january 1969 exas us1ness rev1e A Monthly Summary of Business and Economic Conditions in Texas Bureau of Business Research The l1nhersity of Texas at Austin T ExAs B u s INEs s REv I E w v0 L. xL II I, N 0. 1, JAN uAR y 1969 Editor, Stanley A. Arbingast; Associate Editor, Robert H. Ryan; Managing Editor, Graham Blackstock Editorial Board: Stanley A. Arbingast, Chairman; John R. Stockton; Francis B. May; Robert H. Ryan; Graham Blackstock CONTENTS ARTICLES 1: THE BUSINESS SITUATION IN TEXAS, by John R. Stockton 4: POPULATION ESTIMATES FOR TEXAS COUNTIES, APRIL 1, 1968, by Benjamin S. Bradshaw 12: TEXAS CONSTRUCTION, NOVEMBER 1968, by Dennis w. Cooper TABLES 2; SELECTED BAROMETERS OF TEXAS BUSINESS 2: POSTAL RECEIPTS, SELECTED TEXAS CITIES 3: BUSINESS-ACTIVITY INDEXES FOR 20 SELECTED CITIES 5: ESTIMATES OF POPULATION FOR TEXAS COUNTIES, APRIL 1, 1968, WITH ESTIMATED AVERAGE ANNUAL CHANGE SINCE APRIL 1, 1960 7: POPULATION OF STANDARD METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREAS AND CONSTITUENT COUNTIES, 1968 AND 1960, AS DEFINED MAY 1, 1967 8: DISTRIBUTION OF TEXAS COUNTIES ACCORDING TO AVERAGE ANNUAL PERCENT CHANGE OF POPULATION , 1960­1968 12: ESTIMATED VALUES OF BUILDING AUTHORIZED IN TEXAS 13: RESIDENTIAL BUILDING AUTHORIZED IN STANDARD METRO­POLITAN STATISTICAL AREAS, JANUARY-NOVEMBER 1968 14: LOCAL BUSINESS CONDITIONS BAROMETERS OF TEXAS BUSINESS (inside back cover) CHARTS 1 : TEXAS BUSINESS ACTIVITY 3: PRICES RECEIVED BY FARMERS 3: CRUDE-OIL RUNS TO STILLS, TEXAS 3: CRUDE-OIL PRODUCTION, TEXAS 3: INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION , TEXAS 3: INDUSTRIAL ELECTRIC-POWER USE, TEXAS 9: THE BUSINESS SITUATION IN TWENTY TEXAS CITIES 12: TOTAL BUILDING AUTHORIZED IN TEXAS 12 : RESIDENTIAL BUILDING AUTHORIZED IN TEXAS .. 12: NONRESIDENTIAL BUILDING AUTHORIZED IN TEXAS BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH Director: John R. Stockton Associate Director and Resources Specialist: Stanley A. Arbingast Assistant to the Director: Florence Escott Consulting Statistician: Francis B. May Administrative Assistant: Margaret Robb Research Associates: Charles 0. Bettinger, Cynthia Bet­tinger, Michael Bonine, Graham Blackstock, Dennis W. Cooper, Willetta Dement, William Gruben, James Har­rison, Letitia Hitz, Ida M. Lambeth, Robert M. Lockwood, Robert H. Ryan, Lamar Smith, Jr., Tim Throckmorton Research Assistants: David Baylor, Charles Green, Thomas Hicks, Terry Throckmorton Statistical Assistants: Mildred Anderson, Constance Cool­edge, Judith Moran, Glenda Riley Statistical Technicians: Doris Dismuke, Mary Gorham Cartographers: Penelope Lewis, Douglas Winters, Jr. Librarian: Merle Danz Administrative Secretary: Ellen Young Senior Secretaries: Carolyn Harris, Binnie McCreary, Jeanette Pryor Senior Clerk Typists: Carolyn Langston, Shirley Rosendahl Administrati.ve Clerk: Nita Teeters Senior Clerk: Salvador B. Macias Clerks: Nancy Crossland, James Donaho, David King Off set Press Operators: Robert Dorsett, Daniel P. Rosas Published monthly by the Bureau of Business Research, Graduate School of Business. The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas 78712. Second-class postage paid at Austin. Texas. Content of this publi· cation is not copyri11:hted and may be reproduced freely, but acknow­ledEment of source will be appreciated. The views expressed by authon are not necessarily those of the Bureau of Business Research. SubecriP­tion. $3.00 a year: individual copies. 26 cents. THE BUSINESS SITUATION IN TEXAS John R. Stockton Business activity in Texas during November continued to reflect the boom that characterizes business all over the nation. The index of business activity compiled from data on bank debits reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas was 223.6 percent of the 1957-1959 base, a decline of 9 percent from the all-time record level of October. The level of the index, however, is still so high that it indicates an unprecedented volume of business in Texas. It was al­most inevitable that the extremely sharp rise in the index in October would be followed by some correction in Novem­ber. Even with this decline, the average of the two months, 234.6, is above the level for every month except July 1968, which was the record high at that time. The increase in Texas business was paced by a booming construction industry. After adjustment for seasonal varia­tion the index of construction authorized by permits in November rose 9 percent from October. The November in­dex was 228.9 percent of the 1957-1959 base, the highest level on record for this business indicator. It was 12 per­cent above the November 1967 index, and the first eleven months of 1968 were 10 percent ahead of the same period last year. The record level of the construction industry in 1968 is due more to residential construction than to nonresidential, although the latter has shown the greatest gain over the last ten years. The level of nonresidential construction was 247.9 percent of the 1957 base, but the year-to-date volume for 1968 is below the level of the same period last year by 10 percent. The revival of residential construction from its 1966 slump has been one of the major factors in the high level of Texas business during both 1967 and 1968. In the three years 1964, 1965, and 1966 the value of residential building permits issued declined, but 1967 was 35 percent above the previous year and the first eleven months of 1968 have risen 28 percent over the same period last year. This gro-wth is particularly significant in that it occurred de­spite increasingly high interest rates during these two years. The impact of such a large volume of construction on Texas business can hardly be overestimated. In the first eleven months of 1968 housing valued at $992 million was authorized. The value of total construction authorizerl dur­ing these eleven months was $1,970 million. Spending by consumers at retail stores in November also contributed substantial support to the level of business activity in the state, and all the forecasts indicate that the volume of Christmas sales will set a new record. Total retail sales in November are estimated to have been $1,671 million, an increase of 4 percent from October after adjust­ment for seasonal variation, and of 7 percent over Novem­ber 1967. For the first eleven months of 1968 sales were 10 percent ahead of the retail volume during the same period last year. Durable-goods stores report that in 1968 to date sales are 17 percent ahead of the first eleven months of 1967. Sales of motor-vehicle dealers are up 18 percent, furniture and appliance stores up 12 percent, and lumber, building­material, and hardware stores up 19 percent. Nondurable-goods sales show an increase of 7 percent, with the increases in the various kinds of business ranging from 3 percent in food stores to 14 percent in men's and boys' clothing stores and in full-line general merchandise stores. No monthly estimates of personal income are made for Texas, but the Department of Commerce data for the United States indicate for November a rise of $3.5 billion TEXAS BUSINESS ACTIVITY lndez Adjusted for Seasonal Variation-1951-1959•100 JANUARY 1969 250 200 150 100 50 0 ------1 SELECTED BAROMETERS OF TF.XAS BUSINESS (lnd1 -AdJu:ted for seasonal varia i in 1957-1. -100 Percent change Year-to-dat.e average Year-to-dat.e Nov 1968 1968 Nov Oct average from from Index 1968 1968 1968 Oct 1968 1967 Texas business activity 223.6 245.5 217.8 9 13 Crude-petroleum production .. ........107.4* 108.3* 113.0 1 Crude-oil runs to stills 125.3 129.2 131.5 3 Total electric-power 10 use .... . . . ...........235.7* 229.5* 225.7 Industrial electric-power 9 Bank debits . ........ . . 244.9 267.9 236.6 use .......... . .... ...215.4* 205.8* 202.1 16 Sales of ordinary life insurance .... . .......242.9 264.6 225.2 15 Building construction 9 10authorized ... . . .. . .. 228.9 209.6 177.0 28New residential ... . ..201.8 182.0 157.9 11 - New nonresidential ....247.9 253.0 203.8 -2 10 Miscellaneous freight carloadings in S.W. District .. .. ... ....... 88.5 87.4 85.2 Total nonfarm employment .........140.7* 140.0* 138.2 Manufacturing .. employment .........145.7* 145.8* 144.3 Total unemployment . ... 79.1 67.8 71.8 17 Insured unemployment .. 41.1 42.6 41.5 -4 -15 Average weekly earnings­ 8manufacturing .. . .....141.8* 141.5* 138.6 •• Average weekly hours- manufacturing ..... . 100.6* 101.0* 101.0 •• •• * Preliminary. •• Change is less than one half of 1 percent. to an annual rate of $707 billion. This level represents a record quarterly high, although the rate of increase was not so great as in the third quarter of 1968. Although there are no comparable data for Texas, the information avail­able on wage payments indicates that income in the state is maintaining at least as high a rate of growth as that for the nation. The rapid increase in individual income seems to have been effective in nullifying so far the reduction in disposable income resulting from the tax increase earlier in the year. The reduction in the extremely high saving rate prevailing earlier in the year is also reflected in increased consumer spending. Industrial production in the United States increased in November for the third consecutive month with a rise in the Federal Reserve index from 165.7 in October to 167.4 in November. This index has increased 5 percent during the past tvvelve months. Industrial power consumption in Texas increased 4 percent in November over October and stood at a level 13 percent higher than that of a year ago. On a national basis new orders for manufactured goods increased 8 percent in October, and preliminary indications are that a further increase occurred in November. Capital expenditure plans in the United States are im­portant indicators of changes in Texas business, since Texas business concerns have regularly secured a signifi­cant proportion of the money spent nationally for the expansion of business activity. Surveys of anticipated in­vestment in capital goods indicate that an increase of as much as 4 percent is expected for the fourth quarter of 1968 in comparison with the fourth quarter of 1967. The first quarter of 1968 registered a record expenditure, but this high was followed by a drop of 3 percent for the sec- POSTAL RECEIPT!:> SELECTED TEXAS CITIES Percent change Oct 19, 1968-Oct 19, 1968· Nov 15, 1968 Nov 15, 1968 from from Octl9, 1968-Sept 21, 1968-Oct 21, 1967­Nov 15, 1968 Oct 18, 1968 Nov 17, 1967 Alice 24,100 -6 22 ··················· 17,201 -4 28 Alvin ·················· Ballinger 6,491 •• 22 ·· ············· 4 10 Carrizo Springs 3,640 -8 Breckenridge ........... 10,639 ···· ····· Carthage 8,802 •• 24 ·············· · 31 Center 10,057 ·· ···· ··· ········ -12 -1Childress 7,826 ··············· 47 Cleveland 9,317 -14 ···· ·········· Coleman ............... 6,937 -12 2 Columbus 5,993 2 26 ········ ······ -19 24 Cuero 10,407 9 32 Commerce .............. 12,775 ········· ········· -15 Dalhart 7,236 13 ··· ············· Dumas 14,595 40 45 ···· ············· 10 El Campo . . . . . .. . . . . . . . 16,836 23 Electra 4,250 -19 ················· -5 Falfurrias 5,492 10 ··········· ··· Gainesville 22,455 13 35 ············· Galena Park . . . . . . . . . . . 10,524 Gilmer . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . 7,381 -7 15 Grand Prairie 92,923 63 123 ··· ······· 18 Hale Center . . . . . . .. . . . . 2,690 16 Hearne 5,194 ················· 8 35 Hempstead 8,465 ­ ············· 6 11 Hurst . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . 22,689 Hillsboro . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10,165 5 15 Kenedy 5,445 -16 11 ················ Kermit . . . . . . . .. . . .. . . . . 9,947 9 33 Kerrville 22,549 -3 26 ··············· La Grange .... .... ..... 7,071 -3 16 Lake Jackson . . . . . .. . . . 11,018 -15 20 Marlin . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . 10,020 14 34 Mathis 3,739 -10 27 ················· Navasota 6,809 -6 28 ······· ··· ·· ·· · Perryton . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . 11,828 10 38 Pittsburg ............... 6,726 7 32 Plano . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . 19,147 7 47 Port Lavaca · 14,319 4 11 ··········· Rusk . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . 6,524 -17 14 Seminole .. . . . . . .. . . . . . . 5,212 -27 -6 Taft 4,287 33 29 ··················· Texas City ... .......... 36,101 -15 Wharton ............... 11,307 -17 12 Winnsboro . . . . . .. . . . . . . 6,229 -24 35 Yoakum ................ 25,572 14 24 •• Change is less than one half of 1 percent.___________ ond quarter, after adjustment for seasonal variation. The third quarter, however, reversed this direction with an increase that brought the level back to that of the first quarter. If the fourth cuarter achieves the rate anticipated the increase of 4 percent will set a new record. All of the evidence indicates that Texas business is strong and may be expected to increase in volume. It is important, however, to look at the business picture in the country as a whole and also at the international situation. The changes in the level of business activity in Texas may differ somewhat from the changes in the nation, but it is very difficult for an area as large as Texas to run very long against the trend of national economy. Business is improving all over the country, but we are at the same time faced with a serious threat of inflation. The unstable international monetary situation threatens at any time to have a serious impact on the United States. The new ad­ ministration will face the possibility of serious threats against the dollar. It is true that the troubles facing ITY INDEXES FOR 20 SELECTED TEXAS CITIES fort seasora! variation-1957-'51 = Nov* Index 1968 Abilene ... . . .. . 137.2 Amarillo . . ......178.5 Austin . ...... . . 338.9 Beaumont .... .. 170.5 Corpus Christi ..156.9 Corsicana ... .... 145.2 Dallas .. ....... . 264.3 El Paso ... .. ...136.2 Fort Worth ....165.7 Galveston .. ....133.9 Houston .... . ...240.9 Laredo . ..... . ..223.8 Lubbock .... .. 166.3 Port Arthur ... . 104.4 San Angelo ....163.1 San Antonio ... . 202.3 Texarkana ..... . 244.7 Tyler .. ......... 165.2 Waco ....... ... . 181. 7 Wichita Falls ..147.7 * Preliminary. •• Change is less than one half of 1 percent. I I 350 JOO 2SO 200 ISO 100 so I I I - ~ !"""'\ ,..,.. I'.., I ~ ,,.,_. ~- ~,..., rv-• I I I I I I I 1955 1956 1957 1951 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 196A INS 1966 1967 1961 OI'E Shaded area• lDdlcale period• o( dacHn• of tocal b\aemeH acDYity tn the United States. SO R.CE U.S. De artment of A ru:ult\.lre. France and England have resulted in a flow of capital to the l·nited States, ,,·hich has given this country some re­lief. Ho,ve\·er, the instability of our present position is illustrated by the startling reaction created by the Secre­tary of the Treasury-designate when he made a remark that failed to state unequivocally that the United States would not de,·alue the dollar. It continues to be highly im­portant that inflation be brought under control and that the international balance of !Jayments be improved. The action of the Federal Reserve banks in raising the rediscount rate to 5.5 percent indicates the concern of the System over the threat of inflation. It "·ill be important in coming months that inflation be at least slowed do,vn. but that the pressure applied be not so great that it will bring about an increase in unemployment. It has become accepted that one of the primary responsibilities of the federal government is to keep unemployment at a low level with­out bringing about a serious inflation. This is a difficult course to steer. but how well it is done \vill have an im­portant effect on the course rif business in Texas over the coming months. The potential for a continued high level of business is present, and it is to be hoped that it can be maintained \Yithout t oo much inflation. PRICES RECEIVED BY FARMERS ALL FARM PRODUCTS, TEXAS lnd,.a AdJU•ted for S•aaon•I Var,.t1on-19JO.J914=100 I Percent change Year-to-date average Year-to-date Nov 1968 1968 Oct• average 1968 1968 143.3 134.4 215.0 190.8 361.9 272.8 198.1 188.8 161.0 155.7 162.6 158.9 302.9 260.1 158.7 138.9 181.4 169.2 117.3 129.6 260.9 235.5 230.9 217.3 176.7 160.9 114.6 112.1 163.7 157.9 216.0 196.2 259.1 236.2 182.6 160.2 194.7 174.6 161.4 139.5 from from Oct 1968 1967 -4 -2 -17 -6 -14 -3 -11 -13 -14 -9 14 8 -6 -6 -10 7 -8 13 32 9 7 17 5 15 11 13 13 2 1 9 14 11 9 10 6 J50 300 250 200 150 100 50 I 2SO 200 ISO so NOTE; 1955 NOTE; 350 1955 *M•nu.f1c1u.re1 and m1nerall hnclud1n1 crude-oil and naturat-11• produi::tion) NOTE: Shaded ll'll• ui.dicate per1oda of dedtne of total bU111nea1 act1viiv in the Unated St.tea. SOURCE: Federal Reterve B:ar:r.k of Dallas. INDUSTRIAL ELECTRIC-POWER USE, TEXAS /ndea Ad.if.l•ted for SHaonal Varlation-JJ51·lf5f•IOO 3SO JOO 250 200 150 ... so 1955 1956 1957 1951 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 196• 1965 1966 1967 1961 l'fOTE: Shaded area• 1nd1cate penoda of decline of total bu1ine11 activity 1.n the United Statee. CRUDE-OIL RUNS TO STILLS, TEXAS Index Adjusted for Seaaona/ Var1i1t1on-lf$1-JIJ,•100 Shaded area1 1ndiu.te ~node of dechne of total bu.1lnea1 actav1ty l.n tbe United Stat.ea. CRUDE-OIL PRODUCTION, TEXAS 1956 1957 1951 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 19H 1966 1967 1961 Shaded U'eaa incb.cate period• of decline of total b1uinee1 activity la tbe Uru.ted State•. INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION, TEXAS• /ndes Adju1ted tor S•Hon•I Var1atton-1951-1'Jf•IOO HO I 300 250 200 ISO 100 50 19.56 1957 1951 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1'67 1961 POPULATION ESTIMATES FOR TEXAS COUN APRIL 1, 1968 Benjamin S. Bradshaw** The population of Texas continued to increase moderately between April 1, 1967, and April 1, 1968. The April 1, 1968, population' was approximately 10,945,000-an increase of about 118,000 over the total for 1967. The average rate of increase during the year was 1.1 percent,' somewhat lower than the average annual rate of 1.7 percent for the eight­year period 1960-1968. This modest increase was attribut­able in part to the continued decline in the total number of births-there were only 203,000 births to Texas residents in 1967 compared to 247,000 in 1960-and to the secular increase in deaths, which numbered 86,000 in 1967 but only 77,000 in 1960.' These trends are consistent with those in most other states of the United States. Overall, since 1960, the population of Texas has grown only about 14.3 percent. Except for that of California, a 22.3-percent increase, Texas' rate of growth was larger than that for any state having a population of 10 million or more in 1968. Nevertheless, growth of the population in the current decade is decidedly less than in either the 1940's or the 1950's. Population growth since 1960 has not been uniform over the state, urban rates being noticeably higher than those for rural areas. The number of persons living in standard metropolitan statistical areas (SMSA's) increased by 18.2 percent, while the nonmetropolitan population-that is, persons living outside SMSA's-grew by only 5.4 percent. As a result of these substantially different growth rates the metropolitan population now comprises 71.4 percent of the Texas population compared with 69.0 percent in 1960. About 88.2 percent of the total population increase in the state since 1960 has occurred in SMSA's. Not all SMSA's have shared in the metropolitan popula­ tion growth. Some, such as Abilene and Waco, have re­ mained virtually unchanged. Significant losses have oc­ •Prepared by Population Research Center, Department of Sociology, The U~iversity of Texas at Austin. Comments and inquiries regarding the est1matei shou ld be addressed to the Population Research Center. ••or. Bradshaw is assistant professor of sociology and research asso­ ciate with the Population Research Center at The University of Texas at Austin. 1Based on a provisional estimate for July l, 1968, and a final esti­ mate for July l , 1967, presented in United States Bureau of the Census, "Estimates of the Population of States: July 1, 1967 and 1968" Current Population Reports, Population Estimates, Series P-25, No. 40,3. 2Most of the rates of change shown in this report are based on the formula for exponential population change: 1 Pt r=t(logePo) 100 wh~re .r is the average annual growth rate, p0 is the population at the be;pnnmg of the period (1960), Pt is the population at the end of tho period (1968), and t is the number of years in the period (eight, in this case). Rates are expressed in percent. 'Tex.as State Department of Health, "Vital Statistics-Texas, 1966" (A~stm, n.d.). Unpublished births and deaths for 1967 were also made available by the State Department of Health. curred in other SMSA's, including Midland, Odessa, Brownsville-Harlingen-San Benito, and McAllen-Pharr­Edinburg. This is a remarkable reversal of past popula­tion growth, particularly for Midland and Odessa, which had increased 162.6 percent and 116.1 percent, respectively, from 1950 to 1960. Certain technical aspects of our estimating procedures and deficiencies in the various types of data employed may have caused our estimates for these apparently losing SMSA's to be too low. The trend indicated, however, ap­pears to be correct. Estimates for July 1, 1966, show sub­stantial net out-migration from the counties forming these areas.' Over 54 percent of the total 1960-1968 population in­crease in Texas was in the two largest SMSA's, Dallas and Houston. Together, these two areas grew by a total of over 745,000 persons. The percent increase for each of them was about the same (over 29 percent), but Houston's absolute gain of 418,000 was considerably larger than Dallas' growth of 327,000. According to our estimates the combined Houston and Galveston-Texas City SMSA's have now passed the 2­million mark, and the combined population of the Dallas and Fort Worth SMSA's is even larger-2,145,000. Almost 38 percent of the population of Texas now resides in these two metropolitan agglomerations. Population changes in the nonmetropolitan areas of the state have hardly been more uniform than in the metro­politan portions. As in the past, many counties have lost population in the last eight years. In a number of cases this represents a continuation of a trend begun in the 1950-1960 decade, or even earlier. There were few counties outside SMSA's that experienced really unusual population increases. Users of these population estimates should be aware that in every case the county estimates are subject to several sou.rces of error in the data employed in preparing the es~1mates and in the assumptions, implicit or explicit, re­ qmred by the estimating procedures. Estimates for very small counties are especially subject ~o error because relatively minor year-to-year fluctuations :n the school-age population, births, and deaths may result m exaggerated changes in population estimates. In addition, counties with unusual age structures, or large military and college populations, or large concentrations of ethnic groups having distinctive fertility or migration patterns are frequently not amenable to the usual estimating pro­ cedures. I.t is suggested that users of Population Research Center e.stimates compare our estimates with those recently pub­lished for counties and standard metropolitan statistical 'United States Bureau of the Census, "Estimates of the Population of Counties, July 1, 1966" (Report No. 3), Current Population Reports, Povulation Estimates, Series P-25, No. 407. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Table 1 EST! IATES OF POPl'LATJON FOR TEXAS COCNTIES, APRIL 1, 1968, WITH ST ATED AVERAGE ANNUAL CHANGE SINCE APRIL 1, 1960 Population Change 1960-1968 Population Change 1960-1968 County April 1, 1968 (estimated) April 1, 1960 (census) Number Average annual percent County April 1, 1968 (estimated) April 1, 1960 (census) Number Average annual percent TE'XAS 10,945.000 9,579.677 1,365,000 1.7 Ector 83,200 90,995 -7,800 -1.1 Anderson 30,200 28,162 2,000 0.9 Edwards 2,500 2,317 lOu 0.8 Andrews 9,000 13,450 -4,500 -5.1 Ellis 47,300 43,395 3,900 1.1 Angelina 46,800 39,814 6,900 2.0 El Paso 343,800 314,070 29,800 1.1 Aransas 9,600 7,006 2,600 4.0 Erath 18,300 16,236 2,000 1.5 Archer 6,200 6,110 100 0.2 Falls 19,300 21,263 -2,000 -1.2 Armstrong 2,100 1,966 200 1.0 Fannin 24,900 23,880 1,000 0.5 Atascosa 20,600 18,828 1,800 1.1 Fayette 19,000 20,384 -1,300 -0.9 Austin 14,300 13,777 500 0.5 Fisher 7,600 7,865 -300 -0.5 Bailey 9,700 9,090 600 0.8 Floyd 12,600 12,369 200 0.2 Bandera 4,500 3,892 600 1.7 Foard 2,500 3,125 -600 -2.8 Bastrop 17,000 16,925 100 0.1 Fort Bend 51,300 40,527 10,800 3.0 Baylor 5,800 5,893 -100 -0.2 Franklin 5,600 5,101 500 1.3 Bee 23,500 23,755 -300 -0.l Freestone 11,800 12,525 -700 -0.7 Bell 120,700 94,097 26,600 3.1 Frio 12,600 10,112 2,500 2.8 Bexar 802,500 687,151 115,300 1.9 Gaines 12, 700 12,267 400 0.4 Blanco 3,500 3,657 -200 -0.7 Galveston 168,600 140,364 28,300 2.3 Borden 1,200 1,076 100 1.0 Garza 5,400 6,611 -1,200 -2.6 Bosque 11,400 10,809 600 0.7 Gillespie 11,900 10,048 1,900 2.2 Bowie 71,500 59,971 11,600 2.2 Glasscock 1,200 1,118 100 1.0 Brazoria 106,000 76,204 29,800 4.1 Goliad 5,000 5,429 -400 -0.9 Brazos 48,000 44,895 3,100 0.8 Gonzales 17,800 17,845 -0.0 Brewster 7,000 6,434 600 1.1 Gray 26,100 31,535 -5,500 -2.4 Briscoe 3,300 3,577 -300 -0.9 Grayson 80,500 73,043 7,500 1.2 Brooks 9,000 8,609 400 0.6 Gregg 76,600 69,436 7,100 1.2 Brown 26,000 24,728 1,300 0.6 Grimes 12,200 12,709 -500 -0.6 Burleson 10,700 11 ,177 -500 -0.5 Guadalupe 34,600 29,017 5,600 2.2 Burnet 10,100 9,265 900 1.1 Hale 46,100 36,798 9,300 2.8 Caldwell 17,800 17,222 600 0.4 Hall 6,300 7,322 -1,000 -1.9 Calhoun 20,200 16,592 3,700 2.5 Hamilton 8,100 8,488 -400 -0.6 Callahan 9,600 7,929 1,700 2.4 Hansford 7,300 6,208 1,100 2.1 Cameron 134,900 151,098 -16,200 -1.4 Hardeman 7,500 8,275 -700 -1.2 Camp 8,200 7,849 300 0.5 Hardin 30,900 24,629 6,300 2.8 Carson 6,600 7,781 -1.200 -2.l Harris 1,597,800 1,243,158 354,700 3.1 Cass 25,300 23,496 1,800 0.9 Harrison 42,400 45,594 -3,100 -0.9 Castro 11 ,800 8,923 2, 00 3.5 Hartley 2,900 2,171 700 3.4 Chambers 12,200 10,379 1,800 2.0 Haskell 9,400 11,174 -1,800 -2.2 Cherokee 34,200 33.120 1,100 0.4 Hays 28,300 19,934 8,400 4.4 Childress 7,000 8,421 -1,400 -2.3 Hemphill 3,500 3,185 300 1.2 Clay 8,400 8,351 o.o Henderson 27,600 21,786 5,900 3.0 Cochran 6,700 6,417 300 0.5 Hidalgo 177,100 180,904 -3,800 -0.3 Coke 3,200 3,589 -400 -1.6 Hill 22,800 23,650 -800 -0.5 Coleman 10,800 12,458 -1,700 -1.8 Hockley 22,300 22,340 -0.0 Collin 58,700 41,247 17,500 4.4 Hood 5,700 5,443 200 0.5 Collingsworth 5,500 6,276 -800 -1.7 Hopkins 21,700 18,594 3,100 2.0 Colorado 18,500 18,463 0.0 Houston 20,900 19,376 1,500 0.9 Comal 23,200 19,84 4 3,300 1.9 Howard 39,500 40,139 -600 -0.2 Comanche 13,400 11 ,865 1,500 1.5 Hudspeth 2,600 3,343 -700 -2.9 Cor.cho 3,400 3,672 -200 -0.9 Hunt 45,800 39,399 6,400 1.9 Cooke 24,800 22,560 2,200 1.2 Hutchinson 24,400 34,419 -10,000 -4.3 Coryell 34,700 23,961 10, 700 4.6 Irion 1,100 1,183 -0.3 Cottle 3,400 4,207 -800 -2.6 Jack 6,600 7,418 -800 -1.5 Crane 4,200 4.699 -500 -1.4 Jackson 14,100 14,040 100 0.1 Crockett 4,200 4,209 0.0 Jasper 27,700 22,100 5,600 2.8 Crosby 12,200 10,347 1,800 2.1 Jeff Davis 1,400 1,582 -100 -1.2 Culberson 3,900 2,794 1,100 4.3 Jefferson 247,600 245,659 1,900 0.1 Dallam 6,500 6,302 200 0.5 Jim Hogg 4,800 5,022 -200 -0.5 Dallas 1,231,000 951,527 279,500 3.2 Jim Wells 31,500 34,548 -3,000 -1.2 Dawson 17, 700 19,185 -1,500 -1.0 Johnson 44,900 34,720 10,200 3.2 Deaf Smith 19,200 13,187 6,000 4.7 Jones 19,200 19,299 -100 -0.1 Delta 5,900 5,860 100 0.2 Karnes 14,200 14,995 -800 -0.7 Denton 71,100 47,432 23,700 5.1 Kaufman 31,400 29,931 1,500 0.6 De Witt 19,800 20,683 -900 -0.5 Kendall 6,800 5,889 900 1.7 Dickens 4,300 4,963 -600 -1.8 Kenedy 700 884 -200 -2.5 Dimmit 8,300 10,095 -1,800 -2.4 Kent 1,700 1,727 -100 -0.4 Donley 4,400 4,449 -100 -0.2 Kerr 20,700 16,800 3,900 2.6 Duval 13,700 13,398 300 0.3 Kimble 4,200 3,943 200 0.7 Eastland 18,400 19,526 -1,100 -0.7 King 600 640 -100 -1.3 Change 1960-1968 Population Average April 1, April 1, annual 1968 1960 Number percent County (estimated) (census) Kinney Kleberg Knox Lamar Lamb Lampasas La Salle Lavaca Lee Leon Liberty Limestone Lipscomb Live Oak Llano Loving Lubbock Lynn McCulloch McLennan McMullen Madison Marion Martin Mason Matagorda Maverick Medina Menard Midland Milam Mills Mitchell Montague Montgomery Moore Morris Motley Nacogdoches Navarro Newton Nolan Nueces Ochiltree Oldham Orange Palo Pinto Panola Parker Parmer Pecos Polk Potter Presidio Rains Randall Reagan Real Red River Reeves Refugio Roberts Robertson Rockwall Runnels Rusk Sabine San Augustine San Jacinto San Patricio San Saba Schleicher Scurry Shackelford 2,100 30,900 6,900 36,800 21,100 8,600 5,600 19,700 8,800 10.100 35,200 22,000 3,800 7,200 7,100 100 198,600 9,400 9,800 148,400 1,200 8,000 7,700 5,100 4,100 31,700 19,800 20,500 2,900 65,200 20,600 4,500 10,800 15,800 46,400 14,200 11,900 2,400 33,800 32,500 11,500 16,800 232,500 10,000 2,500 72,900 26,800 17,400 29,800 11,800 12,000 14,600 119,700 5,900 3,500 57,400 3,400 2,100 16,300 15,300 10,200 700 14,900 6,600 12,800 34,900 7,800 8,000 7,200 47,200 6,800 2,700 14,300 3,500 2,452 30,052 7,857 34,234 21,896 9,418 5,972 20,174 8,949 9,951 31,595 20,413 3,406 7,846 5,240 226 156,271 10,914 8,815 150,091 1,116 6,749 8,049 5,068 3,780 25,744 14,508 18,904 2,964 67,717 22,263 4,467 11,255 14,893 26,839 14,773 12,576 2,870 28,046 34,423 10,372 18,963 221,573 9,380 1,928 60,357 20,516 16,870 22,880 9,583 11,957 13,861 115,580 5,460 2,993 33,913 3,782 2,079 15,682 17,644 10,975 1,075 16,157 5,878 15,016 36,421 7,302 7,722 6,153 45,021 6,381 2,791 20,369 3,990 -300 800 -900 2,600 -800 -800 -400 -500 -100 100 3,600 1,600 400 -600 l,800 -100 42,300 -1,500 1,000 -1,700 100 1,200 -300 300 6,000 5,300 1,600 -2,500 -1,700 -400 900 19,500 -600 -700 -500 5,800 -1,900 1,100 -2,200 10,900 600 500 12,500 6,300 600 6,900 2,300 800 4,100 400 600 23,500 -400 600 -2,300 -800 -300 -1,200 700 -2,200 -1,500 500 300 1,000 2,200 400 -100 -6,000 -400 -1.9 0.3 -1.6 0.9 -0.5 -1.l -0.8 -0.3 -0.2 0.2 1.3 0.9 1.3 -1.0 3.7 -7.9 3.0 -1.8 1.3 -0.1 2.1 -0.5 -0.0 1.0 0.9 2.6 3.9 1.0 -0.2 -0.5 -1.0 0.1 -0.5 0.8 6.8 -0.5 -0.7 -2.3 2.3 -0.7 1.3 -1.5 0.6 0.8 3.1 2.4 3.4 0.4 3.3 2.7 0.1 0.7 0.4 1.0 2.2 6.6 -1.3 -0.0 0.5 -1.8 -0.9 -4.6 -1.0 1.4 -2.0 -0.5 0.9 0.4 1.9 0.6 0.8 -0.3 -4.4 -1.5 Population Change 1960-1968 County April 1, 1968 (estimated) April l, 1960 (census) Number Average annual percent Shelby Sherman 21,400 3,300 20,479 2,605 900 700 0.5 3.1 Smith 99,100 86,350 12,800 1.7 Somervell 2,900 2,577 300 1.4 Starr 20,300 17,137 3,100 2.1 Stephens 8,200 8,885 -700 -1.1 Sterling 1,100 1,177 -100 -1.1 Stonewall 3,000 3,017 -100 -0.2 Sutton 3,900 3,738 200 0.6 Swisher 12,300 10,607 1,700 1.9 Tarrant 634,500 538,495 96,000 2.1 Taylor 100,900 101,078 -200 -0.0 Terrell 2,200 2,600 -400 -2.2 Terry 17,700 16,286 1,400 1.0 Throckmorton 2,400 2,767 -300 -1.6 Titus 17,500 16, 785 700 0.5 Tom Green 75,200 64,630 10,600 1.9 Travis 263,800 212,136 51,700 2.7 Trinity 7,700 7,539 200 0.3 Tyler 12,000 10,666 1,300 1.4 Upshur 21,400 19,793 1,600 1.0 Upton 4,300 6,239 -2,000 -4.7 Uvalde 19,600 16,814 2,700 1.9 Val Verde 26,300 24,461 1,800 0.9 Van Zandt 22,400 19,091 3,300 2.0 Victoria 56,800 46,475 10,300 2.5 Walker 28,500 21,475 7,100 3.6 Waller 14,700 12,071 2,600 2.5 Ward 12,500 14,917 -2,400 -2.2 Washington 19,500 19,145 400 0.3 Webb 79,300 64,791 14,500 2.5 Wharton 39,600 38,152 1,500 0.5 Wheeler 6,800 7,947 -1,200 -2.0 Wichita 126,000 123,528 2,400 0.3 Wilbarger 16,200 17,748 -1,500 -1.1 Willacy 14,800 20,084 -5,300 -3.8 Williamson 37,500 35,044 2,500 0.9 Wilson 14, 700 13,267 1,400 1.3 Winkler 9,200 13,652 -4,400 -4.9 Wise 20,200 17,012 3,200 2.2 Wood 19,700 17,653 2,100 1.4 Yoakum 7,500 8,032 -500 -0.8 Young 15,100 17,254 -2,200 -1.7 Zapata 4,300 4,393 -100 -0.2 Zavala 14,200 12,696 1,500 1.4 areas by the Bureau of the Census.' These additional sets of estimates may be of value where additional information on county population trends is needed. Population estimates for Texas counties have been pre­pared by the Population Research Center of The Univer­sity of Texas at Austin ever y year since 1960.' Methods for making these estimates have varied during this time. In the 'U.S. Bureau of the Census, "Estimates of the Population of Counties, July 1, 1966" (Report No. 3), and "'Provisional Estimates of the Popu­lation of 100 Large Metropolitan Areas: July l , 1967," Current Popula­tion Reports, Population Estimates, Series P-25, Nos. 407 and 411. 6See "Population Estimates for Texas Counties, Standard Metropoli­tan Statistical Areas and Urbanized Areas, April 1, 1961," Texas Busi­ ness Review, XXXVI (January 1962) , pp. 7-8; "Population Estimates for Texas Counties, 1961 and 1962," Texas Business Review, XXXVII (April 1963), pp. 79-88; "Popula tion Estimates for Texas Counties. 1963," Texas Busines·s Rexiew, XXXVIII (March 1964), pp. 69-72; "Population Estimates for Texas Counties, 1964," Texas Business Re­ view, XXXIX (March 1965) , pp. 76-79; "Population Estimates for Texas Counties. 1965," Texas Busin ess· Review, XL (March 1966). PP· 88-91 ; "Population Estimates for Texas Counties, April 1, 1966." Texas Business Review, XLI (January 1967), pp. 12-15 ; "Population Estimates fvr Texas Counties, April 1, 1967," Texas Business Review, XLII (March 1968) . pp. 76-80. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Table 2 POPl LATION OF STANDARD METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREAS <\ D "" ·sT'"'UFNT COUNTIES, 1968 _ 19 n , ED 1, 19r Population Change 1960-1968 standard m etropolitan statistical area, with counties Aprill, 1968 (estimated) Aprill, 1960 (census) Number Average annual percent TOTAL 7,818,000 6,611,665 1,206,000 2.1 1. Abilene 120,100 120,377 -300 -0.0 J ones 19,200 19,299 -100 -0.1 Taylor 100,900 101,078 -200 -0.0 2. Amarillo 177,100 149,493 27,600 2.1 Potter 119,700 115,580 4,100 0.4 Randall 57,400 33,913 23,500 6.6 3. Austin 263,800 212,136 51,700 2.7 Travis 263,800 212,136 51,700 2.7 4. Beaumont-Port Arthur-Ora nge 320,500 306,016 14,400 0.6 Jefferson 247,600 245,659 1,900 0.1 Orange 72,900 60,357 12,500 2.4 5. Brownsville­ H arlingen-San Benito 134,900 151,098 -16,200 -1.4 Cameron 134,900 151,098 -16,200 -1.4 6. Corpus Christi 279,700 266,594 13,100 0.6 Nueces 232,500 221,573 10,900 0.6 San Patricio 47,200 45,021 2,100 0.6 7. Dallas l,446,100 l,119,410 326,700 3.2 Collin 58,700 41,247 17,500 4.4 Dallas 1,231,000 951,527 279,500 3.2 Denton 71,100 47,432 23,700 5.1 Ellis 47,300 43,395 3,900 1.1 Kaufman 31,400 29,931 1,500 0.6 Rockwall 6,600 5, 78 700 1.4 8. El Paso 343,800 314,070 29,800 1.1 El Paso 343,800 314,070 29,800 1.1 9. Fort Worth 679,400 573,215 106,200 2.1 Johnson 44,900 34,720 10,200 3.2 Tarrant 634,500 538,495 96,000 2.1 10. Galveston­ Texas City 168,600 140,364 28,300 2.3 Galveston 168,600 140,364 28,300 2.3 11. Houston 1,836,700 1,418,323 418,400 3.2 Brazoria 106,000 76,204 29,800 4.1 Fort Bend 51,300 40,527 10, 00 3.0 Harris 1,597,800 1,243,158 354,700 3.1 Liberty 35,200 31,595 3,600 1.3 Montgomery 46,400 26,839 73,200 6.8 12. Laredo 79,300 64, 791 14,500 2.5 Webb 79,300 64,791 14,500 2.5 13. Lubbock 198,600 156,271 42,300 3.0 Lubbock 198,600 156,271 42,300 3.0 14. McAllen-Pharr­ Edinburg 177,100 180,904 -3,800 -0.3 Hildalgo 177,100 180,904 -3. 00 -0.3 15. Midland 65,200 67,717 -2,500 -0.5 Midland 65,200 67,717 -2,500 -0.5 16. Odessa 3,200 90,995 -7,800 -1.1 Ector 83,200 90,995 -7,800 -1.1 17. San Angelo 75,200 64,630 10,600 1.9 Tom Green 75,200 64,630 10,600 1.9 18. San Antonio 837,100 716,168 120,900 2.0 Bexar 802,500 687,151 115,300 1.9 Guadalupe 34,600 29,017 5,600 2.2 19. Sherman-Den ison 80,500 73,043 7,500 1.2 Grayson 80,500 73,043 7,500 1.2 20. Texarkana (Texas portion ) 71,500 59,971 11,500 2.2 Bo,vie 71,500 59,971 11,500 2.2 21. Tyler 99,100 86,350 12,700 1.7 Smith 99,100 86,350 12,700 1.7 22. Waco 14 ,400 150,091 -1,700 -0.1 McLennan 14 ,400 150,091 -1,700 -0.1 23. Wichita Falls 132,200 129,638 2,500 0.3 Archer 6,200 6,110 100 0.2 Wichita 126,000 123,528 2,400 0.3 most recent years three methods have been used, methods based respectively on the scholastic census, on vital statis­tics, and on passenger-car registrations.' These three meth­ods, and an innovation by which the lJ.S. Bureau of the Census yearly estimate for the total population of Texas was used, constituted the bases for generating the 1966 and 1967 estimates. The same procedure has been followed this year for estimating the population of Texas counties and of the standard metropolitan statistical areas. As in the previous years in which these three methods have been used, Method I, based on the scholastic census, has produced the most reliable estimate. It tends to yield county estimates intermediate between those resulting from l\Iethod II (based on vital statistics), which tends to produce the lowest county estimates, and those from Method III (based on car registrations), which tends to produce the highest county estimates. The innovation of using a total Texas population esti­mate derived from state estimates by the Bureau of the Census has been followed again this year.' The Population Research Center's state total, produced by summing the county estimates, has consistently produced a total state estimate that is somewhat different from that derived from Bureau of the Census figures. The Population Research Center's state figure has been brought into congruence with the Bureau's state total. After preparation of the estimates for each county the county figures were multiplied by an adjustment factor in order to produce a congruence of the overall state total between the estimates of the Bureau of the Census and those of the Population Research Center. This factor is generated by taking the July 1 provisional state estimate for 1968 issued by the Bureau, adjusting it to make it consistent with the April 1 data of the Population Research Center, and calculating the ratio between the Bureau of the Census state total and the Population Research <:;enter figure. This procedure ordinarily improves the county estimates by making them more nearly consistent with the state total. However, since it is necessary to employ the Bureau of the Census' pro,·isional Texas population estimate for 1968, an unknown degree of error may be introduced. The Bureau·s provisional estimate of July 1, 1967, exceeded its final estimate for 1967 by about 26,000, so that the Popula­ tion Research Center's county estimates for 1967 were artificially high by a small amount. This same discrepancy may result in the 1968 figures. Estimates have been rounded to the nearest hundred for counties and to the nearest thousand for the state. Rates of change are based on unrounded numbers. Method I. The Method I estimates in Tables 1 and 2 are based on the following formu la: M = L + [ (H) (I)) + (J-K). Each variable in this formula is described below: A = Number of potential scholastic.s for year X. For example. the potential scholastics for 1968 \year X in this case) are persons born during 1960, plus persons 0-10 enumerated in the 1960 federal census. 7Part of the basic data necessary for the preparation of these esti­n1ates were supplied through the cooperation of the Texas Education Agency, the Texas State Department of Health. and the Texas Highway Department. These agencies, however, are not to be held responsible for the estimates presented here. 5U.S. Bureau of the Census, "Estimates of the Population of States: July 1, 1967 and 1968," Current Population Reports, Population Esti­ mates, Series P -25. N o. 40 3. 7 B Number of potential scholastics dying between birth or 1960 and year X. If A is a particular potential scholastic cohort, 1 the number of deaths of A persons up to year X is subtracted. 1 For example, suppose Ais persons 2 yea.rs of age in the 1 1960 federal census and X is 1964. Then the deaths of are A1 the number of persons 2 years of age who died in 1960, plus the number 3 years of age who died in 1961, plus 4-year-olds who died during 1962, plus 5-year-olds who died during 1963. B is thus the number in cohort Adying between 1960 and 1 1963 (inclusive). plus the number in A2 dying between 1960 and 1963, etc. c Number of persons 6-17 years of age enumerated in the 1960 = federal census. A-B D = -c- E Number of persons enumerated in scholastic census for 1960. F D x E, giving expected number of scholastics in year X with no = net migration of scholastics. G Actual number of scholastics enumerated in schohstic census for = year X. H G -F, the increase or decrease of scholastics attributable to migration. Migration multiplier, which is taken as the ratio of the t.otal population to the number of persons 6-17 years of age in 1960. J Number of resident births between 1960 and year X (for example, when X is 1968, it is the number of births during 1960, 1961, 1962, 1963, 1964, 1965, 1966, and 1967). K = Number of resident deaths between 1960 and year X. L = Resident 1960 population according to the federal census of 1960. M Estimated population for year X. = The crucial factor in the estimation formula is the migration multiplier. The first step taken in the computation of a migration mul­tiplier for each Texas county ia to determine the 1960 potential number of persons 6-17 years of age (henceforth referred to as scholastics) given the age composition of the county's population in 1950, and the births and deaths in the county during the 1950-1960 decade. In this instance the 1960 potential number of scholastics is all persons 0-7 years of age in 1950 plus all persons born between April 1, 1950, and April l, 1954. Subtraction of the estimated number of deaths of potential scholastics from the total yields the expected number of scholastics in 1960. The diflerence between the number of expected scholastics in 1960 and the number of persons 6-17 years of age enumerated in the 1960 federal census is indicative of net migration. For example, if the 1960 expeeted number of scholastics in a county is 150, but the number of persons 6-17 years of age enumerated in the 1960 federal census is 200, then the esti­mate of net migration of scholastics over the decade 1950-1960 is 50. Since the total net migration over the years 1950-1960 ia known for each county, the division of total net migration by the estimate of scholastic net migration yields a migration multiplier for each county (referred to as the "obtained" migration multiplier) . For example, if the 1950-1960 total net migration is 500 and the estimated scholastic net migration is 125, then the obtained migration multiplier is 4.00 (that is, a gain of one scholastic from migration represents a gain of four migrants of all ages). In most cases this operation yields a plausible multiplier. However, the problem case is the county with a very small migration. To illustrate, if a county gained only two scholastics from migration, it may have lost a few persons as far as total migration is concerned. In such a case, it is not possible to compute a migration multiplier. Then there may be cases when a county gained three scholas­tics from migration but gained 30 from total migration. In such a case the ob~ai~ed migration multiplier would be 10.00, but this extremely high value is hkely to reflect nothing more than minor errors in the estimates of deaths of potential scholastics, inaccuracies in the 1950 federal census enumeration, and/or inaccuracies in the enumeration of the 1960 federal census. Rather than use extremely high or extremely low obtained migration multipliers for some counties (most of which have a very small popula­tion), . it was decided to compute a state total (the sum of all counties) of estimated scholastic net migration and total net migration. The divi­sion of the latter by the former yields a state-obtained migration multi­plier of 4.35, which corresponds very closely to the 1960 ratio of the tota l population of the state to the number of persons 6-17 years of age the ratio being 4.26. Further analysis of 1960 census figures revealed tha~ the ratio of total intercounty migrants (persons who in 1960 did not reside in the same county as 1955) to intercounty migrants 6-17 years of age is 4.25.9 'See U. S. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Census of Population: 1960. PC (I )-45D (Washington: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1962), 8 Table 3 DISTRIBUTION OF TEXAS COUNTIES ACCORDING TO AVERAGE ANNUAL PERCENT CHANGE OF POPULATION, 1960-1968 Average annual percent change Number of counties Percent distribution of counties Gains : 6.0 and over . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . • . . . . . . . . 2 0.8 4.0 to 5.9 . . . . . . . • . . . . . . • . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 3.1 2.0 to 3.9 . ......•.... .. . .. .. . ....... 46 18.1 0.0 to 1.0 .. . ......... . .............. 97 38.2 Subtotal gaining counties .. . . ... .....153 60.2 Losses : -1.9 to -0.0 ....................... 78 3o.7 -3.9 to -2.0 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 6.3 -5.9 to -4.0 6 2.4 Over -6.0 . .. .. .................. . . . 0.4 Subtotal losing counties ..............101 39.8 Grand total ...... . . . ................254 100.0 These comparisons suggest a fairly close relationship between the obtained migration multiplier and the ratio of the total population to persons 6-17 years of age. Further substantiation is found by inspeCtion of the two figures for individual counties. Generally counties with a high obtained migration multiplier have also a high age ratio, and the reverse also is generally true. Moreover, there is generally a close agree­ment between the age ratio and the obtained migration multiplier in counties with a large population, where minor errors are least likely to create extremely high or extremely low obtained migration multipliers. Finally, in a large proportion of the counties the ratio of the total popu­lation to persons 6-17 years of age is between 3.35 and 5.35, values within 1.00 of the obtained migration multiplier for the state as a whole. All of these observations clearly suggest that the use of the ratio of the total population to persons 6-17 years of age as the migration multiplier is justified. Although the major question in the use of Method I is the migration multiplier, several other possible sources of inaccuracy exist. The formula assumes the accuracy of the 1960 federal census and each annual scholas· tic census for the years 1960-1967. It further assumes the reliability of the following vital statistics for the years considered: deaths of potential scholastics, total deaths, and total births. Although minor changes may be made in the future, the basic features of the estimation formula of Method I will be retained in making annual population estimates up to the year of the next federal census, 1970. Method II. The second method generates a 1968 estimate based on the ratio of the 1960 census population to the 1959 number of resident births and deaths times the 1967 number of resident births and deaths. The formula for a Method II €stimate is : P= [P/(B+ D)] 68 6059 59 (B07 + D67), \~here P" is the 1968 p-p·.i:ation estimate, P'° is the 1960 census populat10n, is the number of resident births in 1959, D is B59 59 the number of resident deaths in 1959, B is the number of resident 67 births in 1967, and 0 67 is the number of resident deaths in 1967. Method II assumes that the numbers of resident births and deaths registered for a county are reliable, and it further assumes that neither the birth rate nor the death rate of the county has changed substantially between the census year and the estimate year. This year a revision of Method II was employed for some counties, a change which takes into account trends in the birth and death rates during the Postcensal pericd. The data employed are the same as in Method II, but the manipulation of the data is different. There are several steps in this Procedure. carried out separately for birth and death rates. county births 1959 Texas births 19591) ho county population 1960 Texes popu1ahon 1960 Bo county births 1967 Texas births 19672) bt = Bt = county populaticn 1968 Texas population 1968 Since the 1968 county population is unknown, btis unknown. To obtain an estimate of htthe following equation is employed: ho 3) ht = Bt ( -) (continued on p. JI) Bo Table 100. Figures on migrants of less than five years of age were estimated (by assuming the same proportion of migrants as among the 5-9 age group), and figures for the 6-17 age group were estimated from census data on age groups 5-9, 10-14, and 15-19. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW THE BUSINESS SITUATION IN TWENTY TEXAS CITIES THE BUSINESS SITUATION IN TWENTY TEXAS CITIES HO JOO 250 200 150 100 50 J50 JOO 250 200 150 100 50 FORT WORTH BUSINESS ACTIVITY GALVESTON BUSINESS ACTIVITY HO J50 250 200 150 100 50 250 200 150 100 50 S50 350 - 250 250 200 200 150 150 100 100 50 50 1955 1956 1957 1951 1959 1960 1961 1962 196J 1964 1965 1"7 19'1 NOTE: Shaded ar-• Uadicac. puiocla of dacliae of total -.111e.. ac1bt.ty Ua tbe Utdted e.s.s. SOURCE: B&Hd oa bank cleblt• reported by Che F•de.-&1 JleMl"•• ltallkof Dalluaad_,...... 6'r Ha10A&lvariatt.oaa.adcbaq"hlthepricel..•l bytbe hreau.,ol lkaaiaea• a.M&l'clL FRQM: JN...aa o( helaeu RH•arch, The Unt..-.ultv of Tuaa at Aa•tta. SAN ANGELO BUSINESS ACTIVITY lndH Adjuetlld for Se•.on•I Vui•tion-1'S1-1Hf•l00 J50 soo 250 250 200 200 150 ISO ~ _,. 100 100 IT 50 50 1955 19S6 1957 1951 19S9 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 196' 1967 1961 NOTE: Shaded area• i.rldicate period• o{ d•clin• of total buein•H activity ln the United State•· SOURCE: 8.aHd on bank dabltl reported by the Federal a ..erve Bank of Dalla1andadju1tsd for •eaaonal variation and cban1•• in the price level by the Bur•au of Buelne•• R••-rcb. FROM: Bure•u of 8u1ineu Re1earch, The Univer•lty of Texa1 at Au11in. SAN ANTONIO BUSINESS ACTIVITY lndH Adju•tlld /or S•••on•I V•ri•tion-llJ1-1'Sf•l00 3SO 350 300 JOO 2SO 250 200 200 ISO ISO 100 100 so 50 NOTE: Shaded a..eae indicate perloda of decline of tot.al bu•l..H activity ta the United State•. SOURCE: Ba1ed on bank debit• reported by th• Federal Reaerve Bank of Dalla• aadad.Ju•ted for 1eaeonal variation and cha•1•• tn th• prlc• l•vel by the Bw-eau of Ba•lne•• R••-rcb FROM: Bureau of Bull1M1H Ruearch, Th• Unlvenlty of Taxaa at Au•lln. J50 250 150 100 50 0 TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW THE BUSINESS SITUATION IN TWENTY TEXAS CITIES ------~~~~-----~~~~~~-----. WACO BUSINESS ACTIVITY lade• A.diu.,.,, /or S...onal Vali•tioa-JIJt..lfll•l.. HO --HO A A • I _,/"' ~· ·­ I""' . r ·" .. - -250 -ISO ­- ... 150 1• .. 100 100 100 so 0 • • ttSS 1916 1'57 1'51 1Hf IMO IMt 1'62 1HI 1964 tNI IH6 IM7 INI MOIS: .....ueu ......_....,...,....,..r....a........adhl&r .....vme.. s.atn. ROTE: ......anaa iadicaM putodll of declilMI of ta4al ...._.. aclhhJ ta ..U............ IOUacS:. ..............bihl'.,.,.....,.......w ..........,Dalluaadl.............. ....................................,................ 8eHUdt. ......i-n.Uoo....cMaptlta...pric•a..elbr• .__.o1...._•• ...._. ft.CU: ....................... ftit~..T-.at........ Real· ...._ o1 ........ R••eucll. TM u.iftl'•ltr ol T.-. at Aa.t1a. TYLER BUSINESS ACl'IVITY WICBITA FALLS BUSINESS ACTIVITY ......--,_-.,....,____... laths AtljualH '°' s....n.J Varietioa-IH1·1..•IOe - - HO - - IM 1• 100 100 • 50 50 • 0 • lftl-l-19a I--IMl IMJ IHI I... IMS I-IHI' IHa lllOl'S: ..............................................acdritr ta ..Ulde.41ta1e.. NOTE: ..... __.. '-Beam periods of decliM of tolal IMIUMH actlft&y ta ..,Ua:l&ed lltaella. sauac:s:-.................~.,........n.1 ..............,Dallaa...ed,p9'edfol' IOUACZ: ...........deWtaHpOrtad "'dtel'MenlReMr.ellukof Dalluaadl~IDr __......._.........ta...pnce....a .,... ...._.., ........ a....rcb .....a'W&riado9...~•6epri"i..el.,,..,. Bllr••af a..lae•• •••euch. ft.Gil: ..................._.. ..... Utd..raltyolT-.at ......_ neat:: ....._of ........ a.a....dt. n.. lhtlftl'ritJ of Tu..at Metia. PREL ITXARY ESTIMATES OF TOTAL ETA L SALES Population Estimates (continued) 'Unadiu.sted The estimate of the 1968 county population !Pt) is obtained by dividing Percent change Nov Nov 1968 Nov 1968 Jan-Nov 1968 1968 p• from from from Type of store (millions of dollars) Oct 1968 Nov 1967 Jan-Nov 1967 Total .. . . _ ...........1,671 •• 7 10 Durable goods# 635 14 17 Nondurable goods .. _..1,036 2 4 7 p Preliminary. • Bureau of Business Research estimates based on data from the Bureau of the Census. # Contains automotive stores, furniture stores, and lumber, building­material, and hardware dealers. •• Change is less than one half of 1 percent. CREDIT RATIOS LN DEPART!llE.. AND APPAREL STO ES Classification Number of Credit ratios • Collection ratios t (annual sales reporting Nov Nov Nov Nov volume 1967) stores 1968 1967 1968 1967 ALL STORES . -· ........27 63.7 64.1 32.1 33.4 BY TYPE OF STORE Department stores 9 65.3 65.7 38.1 39.3 ········ Dry-goods and apparel stores 5 59.4 62.4 39.9 39.9 Women's specialty shops 6 63.1 63.7 32.0 33.3 ·­Men's clothing stores 7 58.9 62.2 40.7 42.0 BY VOLUME OF NET SALES Over $1,500,000 . . .... . . ..11 64.4 64.7 31.7 33.2 $500,000 to $1,500,000 . ... 3 51.0 50.9 37.4 37.0 $250,000 to $500,000 ...... 5 58.3 63.0 40.1 41.7 Less than $250,000 ...... . 8 54.3 53.9 36.3 34.9 • Credit sales divided by net sales. t Collections during the month divided by accounts unpaid on first of the month. the estimated bt into resident births for 1967: county births, 1967 Po= bt The same procedure is carried out with deaths, and the results of the two independent population estimates may be accepted or averaged, a procedure which is usual. In most cases where the Method I estimate was thought to be in error, the average estimate was employed. This technique, usually termed the "vital rates method," is far more flexible and useful than the old Method II. The vital-rates method im­ plies the assumption that trends in individual county birth and death rates approximate those in the total state population. Such an assump­ tion is widely applicable, but, because of differences in age structure or ethnic composition, this assumption may be inappropriate for some counties. In future years. Method II will be supplanted altogether by the vital-rates method. Method Ill_ Estimates based on the third method are computed by multiplying the -ratio of the 1960 census population to the number of 1960 passeng_er-car registrations times the number of 1967 passenger­ car registrations. ~: The formula for the Method III estimate is: P = 68 \P.,.IC60 ) c,,. where is the 1968 estimate, P is the 1960 census P 68 60 population, c6') is the number of passenger cars registered in 1960, and Ce-9 is the number of passenger cars registered in 1968. Method III assumes that the ratio between passenger cars and popu­ lation remains constant. It also assumes either no irregularities in registration (persons registering their cars in a county where they are not residents) or no change in either the amount or kind of such irregularities. Like Method II, Method III is inflexible. With the increasing lapse of time since the 1960 Census it has become obvious that this procedure is of little value in its present form, since for most counties it yields extravagant population estimates. It is expected that, in the future, auto­mobile-registration data will continue to be employed, but in a sub­ stantially different manner. 10The actual registration year 1960 was from April l, 1959, to March 31, 1960, and actual registration year 1968 was from April l, 1967, to Ma rch 31. 1968. index of total construction authorized in Texas to the TEXAS CONSTRUCTION NOVEMBER 1968 The Texas construction industry recorded one of the strongest months in its history during November of 1968, according to the Bureau of Business Research Index of Construction Authorized in Texas as indicated by the ac­companying chart. Although the estimated value of total construction authorized in Texas during November, $195.2 million, fell 6 percent from the October value, the index of second-highest level ever recorded, second only to the August 1967 level, which included phenomenal nonresiden­tial authorizations. In addition the index average for 1968 was 10-percent stronger than in 1967. The November index of residential construction author­ized reached an all-time high as gains of 11 percent over October and 20 percent over November 1967 were recorded. These gains reflect the 1968 trend toward an increase in residential authorizations which are running a hefty 28 percent above the 1967 level. The index of nonresidential construction authorized dropped 2 percent from October and 3 percent from November 1967. Despite these declines November was still a comparatively strong month, Several interesting observations about the boom in :r:esi­dential construction authorizations during the first eleven months of 1968 in Texas can be made by examining Table 1. The twenty-three Texas SMSA's, which are accounting for 87 percent of the one-family housing authorizations in Texas, have recorded only a two-percent increase over 1967 in the total value of such authorizations. Only three SMSA's-Brownsville-Harlingen-San Benito, Laredo, and McAllen-Pharr-Edinburg-have recorded significant in­creases over 1967. These increases are substantially due to efforts in these areas to recover from the heavy damage suffered from Hurricane Beulah in September 1967. The merely nominal increases and the declines among the other SMSA's undoubtedly reflect the deterrent pressure of increased interest rates on prospective home buyers. With interest rates running 10 to 20 percent above the 1967 levels, many Texans are choosing to forego purchase of a new house at this time. The construction of apartment houses will suffer no such adverse effects from the rise in interest rates as long as the basic demand continues strong, since the return on the investment can be adjusted by changes in rent scales. Total metropolitan authorizations for apartments during January-through-November 1968 are 89 percent over those of the first eleven months of 1967. Numerous cities reported individual construction author­izations valued at $1 million or more. Four apartment com­plexes exceeding $1 million were recorded, two in Dallas, one in Austin, and one, the largest, in Pasadena, with a value of $2.2 million. Educational construction authoriza­tions exceeding $1 million were reported in four cities: Dallas Baptist College, two authorizations of $1.2 and $1.5 million; the University of Houston, a large new service building valued at $1.8; Texas Technological College, in Lubbock, a new chemistry building valued at $4.6 million; and The University of Texas at Austin, largest single project in the state, a new physics, mathematics, and as­tronomy building valued at $8.1 million. Authorizations for retail stores in the cities of Garland and Arlington were reported in totals of $1.6 apd $2.5 million respectively. Other large authorizations included a $1.0-million ware­house in Dallas, a $2.3-million industrial site and a $4.9­million flight training center in Fort Worth, and a $1.5­million rehabilitation hospital and a $1.7-million office building in Austin. An analysis of the major factors affecting Texas con­struction points toward continued good health for the industry. The only significant hazard is the possibility that rising interest rates may adversely affect the demand for construction of single-family houses. The success of federal fiscal and monetary policies which attempt to maintain price stability and at the same time prevent interest rates from becoming excessive will be the main determinant in this area of Texas construction. On the other hand, em­ployment levels, personal income, and the continuing ex­pansion of the Texas economy in general are all providing the impetus needed to maintain construction activity at or near its present record pace. Table 1 RESIDENTIAL BUILDING AUTHORIZED IN STANDARD METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREAS+ JA, "UARY-NOVEMBER 1968 Value in thousands dohs.-s One-family units Apartment-dwelling units Total all units # Percent change Percent change Percent change Jan-Nov 1968 Jan-Nov 1968 Jan-Nov 1968 Standard metropolitan Jan-Nov from Jan-Nov from Jan-Nov from statistical area 1968 Jan-Nov 1967 1968 Jan-Nov 1967 1968 Jan-Nov 1967 Abilene ....... ........ •.......•............•... 1,431 7 41 -94 $ 1,472 -36 Amarillo ..................... . ........... · · · · · · 7,404 2 2,115 86 9,534 10 Austin .... . ..... .. . . . . ...... . . . . . . ..... . . . •.... 37,278 8 33,323 87 76,150 32 Beaumont-Port Arthur-Orange .............•..... 9,113 2,145 -19 11,348 -8 Brownsville-Harlingen-San Benito ....•. . .... . .... 2,078 107 1,525 408 3,603 126 Corpus Christi .. . . ........ ..... . . ... .. ......... . 15,799 15 14,357 558 30,275 90 Dallas ... . .. . .. . .......•.. . ... .. .......•......•. 139.361 8 111,847 123 257,179 40 EI Paso ..... ...................•..•... ... .....• 26.649 15 8,136 52 35,342 23 Fort Worth .. ............... . ............ · · · · · · · 60,574 7 48,107 63 110,013 26 Galveston-Texas City ..........•. . • . .... .. •...... 5,809 -3 3,708 179 9,536 29 Houston .......... ... .......................... . 91, 790 -13 98,075 88 191,475 20 Laredo ......................•... · · · · · · · · · • · · · · · 1,016 46 105 88 1,121 49 Lubbock .... .. ...... ..... ....•....•..•. . . . . .•... 10,710 6 1,662 90 12,600 5 McAllen-Pharr-Edinburg ........ .. ... . . .... .. . . . 5,700 108 645 835 6,448 125 4,078 -28 430 -42 4,662 -28 Midland ................. · · · · · · · • · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · Odessa ................•..•....•..• . · · · • · · · · · · • · 1,520 -49 175 150 1,796 -41 San Angelo . ... .. .. .. . ....... . . . ...•. ....... ... . 2,663 1 101 -91 2,773 -26 San Antonio .......................... . ... .. ... . 27,095 -5 28,544 37 57,133 14 Sherman-Denison .... .. .... . ................ ... . 4,366 -22 1,060 -16 5,511 -23 Texarkana .. . . . ..... .. ...... .. ............... .. . 1,335 -5 880 389 2,215 40 Tyler ................. · · · · • · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · .. $ 3,395 -7 100 -88 $ 3,713 -17 Waco .............. · ·· · · ·· · · · ·•· ·· · ·· ·•· ··· · ·•· 3,771 13 2,549 1,175 6,424 76 Wichita Falls ..... . .......... . • .... . . ......•.... 3,294 8 57 -95 3,378 -29 Total metropolitan areas ......................... 466,231 359,686 39 843,559 27 Outside metropalitan areas .... . .. .. . ..... .... . .. . 71,868 2 12, 779 39 87,223 Total for state ... ... . . .. ............. . · · · . · . ·. ·. 538,098 2 372,465 86 930, 781 25 t Metropolitan areas are listed in accordance with 1968 Bureau of the Census definition. This table includes only the cities reporting in metropolitan areas. # Includes tw<>-family units not listed separately on this table. JANUARY 1969 LOCAL BUSINESS CONDITIONS Statistical data compiled by: Mildred Anderson, Constance Cooledge, and Glenda Riley, statistical assistants, and Doris Dismuke and Mary Gorham, statistical technicians. Indicators of business conditions in Texas cities pub­lished in this table include statistics on banking, building permits, employment, postal receipts, and retail trade. An individual city is listed when a minimum of three indicators are available. The cities have been grouped according to standard metropolitan statistical areas. In Texas all twenty-three SMSA's are defined by county lines ; the counties included are listed under each SMSA. The populations shown for the SMSA's are estimates for April 1, 1967, prepared by the Population Research Center, Department of Sociology, The University of Texas at Austin. The population shown after the city name is the 1960 Census figure, unless otherwise indicated. Cities in SMSA's are listed alpha­betically under their appropriate SMSA's; all other cities are listed alphabetically as main entries. Retail-sales data are reported here only when a mini­mum total of fifteen stores report; separate categories of retail stores are listed only when a minimum of five stores report in those categories. The first column presents current data for the various categories. Percentages shown for retail sales are average statewide percent changes from the preceding month. This is the normal seasonal change in sales by that kind of business-except in the cases of Dallas, Fort Worth, Houston, and San Antonio, where the dagger (t) is replaced by another symbol (tt) because the normal seasonal changes given are for each of these cities individually. The second column shows the percent change from the preceding month in data reported for the current month; the third column shows the percent change in data from the same month a year ago. A large variation between the normal seasonal change and the reported change indi­cates an abnormal sales month. Symbols used in this table include: (a) Population Research Center data, April 1, 1968. (b) Separate employment data for the Midland and Odessa SMSA's are not available, since employment figures for Midland and Ector Counties, composing one labor­market area, are recorded in combined form. (c) Separate employment data for Gladewater, Kilgore, and Longview are not available, since employment figures for Gregg County, composing one labor-market area, are recorded in total. ( ·f) Average statewide percent change from preceding month. (tt) Average individual-city percent change from pre­ceding month. ( r) Estimates officially recognized by Texas Highway Department. (rr) Estimate for Pleasanton: combination of 1960 Census figures for Pleasanton and North Pleasanton. ( *) Cash received during the four-week postal account­ing period ended Nov. 15, 1968. (:j:) Money on deposit in individual demand deposit accounts on the last day of the month. ( §) Data for Texarkana, Texas, only. ( * *) Change is less than one half of 1 percent. (Ill Annual rate basis, seasonally adjusted. (#) Monthly averages. (X) Sherman-Denison SMSA: a new standard metro­politan statistical area, for which not all categories of data are now available. ALPHA TICAL LIST NG 0 CITIES L CL D D LT JANUARY 1969 ISSUE OF TEXAS BUSINESS REVIE!V Abilene (Abilene SMSA) Alamo (McAllen-Pharr-Edinburg SMSA) Albany Alpine Amarillo (Amarillo SMSA) Andrews Angleton Aransas Pass (Corpus Christi SMSA) Arlington (Fort Worth SMSA) Athens Austin (Austin SMSA) Bay City Baytown (Houston SMSA) Beaumont (Beaumont-Port Arthur-Orange SMSA) Beeville Bellaire (Houston SMSA) Bellville Belton Big Spring Bishop (Corpus Christi SMSA) Bonham Borger Brady Brenham Brownfield Brownsville (Brownsville-Harlingen­San Benito SMSA) Brownwood Bryan Burkburnett (Wichita Falls SMSA) Caldwell Cameron Canyon (Amarillo SMSA) Carrollton (Dallas SMSA) Castroville Cisco Cleburne (Fort Worth SMSA) Clute (Houston SMSA) College Station Colorado City Conroe (Houston SMSA) Copperas Cove Corpus Christi (Corpus Christi SMSA) Corsicana Crystal City Dallas (Dallas SMSA) Dayton (Houston SMSA) Decatur Deer Park (Houston SMSA) Del Rio Denison (Sherman-Denison SMSA) Denton (Dallas SMSA) Dickinson (Galveston-Texas City SMSA) Donna (McAllen-Pharr-Edinburg SMSA) Eagle Lake Eagle Pass Edinburg (McAllen-Pharr-Edinburg SMSA) Edna EI Paso (El Paso SMSA) Elsa (McAllen-Pharr-Edinburg SMSA) Ennis (Dallas SMSA) Euless (Fort Worth SMSA) Farmers Branch (Dallas SMSA) Fort Stockton Fort Worth (Fort Worth SMSA) Fredericksburg Freeport (Houston SMSA) Friona Galveston (Galveston-Texas City SMSA) Garland (Dallas SMSA) Gatesville Georgetown Giddings Gladewater Goldthwaite Graham Granbury TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW ALPHABETICAL LISTING OF CITIES INCLUDED IN JANUARY 1969 ISSUE OF TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW (continued) Grapevine (Fort Worth SMSA) Greenville Groves (Beaumont-Port Arthur- Orange SMSA) Hallettsville Hallsville Harlingen (Brownsville-Harlingen- San Benito SMSA) Haskell Henderson Hereford Hondo Houston (Houston SMSA) Humble (Houston SMSA) Huntsville Iowa Park (Wichita Falls SMSA) Irving (Dallas SMSA) Jacksonville Jasper Junction Justin (Dallas SMSA) Karnes City Katy (Houston SMSA) Kilgore Killeen Kingsland Kingsville Kirbyville La Feria (Brownsville-Harlingen­ San Benito SMSA) La Marque (Galveston-Texas City SMSA) Lamesa Lampasas Lancaster (Dallas SMSA) La Porte (Houston SMSA) Laredo (Laredo SMSA) Levelland Lewisville (Dallas SMSA) Liberty (Houston SMSA) Littlefield Llano Lockhart Longview Los Fresnos (Brownsville-Harlingen­San Benito SMSA) Lubbock (Lubbock SMSA) Lufkin McAllen (McAllen-Pharr-Edinburg SMSA) McCamey McGregor (Waco SMSA) McKinney (Dallas SMSA) Marble Falls Marshall Mercedes (McAllen-Pharr-Edinburg SMSA) Mesquite (Dallas SMSA) Mexia Midland (Midlancl SMSA) Midlothian (Dallas SMSA) Mineral Wells Mission (McAllen-Pharr­Edinburg SMSA) Monahans Mount Pleasant Muenster Muleshoe Nacogdoches Nederland (Beaumont-Port Arthur­Orange SMSA) New Braunfels North Richland Hills (Fort Worth SMSA) Odessa (Odessa SMSA) Olney Orange (Beaumont-Port Arthur Orange SMSA) Palestine Pampa Paris Pasadena (Houston SMSA) Pecos Pharr (McAllen-Pharr-Edinburg SMSA) Pilot Point (Dallas SMSA) Plainview Pleasanton Port Aransas Port Arthur (Beaumont-Port Arthur­Orange SMSA) Port Isabel (Brownsville-Harlingen­San Benito SMSA) Port Neches (Beaumont-Port Arthur­Orange SMSA) Quanah Raymond ille Refugio Richardson (Dallas SMSA) Richmond (Houston SMSA) Robstown (Corpus Christi SMSA) Rockdale Rosenberg (Houston SMSA) San Angelo (San Angelo SMSA) San Antonio (San Antonio SMSA) San Benito (Brownsville-Harlingen- San Benito SMSA) San Juan (McAllen-Pharr-Edinburg SMSA) San Marcos San Saba Schertz (San Antonio SMSA) Seagoville (Dallas SMSA) Seguin (San Antonio SMSA) Sherman (Sherman-Denison SMSA) Silsbee Sinton (Corpus Christi SMSA) Slaton (Lubbock SMSA) Smithville Snyder Sonora South Houston (Houston SMSA) Stephenville Stratford Sulphur Springs Sweetwater Tahoka Taylor Temple Terrell (Dallas SMSA) Texarkana (Texarkana SMSA) Tomball (Houston SMSA) Tyler (Tyler SMSA) Uvalde Vernon Victoria Waco (Waco SMSA) Waxahachie (Dallas SMSA) Weatherford Weslaco (McAllen-Pharr-EdinburgSMSA) White Settlement (Fort Worth SMSA) Wichita Falls 0£ichlta Falls SMSA) .....PHABETICAL LISTING OF SMSAS AND CITIES WITHIN E CH SMSA, WITH DATA Percent change Percent change City and item Nov 1968 Nov 1968 from Oct 1968 Nov 1968 from Nov 1967 City and item Nov 1968 Nov 1968 from Oct 1968 Nov 1968 from Nov 1967 ABI~E ABILENE (pop. 110,054 ') Retail sales (Jones and Taylor; pop. 120,100 •) - 3 Retail sales ················ ··· ····· St - 3 6 Apparel stores . ................. . 32 21 Apparel stores ·· ······· ··· ······· 2t 32 21 Automotive st.ores .... .. ...... ... . - 9 7 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 250,292 -47 6 Automotive stores . . . . . . .. . . . . . .. . 5t 9 7 Bank debits (thousands) II ........ $ 1,925,412 5 10 Postal receipts• ··············· ····· $ 154,320 16 End-<>f-month deposits (thousands); .. $ 101,208 Annual rate of deposit turnover . . . . 18.8 - 2 5 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 247,042 -48 6 Nonfarm employment (area) . . . . . . . 37,700 Bank debits (thousands) ······· ·· ··· $ 129,975 3 Manufacturing employment (area). Percent unemployed (area) . . . . . . . . . 4,460 2.7 2 •• •• End-of-month deposits (thousands); . . $ 77,863 - 3 7 Annual rate of deposit turnover... .. 19.8 -10 - 4 For an explanation of symbols see p. 14. Percent change Percent change Local Business Conditions Local Business Conditions Nov 1968 Nov 1968 Nov 1968 Nov 1968 Nov from from Nov from from City and item 1968 Oct 1968 Nov 1967 City and item 1968 Oct 1968 Nov 1967 AMARILLO SMSA BEAUMONT-PORT ARTHUR-ORANGE SMSA (Jefferson and Orange; pop. 320,500 •) (Potter and Randall; pop. 177,100 ') Retail sales - 3 Retail sales -18 - 6 Apparel stores . . ... . •. ........ ... 19 18 Automotive stores ............... . -25 -11 Automotive stores ..... . . ........ . 4 13 Drugstores ..................... . 3 Food stores ..................... . 10 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 994,985 Bank debits (thousands) II .. .. .... $ 4,834,272 -49 -11 -13 7 Furniture and household-appliance stores . . ............. . 6 2 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover . . . . 149,622 32.5 -11 - 10 1 Gasoline and service stations Lumber, building-material, ... . 9 Nonfarm employment (area) . . . . . . . Manufacturing employment (area). Percent unemployed (area) ......... . 60,300 6,470 3.7 .. 12 2 20 and hardware dealers ........ . . Building permits, less federal contracts $ 2,378,509 Bank debits (thousands) II ........ $ 5,376,132 -25 -25 -10 7 -45 5 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t .. $ 233,431 4 9 Annual rate of deposit turnover . .. . 23.5 9 AMARILLO (pop. 165,750 ') Nonfarm employment (area) ...... . 113, 700 Retail sales .. ........ .. .... . ...... . Automotive stores ............. . . . -- 5t 5t -18 -25 -6 -11 Manufacturing employment (area). Percent unemployed (area) ........ . 35,100 4.6 18 Postal receipts• .......... . . ... ..... $ 473,750 28 11 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 909,685 Bank debits (thousands) ........... $ 375,142 Annual rate of deposit turnover . .... . 31.1 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 147,067 -44 -19 3 -21 -15 2 11 -5 BEAUMONT (pop. 127,500 ') Retail sales ... .. ........ ... ....... . Apparel stores .........•......... Automotive stores ............... . 5t 2t 5t -- 4 21 5 18 Postal receipts• . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 192,031 -12 12 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 1,892,127 10 95 Canyon (pop. 6,755 ') Bank debits (thousands) ............ $ 275,112 -20 -11 Postal receipts• .................... $ 11,190 -15 18 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t.. $ 139,166 5 12 Building permits, less federal contracts Bank debits (thousands) .. .... ... ... $ 85,300 $ 9,214 -74.. - 20 5 Annual rate of deposit turnover .. ... 24.3 - 20 - 16 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover..... 7,619 14.2 - 4 3 5 -12 Groves (pop. 17,304) Postal receipts• ... . ................ $ 12,633 - 9 19 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 256,120 102 31 AUSTIN SMSA Bank debits (thousands) . ........ ... $ 11,565 7 29 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t .. $ 6,334 9 25 (Travis; pop. 263, 800 Annual rate of deposit turnover..... 22.8 9 Retail sales ....................•... 4 Apparel stores .......... ...... .. . 4 6 Nederland (pop. 15,274 ') Automotive stores Eating and drinking places....... . Furniture and household-appliance stores General-merchandise stores ....... . 6 -14 14 5 9 8 Postal receipts• ... .. .. . . ..... ...... $ 14,427 Bank debits (thousands) ........... $ 7,700 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 6,200 Annual rate of deposit turnover..... 15.4 -29 -9 7 -11 21 18 14 Building permits, less federal contracts $22,4 79,868 196 - 18 Bank debits (thousands) II .. ... ... $ 8,133,600 - 2 55 ORANGE (pop. 25,605) End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover ... . Nonfarm employment (area) ...... . Manufacturing employment (area). Percent unemployed (area) ....... . 247,900 30.1 117,600 10.700 2.2 -13 4 16 15 24 26 Postal receipts• .................... $ 34,785 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 76,037 Annual rate of deposit turnover ..... 16.1 Bank debits (thousands) ..... ... ... $ 37,960 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t . . $ 29,255 -14 -75 -7 7 -12 8 -36 4 4 Nonfarm placements ..............• 151 - 5 -11 AUSTIN (pop. 250,000 ') Retail salf-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 1,155 2 35 Nonfarm placements 70 -33 19 Annual rate of deposit turnover .... 10.7 -12 -27 Lancaster (pop. 10,117 ') Building permits, less federal c::mtract.s $ 75,500 -46 127 Retail sales EL PASO S Sa (El Paso; pop. Mis,800 ") 2 Bank debits (thousands) '. .. .. ...... $ End'-Of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 8,470 5,058 7 4 13 13 Apparel stores ........ .......... . Automotive storES ..............•. 24 27 12 16 Annual rate of deposit turnover. . .. . 20.5 4 3 Food stores ................ . . .. . . 1 8 Lewisville (pop. 3,956) Building permits, less federal contracts $ 4,857,614 Bank debits (thousands) II ..... ... $ 5,708,760 -52 5 -13 11 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 45,271 -89 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 220,591 5 13 Bank debits (thousands) ........ .. . $ End-of month deposits (thousands) t $ 7,771 5,787 -11 -4 38 8 Annual rate of deposit turnover . . . . Nonfarm employment (area) . . . . . . . 26.5 111,300 7 •• Annual rate of deposit turnover .... 15.8 -11 20 Manufacturing employment (area). 20,280 3 For an explanation of symbols see p. 14. Percent unemployed (area) 4.0 18 -11 Percent change Percent change Local Business Conditions Local Business Conditions Nov 1968 Nov 1968 Nov 1968 Nov 1968 Nov from from Nov from from City and item 1968 Oct 1968 Nov 1967 City and item 1968 Oct 1968 Nov 1967 EL PASO (pop. 315,000 ') North Richland Hills (pop. 8,662) Retail sales .... . ... .............. . 2 st Building permits, less federal contracts $ 232,450 -78 61 Apparel stores ... .... . . ... • .. .... 2t 24 12 Bank debits (thousands) ......... . . $ 11,915 -10 15 Automotive stores . . . . . . . . . . . . • . . . 5t 27 16 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t.. $ 6,666 4 22 Food stores . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7t -1 8 Annual rate of deposit turnover. . . . . 21.8 -10 -2 Postal receipts• .................... $ 484,400 5 21 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 4,857,214 -52 12 White Settlement (pop. 11,513) Bank debits (thousands) ............ $ 473,267 -5 6 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 209,600 25 914 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 228,532 11 13 Bank debits (thousands) ............ $ 6,499 -8 42 Annual rate of deposit turnover. . . . . 26.1 -10 -2 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 2,894 3 24 Annual rate of deposit turnover ... .. . 27.3 -13 16 FORT G....~YESTO.T-~EXAS Cm S... ISA T Retail sales 6 7 f-month deposits (thousands)t.. $ 2,234 -12 42 Postal receipts• .. ............ .. .... $ 15,809 11 23 Annual rate of deposit turnover..... 17.8 -23 - 3 Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) ......... . .. $ 129,580 17,806 50 3 -77 10 CORSICANA (pop. 20,344) End-of-month deposits (thousands)t . . $ 17,561 1 13 Postal receipts* ·· ········ ·· ········ $ 101,497 46 4 Annual rate of deposit turnover. . ... 12.1 3 - 2 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 489,061 13 185 Bank debifa (thousands) ··········· $ 28,003 -10 5 BROWNFIELD (pop. 10,286) End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. Annual rate of deposit turnover..... $ 25,457 13.3 1 -14 6 2 Postal receipts• .... ....... ..... .. .. $ 13,254 -11 33 Nonfarm placements ······· ······ ·· 300 - 5 I Bank debits (thousands) . .. .. ... . .. $ 17,679 -13 - 8 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 14,220 - 4 -11 CRYSTAL CITY (pop. 9,101) Annual rate of deposit turnover ..... 14.6 -12 - 3 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 57,458 13 -17 Bank debits (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . . $ 4,477 - 5 11 BROWNWOOD (pop. 16,974) End-<>f-month deposits (thousands) t .. $ 3,006 - 6 -6 Postal receipts• . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 33,333 - 7 11 Annual rate of deposit turnover .... 17.3 - 6 12 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 28,500 -63 -74 Bank debits (thousands) .... .. .. ... $ End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 21,966 14,672 -16 •• 9 4 DECATUR (pop. 3,563) Building permits, less federal contracts $ 0 ... ... Annual rate of deposit turnover ..... 18.0 -18 Bank debits (thousands) ... .... .... $ 4,629 3 1 Nonfarm placements . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . 104 - 21 - 19 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 5,264 28 11 Annual rate of deposit turnover ..... 11.8 - 2 1( For an explanation of symbols see p. 14. 24 TEXAS BUSINESS REVIE' Percent change Percen·t change .ocaJ. Business Conditions Local Business Conditions Nov 1968 Nov 1968 Nov 1968 Nov 1968 Nov from from Nov from from City and item 1968 Oct 1968 Nov 1967 City and item 1968 Oct 1968 Nov 1967 GIDDINGS (pop. 2,821)IEL RIO (pop. 23,290 ') Postal receipts• .. ... ............ . .. $ 5.888 5 27 ta! receipts• ................•... $ 23,066 -9 18 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 26,470 301 -1 uilding permits, less federal contracts $ 147,260 36 -30 Bank debits (thousands) ........... $ 5,421 4 5 nk debits (thousands) ........... $ 17,141 -12 6 End-of-month deposits (thousandsJi.. $ 6,010 7 12 d-of-month deposits (thousands)t . . $ 20,094 -1 4 Annual rate of deposit turnover..... . 11.2 7 -4 nnual rate of deposit turnover . . ... 10.2 -13 GLADEWATER (pop. 5,742) Postal receipts• .. ............. ..... $ 7,215 -7 -9 ~AGLE LAKE (pop. 3,565) Buildinll' permits, 1""s federal contncts $ 51,700 119 18 ank debits (thousands) .... ........ $ 4,270 -24 24 Bank debits (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 5,322 -19 3 :nd-of-month depoeits (thousandsJi .. $ 5,874 •• End-of-month deposits (thousands)t.. $ 4,852 -6 8 nnual rate of deposit turnover ..... 8.7 -19 21 Annual rate of deposit turnover..... 12.8 -13 2 Nonfarm employment (area) c 34,800 •• 4 Manufacturing employment (area) c 9,870 ~AGLE PASS (pop. 12,094) 1 12 Percent unemployed (area) c ...... . . 3.0 36 11 ostal receipts• .................... $ 15,364 2 30 uildinll' permits, less federal contracts $ 79,030 -16 -29 GOLDTHWAITE (pop. 1,383) lank debits (thousands) .. .. .. ... .. $ 7,440 -13 -17 P ostal receipts• .............. .. .. .. $ 4,105 38 32 'nd-of-month deposits (thousandsJi.. $ 4,943 -1 Bank debits (thousands) .. .. . . ..... $ 5,356 -15 30 nnual rate of deposit turnover .. . . 18.0 -13 -19 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 4,244 -2 -28 Annual rate of deposit turnover ..... . 15.0 -13 83 i':DNA (pop. 5,038) GRAHAM (pop. 9,326 ') 'ostal receipts• .................... $ 6,052 -33 -20 Postal receipts• .................... $ 11,615 -10 3uildinll' permits, less federal contracts $ 99,630 142 109 Buildinll' permits, less federal contracts $ 1,560 -95 lank debits (thousands) . .. ......... $ 8.286 -8 Bank debits (thousands) ........... $ 12,174 8 15 Cnd-of-month deposits (thousandsJi.. $ 8,690 3 End-of-month deposits (thousands>: . . $ 11,731 13 ~nnual rate of dePoBit turnover... .. . 11.6 -16 Annual rate of deposit turnover 12.4 7 2 GRANBURY (pop. 2,227) Postal receipts• ........... ..... .... $ 4,994 7 28 WRT STOCKTON (pop. 6,373) 'ostal receipts• ........... ........ $ 9,300 -9 37 Bank debits (thousands) ............ $ 3,044 20 32 3uildinll' permits, less federal contracts $ 57,000 -23 -18 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t .. $ 3,866 11 26 lank debits (thousands) ........... $ 11,941 8 30 Annual rate of deposit turnover ..... . 9.9 10 4 Cod-of-month depoeits (thousands)t .. $ 10,488 10 17 nnual rate of deposit turnover .... 14.3 16 GREENVILLE (pop. 22,134 ') Postal receipts• .................... $ 41,777 2 21 l.l'REDERICKSBURG (pop. 4,629) Building permits, less federal contracts $ 339,541 -37 59 Bank debits (thousands) ... . ...... . $ 34,663 5 -12 'ostal receipts• . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 10,489 -7 20 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 24, 764 3 28 3uildinll' permits, less federal contracts $ 40,850 126 -32 Annual rate of deposit turnover . . .. . 17.0 2 -30 lank debits (thousands) ............ $ 13,751 -10 Nonfarm placements .............. . 141 -31 Cnd-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 11,351 1 13 nnual rate of deposit turnover ..... 14.6 -9 8 HALLETISVILLE (pop. 2,808) Building permits, less federal contracts $ 37,950 rnIONA (pop. 3,149 ') Bank debits (thousands) ........... $ 3,959 5 14 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 7,388 7 6 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 90,500 251 229 Annual rate of deposit turnover..... . 6.7 2 14 lank debits (thousands) . . . . . . . . . . . $ 18,939 8 48 Cnd-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 6,366 2 16 lnnual rate of deposit turnover..... 35.4 22 HALLSVILLE (pop. 1,015 ') Bank debits (thousands) ....... ..... $ 1,064 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 1,298 :iATESVILLE (pop. 5,180 ') Annual rate of deposit turnover.... . . 9.8 'ostal receipts• . . ... ........ . ...... $ 6,639 -36 12 HASKELL (pop. 4,016) lank debits (thousands) ....... . ... $ 7,872 -2 3 Cnd-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 8,079 •• 11 Building permits, less federal contracts 30,000 -9 233 nnual rate of deposit turnover .... . 11.7 -4 -5 Bank debits (thousands) ........... $ 4,744 -11 -11 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 5,889 9 3 Annual rate of deposit turnover.. ... . 10.1 -18 -12 ;EORGETOWN (pop. 5,218) HENDERSON (pop. 11,477 ') luilding permits, less federal contracts $ 77,100 18 99 Postal receipts• ... . .............. . . $ 16,387 -19 7 lank debits (thousands) ............ $ 5,906 -18 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 11,750 -83 -76Gnd-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 7,551 -4 10 Bank debits (thousands) ........... $ 13,817 4 9 i nnual rate of deposit turnover . .... 9.2 -17 -4 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 17,412 3 13 Annual rate of deposit turnover ..... 9.4 5 3 or an explanation of symbols see p. 14. Percent change Percent change Local Business Conditions Local Business Conditions Nov 1968 Nov 1968 Nov 1968 Nov 19 Nov from from Nov from from City and item 1968 Oct 1968 Nov 1967 City and item 1968 Oct 1968 Nov 19E HEREFORD (pop. 9,584 r) KIRBYVILLE (pop. 2,021 r) Postal receipts• .................... $ Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) . .. . ...... .. $ End-of-month deposits (thousands)+ .. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover ..... . 24,848 257,400 39,891 18,564 24.6 -20 7 9 4 46 26 12 9 Postal receipts* .................... $ Bank debits (thousands) .... ....... $ End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover... .. 5,331 2,921 4,850 7.3 -13 -5 2 -6 13 29 15 14 HONDO (pop. 4,992) LAMESA (pop. 12,438) Building permits, less federal contracts $ 14,585 -71 370 Postal receipts* .. . ................. $ 15,179 -19 29 Bank debits (thousands) ....... . ... $ 4,052 -10 14 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 0 ... ... End-of-month deposits (thousands)+ .. $ 4,441 5 4 Bank debits (thousands) ............ $ 21,933 15 15 Annual rate of deposit turnover..... 10.7 9 End-of-month deposits (thousandsH .. $ 20,072 11 14 HUNTSVILLE (pop. 11,999) Postal receipts• .................. , . $ 28,681 3 70 Annual rate of deposit turnover...•.. Nonfarm placements ............... 13.8 65 8 5 4 -13 Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) ............ $ 112,500 19,404 -37 -23 -66 8 LAMPASAS (pop. 5,670 r) End-of-month deposits (thousands)+ .. $ 14, 721 -3 15 Postal receipts* ............. . ...... $ 7,688 6 -1 Annual rate of deposit turnover ... . . 15.6 -16 -4 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 7,400 -94 -90 Bank debits (thousands) ........... $ 8,816 -11 6 JACKSONVILLE (pop. 10,509 r) End-of-month deposits (thousands)+ . . $ 8,182 1 2 Postal receipts• .... . ....... . ...... $ 38,734 29 15 Annual rate of deposit turnover ..... 13.0 -13 2 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 53,000 -40 182 Bank debits (thousands) . . .. . .. . .... $ End-of-month deposits (thousands)+ .. $ 19,453 12,291 2 19 5 LEVELLAND (pop. 12,117 r) Annual rate of deposit turnover..... . 18.8 6 13 Postal receipts .................... $ 21,055 -11 94 JASPER (pop. 5,120 r) Postal receipts* ....... . ...... . .... . Building permits, less federal contracts 14,566 23,140 11 -40 22 -40 Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) .. . ....... . $ End-of-month deposits (thousands)+ .. $ 77,000 22,969 16,864 -5 ... ... 89 ... ... Bank debits (thousands) .......... . . $ End-of-month deposits (thousands)+ .. $ 15,195 10,254 -7 23 12 LITTLEFIELD (pop. 7,236) Annual rate of deposit turnover .... 18.2 -10 14 Postal receipts• ... . ...... .. ........ $ 10,279 32 30 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 50,000 403 ... JUNCTION (pop. 2,514 r) Bank debits (thousands) . . . . ........ $ 8,964 -7 -10 Building permits, less federal contracts Bank debits (thousands) .... . .... .. . End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. 30 2,529 4,783 -22 11 -40 5 25 End-of-month deposits (thousands)+ . . $ Annual rate of deposit turnover. .. .. 10,725 10.4 7 -10 3 -11 Annual rate of deposit turnover . . ... . 6.7 -25 -12 LLANO (pop. 2,656) KARNES CITY (pop. 3,000 ') Postal receipts* ... . ....... . ...... . . $ 5,025 3 36 Building permits, less federal contracts 40,100 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 10,000 -74 ... Bank debits (thousands) ....... . .... $ End-of-month deposits (thousandsH .. $ 3,528 4,509 -11 •• 12 Bank debits (thousands) . ........... $ End-of-month deposits (thousandsH . . $ 5,296 5,002 -26 1 17 5 Annual rate of deposit turnover ..... 9.4 -13 -8 Annual rate of deposit turnover..... 12.8 -27 14 KILGORE (pop. 10,500 r) Postal receipts* .. .. ............... . 18, 768 14 LOCKHART (pop. 6,084) Building permits, less federal contracts 84,600 360 Postal receipts* ·· · ········· · · · ····· $ 6,179 -20 7 Bank debits (thousands) . ..... . . . .. . 14,415 4 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 60,500 56 -11 End-of-month deposits (thousandsH .. 15,043 2 14 Bank debits (thousands) . .. ......... $ 6,858 -4 14 Annual rate of deposit turnover. . ... . Nonfarm employment (area) c .... . 11.4 34,800 3.. 7 4 End-of-month deposits (thousands)+ .. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover..... 8,370 9.9 1 -7 11 4 Manufacturing employment (area) c 9,870 1 12 Percent unemployed (area) c 3.0 36 11 LONGVIEW (pop. 52,242 ') KILLEEN (pop. 30,400 r) Retail sales ····· ···· ·· ···· ····· .. -5t 1 43 Postal receipts• . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 55,033 Postal receipts* ·· ·· ········ · ······· $ 85,490 -6 11 Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) ...... . ..... $ 456,877 30,661 -21 •• 69 Building permits, less federal contracts $ Nonfarm employment (area) c 690,500 34,800 -9.. -68 4 End-of-month deposits (thousandsH .. $ 12,714 4 2 Manufacturing employment (area) c 9,870 1 12 Annual rate of deposit turnover.. . .. 28.3 3 62 Percent unemployed (area) c ...... 3.0 36 11 KINGSLAND (pop. 1,200 r) Postal receipts• . . .. . . . ........ . . ... $ 1,199 -45 -34 LUFKIN (pop. 20,756 r) Bank debits (thousands) ..... .. .... $ 2,714 4 Postal receipts• ········ · ··· ···· · ··· $ 49,798 27 27 End-of-month deposits (thousands)+ .. $ 1,587 4 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 263,100 3 67 Annual rate of deposit turnover .. . .. 20.1 Nonfarm placements ... .. . ..... .. ... 77 35 1 KINGSVILLE (pop. 31,160 r) Postal receipts• . . .. . ... . ........... $ 24,553 -15 7 McCAMEY (pop. 3,375 ') Building permits, less federal contract $ 124,840 -59 4 Postal receipts• ............ ........ $ 3,739 -4 18 Bank debits (thousands) .... . ...... $ 16,492 -18 5 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 0 ... ... End-of-month deposits (thousands)+ .. $ 20,728 8 17 Bank debits (thousands) ............ $ 2,323 -2 11 Annual rate of deposit turnover. . ... 9.9 -22 -12 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t . . $ 1,876 -11 12 For an explanation of symbols see p. 14. Annual rate of deposit turnover ..... 14.0 5 -3 Percent change Percent change Local Business Conditions Local Business Conditions Nov 1968 Nov 1968 Nov 1968 Nov 1968 Nov from from Nov from from City and item 1968 Oct 1968 Nov 1967 City and item 1968 Oct 1968 Nov 1967 MARBLE FALLS (pop. 2,161) PALESTINE (pop. 13,974) Bank debits (thousands) . . ... .. ..... $ End-of-month deposits (thousands)+ .. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover ..... . 2,913 3,150 11.5 -13 -15 - 20 8 Postal receipts• ......... . .... . ..... $ Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) ............ $ 17,607 55,400 16,521 -19 -70 -4 -63 6 MARSHALL (pop. 29,445 ') Postal receipts• .. ... . . ...... . . . .... $ Building permits, less federal contracts $ 40,993 383,493 2 29 -14 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t.. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover . . .. . Nonfarm placements ............. . 18,933 10.4 45 -2 -8 -49 7 2 Bank debits (thousands) ...... .... . $ End-of-month deposits (thousands)+ .. $ 25,888 31, 765 7 11 PAMPA (pop. 24,664) Annual rate of deposit turnover... . . . 9.9 - 10 - 7 Retail sales - 5t Nonfarm placements 301 - 38 -13 Automotive stores ........... . . . - 5t 2 13 MEXIA (pop. 7,621 ') Postal receipts• ..... . .............. $ Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) ............ $ End-of-month deposits (thousands)+ .. $ 8,062 40,000 7,948 7,271 - 9 300 16 25 10 18 Postal receipts• .... . .... . .......... $ Bank debits (thousands) ........... $ End-of-month deposits (thousands) t .. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover..... Nonfarm placements ........ . 34,963 32,490 22,921 16.9 95 -16 8 -1 -6 -26 18 8 -4 10 -34 Annual rate of deposit turnover..... 13.6 - 3 PARIS (pop. 20,977) l\llNERAL WELLS (pop. 11,053) Pootal receipts• .................... $ Building permits, less federal contracts $ 30,315 54,250 -2 -92 32 -83 Pootal receipts• ................... $ Building permits, less federal contracts $ Nonfarm placements . .. .......... . 37,178 87,641 240 -1 -52 -1 26 -37 13 Bank debits (thousands) . .... .. ... . . $ End-of-month depooits (thousands)+ . . $ Annual rate of deposit turnover .... . . Nonfarm placements 27,553 16,976 19.7 88 2 3 -26 18 6 13 -38 PECOS (pop. 13,479 ') Postal receipts• ........ . ........... $ Bank debits (thousands) ...... ... . .. $ 12,977 22,979 -13 10 MONAHANS (pop. 9,476 ') Postal receipts• . ....... . .......... $ Building permits, less federal contracts $ 11,180 11.300 -9 -26 15 -51 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover ... . . Nonfarm placement.s . ............ . . 12,338 22.4 61 2 -27 -44 Bank debits (thousands) ..... End-of-month deposits (thousands)t . . Annual rate of deposit turnover..... . $ $ 12,043 7,907 18.4 4 2 9 4 9 PLAINVIEW (pop. 21,703 ') Postal receipts• .... .. ... .. ... . .... . Building permits, less federal contracts $ 40,284 46,000 31 37 -46 MOUNT PLEASANT (pop. 8,027) Bank debits (thousands) .... . ...... $ 53,601 - 1 - 3 Postal receipts• .................... $ 14,086 - 3 11 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 33,268 14 17 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 44,000 -53 6 Annual rate of deposit turnover.... . 20.6 9 -11 Bank debits (thousands) End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ $ 15,000 10,421 -16 -2 4.. Nonfarm placements ............. . . 207 - 5 -18 Annual rate of deposit turnover ..... 17.1 -16 4 PLEASANTON (pop. 5,053 ') MUENSTER (pop. 1,190) Postal receipts• . . . . . . . . . . Building permits, less federal contracts $ $ 1,922 13,500 -40 •• 7 12 Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) ..... .. ... . $ End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover. . .. 38,500 5,100 4,751 13.1 -14 -9 3 -12 107 8 7 2 Bank debits (thousands) . $ 3,551 -10 16 End-of-month deposits (thousands)+. $ 2,678 1 - 2 QUANAH (pop. 4,570 ') Annual rate of deposit turnover ... 15.8 - 9 13 Postal receipts• .. . .. .. ......... .. .. $ 5,889 14 37 MULESHOE (pop. 4,945 ') Bank debits (thousands) ..... End-of-month deposits (thousands)+ .. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover .... 11,972 11,645 14.4 .. 41 5 -19 35 -29 Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) .... . .... . . $ End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover ..... 0 5,693 6,000 11.4 -10 -10 - 2 10 NACOGDOCHES (p0p. 18,076 ') Postal receipts• . ...... .. ........... $ 35,872 28 RAYMONDVILLE (pop. 9,385) Postal receipts• ........ . ... . ....... $ 8,494 - 6 24 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 458,770 -61 247 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 42,300 -25 260 Bank debits (thousands) .......... . . $ 28,133 -18 9 Bank debits (thousands) ............ $ 8,999 -14 9 End-of-month deposits (thousands)+ .. $ 26,988 - 3 3 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t.. $ 11,222 - 6 - ,.fi Annual rate of deposit turnover. 12.3 -13 3 Annual rate of depooit turnover ..... 9.3 - 110 9 Nonfarm placements .... 33 -46 -68 Nonfarm placements 44 5 -59 NEW BRAUNFELS (pop. 15,631) Postal receipts• .. ................ . . $ Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) ... . ....... $ End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover .... 33,087 756,203 16,431 18,782 10.7 26 386 -9 4 -12 22 199 18 -13 REFUGIO (pop. 4,944) Postal receipts* ................... . Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) . ........... $ End-of-month deposits (thousands)+ .. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover..... 7,230 0 5,998 10,202 7.1 10 3 2 5 11.. 13 OLNEY (pop. 4,200 ') Building permits, less federal contracts $ 7,000 112 ROCKDALE (pop. 4,481) Bank debits (thousands) .. . _ . ...... . $ 5,406 -21 18 Postal receipts• .................... $ 5,920 -25 22 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 5,213 - 1 Bank debits (thousands) ... . ........ $ 7,088 15 40 Annual rate of deposit turnover..... . 12.4 -19 17 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t .. $ 5,602 5 9 For an e..xplanation of symbols see p. 14. Annual rate of deposit turnover .... . 15.6 14 31 Percent change Percent change Local Business Conditions Local Business Conditions Nov 1968 Nov 1968 Nov from from Nov 1968 Nov 1968 Nov from from City and item 1968 Oct 1968 Nov 1967 City and item 1968 Oct 1968 Nov 1967 TAHOKA (pop. 3,600 ')SAN MARCOS (pop. 17,500 ') Building pennits, Jesa federal contracts $ 0 Postal receipts* .................... $ 21,422 -7 21 Bank debits (thousands) ........... $ 4,868 2 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 81,26S -72 -76 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 7,123 5 Bank debits (thousands) ........... $ 16,217 -20 Annual rate of deposit turnover ..... 8.4 5 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 13,929 2 Annual rate of deposit turnover..... . 14.0 -15 9 TAYLOR (pop. 9,434) Postal receipts* . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 12,079 -9 SAN SABA (pop. 2, 728) 18 Building permits, Jess federal contracts $ 168.~38 82 19 Postal receipts* .................... $ 4,493 19 49 Bank debits (thousands) ...... ... .. $ 11,998 -25 20 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 14,900 -31 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 23,588 -2 12 Bank debits (thousands) . ........... $ 6,994 -28 -4 Annual rate of deposit turnover.... . 6.0 -27 End-of-month deposits · (thousands) t .. $ 6,613 6 19 Nonfarm placements .............. . 30 15 67 Annual rate of deposit turnover 13.l -31 -lS TEMPLE (pop. 34, 730 ')SILSBEE (pop. 8,447 ') Retail sales . ........ .. . ......... .. . 5t 8 17 Building permits, less federal contracts lS,000 Furniture and household Bank debits (thousands) .......... .. $ 8,76S 7 S4 appliance stores ............... . 3t 10 -1 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 9,092 40 Postal receipts* .................... $ 60,639 -2 15 Annual rate of deposit turnover..... 11.S 7 13 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 1,392,875 748 188 Bank debits (thousands) . ........... $ 51,308 -1 22 SMITHVILLE (pop. 2,933) Nonfarm placements .............. . 220 -21 Postal receipts* ...•................ $ 3,3S2 2 41 UVALDE (pop. 14,000 ') Bank debits (thousands) ........ .... $ 2,148 -13 40 Postal .................... $ End-of-month deposits (thousands)t.. $ 2,83S -3 6 receipts• 12,S47 -33 -25 Building permits, Jess federal contracts $ 71,580 -81 19 Annual rate of deposit turnover..... 8.9 -14 29 Bank debits (thousands) .......... . $ 18,448 -11 13 End-of-month deposits (thousands)i .. $ 11,387 7 5 SNYDER (pop. 13,850) Annual rate of deposit turnover ..... 20.1 -13 Postal receipts* .................... $ 17,232 33 Building permits, Jess federal contracts $ 74,000 305 VERNON (pop. 13,385 ') Bank debits (thousands) .. . ........ $ lS,415 2 21 Postal receipts* ...... . .... .. ..... .. $ 16,262 •• 31 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 21,S66 3 12 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 44,550 -61 11 Annual rate of deposit turnover . .... 8.7 10 Bank debits (thousands) ........... $ 22,088 12 3 End-of-month deposits (thousands)f .. $ 23,534 -3 -2 SONORA (pop. 2,619) Annual rate of deposit turnover .... . 11.1 14 2 Building permits, less federal contracts 2,150 8 91 49 90 Nonfarm placements ..... ......... . Bank debits (thousands) ......... .. $ 3,691 16 32 VICTORIA (pop. 37,000 ') End-of-month deposits (thousands) t .. $ 5,126 4 24 Retail sales ....................... . -s Annual rate of deposit turnover.. , . . 8.5 10 st 8 Automotive stores ... . ........... . -St 3 12 Postal receipts• .................... $ 61,489 6 17 STEPHENVILLE (pop. 7359) Building permits, less federal contracts $ 206,425 -88 -91 Postal receipts• ...................• $ 11,474 -20 -16 Bank debits (thousands) ........... $ 95,704 22 2Building permits, less federal contracts $ 147,065 20 138 End-of-month deposits (thousands)f .. $ 98,881 •• 4 Bank debits (thousands) ...... . .... . $ 12,307 6 14 Annual rate of deposit turnover ... . . 11.6 2 16 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t . . $ ll,S76 2 8 Nonfarm placements .............. . 454 -18 -7 Annual rate of deposit turnover ..... 12.6 4 Weatherford (pop. 9,759) STRATFORD (po·p. 2,500 ') Postal receipts• . ... . .... ... . ...... $ 17,949 -s 22 Postal receipts• ...... .... ... . ..... . 3,801 4 31 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 58,500 -83 -1 Building permits, less federal contract.s 45,000 60 -21 End-of-month deposits (thousands)f .. $ 18,679 12 Bank debits (thousands) .. . ........ . $ 13,796 11 27 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 6,105 7 3 LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY Annual rate of deposit turnover ..... 26.1 9 29 (Cameron, Willacy, and Hidalg-o· pop. 326,800 •) Retail sales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . St -1 4 SULPHUR SPRINGS (pop. 12,158 ') Apparel stores . . . . . . . . • . . . . . . . . . . 2t 10 Postal receipts• .................... $ 22,S34 7 7 Automotive stores . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . St -6 Building permits, less federal contracts $ 224,800 7 98 Drugstores 2t -4 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Bank debits (thousands) ... ........ $ 21,022 9 Food stores . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7t 10 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 18,31S .. 9 Furniture and household- Annual rate of deposit turnover..... 13.8 -10 5 appliance stores ............... . 3t 23 Gasoline and service stations ..... . -18t 6 SWEETWATER (pop. 13,914) General-merchandise stores ....... . 3t 8 16 Postal receipts* .... . ............... $ 15,630 -34 29 Lumber, building-material, Building permits, less federal contracts $ 4,450 -41 -92 and hardware dealers .......... . 7t -10 -33 Bank ·debits (thousands) ............ $ lS,210 14 Postal receipts• ................... . -3 6 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. $ 10,649 -s 8 Building permits, less federal contracts -40 175 Annual rate of deposit turnover ..... . 16.7 -1 Bank debits (thousands) . .. . ...... . -14 8 Nonfarm placements .............. . 108 -29 -28 End-of-month deposits (thousands)f . . -2 2 Annual rate of deposit turnover 17.0 For an explanation of symbols see p. 14. -13 1 28 TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW I~~~~~~~,~n~~~:;g~~1~~~~~~~~i~~n~:.~ ~ox~pt:n~ •En es are adJuste~ ~or ~easonal variation unless othel"Wlse noted. Employment estimates are compiled by the Texas mp1oyment Co~m1ss1on m ~oop~ration ~t~ the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U .S. Department of Labor. The sym­bols used below impose qualifications as md1cated here: •-preliminary data subject to revision· r-revised data· #­dollar totals for the calendar year to date; §-dollar totals for the fiscal year to date· t-employ~ent data for wage and salary workers only. ' Year-to-date a veraire Nov Oct Nov 1968 1968 1968 1968 1967 GENERAL BUSINESS ACTIVITY Texas business activity -l b:j > c:: ~ q UJ l%J l:O >-l c:: t_rj ~ z > q >-l ~ l%J :>< ~ UJ 0 > "%j UJ -> ~ b:j 00 0 q ;:l "l rn "' >-l ..... l%J z :>< t_rj > rn UJ rn > >-l l:O t_rj > c:: rn UJ t_rj 2> l:O 0 ~ UJ ~ l%J l%J 0 >-l 0 c:: z ~ t:I z 6 ~ t"" l%J > £) UJ UJ c:: .,, l%J UJ 0 UJ ~ >-l t:I > l%J "' .,, > 8 > >-l > c:: UJ ~ >-l l%J :>< > UJ MEXICO'S 'NATURAL GAS: THE BEGINNING OF AN INDUSTRY by Fredda Jean Bullard This analysis of one important aspect of the Mexican economy dramatizes, against a setting of intense nationalism, the harness­ing of Mexico's vast resources in natural gas to produce a po­tentially giant industry. Despite conflicting forces of technical obsolescence, untrained personnel, paucity of financial backing, and a struggling national economic development, the Mexican government agency Petroleos Mexicanos worked determinedly toward an ultimate goal of providing Mexico with self-sufficiency in its energy requirements. The transfiguration of a natural resource from a wasted by­product to a key raw material for a growing modern industry within the span of only a few years has been a record feat among developing nations. In this book the reader will find a lively and stimulating, though thorough and technical, discussion of the role played by natural gas in the economic development of Mexico. Profusely illustrated with 37 maps and charts and richly aug­mented with 85 detailed tables and appendix material, this study provides a variety of readers with a valuable source of informa­ tion. 336 + xxiii pp. $6.50 Bureau of Business Research The University of Texas at Austin (Texas residents add 4-percent sales tax)