957-59 monthly average value, the sea­sonally adjusted index of Texas business activity dropped 4% in February. At 132.8% of its base value, the index was 2% above its February 1962 level. The February index was still at a level exceeded in a few prior months, and all of these were within the past thirteen months. January and February values of the index were both above their corresponding 1962 values. During 1962 the index of Texas business activity main­tained a high level for the first eight months of the year but subsided slightly in the final four months. Taking this fact into account, the index still averaged 9% above 1961. Further, each month of 1962 was above the corresponding month of 1961. The pattern for 1963 seems somewhat similar to 1962 with a large rise at the beginning of the year. It remains to be seen whether the last of the year will repeat the 1962 pattern. If it does 1963 will be a good year for business in general but not an exceptional one. Our standards of comparison are influenced by the terrific rate of growth from 1946 to 1957. This was a period of satisfaction of pent-up World War II demand plus an added boost from the Korean War of several years' duration. Comparison with such an abnormal pe­riod is naturally disadvantageous to a more stable period of growth like the present. Miscellaneous freight carloadings in the Southwestern district rose 3% in February after seasonal adjustment. This is the second consecutive rise in the index after its December low. The rails are the backbone of our inter­state transportation system. Without them the country would be paralyzed economically. Their continued eco­nomic health is a matter of national concern. Seasonally adjusted production of crude petroleum in ihe state rose 1% in F ebruary. At 91.1 % of its 1957-;)9 monthly average value, the index was 1% below February 1962. The average value of the index for the first two months of this year was 90.7%, down 2.1% from the 92.6% average of the first two months of 1962. This com­parison is based on total monthly production for the months compared, not on daily average production. It is total production that, in the final analysis, is more im­portant than daily average production. Total production is the amount produced for sale in a month. Multiplied by unit price, it yields the value of the oil produced in a given month. This decline in the index suggests that Texas is not gaining ground. TEXAS BUSINESS ACTIVITY Index-Adjusted for seasonal variation-1957-1959=100 ..,_ APHIL 1963 Average daily crude oil production per well in Texas was 12.7 barrels in February compared with 13.0 barrels in February 1962. The Texas Railroad Commission set the April allowable at 28% of maximum permissible output. This is the same allowable as for March. Seasonally adjusted total electric power consumption increased 4% in February to a value of 140.8% of the 1957-59 monthly average. The index was 9% above its February 1962 level. In each of the past two months the index has advanced. Industrial electric power consumption also rose for the second consecutive month in February. At 130.1 % of the 1957-S9 average the seasonally adjusted index was 6% above January and also 6% above February 1962. Re­ports from the Edison Electric Institute indicate that a high rate of demand for power compared with 1962 has been recorded throughout the country. Cold weather in February caused a high demand for power for heating purposes. SELECTED BAROMETERS OF TEXAS BUSINESS (1957-59= 100) Percent change Index Feb. 1963 Jan 1963 Feb 1962 Feb 1%3 Feb 1963 from from J an 1963 Feb 1962 Texas business activity ..........132.8 138.3r 130.4 4 + 2 Miscellaneous freight carload­ ings in S.W. district . 75.8 73.5 77.3 + 2 Crude petroleum production . 91.1* 90.2 91.7r + Crude oil runs to stills.... . .. 111.5 113.1 106.5 -+ Total electric power consumption .140.8* 135.4r 128. 7r + 4 + 9 Industrial power consumption .... 130.1* 123.lr 122.8r + 6 + 6 Bank debits ..133.1 139.0 131.3 -4 + Ordinary life insurance sales .....131.1 117.7 109.4 + 11 + 20 Total retail sales. . . . . . .110.2* 113.4r 108.0r -3 2 + Durable-goods sales ...... . 112.4* 126.2r 108.lr -11 4 + Nondurable-goods sales .. .. ....109.1 * 106.8r 108.0r + 2 + 1 Urban building permits issued. . .139.5 120.6 107 .3 + 16 + 30 Residential ..... ..... 115.3 110.8 111.9 + 4 3 + Nonresidential .......175.9 137.8 94.8 + 28 + 86 Total industrial production.......114* 112r 111 + 2 s + Average weekly earnings­rnanufacturing ........... . ... . 110.4* 110.lr 110.5 ** •• Average weekly hours-manufacturing ....100.5• 99.5 101.5 + 1 -1 Adjusted for seasonal variation. *Preliminary. rRevised . ..Change is less than one-half of 1%. After dropping in December and January, seasonally adjusted sales of ordinary life insurance rose 11% to a value of 131.1 % of the 1957-59 base period. This was the second highest value on record for the index. It was 20% above February 1962. Resurgence of this kind of post­ponable expenditure indicates that many wage earners are betting there will be no recession this year. This is a positive indication of consumer confidence. Total retail sales declined in February after seasonal adjustment because of a drop in sales of durable goods. Sales of nondurables rose 2%. All indexes of retail sales were above their year-ago levels. Automobile sales were 10% above February of last year. Nationally, retail sales in February were up 0.2% from their record high in January, taking seasonal factors into account. February automobile output was up 12% over February 1962, giving a major assist to stee other basic industries. Car sales for January and ruary were 13.5% above the same period of 1962. ments of home appliances this year are expected to b above 1962. In the nondurables category, sales of : clothing have been good. Retailers believe that this tends an improved volume of Easter sales becaus1 man of the family is usually quick to postpone pure: of clothing when the economic outlook dims. INDEXES OF BUSINESS ACTIVITY, TWENTY SELECTED TEXAS CITIES (Adjusted for seasonal variation) City Abilene Amarillo Value of index (1957-59= 100) 1963 F eb J an ... 117.6 124.5 ..124.4 130.1 1962 F eb 127.6 123.3 Percent chan,., Feb 1963 Fel from fi J an 1963 Feb 6 + ' Austin ... 165.4 156.7 146.6 + +I' Beaumont .110.3 118.1 116.2 7 Corpus Christi .. 116.1 Corsicana ....116.7 Dallas ... ..149.9 108.3 116.6 150.2 112.5 106.1 155.9 + 7 •••• + + El Paso ..111.2 120.6 113.3 - 8 Fort Worth . . 113.9 114.9 113.0 - 1 + Galveston 94.2 107.6 101.7 -12 Houston Laredo . . 131.0 .. ... . 136.1 139.1 136.4 122.2 117.4 - 6 •• + +I Lubbock ......... . 141.2 165.4 130.3 -15 + Port Arthur 96.2 100.9 98.9 5 San Angelo .......111.5 121.3 108.0 8 + San Antonio ......131.9 139.4 121.7 5 + Texarkana .. . . .. 131. 7 144.6 121.7 9 + Tyler .... . . 114.0 123.4 112.7 8 + Waco ...... . 127.5 128.6 117.6 + Wichita Falls .....116.4 119.5 109.4 3 + **Change is less than one-half of 1%. The Bureau of Busines Research has utilized the ca· pabilities of the electronic digital computer to prepare in­dexes of business activity for a number of the larger cities in the state. These indexes are based upon season· ally adjusted bank debits corrected for price variation. A compilation of these indexes for January and February and the percentage changes is shown in the accompany· ing table. These figures should be interpreted with caution. Small­er geographical areas are subject to wider erratic swings from month-to-month than larger ones. A city at a high level of activity in 1957-59 might show a slower rate of growth than a city at a lower level in the base period simply because of the difference in base period levels. Each monthly figure is a percentage of the average month in the base period. The best use of the data is in showing the long-term growth of an individual city. As time goes by, trends should be revealed. It is apparent from the table that most cities in February had levels of business activity that were above February 1962. Austin and Corpus Christi were the only ones showing improvement over January. Corsicana, Dallas, and Laredo held at their January levels. The others showed declines of varying magnitudes. It was this preponderance of declines that caused the drop in the index of Texas business activity. The general outlook for business in the state and na­tion favors a continuation of current conditions of high level prosperity with modest growth. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Population Estimates For Texas Counties, 1961 and 1962 by Godfrey Baldwin and Betty Maynard Research Associates, Population Research Center Department of Sociology, University of Texas )PULATION ESTIMATES AND RELATED GROWTH FIGl'RES ·'each of the 254 counties in Texas for 1961 and 1962 e been compiled in this second in a series of studies the subject conducted by the Population Research 1ter.1 The new estimates are based on a formula which 1 substantial improvement over that used to make the 11 estimates. A detailed description of the method ployed in making the estimates is given at the end this article. Briefly, the method is a variation on a formula widely ed by the U. S. Bureau of the Census, in which natural crease (excess of births over deaths) between the last deral census and the estimate date is added to an esti­ate of net migration2 over the period to obtain a total rowth figure. The total growth figure is then added to 1e population enumerated in the last federal census to >tain the estimate. The crucial element in the procedure described above s the estimation of net migration. Stated briefly, the >rocedure involves an estimate of the net migration of -esident scholastics between the last federal census and . :he estimate date. Such an estimate can be derived from lata on persons counted in the scholastic census, which is taken annually in each county. Any increase or de­crease in resident scholastics beyond the number attrib­utable to deaths or aging (change in the n um her of scho­lastics due to five-year-olds entering the scholastic age range, 6 to 17 inclusive, and the seventeen-year-olds leav­ing the scholastic category) is indicative of net migra­tion of persons 6 to 17 years of age. It is difficult to attempt to estimate total net migration (i.e., migrants of all ages) from knowledge of the net migration of resident scholastics. For example, what is the total net migration for a county when the net migration of resident scholastics over a period is 100? The only way to answer this question is to compute a "migration multiplier." How­ever, a migration multiplier, the ratio of total net mi­gration to scholastic net migration, is difficult to deter­mine and, in fact, it can never be determined with any degree of certainty. This is true because the ratio may vary from time to time and from one county to the next. At the time the 1961 population estimates were made, there was not sufficient information on migration in Texas counties to derive a migration multiplier in a rigorous and systematic way. Consequently, it was neces­sary to select a figure that would yield a very conserva­tive estimate of migration and avoid extreme over­estimates or underestimates. The result was probably to underestimate the total population growth in some coun­ties and to underestimate population loss in others. The completion of an extensive investigation of migra­tion in Texas counties over the 1930-60 decade has helped to derive a much more realistic migration multiplier. Giv­en knowledge of the total net migration in a county o\·er the decade3 and an estimate of the net migration of resi­dent scholastics, a comparison of these two numbers pro­vides a basis for determining the migration multiplier. This approach to the problem does not guarantee a high degree of accuracy, but it is definitely far superior to the method employed in making the 1961 estimates. For that reason the new formula has been used to compute revised 1961 population estimates as well as 1962 figures. It must be stressed that all methods and formulas for making population estimates are subject to question. In this instance it can only be said that the results of ex­tensive research on the problem indicate that the present method is superior to all alternatives.4 Population Trends Table 1, beginning on page 85, shows the population size and related growth figures for Texas counties over the years 1960, 1961, and 1962 (19.50-60, 1960-61, 1961-62 for the growth figure) . Rather than concentrate on in­dividual counties, the analysis of Table 1 will focus on the over-all features of population trends in the state. The state as a whole. Despite losses in numerous coun­ties, the population for the state increased at a substantial rate over the year 1950-62, as the figures below reveal. Texas Population size 1960 census ............. . .. 9,579,677 1961 revised estimate .. 9,768,138 1962 estimate ............. . . . . 9,978,146 Average annual growth 1950-60 census figures 186,848 1960-61 revised estimate 188,461 1961-62 estimate 210,008 1960-62 estimate 199,235 Average annual percent growth 1950-60 census figures 2.2% 1960-61 revised estimate ........ . 1.9% 1961-62 estimate 2.1% 1960-62 estimate 2.0% Population gro"·th in absobte 1rnrnhers for the state as a whole has conformed to a particular pattern. From one period to the next the average annual increase; has APRIL 1963 Gain Loss Gain Loss Gain Gain ............ ~Gain Gain Gain been greater consistently. Thus, the l!JG0-61 figure ex­ceeds the 19GO-GO figure by less than 2,000, while the 19Gl-G2 inrrease exceeds that for 1960-61 by over 20,000. The average annual percent growth of population in the state was somewhat less during l!JG0-61 than it was during either 19ii0-GO or l!rnl-62. !IO\\·ever, the slight clifferenres in rates for the three periods indicate that the population of the state has continued to grow at a fairly stable rate. l\Torcovcr, t~1e rate in each period is well aho\·e the 1w.tional average. J\lctropolilrin pop1tlation. Table 2 shows 1!)50-62 popu­lation and related growth figures for the 21 Texas Stand­ ard Metropolitan Statistical Areas (SMSA's) .n Again, the analysis will focus on over-all trends rather than individual units. As the fiP-ures shown below reveal, the growth of popu­lation in the Texas SMSA's over the 1950-62 period was not as stable as it was for the state as a whole. Texas Standard Metropolitan Statistical Areas Total population .. 6,072,706 1960 census . 6,237,696 1961 revised estimate . 6,412,358 1962 estimate TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Average annual growth 1950-60 census figures ........ . .. . . 180,526 1960-61 revised estimate ....... . 164,990 1961-62 estimate 174,662 1960-62 estimate .... 169,826 Average annual percent growth 1950-60 census figures 3.5% 1960-61 revised estimate 2.7% 1961-62 estimate 2.8% 1960-62 estimate 2.7% In fact, the average annual growth of the total SMSA population in absolute numbers was considerably different from that of the state. Average annual growth over the 1950-60 decade was larger than that for either 1960-61 or 1961-62, although the increase was somewhat greater during 1961-62 than during 1960-61. The average annual 1960-62 increase was over 10,000 persons less than the corresponding number for the 1950-60 decade. From a relatively high growth rate of 3.5% for the metropolitan population over the 1950-60 decade, rates for 1960-61 and 1961-62 dropped to 2.7% and 2.8%, respectively. A comparison of the growth rate over the 1950-60 decade with that for 1960-62 shows that the growth rate for the SMSA's as a whole has been much slower in the first two years of the present decade. One feature of population growth in the 21 Texas SMSA's that is not revealed in the above summary figures is the difference in growth rates among the SMSA's. Most of the SMSA's gained population in each of the three periods (1950-60, 1960-61, and 1961-62); however, there are some definite exceptions. One S'.\ISA lost population between 1950 and 1960 while 15 of the other S:\lSA's had positive average annual growth rates of 2.0';~ or more. Between 1960 and 1961 three S:\ISA 's lost population, ancl 12 SMSA's had positit·c a\·erage annual growth rates of more than 2.0%. Three S.:IISA's also lost population be­tween 1961 and 1962, while 11 had a positfre growth rate of more than 2.0%. As for extremely high rates, six SMSA's grew at an aYerage annual rate of 4.0 7<: or more between 1950 and 1960, but the corresponding number is five for 1960-61 and only three for 1961-62. The aboYe ob­servations suggest that in recent years the rate of popula­tion growth has declined in the majority of S.:IISA 's. The exceptions are Austin, San Angelo, San Antonio, Texa1·­kana, Tyler, and Wichita Falls. Another interesting fact is that the three S.:IISA's which lost population during 1960-61 actually gained be­tween 1961 and 1962, and the three S.:IISA's that lost population during 1961-62 gained between 1960 and 1961. This indicates that growth trends in some of the S.:IISA's were rather unstable between 1960 and 1962. As an oYer­all summary statement, the rate of population growth in the Texas S'.\1SA's has declined somewhat, and the grO\\·th trends in some of the S.:IISA's have been Yery erratic. Loss and gain of population in counties. The summary figures on population loss and gain presented in Table 3 show a trend toward a large number of counties gaining population and a smaller number of counties losing onr the periods 1950-60, 1960-61, and 1961-62. Thus, during 1950-60, 143 counties lost population, while the correspond­ing figure for 1960-61 was 114, and for 1961-62 it was 90. Table 1962 P OPULATION ESTIMATES, 1961 POPULATION ESTIMATES, 1960 CENSUS POPULATION, AND RELATED GROWTH FIGURES FOR TEXAS STANDARD METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREAS• Population size Average annual growth Average annual percent growth Standard Metropolitan Statistical Areas 1960 census Revised 1961 estimate 1962 estimate 1950­60 Re­vised es-timate 1960­61 Es-timate 1961­62 E s-timate 1960­62 1950­60 Re­vised es-timate 1960­61 Es-timate 1961­62 Es-timate 1960­62 Abilene' 120,377 125,321 128,683 3,486 4,944 3,362 4,153 3.4 4.0 2.6 3.3 Amari1Jo2 149,493 160,743 163,276 6,235 11,250 2,533 6,892 5.3 7.3 1.6 4.4 Austin3 212,136 218,071 226,176 5,116 5,935 8,105 7,020 2.7 2.8 3.6 3.2 Beaumont-Port Arthur• 306,016 310,868 316,769 7,037 4,852 5,901 5,377 2.6 1.6 1.9 1.7 Brownsville-Harlingen- San Benito• 151,098 152,193 149,306 2,593 1,095 -2,887 -896 1.9 0.7 -1.9 --0.6 Corpus Christi' 221,573 218,999 219,640 5,610 -2,574 641 -967 2.9 -1.2 0.3 -0.4 Dallas' 1,083,601 1.113,359 1,152,215 34,010 29,758 38,856 34,307 3.7 2.7 3.4 3.1 El Paso• 314,070 323,588 338,467 11,910 9,518 14,879 12,199 4.7 3.0 4.5 3.7 Fort Worth' 573,215 578,960 585,253 18,057 5,745 6,293 6,019 3.7 1.0 1.1 1.0 Galveston-Texas City10 140,364 142,314 145,652 2,730 1,950 3,338 2,644 2.2 1.4 2.3 1.8 Houstonu 1,243,158 1,288,449 1,347,816 43,646 45,291 59,367 52,329 4.3 3.6 4.5 4.0 Laredo" Lubbock" Midland" Odessa" 64,791 156,271 67,717 90,995 66,109 161,646 68,128 88,419 66, 104 166,417 68,445 89,961 865 5,522 4,193 4,889 1,318 5,375 411 -2,576 -5 4,771 317 1,542 657 5,073 364 -517 1.4 4.3 9.0 7.3 2.0 3.4 0.6 -2.9 0.0 2.9 0.5 1.7 1.0 3.1 0.5 --0.6 San Angelo" 64,680 67,320 70,175 570 2,690 2,855 2,773 0.9 4.1 4.2 4.1 San Antonio1T Texarkana, Texasts Tyler" Waco'° Wichita Falls" 687,151 59,971 86,850 150,091 129,638 716,491 59,789 88,679 152,075 136,175 736,250 61, 155 90,271 150,999 139,328 18,669 -200 1,165 1,990 2,433 29,340 -182 2,329 1,984 6,537 19,759 1,366 1,592 -1,076 3,153 24,550 592 1,961 454 4,845 3.1 --0.3 1.4 1.4 2.1 4.2 --0.3 2.7 1.3 4.9 2.7 2.3 1.8 -0.7 2.3 3.4 1.0 2.2 0.3 3.6 •Estimates and census figures are for April 1 of each year. Counties in each Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area: 1Jones and Taylor; 'Collin, Dallas, Denton and Ellis; " Webb; 17Bexar; "Lubbock; 18Bowie (Miller county, Arkansas, excluded); 'Potter and Randall; 8El Paso; 'Travis; •Tarrant and Johnson; "Midland; 19Smith ; "'Ector; 20McLennan; 'Jefferson and Orange; "Galveston; 16Tom Green; "Archer and Wichita. riCameron; Uffarris; "Nueces; APRIL 1963 Expressed otherwise, the percent of the counties which gained population has increased as follows: 1950-60, 43.7; l!JGO-Gl, 55 .1; l!J61-G2, 64.6. Further study of Table 3 re­veals that counties which have been consistent gainers or consistent losers are in the minority. For example, only 29 counties lost population consistently during each of the three periods, and only 62 gained consistently. From one period to the next, then, gains and losses for individual counties have been erratic. Geo.rrraphical variation. The accompanying map reveals ~ome interesting pattems in the geographical distribu- Table 3 DISTRIBUTION OF TEXAS COUNTIES AS TO LOSS OR GAIN OF POPULATION, 1950-1962 1960-1961 Loss Gain 1961-1962 1961-1962 Loss Gain Loss Gain Total 1950­1960 Loss 29 52 25 37 143 Gain 20 13 16 62 111 Total 49 65 41 99 254 I tered throughout South, West-Central, and West-North­Central Texas. Farming and ranching are the predominant economic activities in most of the counties which lost. Twenty counties gained population between 1950 and 1960 but lost during both 1960-61 and 1961-62. Ten of these counties are located in the Permian Basin between Crockett County on the south and Cochran County on the north; the other ten counties are widely scattered. Many of the counties, including those in the Permian Basin that gained during 1950-60 but lost during 1960-61 and 1961­62, are highly dependent on oil extraction. Table 4 DISTRIBUTION OF TEXAS COUNTIES ACCORDING TO ESTIMATED AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH IN ABSOLUTE NUMBERS, 1950-1962 Number of counties by years Growth in absolute numbers 1950-60 1960-61 1961-62 1960-62 -3,000 to -1,000 0 3 2 - 999 to -500 8 18 10 - 499 to -250 30 21 23 19 -249 to - 125 41 33 21 26 - 124 to O 64 39 39 40 0 to 124 28 33 51 64 125 to 249 18 24 31 so 250 to 499 22 33 30 82 500 to 999 18 22 23 17 1,000 to 4,999 16 19 23 18 5,ooo+ 9 9 Total 254 254 254 264 tion of counties classified as to gain or loss of population dul'ing the three periods. The 62 counties that gained population in each of the three periods are widely scattered, but they do tend to concentrate in three areas. Eighteen of the 62 are lo­cated on the High Plains stretching from Midland and Howard counties on the southern edge to Hartley, Hans­ford, and Ochiltree counties in the Panhandle, with a cluster of 11 counties between Hartley and Lubbock coun­ties. Another 17 counties in this category are located along a broken belt stretching from Maverick County on the Rio Grande to Cooke and Grayson counties on the Red lliver, with a cluster of eight counties on the northern end around Tarrant, Dallas, and Denton counties. The thi J'(l major concentration of consistently gaining counties is located along the Gulf between Bee and Aransas coun­ties and the Sabine River. There are 18 counties in this gl'oup, and most of them are clustered around Harris and .TefTe!'son counties. The remaining nine counties in the category of consistently gaining counties are scattered in various parts of the state. Several of these counties are metropolitan counties-El Paso, Tom Green, Taylor, Wichita, and Smith. For that matter, many of the con­centrntions of consistently gaining counties have a metro­politan focus. For example, most of the state's large cities, including-Houston, Dallas, San Antonio, and Fort Worth, are located in counties that gained population in each of the three periods. Of the 29 counties that Jost population in each period o\·er half (18) are located in two areas of the state­Centrnl and East Texas. The largest concentration is located in Central Texas, centered around Milam, Lee, and Bu!'leson counties, but a smaller group is also located in East Texas on the Louisiana border around Harrison Count,·. The !'est of the counties in this category are scat­ Thirty-seven counties lost population during 1950-60 but gained during 1960-61 and 1961-62; and 52 counties lost during 1950-60 and 1960-61 but gained during 1961-62. These groups are similar in that both lost population during 1950-60 but have gained since 1960 or 1961; there­fore, they are combined in the analysis of their geographi­cal distribution. There are clusters of these counties in almost every section of the state, but they are especially numerous in North-East Texas (between Bosque County and Bowie County) and in an area stretching from the Edwards Plateau in Central Texas to the Red River in West-North-Central Texas. Although no statistics have been computed, it appears that on the average these coun­ties still have a fairly high proportion of the labor force in agriculture but not as high as the proportion in the consistently gaining counties in the Panhandle. Of the 13 counties that gained population during 1950­60, lost during 1960-61, but gained again during 1961-62, eight are located in the western half of the state. The 25 counties that lost in 1950-60, gained in 1960-61, but lost again in 1961-62, are scattered throughout the state, al­though there are small clusters in the Big Bend, Edwards Plateau, and the Panhandle. Most of the counties in which the 1960-61 change was different from both 1950-60 and 1961-62 are farming or ranching counties. Finally, the 16 counties that gained in 1950-60 and 1960-61 but lost in 1961-62 are more widely scattered than any other type. Four of this group are metropolitan counties. Amount of growth in absolute numbers. Despite the shift from more losing to more gaining counties over the three periods ( 1950-60, 1960-61, 1961-62), the relative size of the population changes remained rather stable. From Table 4 it can be seen that about two-thirds of the counties with a declining population lost Jess than 250 persons in all three periods. Population increases were also concentrated in a narrow range, with about one-half of the gaining counties increasing no more than 230 per­sons; but increases of over 1,000 persons were much more numerous than were losses of such a magnitude. Two statements summarize the patterns in Table 4. First, in each of the periods the cases of extremely large increases in population far outnumber cases of extremely large losses. And, second, the distribution of counties by amount of loss or gain is very similar for each of the three periods. Percent growth. There are two significant growth pat­terns shown in Table 5. First, in each period, the counties with extremely high positive growth rates (5.0% or more) far outnumber counties with extremely high negatiue growth rates. Second, the difference between the number of counties with extremely high positive growth rates and the number with extremely high negative growth rates has increased consistently over the three periods. These patterns suggest that extreme changes in population are most likely to appear in the form of a gain in population rather than a loss and increasingly so in recent years. However, it must be noted that the 1960-61 and 1961-62 figures reveal only shortrun trends. It is too early to fore­cast whether the growth pattern of the 1960's will be fundamentally different from the 1950-60 decade. The Estimation Formula and Related Problems The 1961 and 1962 population estimates7 shown in Table 1 are based on the following formula: M=L+ [(H)(I)] + (J-K) Each variable in this formula is described below: A= Number of potential scholastics for year X. For ex­ ample, the potential scholastics for 1962 (year X in this case) are persons 4-15 enumerated in the Hl60 federal census, and for 1967 it will be persons born during 1960, plus persons 0-11 enumerated in the 1960 federal census. B =Number of potential scholastics dying bet,,·een birth or 1960 and year X. If A is a particular potential 1 scholastic cohort, subtract the number of deaths of Apersons up to year X. For exarnp1e, suppose 1 A, is persons 2 years of age in the 1960 federal census and X is 1964. Then the deaths of A, is the number of persons two years of age who died in 1960, plus the number three years of age who died in 1961, plus four-year-olds who died dm·ing 1962, plus five-year-olds who died during 19G3. B is thus the number in cohort A dying between 19GO and 196~l 1 (inclusive), plus the number in A. dying bet\\'een 1960 and 1963, etc. ­C=Number of persons 6-17 enumeraterl in the 1%0 federal census. D=A-B (two decimal places). --C­ E =Number of persons enumerated in scholastic census for 1960. F = D X E (whole number), g1v111g expected number of scholastics in year X with no net migration of scholastics. G=Actual number of scholastics enumerated in scholastic census for year X. H== G -F, the increase or decrease of scholastics at­tributable to migration. APRIL l!lrs is computed on the basis of the formula: P., = (P, -P,) /T, where P11 is the avernge annual growth in absolute numbers, p is the popula­ tion size at the beginning of the period, P, is the population size at the end of the period, and T is the number of years in the period. The average annual percent growth (Pr) is computed as follows: (P,-P,)/T Pr ~ --·-------100. Thh~ formula gives a much more realistic : .$ 2,559 - 2 6 Annual rate of depQSit turnover..... . 10.2 -18 Annual rate of deposit turnover. 7.6 - 14 - 8 BONHAM (pop. 7,357) Bank debits (thousands) ..... . . . . . . . . $ End-of-month deposits ( thousando) i . .$ Annual rate of del><>6it turnover.... 7,142 7,775 10.9 -14 -3 -12 + 7 + + CANYON (pop. 5,864) Building permits, less federal contract. $ Bank debit" (thousands) .. ... . . . . . . . S End-of-month deposits (thousands)l. . $ Annual rate of deposit turnover.. ... . 65,750 6,303 6,900 10.8 -24 -16 -3 -16 + 14 4 + 8 6 TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Local Business Conditions Percent change Feb 1963 Feb 1963 Feb from from City and item 1963 Jan 1963 Feb 1962 CARROLLTON (pop. 4,242) Postal receipts• ....................S 6,334 -11 + 45 Building permits, lees federal contracla S 166,000 -59 -64 Bank debits (thousands) ..... . .......S 5,238 -14 + 41 End-of-month deposits (thousands) i ..$ 3,284 + 2 + 32 Annual rate of deposit turnover. . ... . 19.3 -11 + 7 CISCO (pop. 4,499) Postal receipts• .. ... . ..............S 4,116 -31 - 5 Bank debits (thousands) . .. ..........S 3,373 9 + 10 End-of-month deposits (thousandali. . $ 3,842 + 1 - 1 Annual rate of deposit turnover .. . .. . 10.6 7 + 12 CLEBURNE (pop. 15,381) Retail aales General merchandise stores........ . Postal receipts• . . ......... ..... ....S Building permits, lees federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) . . ...........$ End-of-month deposits (thousandsJi..$ Annual rate of deposit turnover..... . Employment (area) ............... . Manufacturing employment (area) . Percent unemployed (area) . .. . ... . -12t 14,183 79,321 10,975 12,083 10.9 216,700 50,675 5.3 -21 + 4 -39 + 7 -38 -34 -22 + 9 •• + 6 -19 + + •• - 4 + 4 CLUTE (pop. 4,501) Postal receipts• . .... . ..............S 1,975 - 16 - 7 Bank debits (thousands) .... . ..... . .. S 1,614 - 11 End-of-month deposits (thousands) i . .$ 1,465 1 5 An11ual rate of depoeit turnover . . . 13.1 2 - 7 COLLEGE STATION (pop. 11,39G) Postal receipts• ................... .S 20,821 Building permits, lees federal contracts $ 614,060 Bank debits (thousands) ... . .........S 3,726 End-of-month deposits (thouaandsli..S 3,084 Annual rate of depoalt turnover..... . 14.7 COLORADO CITY (pop. 6,457) Retail aales Lumber, buildlnir material, and hardware atores....... .. ... . + 16t Pootal receipts• .. ..................S 5,008 Bank debits (thousands) . . ....... . ...S 5,473 End-of-month deposits (thousanda) i .. $ 6,652 Annual rate of depoalt tnrnover... . . . 9.5 COPPERAS COVE (pop. 4,567) Pootal receipts• .. . .................S 3,985 Building permits, leas federal contracts $ 61,200 Bank debits (thouaands) ..... ........S 1,291 End-of-month deposits (thouaanda) i . .S 1,121 Annual rate of depoelt turnover..... . 14.2 CORPUS CHRISTI (pop. 184,163r) &.!tail aalea -3t Apparel stores ..... ......... ..... . -20t Automotive stores .... . . ......... . + 17t General merchandise stores. ... .... . -12t Lumber, bulldlnir material, and hardware at.ores. . . . . . . . . . . . . + 16t Pootal receipts• ....................S 200, l 06 Building permits, leao federal contracts $ 1,864,066 Bank debits (thouaanda) . . ......... . . S 202,992 End-of-month deposits (thousandsli..S 113,693 Annual rate of depoait turnover...... 21.1 Employment (area) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67,900 Manufacturlnir employment (area) 8,840 Percent unemployed (area) ... . . . . . . . 5.7 APRIL 1963 -29 + 16 +1266 +2814 -17 -5 + 3 + 14 -16 -14 + 5 -14 -35 -13 -23 - 8 -21 + + 7 + 69 -76 -83 -28 + 20 + 6 + 25 -24 -5 Local Business Conditions Percent change Feb 1963 Feb 1963 Feb from from City and item 1963 Jan 1963 Feb 1 06~ CORSICANA (pop. 20,344) Postal receipts• . . .. . .... . ..........$ 22,499 - 7 + 28 Bank debits (thousands) .............$ 17,169 - 22 + End-of-month depoeits (thousands}i..$ 21,015 - 1 + 5 Annual rate of deposit turnover. ... . . 9.7 - 20 + 3 Nonagricultural placements . ....... . 113 - 12 -38 CRYSTAL CITY (pop. 9,101) Postal receipts• ...... . ....... . .....S 3,267 - 31 + 6 Building permits, leso federal contracts $ 25,500 - 52 -41 Bank debits (thousands) ... .... . .....$ 2,651 - 25 + 8 End-of-month depoeits (thousands) i ..$ Annual rate of deposit tnrnover..... 3,124 10.1 -- 1 26 + 13 •• DALLAS (pop. 679,684) Retail saleo - 4t Apparel stores -20t Automot ive stores .. + 4t Eating and drinking places ....... . Florists .. . .. ...... .. ............ . - St ••t Food otores .. . .. . . . ........ . ..... . St Furniture and hou.oehold appliance stores 9t Gasoline and service stations . 5t General merchandise stores. st Lumber, bu ilding material. and hardware otorea.........•... + 4t Office, store, and achoo! supply dealers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4t + 11 + 26 Post.al receipt&• .... . ...... . ........$ 2,714,186 Building permits, leas federal contract.. $35,046,589 Bank debits (thousands) . . S 3,289,547 End-of-month deposits (thousands>i.. $ 1,268,650 Annual rate of deposit tnrnover. ..... 30.7 Employment (area) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 475,800 Manufacturing employment (area). 105,275 P ercent unemployed (area) . . . . . 4.3 DEER PARK (pop. 4,865) Postal receipt..• ...... : . . ...........S Building permits, leas federal contract.. $ Bank debits (thousands) . . ...........$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) i ..$ Annual rate of depoalt tnrnover.. .. . . DEL RIO (pop. 18,612) Retail sales Lumber, building material. and hardware stores............ . Postal receipts• .............. . .....S Building permits. leas federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) . S End-of-month deposits (thousands) i . .$ Annual rate of depooit turnover..... . DENISON (pop. 22,748) Retail sales Automotive stores Post.al receipts• ... ... .. ... .........• Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) ....... . .....$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) i ..$ Annual rate of deposit tnrnover . Nonagricultural placements ..... DONNA (pop. 7,522) Postal receipts• .... ............ .. ..S Building permits, leso federal contracto $ Bank debits (thousands) S End-of-month deposits (thousands) i $ Annual rate of depooit tnrnover 4,139 141,800 4,584 2,217 24.6 + 16t 14,1:;0 159.~82 10,780 14,428 8.9 + 17t 20,310 525,516 15,803 14, 781 12.9 107 3,797 7,600 2,601 3,771 8.2 -6 + 5 -26 -13 •• + 14 + 24 + 17 -7 - 15 + - 10 + - 19 + + 13 + - 10 + - 5 + 13 +121 +167 -19 + 3 -13 •• + •• + 4 + 2 •• -17 -10 + 30 +no + 20 + 4 - 2 - 8 + 24 + 17 + 21 -10 -23 + 19 + 42 + 14 8 1 + 6 -4 + 27 + 5 -20 + 13 +401 +175 -13 + 2•• + 5 9 -1 -3 -25 -8 -25 + 1 - 26 -5 -9 + 18 8 + + 1 + 8 - 2 + 5 -11 -17 + 21 -17 + 3 3 + + + 3 5 -4 + 19 -85 -68 + 2 + 11 + 30 Local Business Conditions P ercent change F eb 1963 F eb 1963 Feb from from City :ind item 1963 J an 1963 Feb 1962 Local Business Conditions Percent change Feb 1963 Feb 1963 Feb from from City and item 1963 Jan 1963 Feb 1962 FREDERICKSBURG (pop. 4,629) DENTON (pop. 26,844) Retail sales .............. . ........•. - 3t + 21 - 6 Drug stores ........ . ............ . Postal receipts• . . ... .. ... .. ... . ....' Building permits, less federal contract. $ -4t 41,397 398,575 + 4 -9 -73 + 8 + 24 + 48 Bank debits (thousands) . . . .. . .. . . . . . $ 21,922 -13 + JO End-of-month deposits (thousands) i ..$ 25,745 - 1 + 20 Annual rate of depoait turnover.. . 10.2 -13 9 Nonagricultural placements 124 - 10 - 3 EDINBURG (pop. 18,706) Postal receipts• . . ............ . .....S Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thotl881lds) ... . .........$ End-of-month depoeits (thousandsH. . $ Annual rate of depoait turnover. .. .. . Nonagrlcuitural placements .. . ..... . Jl,4 18 55,500 14,440 9,082 17.9 157 Retail sales . . . . .. .. ... . .... . .. . .... . - 3t + 2 + 21 Drug stores . .. .. .. . ....... .. .... . - 4t - 2 + 3 Food stores .. . ........... . .... . . . - 7'f + 2 + 7 General merchandise stores...... . . . - 12t - 4 + 7 Postal receipts• .............. . .....S 7,318 + 12 + 17 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 90,0l5 +152 + 36 Bank debits (thousands) ...... . ... . . . $ 7,299 -13 + 3 End-of-month deposits (thousands) i ..$ 8,388 - 6 + 13 Annual rate of deposit turnover ..... . 10.1 - 9 - 9 7 + 16 9 -21 3 + 21 - 12 - 3 - 6 + 14 - 61 -22 GAINESVILLE (pop.13,083) Retail sales Furniture and household appliance stores Postal receipts• ....................S Building permits, less federal contracts $ -7t 11,218 45,896 + 5 -38 + 53 -10 -6 -15 EDNA (pop. 5,038) .ltetail sales Food stores .. .. ...... .. ... . . . .... . - 7t - 10 Postal receipts• .. . ............. .. ..S 3,964 - 40 -17 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 27,950 - 24 + 81 Bank debits (thousands) .............$ 8,362 - 10 + 89 End-of-month deposits (thousands) i ..$ 6,692 3 - 2 Annual rate of deposit turnover..... . 14.8 - 7 + 95 GALVESTON (pop. 67,175) Retail sales ....................... .. - 3t - 8 -12 Apparel stores ..... . ............. . - 20t - 22 - 8 Automotive stores ...... . ........ . + 17t + 5 -11 Food stores ................ . ... •.. - 7t - 6 -10 Furniture and household appliance stores .. . ............ . - 7t - 8 -37 Postal receipts• ... .................S Building permits, less federal contracts $ 96,615 600,405 -3 -40 + 14 •• Bank debits (thotl881lds) ... . .........S 79,494 -21 - 8 End-of-month deposits (thousands) i ..$ 60,429 - 4 -10 Annual rate of depolrit turnover..... . 15.5 -19 - 2 Employment (area) . . ............. . 52,700 + 4 - 1 Manufacturing employment (area) . 10,340 ** - 4 Percent unemployed (area) ......... . 7.9 - 12 - 2 EL PASO (pop. 276,687) Retail sales ... . .................... • - 3t - 7 - 9 Apparel stores . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . - 20t - 41 -20 Automotive stores .. . . . .. . .. .. . . . . + 17t + 5 - 9 Genera! merchandise stores. . . . . - 12t - 26 + 19 Poatal receipts• . . .... . ...... . . S 311,317 -11 + 10 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 2,779,500 + 51 -39 Bank debits (thouaands) ...... . ......$ 331,422 -17 2 End-of-month deposits (thousands>*..$ 212,446 + 12 + 7 Annual rate of deposit turnover. . . . . . 19.8 -18 7 Employment (area) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91,900 2 Manufacturing employment (area). 14,750 + + 2 Percent unemployed (area).... . ... 6.1 + + 20 ENNIS (pop. 9,347) Building permits, less federal contracts $ 113,535 +264 + 3 Bank debits (thousands) ..... . . . .....$ 5,886 -21 -15 End-of-month deposits (thousands) i ..$ 7,107 + 1 6 Annual rate of deposit turnover.. . .. . 10.0 -22 - 8 GARLAND (pop. 38,501) Retail sales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . • • • • • . - 3t + 7 + 3 Apparel stores . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . - 20t + 5 + 21 Antomotive stores . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . + 17t + 9 + 4 Postal receipts• ............... . ....$ 39,221 -36 + 2 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 2,113,832 -33 + 12 Bank debits (thousands) .. . ... . ... . ..$ 27,786 -22 + 8 End-of-month deposits (thousandsH. . $ 14,338 - 8 -21 Annnal rate of deposit turnover. . . . . . 22.3 -18 + 20 Employment (area) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 475,800 ** + 6 Manufacturing employment (area). Percent unemployed (area)..... . .... 105,275 4.3 + 2 + 4 •• FORT STOCKTON (pop. 6,373) Building permits, less federal contracts $ 326,000 Bank debits (thousands) .. . . . . .. . . . ..S 5,650 End-of-month depoeits (thousands) i. .• 5,311 Annual rate of deposit turnover...... 12.7 + 96 -11 1 + - 9 + GATESVILLE (pop. 4,626) Postal receipts• ............ . .... . ..$ 6,434 - 10 + 55 Bank debits (thousands) . ............$ 4,997 - 16 + 15 End-of-month deposits (thouaands)i. . $ 5,760 - 3 + 7 Annual rate of deposit turnover. . .... 10.3 - 13 + 7 FORT WORTH (pop. 356,268) Retail sales ... . . ... . .. .. . . . . . . ..... . 5t - 2 + 5 Apparel stores ..... . ... .. ..... . .. . - 22t - 20 - 5 Automotive atores .... ...... ..... . + 7t + 15 + 19 Drug stores .. ... . ........ . ...... . Gt + 13 Eating and drinking places. . . . . . . . St 2 Food atores . . ... . .. ........ . . . . . . . 6t - 5 Furniture and household avvliance stores .. . .. ........ . . . 7t 4 + 19 Gasoline and service stations.. . . .. . 4t 6 + 3 General merchandise stores .. .. .. . .• 9t -21 - 2 Liquor stores . . . . .... . ... . ...... . - 1 + 14 Lumber, building mater!al, and hardware stores.. . ... . ...... - 4t + 21 + 8 Poatal receipts• .. . ...... . . . . . . . .. ..S 858, 726 - 6 + 18 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 3,099,415 Bank debits (thousands) .... . .. . . . . ..$ 753,247 -42 -18 + End-of-month d01>oeits (thousandsH.. $ 391,937 - 1 + 1 Annual rate of deposit turnover. . . . . . 22.9 -17 - 2 Employment (area) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 216, 700 Manufacturing employment (area) . !i0,67fi + Percent unemployed (area) . . . . . . . . . . !i.3 - 4 + 4 GIDDINGS (pop. 2,821) Postal receipts• ....................S 3,930 - 6 + 22 Bank debits (thousands) . . .. . ........$ 2,745 -19 + 9 End-of-month deposits (thonsande)l.. $ 4,117 + 2 + 9 Annual rate of depo!!lt turnover. . . . . . 8.1 - 18 + 3 GLADEWATER (pop. 5,742) Postal receipts• .. ..................S Bank debits (thousands) .. . .. . ..... ..$ 5,454 2,903 -25 -31 + 5 •• End-of-month deposits (thousands) i ..$ 5,652 + 1 + 6 Annual rate of deposit turnover. .... . 6.2 - 28 - 5 Employment (area) . .............. . 28,450 - 1 -1 Manufacturing employment (area). 5,620 + 1 - 3 Percent unemployed (area) ....... . . 5.8 + 4 + 61 GOLDTHWAITE (pop. 1,383) Postal receipts• . .................. .S 1,962 -19 + 9 Bank debits (thousands) ....... . . . ...$ 3,644 + 9 + 28 End-of-month deposits (thousandsH..$ 4,382 -2 + 37 Annual rate of deposit turnover... . . . 9.9 + 11 -7 TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Local Business Conditions P ercent change Feb 1963 Feb 1963 F eb from from City and item 1963 Jan 1963 Feb 1962 GRAHAM (pop. 8,505) POlltal recelpta• ....................t 10,178 -9 + 32 Building permita, Jesa federal contracta $ 37,400 + 28 -26 Bank debita (thousands) .............$ 8,654 -13 + 7 End-of-month deposita (thousands) t .. $ 10,086 + 1 2 Annual rate of dePoait turnover.. . . . . 10.3 -12 + 8 GRAND PRAIRIE (pop. 30,386) POlltal receipta• . ..... .. ........... .t Building permlta, Jess federal contracta S Bank deblta (thousands) . . . . . ....... .$ End-of-month depos!ta (thousandsJi. . $ Annual rate of deposit turnOTer.... . . Employment (area) .. .. ....... . . . . . Manufacturing employment (area) . Percent unemployed (area) . . . ..... . GRAPEVINE (pop. 2,821) POlltal recelpta• ......... .. .. .. . . .. .f Building permita, lesa federal contracta S Bank debita (thousands) ... . .........$ End-of-month deposlta (thow!andsH . . $ Annual rate of deposit turnOTer. . .... GREENVILLE (pop. 19,087) Postal receipts" ............. .... ...f Building permita, Jess federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) ............. $ End-of-month deposits (thousandsH.. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover. . . . . . HARLINGEN (pop. 41,207) Retail sales Automotive stores ... ... . . .. . .... . Postal receipts* . . .... . .. . ..........t Building permita, 1""8 federal contracts S Bank debits (thousands) . . . . . .. .... . . $ End-of-month deposits (thousands>* .. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover. . . . . . Nonagricultural placements .. . . .. . . . HEMPSTEAD (pop. 1,505) Postal recelpts• . . ..... ... . . .. . . ... .f Bank debits (thousands) .. ....... ....$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) i ..$ Annual rate of depoelt turnover.. .. . . HENDERSON (pop. 9,666) Retail sales Apparel stores .. . .............. . . . Postal receipts• ..... ............... t Building permita, lesa federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) .. ...........$ End-of-month depoelts (thousandsH.. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover... .. . HUMBLE (pop. 1.711) Building permits, lesa federal contracts S Bank deblta (thousands) .. . . . ..... ...S End-of-month deposits (thousandsH . . $ Annual rate of depomlt tunurrer. ... . . APRIL 1963 24 ,531 376,529 18,052 10,437 20.3 475,800 105,275 4.3 HALE CENTER (pop. 2,196) 3,919 2,250 2,799 2,81 5 11.6 Retail sale. ........ . . .. .. .. .. ...•..• Apparel store. . .... . ............. . Drug stores ... ................. .. Lumber, building material, and hardware stores.... . .. .. ... . Postal receipts• ..... . . . .......... . . f Building permits, !esa federal contracta $ Bank debits (thousands) . . .. .. .... . ..$ End-of-month deposits ( thOUl!llllds) i ..$ Annual rate of deposit turnover . .... . Nonagricultural placements .. . ..... . 3t -20t - 4t + 16t 20,043 145,900 14,987 14,083 12.8 44 1,583 200 3,647 5,727 7 .1 + 17t 33,645 66, 700 31,231 20,015 18.7 317 6,010 1,276 2,334 7.0 -20t 11,724 70,250 7, .53 17,111 5.5 11,000 2,866 2, 76 11.9 -4 + 9 -66 -64 -11 + 15 -4 + 1 -4 + 11 •• + 6•• + 4 + 2 •• -2 -4 -87 -86 -12 + 14 6 + 3 -9 + 6 + 4 -19 4 -17 -22 -13 + 1 -11 + 38 + 8 -6 ** + 43 + 10 -28 + 18 -6 + 28 -35 - 33 - 2 - 91 -99 - 53 + 11 - 14 - 1 - 51 + 15 -15 -7 -16 + 6 -50 + 53 -16 -6 •• -26 + + 27 -2 -45 + 21 + 40 -31 + 21 + 14 + 9 -34 + 15 -26 -15 -11 + 32 -74 + 39 3 + 17 2 + 11 -5 + 6 -27 + 22 + 2 + 27 + 8 + 4 + 18 Local Business Conditions P ercent change Feb 1963 Feb 1963 Feb from f rom City a nd item 1963 Jan 1963 Feb 1962 HEREFORD (pop. 7,652) Postal receipts• ............... .... S Building permits, Jess federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) . . . . . . . $ End-of-month deposits (thousands) i ..$ Annual rate of deposit turnover.... . . 10,715 119,300 16.~90 14.706 1~.:; HOUSTON (pop. 938,219) Retail aales . . . . ..... ... . . .......... . -4j Apparel stores .... ............•.•. -1 t Automot ive stores . ...... .. . . . • ... + 2· Drug storeo ...... .... ........•... St Eating and drinking places....•.•. 3+ Food stores ........ ......... ..... . 2t Furniture and household appliance stores ............ . .. . 1t General merchandise stores. . . . .. .. . 7t LiQuor .tores . .. .. . .... . ..... .. . . . -'-5t Lumber, building material. and hardware .tores . . ..... . ... . 4t Postal receipts• ............. ....... S 1,9:;5, 12:; Building permita, less federal contracts $18,451, 79 Bank debits (thousands) ...... . ... . ..$ 2,8.-,9,iS.5 End-of-month deposits (thousandsJi..$ l,477, 703 Annnal rate of deposit turnover. . . . . . 23.3 Employment (area) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 542,700 Manufacturing employment (area) . 91,300 Percent nnemployed (area) ... . . 4.8 IOWA PARK (pop. 3,295) Building permita, less federal contracts $ Bank deblta (thousands) ........ .....S End-of-month deposita (thousands>* .. $ Annnal rate of deposit turnover. . . . . . 146,000 3,450 3, 51 10.7 JACKSONVILLE (pop. 9,590) Postal receipts• ............. .......S Building permita, Jess federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) .............$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) i ..$ Annual rate of deposit turnover. . .. . . JASPER (pop. 4,889) Retail aales ............ .... ... ..... . Automotive .tores . . .... . ....... . . Postal receipts• .................. ..S Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) ............. S End-of-month deposits (thonsandsH . . $ Annual rate of deposit turnover..... . JUSTIN (pop. 622) Postal receipts• ................ . . ..S Building permita, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) ...... . ... . .. $ End-of-month deposits (thousands) i. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover..... . KATY (pop. 1,569) Build ing perm.ita, Jess federal contracts $ Bank debita (thousands) .............$ End-of-month depoe-ita (thousands>*..$ Annual rate of deposit turnover..... . KILGORE (pop. 10,092) Postal receipts• . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .....S BuHding permita, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) . . . . . . . . $ End-of-month depoeits (thousands) t $ Annual rate of deposit turnover..... . Employment (area) ... Manufacturing employment (area) . Percent nnemployed (area) . 18,252 53, 00 9,576 9,401 12.5 - 3t + nt 7,673 22, 720 8,285 11,005 10.5 697 22,000 1,230 53 17.6 15,300 2,061 2,3!)5 10.3 15,265 44,200 10,366 12,373 10.0 ~.... 450 ;;.~20 0.8 + 9 .,.. 40 + 124 -18 -26 21 -11 -'­ 9 -26 + 9 - 1 -13 3 + 2 4 2 8 + - 4 + 16 -5 -3 -19 + 1 -14 - 1 -14 -'-2 -!. 6 + 2 + ;; -'- 5 + 17 - 22 7 + 5 2 + 6 - ·I -!. 14 - 4 - 4 23 - 1 11 ** 10 -10 -21 + 37 -24 -11 + 5 + 2 -21 -9 -2 -1 + 18 + 6 -19 -21 -38 -37 -26 + 6 + 40 + 23 -36 -2 + 33 + 24 -47 -;).) -22 -'-4 .J_ 3 -'-18 -17 -6 -!. 1 - 11 - 12 ~ 22 5 -'­ 2.1 - 6 - 2 -25 ...L. 21 -62 -17 -19 -11 -2 -11 -15 .. 1 -1 + 1 -3 + 4 + 61 Local Business Conditions P ercent change Local Business Conditions Percent change Feb 1963 Feb 1963 Feb 1963 Feb 1963 Feb from from Feb from from City and item 1963 J an 1963 Feb l!J62 City and item 1963 Jan 1963 Feb 1962 KILLEEN (pop. 23,377) LITTLEFIELD (pop. 7,236) P08tal receipta• ...... . ........... . . S 41,173 -13 + 36 Retail salea Building permits, less federal contracts $ 516,609 -21 + 61 Automotive storea ............... . + 17t - 21 -29 Bank debits (thou.sands) .............$ 12,688 7 + 15 General merchandise stores . . - 12t - 37 + 5 End-of-month deposlta (thonsands)t. . $ Annual rate of depomt turnover.. ... . 8,962 16.9 7 -8 + 22 Postal receipts• . ... .......... .... . . S Building permita, less federal contract.a $ 7,278 69,650 -24 -46 + 21 -85 KINGSVILLE (pop. 25,297) Retail l!&ies Automotive stores ..... ...... .... . Posto.I recelpta• . . . .... ... ... ...... .S Building permita, 1.,.. federal contracta $ Bank deblta (thousands) .............$ End-of-month dep011ita (thonsanda)l .. $ + 17t 14,390 176,385 10,275 14,101 -1 -23 +192 -21 + 2 + 49 -6 +169 + 6 + 16 LLANO (pop. 2,656) Postal receipts• ........ . . . ...... .. .S Building permits, leas federal contracts $ Bank debits (thou.sands) . . . . . . $ End-of-month deposltll (thousands) i .. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover. ... . . 2,590 10,200 2,579 3,947 7.8 -19 -22 -14 •• -12 + s -15 + 9 -20 Annual rate of deposit turnover..... . KIRBYVILLE (pop. 1,660) 8.8 - 21 - 4 LOCKHART (pop. 6,084) Retail sales Postal recelpta• . . ...... ..... .... . . . S 3,412 -10 - 3 Automotive stores . . .... . ........ . + 17t -28 + I Bank debita (thonsands) .......... . . .S 1,967 -10 -10 Postal receipts• ............ ..... ...S 4,406 -16 + 2 End-of-month depoelta (thousanda)l .. $ Annual rate of depoa!t turnova-. .. .. . 3,050 7.7 - ** 8 + 50 -36 Building permits, less federal contractll S Bank debltll (thousanda) .............$ 20,250 5,333 + 28 + 6 + 52 + 20 LA FERIA (pop. 3,047) End-of-month deposlta (thousands) i . .$ Annual rate of deposit turnover... . . . 5,176 11.4 -15 + 14 -7 + 21 Postal receipt.a• . . . . ........... .....S 2,188 -35 + 2 Building pcrmita, le11a federal contracta $ Bank debita (thonsands) ... ..... ... ..$ End-of-month deposita (thousanda) i ..$ Annual rate of deposit turno.a-.... . . 1,150 1,643 1,411 13.7 LA MARQUE (pop. 13,969) Postal receipta• ... . ... . .. ......... .S Building permits, less federal contracta $ Bank debit.a (thousands) . .$ End-of-month deposita (thousands)l .. S 9,968 474,960 8,254 5,800 -99 + 2 + -7 +357 -11 -4 -87 + 8 1 + 9 + 21 +418 + 8 -9 LONGVIEW (pop. 40,050) Retail sales Lumber, bnildlng material, and hardware storee............ . Postal receiptii• .. ........... . .. . ...S Building permita, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) . ... .. . .... . . S End-of-month deposita (thousands) i . .$ Annual rate of dep08it tnrnover..... . + 16t 53,035 483,600 46, 721 37,362 14.9 + 18 -13 + 97 -13 -1 -10 -15 •• -65 7 + 2 Annual rate of deposit turnover . 16.7 -12 + 22 Employment (area) . .............. . 28,450 Employment (area) ......... . ..... . Manufacturing employment (area) . 52,700 10,340 + 4 •• 4 Manufacturing employment (area) . Percent nnemployed (area) . ........ . 5,620 5.8 + + 4 + 61 Percent unemployed (area) ... 7.9 - 12 2 LAMESA (pop. 12,438) Retail aalea Automotive stores .. .. .. ......... . Postal recelpta• ....................S Bank debit.a (thonsands) . . . . . .. . .....$ + 17t 12,521 21,288 -12 -19 -39 -19 + 10 + 3 LOS FRESNOS (pop. 1,289) Postal receipt.a• ....................S Bank deblta (thousands) .............$ End-of-month deposlta (thonsanda)t.. S Annual rate of deposit turnover... .. . l,169 1,025 1,190 9.9 -20 -9 -8 + 38 + 14 + 6 + End-of-month deposita (thonsanda)l .. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover. 20,904 11.6 -10 -39 -11 + 20 LUBBOCK (pop. 128,691) Nonagricultural placements 61 -22 -26 Retail salea . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . • . - 3t - 9 + LAMPASAS (pop. 5,061) Postal receipta• ... .. .... ... .... . ...S Building permita, less federal contracts S Bank debita (thousands) . . ..... . . $ End-of-month deposits (thou.sands) i . .$ Annual rate of deposit turnover. 5,383 74,000 6,539 6,282 11.5 -20 + 26 -23 -15 -21 + 14 +294 + 3 + Apparel stores . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -20t Automotive stores . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . + 17t General merchandise stores... . . . . . . -12t Postal receiptii• ............... . ....S 218,418 Building permits, less federal contract.a $ 2,291,697 Bank debitll (thousands) ... .. ........$ 237,589 End-of-month depoaitll (thousandsJi..$ 138,429 -22 -2 -26 •• -78 -39 -6 + + 41 -16 + LA PORTE (pop. 4,512) Bank deblta (thonsands) ............ .S End-of-month deposita (thousands) i ..S Annual rate of deposit turnover..... . 3,894 3,827 12.3 -22 + 2 -30 + 25 + 20 + 6 Annual rate of deposit turnover. . . . . . Employment (area) . . . . . . . . . . . • . . . . Manufacturing employment (area) . Percent unemployed (area). ... .. .... 20.6 53,600 5,930 4.6 -86 + + + + + 4•• LAREDO (pop. 60,678) Postal receipts• . ..... . ............ .S Building permits, 1""8 federal contracts $ Bank deblta (thousands) .............$ End-of-month dep08ita (thousands) i ..$ Annual rate of deposit turnover.. ... . Employment (area) . ... ........... . Manufacturing employment (area) . Perrent unemployed (area) . Nonagricultural placements 37 ,944 145,325 32,273 25,242 15.2 18,600 1,260 13.1 291 -8 +253 -15 -1 -13 •••• + 3 + 4 + 22 +251 + 15 + 2 + 11 -44 LUFKIN (pop. 17,641) Retail sales Automotive stores ............... . Postal recelptii• ....................S Building permitll, less federal contract.a $ Bank debltll (thonsands) ... . ........ .$ End-of-month deposlta (thonsandl)t.. S Annual rate of deposit tnrnover..... . Nonagricultural placements ........ . + 17t 31.435 190,001 26,711 27,204 11.8 55 + 27 -1 + 18 -8.. -6 + 77 + 6 + 41 + 2 + 13 -s + 16 -42 LEVELLAND (pop. 10,153) Postal receipts• ..... . . .. . . .........S Bar.k debits (thousands) .............$ End-of-month deposlta (thousanda) i ..S Annual rate of deposit turnover 9,977 13,297 15,078 10.0 -9 -48 -11 -47 + 17 -13 + 13 + 1 McCAMEY (pop. 3,375) Postal recelptii• ... .................S Bank debits (thonsanda) ......... . ...S End-of-month deposits (thonsands)i.. $ Annual rate of deposit tnrnover. 2,806 1,669 1,831 10.6 -23 5 9 -9 + s -IS + 16 TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Percent change Percent chan ge Local Business Conditions Local Business Conditions Feb 1963 Feb 1963 F eb 1963 Feb 1!163 Feb from from F eb from from City and item 1963 Jan 1963 Feb 1962 City and item 1963 J an 1%3 Feb 1062 McALLEN (pop. 32, 728) MIDLOTHIAN (pop. 1,521) Retail sales ........................ . -3t -10 •• Building permits, less federal contract.s $ 10,000 -39 9 Automotive stores . .... . ..... . + 17t -13 -3 Bank debits (thousands) . . . . . . . $ 1,005 -25 5 Gasoline and service station•...... . -5t -12 + 4 End-of-month deposits (thoueands) i ..$ 1,594 -2 + Postal receipt..• ... . ..... . . .. .......• 34,479 -13 + 23 Annual rate of deposit turnover.. . 7.5 -22 7 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 334,759 + 34 + 33 Bank debits (thousands) . . .. . . . $ 30,184 -12 + 16 MINERAL WELLS (pop. 11,053) End-of-month deposits (thousands) i .. $ 26,261 -1 + 6 Postal receipts• .............. . .... .S 17,021 + 42 + Annual rate of deposit turnover. 13.7 -13 + 8 Building permits, leas federal contracts $ 156,350 4 +184 Nonagricultural placements 237 -10 -62 flank debits (thousands) . . . . . $ 12,199 9 + 32 End-of-month deposits (thousands) i. $ 14,808 + + 41McGREGOR (pop. 4,642) Annual rate of deposit turnover..... . 10.0 7 -4 Building permits, less federal cont.mets $ 3,000 -73 -83 Nonagricultural placements 77 + 28 + 18 Uank debits (thousands) . . . .. $ 3,057 -10 + 17 End-of-month deposits (thousands) i .. $ 5,448 -3 + 13 MISS.JON (pop. 14,081) Annual rate of deposit turnover..... . 6.6 -11 + 3 Postal receipts• . . . . . . . . . . ..S 9,462 -5 + 22 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 34,600 -H + 67 McKINNEY (pop. 13,763) Bank debits (thousands) . . . ....$ 10,026 -11 + 11 Postal receipts• . ........... . .......$ 10,2~8 -32 + 7 End-ol-mont.h deposits (thousands) i .. $ 8,709 7 •• Building permits, leas federal contracts $ 89,015 + 31 + 116 Annual rate of depoalt turnover..... 13.3 -6 + 7 Bnnk debits (thousands) . .. .i 9,679 -16 + 3 End-of-month depr,sits (thousands) i $ 9,778 -2 + 7 MONAHANS (pop. 8,567) Annual rate of deposit turnover..... . 11.8 -12 -2 Postal receipta• . . .. .. .. . . . S 10,573 -2 + 42 Nonagricultural placements . . 76 + 25 -56 Uuilding permits, less federal eontracts $ 18,690 -51 -78 Bank debits (thousands). $ 9,753 7 -5MARSHALL (pop. 23,846) End-of-month deposits (thousands) i .$ 7,774 -16 Retail Ha.lee .... ...... •... . •.....•.. • -3t -13 -11 Annual rate of deposit turnover. ... . . 14.7 5 + 12 Apparel •tor€6 -20t -39 -22 Postal receipts• . . . .............$ 26,479 -19 MUENSTER (pop. 1,190) ;!::~ Building permits, leso federal contracts $ 84,467 -24 Retail sale11 Bauk debits (thousands) . $ 17,198 + 6 Automotive .tores + 17t -18 -4 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t .. $ 22,281 -2 + 20 Postal receipts• . . . . ....... ...S 1,334 -61 •• Annual rate of deposit turnover. 9.2 -5 -11 Bank debits (thousands) . . . $ 1,977 -22 + 13 Nonagricultural placements 102 -15 -24 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t .. $ 2,111 -2 + 17 Annual rate of deposit turnover..... 11.l -18 -3 MERCEDES (pop.10,940) Postal receipt•• . S 5,227 --1D + 1 NACOGDOCHES (pop. 12,674) Building permits, less federal contraets $ 203,273 +733 + 4225 Retail sales Bank debits (thonsands) . . ...$ 5,754 + 12 + 8 Apparel stores .... ............... . -20t -11 -15 End-of-month deposit• (thousands)t.. $ 3,636 -5 -10 Postal receipt..• .......... .......... • 16,781 -2 + 29 Annual rate of deposit turnover... . . . 18.5 + 13 + 14 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 68,619 + 48 + 14 Bank debits (thousands) . . . ....$ 15,766 -16 + 9MESQUITE (pop. 27,526) End-of-month deposits (thousands) i. $ 17,902 -5 + 17 RetaiI sales Annual rate of deposit turnover 10.3 -15 -6 Eating and drinking places. ..... . . -5t + 14 + 4 Nonagricultural placements 101 + 26 -21 Postal receipts• ... . .. . . . .. .. .. .....S 13,839 -7 + 9 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 1,697,346 + 52 + 4 NEDERLAND (pop. 12,036) Bank debits (thousands) . . . $ 7,018 -13 + 16 Bank debits (thousands) .. . ... .......$ 5,014 -17 + End-of-month deposits (thousands) i. $ 5,855 -8 + 9 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t .. $ 3,987 + 1 + 3 Annual rate of deposit turnover. . . . . . 13.8 -1 + 7 Annual rate of deposit turnover. ... . . 15.2 -17 + 18 Employment (area) .. . . . ... .. . . 475,800 •• + 6 Manufacturing employment (area) . 105,275 •• + 4 NEW BRAUNFELS (pop. 15,631) Percent unemployed (area) ......... . 4.3 + 2 •• Postal receipt.a• ..... . ..... . ........S 21,566 + + 29 Building permits, less f ederal contracts $ 184, 738 7 + 97 MEXIA (pop. 6,121) Bank debits (thousands) .. . ... .. ... . . S 12,489 6 + 6 Postal receipts• ... .. .. .............S 6,760 -4 + 10 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t .. $ 12,193 •• Building permits, leas federal contracts S 11,300 +2160 Annual rate of deposit turnover. . . . . . 12.2 + Bank debits (thousands) ..... . . .... . . $ 4,204 -15 + 12 End-of-month deposits (thousandsJi..$ 4,690 -2 + 7 NORTH RICHLAND HILLS (pop. 8,662) Annual rate of deposit turnover.... . 10.7 -12 + 7 Building permits, leas federal contracts $ 209,432 -41 Bank debits (thousands). . ...... .. . . $ 2,166 -15 MIDLAND (pop. 62,625) End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 1,346 + 2 Retail sales Annual rate of deposit turnover. . . . . . 19.5 -13 Furniture and household auplianoo etores -7t -76 -6 ORANGE (pop. 25,605) Postal receipts . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 100, 755 -33 + 24 Postal receipt.a• ............... .....S 22,581 -25 -6 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 1,477,450 + 36 +132 Building permits, less federal contracts S 118,628 + 66 -86 Bank debits (thousands). . .• 120,323 -16 + 7 Bank debits (thauaands) ....... ...... $ 24,659 -23 -2 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t .. $ 99,183 -1 + 2 End-of-month deposits (thon.sands) t . . $ 24,822 -1 + 10 Annual rate of deposit turnover... .. . 14.5 -21 + 6 Annual rate of deposit turnover ... . . 11.8 -21 -11 Emvloyment (area) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57,300 •• + Employment (area) .. ......... .... . 105,300 •• -2 Manufacturlng employment (area) . 4,170 + 1 + 61 Manufacturing employment (area) . 34,300 •• -1 Percent unemployed (area) . 4.6 + 5 + 35 Percent unemployed (area). 8.3 •• + 19 Nonagricultural placements . . . . . . . . . 591 + 2 -2 Nonagricultural placements .. 100 -18 -25 APRIL 1963 97 Percent change Local Business Conditions Feb 1963 Feb 1963 Feb from from City and item 1963 Jan 1963 Feb 1962 ODESSA (pop. 80,338) Retail sales .... ... ... . 3t -18 -6 Furniture and household appliance atores .... . . ....... . . . Poet.al receipt.• ... .. . . .. . ..... . . $ Building permit., !"""federal contracts $ Bank debit.a (thousands) .. . . . . . . . . . . $ End-of-month deposits (thou.eandi!) t $ 7t 76,781 805,190 71,343 71,189 -35 -14 -8 -8 -15 •• + 7 + 16 + 1 + 6 Annual rate of deposit turnover . Employment (area) ......... .. .. .. . Manufacturinir employment (area) . Percent unemployed (area) .. ... . .. . . 11.0 57,300 4, 170 4.6 -8 ** + 1 + 5 8 + 5 + 61 + 35 Nonagricultural placements ........ . 360 -11 -37 PAI,ESTINE (pop. 13,974) Poetal receipt.• .. . .......... . ... . .. $ Building permits, less federal contracts $ 13,272 222,782 -29 +mo + 10 + 89 Bank debits (thOW!BJlds) . . . ... . . ... $ End-of-month depoelts (thoU811ndsH .. $ 10,052 lG,199 8 3 -1 + 9 Annual rate of deposit turnover.. . . 7.3 9 -11 PAMPA (pop. 24,664) Retail sale11 .. . ....... . .. ........... . -3t -18 -8 Automotives stores + 17t -22 -12 Lumber, buildlnir material, and hardware &tores.... . . . . . ... . + 16t -26 -7 PoetAI receipt.• ... . . ...... . . .. . . . . . $ 25,881 -24 + 17 Building permits, leaa federnl contract& $ 45,650 -30 -36 Bank debits (thousands) .. . .. ........S End-of-month deposits (thousands)t ..$ 25,319 24,868 -11 -7 + 9 + 15 Annual rate of del)081t turnover. . .. . . J1.8 -14 -9 Nonagricultural placements .... . 11 5 -17 + 24 PARIS (pop. 20,977) Retail ealea . . . ... . . ... ... ... . ... . .. . -St + 12 5 Aut<>motive atore11 . .............. . + 17t + 24 7 Lumber, building material, and hardware atorea... ......... . + J6t + 35 -28 Postal receipts• . . . .... . .. .. . . . S 20,512 -24 -1 Building permlta. 1"88 federal contracts $ 140,154 -14 -56 Bank debits (thousands) . . . . .. .. ... .$ 16,079 -19 + 3 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t . $ 16,000 + 3 + 19 Annual rate of deposit turnover... . . . Nonagricultural placements 12.2 111 -17 + 48 -10 •• PHARR (pop. 14,106) Postal receipts• .......... .......... S Buildlnir permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debit. (thousands) ..... ........ $ End-of-month deposits (thoU811nds) t .. $ Annual rate of deI>011lt turnover. . . .. . PILOT POINT (pop. 1,254) Bulld.Jnir permits, less federal contracts S Bank debit. (thousands) .... ......... S End-of-month deposits (thouaande)t . . $ Annual rate of dePOSlt turnover. . . . . . PLAINVIEW (pop. 18,735) Retail oalee Aut<>motive &tores . .... . .. . .. .. .. . Postal recelpta• ... .................$ Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank deblta (thousand•) .... .... . .. .. S End-of-month deposlta (thousan.U)t .. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover.... . . Nonagricultural placement. .... . . . . . PASADENA (pop. 58,737) Retail sales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . - 3t + 2 - 7 Aut<>motive &tores . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . + 17t + 10 - 6 Postal receipt.• ... . .. .. .... . .....• 42,235 - 9 + 19 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 2,896,600 + 56 +168 7,218 -13 + 20 49,044 + 11 -42 4,093 9 -+ 4 4,108 -10 + 6 11.3 -11 3 73,500 +2000 +288 978 -21 + 20 1,751 •• + 16 6. 7 -19 + + 17t + 1 + 28 25,318 -14 + 33 108,300 -60 -76 38.965 -44 2 30,870 - 8 + 1 14.5 -44 - 3 217 - 13 -12 Local Business Conditions Percent change Feb 1963 Feb 1968 Feb from from City and item 1968 Jan 1968 Feb 1962 PLANO (pop. 3,695) Postal receipt.• ........ ... .........S 5,446 Buildinir permits, leu federal contracta S 681,717 Bank debite (thouaands) .. . ...... . ...$ 1,658 End-of-month deposit. (thOW1an«h) f .. $ 2,246 Annual rate of del>Olllt turnover... . . . 8.7 PORT ARTHUR (pop. 66,676) Retail aale11 .. " ... ........ .... ..... ' Apparel lrto,,_ ... .. . ...... ......•. Automotive lrtores . .. .. .. . . .. .. . •. Food atoree .. .... ... .......... ... . Furniture and homehold appliance lrtores .... . . . ..... . .. . Gasoline and aerviee .tatlou.. . .. . . Lumber, building material, and hardware &tores......•...... Postal receipt.• .. .. ... . ....... .. ...• Buildinir permit., leu federal contracts $ BRnk debit. (thousands) ...... ...... .S End-of-month deposit. (thouaande) t .. S Annual rate of deJ)OSit turnover. . . .. . Employment (area) . ........ ..... . . Manufacturing employment (area) . P ercent unemployed (area) ..... . . . •• PORT ISABEL (pop. 3,575) Postal receipts• ........ . .. ... .. . .. .S 3,010 + 14 + 47 Building permit.a, less federal contract& $ 4,750 -84 -98 Bank deblta (thousands) ...... . . . . . ..S End-of-month deposits (thousande)f .. S 1,078 1,054 + 1 •• + 17 -9 Annual rate of deposit turnover. . ... . 12.3 + 10 + 88 PORT NECHES (pop. 8,696) Postal receipts• .. . .... . . ... .. .. . . . . $ 7,093 -15 + 6 Bank debit. (tholll!a.nde) . . . .. $ 7,706 -11 + 8 End-of-month deposit. (thousanm>i.. S 6,402 8 1 Annua.l rate of deposit t1lrDoftr. . . . . . 13.9 -8 + 9 RAYMONDVILLE (pop. 9,385) Postal receipts• .. . . .. .... . ...... ...S 8,176 Buildinit permit., lesa federal contracts $ 67,650 Bank debit. (thoull&llds) . . . . .... .S 5,601 End-of-month deI>OSita (thOW1Bnde)f.. S 8,005 Annual rate of depoeit turnover..... . 8.3 Nonagricultural plRcements 86 ROBSTOWN (pop. 10,266) Postal receipt.* . ..... . . . . .... .. . .. .S 9,070 Building permit., Iese federal contracts $ 26,000 Bank deblte (thousands) .... .........S 8,115 End-of-month del)08fts Cthouaanm>i .. S 9,338 Annual rate of del)08it turnover . .. . . . 10.3 ROCKDAI..E (pop. 4,481) Postal receipt.• . ....... . .... .. .....S Buildlnir permit., Iese federal contract& $ Bank debit. (thousands) . . . ... .$ End-of-month depotdt.a (thonsande)l. . S Annual rate of del)08ft turnover. . . . . . SAN ANGELO (pop. 58,815) St -20t + 17t 7t 7t 5t + 16t 49,301 280,922 69,247 41,752 16.6 105,300 34,300 8.3 Retail aalea ..... . ....... . .. ... . .... . General merchandise lrtorea.... . .. . . Jewelry lrtores . ... . . . ........ . .. . . Postal receipt.• ... . . ... . . . . . ...... .S Building permit.. less federal contracta S Bank debit.a (thousands) ........ .... .S End-of-month deposit. (thOWlllnm>i .. S Annual rate of deI>OSlt turnover. .. . . . Employment (area) .. . . .•...• • •••. • Manufacturing employment (ara) . Percent unemployed (area) ... ...... . St -12t 85,712 418,905 51,384 45,904 18.2 19,700 8,090 6.0 - 6 + 27 + 40 + 61 -16 - 86 - 8 + 9 -26 -41 + 5 + 2 -16 -11 + 12 + 3 .. 5 + 7 + + 21 + IS -30 + 14 -43 -27 -12 -6 -10 + •• 1 •• + 19 + 19 + 97 8 -s -6 -52 + 81 +201 + 12 + 7 + 6 -88 -10 + 74 -65 +s7S -so 2 -s + -28 + 4,244 -10 + 19 1,350 -84 -90 3,633 7 •• 5,678 •• 7.5 -8 -14 -1 -20 + 8 -8 -10 -8 + 20 -58 ­ 48 -20 + 8 -4 -7 -17 +10 -1 + 1 •• + 4 •• + 18 TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Local Business Conditions Percent change Feb 19G3 Feb 1963 Local Business Conditions Percent change Feb 1963 Feb 1963 Feb from from Feb from from City and item 19G3 Jan 1963 Feb 19G2 City and item 1963 Jan 1963 Feb 1962 SAN ANTONIO (pop. 587,718) Retail aales .... ........ ............ . 5t Appa.rel stores . . ................. . -H t Drug storm ........ ........ .. . .. . 1t Automotive stores . .. .......... .. . + 1t -5 -24 2 3 9 + 3 + SINTON (pop. 6,008) Foetal receipts• .............. .... . . $ Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) .............$ End-of-month deposits (thousandsli.. $ 5,252 35,350 3,925 5,192 -54 +386 -21 -4 + + 9 + 6 Eating and drinklns plaeea.. ..... . Gt 2 Annual rate of deposit turnover. . . 8.9 - 18 -12 Food atorea .. . .... . .......... . ... . 3t Furniture and bou.eehold appliance stores .... .. . ........ . Gt Gasoline and oervice stationa...... . Gt General merchandise stores.... . ... . -lOt Jewelry stores .... .. ...... ....... . Lumber, buildlns matmial, and hardware stores. . . . ..... . ..• 7t Stationery stores .. . .. . ........... . Poatal receipts• ........... ... .. .. .. • 824,638 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 4,293,190 Bank debits (thousands) .. .. .. . . .. . ..$ GG7,831 End-of-month depoeits (thousands) i . .$ 410,G79 4 -13 -13 + 2 5 + 14 -6 -2G -16 -4 -14 -1 + 3 + 22 -24 + 14 + 23 + 4 + 8 + 3 SLATON (pop. 6,568) Postal receipts• . . . . . . . . . ....$ Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) ... . . . ...$ End-of-month depooits (thousands)t.. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover .... . . Employment (area) ......... . Manufacturing employment (area) . Percent unemployed (area) . ... SMITHVILLE (pop. 2,933) Postal receipts• ....... . ......... .. . • Bank debits (thou.sands) . . .....$ 4,192 30,549 4,504 5,161 9.9 53,600 5,930 4.6 2,176 1,092 -18 + 133 -35 -11 -35 + 1 + 7 -19 -27 + 20 -12 + 9 + 9 + + 4 + 15 + 2 Annual rate of deposit turnover. . . . . . Employment (area) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Manufacturins employment (area) . Percent unemployed (area) . . . . . . . . . . 19.2 209,100 24,850 5.8 -12 + + + + 2 + 9 End-of-month deposits (thousands)i.. $ Annual rate of dep0sit turnover ... SNYDER (pop. 13,850) Postal receipts ....... ...... .... .. ..$ 2,330 5.6 11,465 -1 -26 -26 + + 26 SAN JUAN (pop. 4,371) Postal receipts• ......... ...... .....• 3,13G Building permits, less federal contracts $ 13,450 Bank debits (thousands) . . ...........S 1,711 End-of-month deposits (thousands) i . .$ 2,1 37 Annual rate of deposit turnover..... . 9.8 SAN MARCOS (pop. 12,713) Postal receipts• . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .• 11,135 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 63,585 Bank debits (thousands) ......... . . . . S 7,568 End-of-month depoeits (tho111!&ndsH .. $ 9,393 Annual rate of deposit turnover. . . . . . 9.9 + 15 + 89 -12 + 4 -13 -40 + 38 -7 + 5 -11 + 58 + 28 4 + 6 7 + 4 + 86 + 14 + 12 + Building permits, less federal contracts $ 34,450 Bank debits (thousands) . . .....$ 12,173 End-of-month deposits (thousands) i. $ 18,718 Annual rate of dep0sit turnover ... . . . 7.7 SOUTH HOUSTON (pop. 7,253) Building permits, less federal contracts $ 164,039 Bank debits (thousands) . . . . $ 4,445 End-of-month deposits (thousands) i ..$ 3,836 Annual rate of deposit turnover. . . . . . 14.8 SULPHUR SPRINGS (pop. 9,160) Postal receipts• ... .... ... . $ 10,612 Building permits, iess federal contracts $ 82,350 Bank debits (thousands) . . . .$ 10,055 -84 -22 -2 -20 +195 -4 + 14 + 1 -59 -16 -50 -29 + 6 -30 + 52 + 18 + 24 + 1 + 17 -49 5 SAN SABA (pop. 2,728) Postal receipts• . . . . . . .... ..........• Bank debits (thousands) ............ .$ End-of-montb deposits (tho111!&nds) i . .$ 3,328 3,383 4,534 -27 -25 -8 + 24 2 End-of-month deposits (thousands)~.. $ 12,557 Annual rate of dep0sit turnover. . ... 9.5 SWEETWATER (pop. 13,914) Postal receipts• ......... . ........ . . $ 12,070 -2 -14 -25 + 12 Annual rate of deposit turnover .. ... . 8.6 - 24 2 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 13,500 -71 -68 SEAGOVILLE (pop. 3,745) Postal receipts• .... ..... ...........S Building permits, lesa federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) . . . $ End-of-month deposits (tho111!&ndsH .. S Annual rate of deposit turnover. . ... . 3,349 81,735 2,136 1,439 17.4 -4 -19 -4 -10 + 68 +1334 + 35 + 17 + 14 Bank debits (thousands). . . $ End-of-month deposits (tho111!&ndsH .. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover. . Nonagricultural placements TAYLOR (pop. 9,434) Retail sale8 11,584 10,489 13.2 74 -31 -1 -28 -10 -1 -1 -42 SEGUIN (pop. 14,299) Postal receipts• .... . ......... ......S Building permits, Iese federal contracts $ Bank debits (thoueanda) . . . .S End-of-month depoalts (tho111!&nds) t .. S Annual rate of deposit turnover.. . .. . SHERMAN (pop. 24,988) Retail aales .......... ... ........... . Automotive stores ............... . Furniture and houaehold 11,020 G7,600 9,909 14,657 8.0 -3t + 17t -37 -48 -19 -2 -19 -13 -1 + 8 -38 + 6 + 4 + Automotive .tor"" ............... . Foetal receipts• ....................$ Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (tho111!&nds) . .. .. . .$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) i .$ Annual rate of dewsit turnover..... . Nonagricultural placements TEMPLE (pop. 30,419) Retail sales .... .. ................ .. . Apparel stor"" + 17t 7,627 38,850 7,245 13,950 6.0 10 -3t -20t -21 -35 + 33 -22 -6 -19 -52 2 2 + 22 + 9 + 49 + 7 + 7 3 -84 + 8 + 21 appliance stores ............... . General merchandise stores...... . . . -- 7t 12t -35 -20 4 4 Furnitllle and household appliance stores . . . . . . . . . . . ... - 7t + 8 + 27 Postal receipts• ........ . ..... . .....• Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (tho111!&nds) ......... . ...$ End-of-month deposits (thouaandsH .. S Annual rate of dep0slt turnover..... 34,474 819,076 26,130 19,318 15.8 -11 + 40 -25 -6 -20 + 24 + + 3 + 2 + 1 Lumber, building material. and hardware stores.. .. ....... . . Postal receipts• ........ . ......$ Bank debits (thousands) . . . $ Nonagricultural placements + 16t 43,043 25,920 161 7 3 -17 + 38 -6 + 18 + 13 2 Nonagricultural placements 164 SILSBEE (pop. 6,277) Poetal receipts• ....................S 8,100 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 29,680 Bank debits (thousands) . . . . . . . . . S 4,165 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t $ 5,639 + 28 -16 +336 + + 37 + 31 + 13 + 9 + 8 TERRELL (pop. 13,803) Postal receipts• ... . ................$ Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) . . .. $ End-of-month deposits (thousands) t .$ Annual rate of deposit turnover 7,287 28,327 7,954 8,476 11.2 -13 -7 -14 4 + 8 -50 + 24 + 20 + 4 Annual rate of deposit turnover. 9.0 + 2 Nonagricultural placements 30 3 -58 APRIL 1963 Percent change Percent change Local Business Conditions Local Business Conditions Feb 196S Feb 1%3 Feb 196S Feb 1963 Feb from from Feb from from City and item 196S Jan 196S Feb 1962 City and item 1963 Jan 1963 Feb 1962 TEXAS CITY (pop. 32,065) WACO (pop. 103,462r) Retail sales Hetail sales .............. .. . . .... . -St -8 •• Apparel stores ........ ........... . -20t -19 -11 Apparel stores .. . . . ........... ... . -20t -27 -13 Po•tal recei!lts• .......... ...... .$ 27 ,695 -2 + 36 Automotive stores ....... .. . ... .. . + 17t + 23 + 5 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 288,125 + 29 + 8 Florists ... ...... ...... . + 2 + JO Bank debits (thousands) . . . . ........$ 22,475 -20 -s General merchandise stores. -12t -18 -l End-of-month deJ,>OSits (thonsands) i ..$ 14,480 -1 -13 Lumber, building material, Annual rate of dej)OSit turnover. 18.5 -2S + 15 and hnrdware stores . ... . + 16t + 58 + JO Employment (area) ......... ...... . 52, 700 + 4 Postal receipts• . . . . . . . . . . .. .$ 193,294 + s + 26 Manufactnring employment (area) . 10,S40 •• 4 Building permits, less federal contraets $ 935,974 -75 + 27 Percent unemployed (area) ......... . 7.9 -12 2 Bank debits (thousands) ..... .. . . . . .. $ 116,5S8 -13 + End-of-month deposit.Osit turnover. . 13.6 -16 + 3 VERNON (pop. 12,141) Employment (area) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44,950 1 + Retail sales Manufacturing employment (area) . S,910 + 1 + Automotive stores ............... . + 17t -2S -27 Percent unemployed (area). . . . . . . . . . 5.4 -4 Postal receipts• ....................S 11,448 -29 -6 LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY (pop. 352,086) Duilding permits, less federal contracts $ 87,219 -8 ­Bank debits (thousands). . . . . . S 14,037 -34 62 2 (Cameron, Willacy, and Hidalgo Counties) End-of-month deposits (thouaands); .. $ 19,317 2 Retail sales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -St -8 --s Annual rate of deposit turnover 8.6 Apparel stores . . . . . . . . . . . . . • . . . . . . -20t -14 -S3 + 1 Nonagricultural placements ... 39 Automotive stores . . . . . . . . . . • . . . . . + 17t -14 -39 -52 Drug stores ...... _.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4t + VICTORIA (pop. 33,047) •• Food stores . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7t -4 Retail sales . ....................... ­ . St + + Furnitnre and household Automotive stores .. .... .. .... ... . + 17t + + 8 a!)pliance stores .. .. . .. .. . 7t + S8 + 29 Food stores ........ ...... ....... . 7t 7 + Gasoline and iservice station•.. .... . 5t -9 + 2 Furniture and household General merchandise stores.... . . . -12t -25 appliance stores . . . . . . . ...... . 7t + 14 + 7 Lumber, bnllding material, Lumber, building material, and hardware stores. + 16t -3 + and hardware stores + 16t -17 5 Office, store, and school Postal receipts• S 41,513 -9 + 4 + 29 supply dealers ... _.. . + 10 Building permits, less federnl contracts $ S39,550 + 15 -16 -52 Postal receipt.a• .......... . ... . . . -10 Bank debits (thousands) $ 62,535 -12 + s Buliding permits, Jess federal contracts . + 21 + 19 End-of-month deposits (thmmmds) t g 78,209 2 -1 Bank debits (thousands) . -10 + 12 Annual rate of deP<>Sit tnrnovcr -Nonagricultural placements 9.5 9 + 2 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t. 2 2 374 + -SS Annual rnte of deposit turnover 15.2 -6 + 14 100 TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW BAROMETERS OF TEXAS BUSINESS All figures are for Texas unless otherwise indicated. All indexes are based on the average months for 1957-59, except where indi­cated; all are adjusted for seasonal variation, except annual indexes. Employment estimates are Texas Employment Commission data in cooperation with the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U. S. Department of Labor. The index of Texas business activity is based on bank debits in 20 cities, adjusted for price level. An asterisk (•) indicates preliminary data subject to revision. Revised data are marked (r) . Year-to-date average Feb. Jan. Feb. 1963 1963 1962 1963 1962 GENERAL BUSINESS ACTIVITY Texas business activity, index .... . .............. . Miscellaneous freight carloadings in SW District, index . Ordinary life insurance sales, index .. . ................. . ... . Wholesale prices in U. S., unadjusted index .. Consumers' prices in Houston, unadjusted index . .............. .. . Consumers' prices in U. S., unadjusted index .... . 132.8 75.8 131.1 100.2 105.0 106.1 138.3r 73.5 117.7 100.5r 106.0 130.4 77.3 109.4 100.7 104.5 104.8 135.6 74.7 124.4 100.4 105.0 106.l 131.7 75.6 106.l 100.8 104.5 104.7 Income payments to individuals in U. S. (billions, at seasonally ad­ justed annual rate) .. . ...... . Business failures (number) . . . . ..... .. .. . .. . .. .. .. ... . . Newspaper lineage, index .. . .. . . . . .... . . . . .......... . ..... . .. . .... . $ 450.8 52 105.6 s 452.4 56 109.5 s 431.9 36 101.4 $ 451.6 54 107.6 $ 430.4 34 103.l TRADE Total retail sales, index, 1957-59=100 . 110.2• 113.4r 108.0r Durable-goods sales, index, 1957-59=100 . . ... . 112.4• 126.2r 108.lr Nondurable-goods sales, index, 1957-59=100 . . ......... ... .... . 109.1 • 106.8r 108.0r Ratio of credit sales to net sales in department and apparel stores . 66.4• 65.8• 66.7r 66.1 66.6 Ratio of collections to outstandings in department and apparel stores . 36.9• 43.3• 38.lr 40.1 40.8 PRODUCTION Total electric power consumption, index. . . . . . . ........... . ...... . 140.8• 135.4r 128.7r 138.l 127.2 Industrial electric power consumption, index . 130.1 • 123.1 r 122.8r 126.6 119.1 Crude oil production, index . . . . . .. ... .. .. . 91.I • 90.2 91.7r 90.7 92.6 Crude oil runs to stills, index . . ...... . . . .... . . 111.5 113.1 106.5 112.3 106.6 Industrial production in U. S., index . . . . .. . ... . . . 119.1 • 118.9r 116.0r 119.0 115.2 Texas industrial production-total index . . .... .. . . . . .. . ... .. . . . . 114• 112r Ill 113 110 Texas industrial production-manufacturing index .. . . . .... . . . ... . 129• 127r 122r 128 120 Texas industrial production-durable goods, index . . . . . . .... .. . Texas industrial production-nondurable goods, index . . ......... . . 122• 134• 121 132 117r 126 122 133 ll3 125 Texas mineral production, index . . ...... .. . . 94 93 96 94 96 Average daily production per oil well. . . . . . . . . . .... .. .. . .. . 12.7 12.2 13.0 12.5 13.1 Construction authorized, index, 1957-59=100 . 139.5 120.6 107.3 130.l 120.0 Residential building, 1957-59=100... ... .. .. . 115.3 110.8 111.9 113.l 109.9 Nonresidential building, 1957-59=100 .. .. . .. .. . 175.9 137.8 94.8 156.9 142.7 AGRICULTURE Prices received by farmers, unadjusted index, 1910-14= 100 . 262 265 258 264 259 Prices paid by farmers in U. S., unadjusted index, 1910-14=100 . 311 311 305 311 305 Ratio of Texas farm prices received to U. S. prices paid by farmers . 84 85 85 85 86 FINANCE Bank debits, index . . ...... . .. . ... . ...... . . . 133.1 139.0 131.3 136.1 132.7 Bank debits, U. S., index . . . . ......... . . . 145.2 147.9 126.7 146.6 130.2 Reporting member banks, Dallas Resen•e District: Loans (millions) Loans and investments (millions) ............... . ............. . Adjusted demand deposits ( millions) . Revenue receipts of the State Comptroller (thousands) . Federal internal revenue receipts (thousands) .. . ... ... . . ...... . .... . $ 3,514 s 5,686 $ 2,888 $125,211 $570,425 s 3,506 $ 5,619 s 2,960 $120,183 $268,480 $ 3,262 s 5,252 $ 2,892 $137,903 $509,710 $ 3,510 s 5,653 s 2,924 $122,697 $419,453 $ 3,250 s 5,238 s 2,911 $116,436 $387,200 LABOR Total nonagricultural employment (thousands) ................. . 2,635.2• 2,630.8r 2,582.3r 2,633.0 2,579.3 Total manufacturing employment (thousands) ......... . 498.7• 499.2 497.3r 499.0 495.2 Durable-goods employment (thousands) . . ........... . 243.7• 242.4r 239.2r 243.1 237.4 Nondurable-goods employment (thousands) ..... . 255.0" 256.8r 258.lr 255.9 257.8 Total nonagricultural labor force in 18 labor market areas (thousands) 2,402.1 2,409.6 2,322.5 2,405.9 2,322.3 Employment in 18 labor market areas (thousands) ..... . 2,222.9 2,218.l 2,150.0 2,220.5 2,145.5 Manufacturing employment in 18 labor market areas (thousands) ......................... . 395.8 395.8 391.9 395.8 390.5 Total unemployment in 18 labor market areas (thousands) . 126.3 131.1 11 3.7 128.7 117.7 Percent of labor force unemployed in 18 labor market areas . 5.3 5.4 4.9 5.4 5.1