';.. ... ... . • September 4, 1968 POLICY APPROACH FOR HANDLING U.S. MILITARY BALANCE OF PAYMENTS DEFICITS IN NATO COUNTRIES , A. Facts .1. Balance of payments projections through CY 1972, con­cluded before the Czech crisis, show a net deficit on U.S. defense expenditures and receipts in NATO Europe of $855 million in calendar 1970, $1.2 billion in calendar 1971 and $925 million in calendar 1972. This should be compared with $412 million in calendar 1967, $270 million in calendar 1968 and a projected $168 million in calendar 1969. Clearly,. these increasing deficits cannot be absorbed by special financial arrangements of the German type, which are unsatisfactory both to the United States and the central banks of the countries concerned as a long-term answer to U.S. payments losses resulting from U.S. force deploy­ments in NATO Europe. 2. U.S. gross military expenditures in NATO in 9alendar 1967 could have been completely offset if our NATO allies, excluding I France, had procured in the U.S. 46% of their defense procurement of major equipment, missiles and ammunition. ,, A table showing the same picture for CY 1968-9 is attached. ~ 3. The pursuit of a procurement policy yielding these results would have substantial b~dgetary and military benefits for all concerned, and would avoid the ha~sh necessity in the years ahead of being forced to choose between· the security risk of withdrawing U.S. forces from Western Europe and the financial risk of large U.S • . payments deficits to the international finan­cial system. .. B. Principles . " .. • , . \. ... by new emphasis on military pro­ curement in the U.S. and with decreasing reliance on special financial arrangements to neutralize the residual deficit. , 4. The hard choice to be made clear to our NATO partners . is: a. NATO-wide agreement in principle (imple­ .. mented by bilateral actions) to offset the U.S. balance of payments costs of ,. • whatever level of U.S. forces the U.S. connnits in Europe. or b. A weaker U.S. role militarily in Western Europe in· the years beginning with CY 1970. t' /· ' . .. ' .. ... "' , .. CONFI:BEHTIAL • I -4­ • l. Obtain ngreement in princ~ple nt the Hinisteril11 level in the NATO Council that: , a. It is necessary to nlleviete to the mnximum extent U.S. military bnlance of pPyments drain9 from its expend'itures for NATO · ·mutual s_ecurity• . . . b. Alleviating the U.S. deficit should be · accomplished through stnnc1Ardiz8tion •· . .. of military equipIBent 'Within.the Alliance, in or