TEXAS BUStNESS EEVIEW BUHEAU OF· BUSINESS RESEARCH THE UlHVERE: I'.rY Of TEXAS '. AUSTIN, TEXAS Vol. 1 September 24, 1927 No. 6 Business conditions throughout Texaq and the Southwest during August were rather s1)otty• Some industries were Vf?ry active arid they estimate condi­ tions ·as 'being the, best in sever:d years-. On :the other hand, many reports .show 'industry .to· be ltslow but hopeful." 'rhe slovmess is due to declining pro­. ducticxo over the past'fe1J1 months; •J.nd the ho.2efulness is based on the expan­sion o.f fall trade. The nonth we.s ,almost in .even· balance between production · activity and consumption forces. Lo;·\'Cl" money rQtes , and the abundance of cre­ dit facilities are· bound to stimulate industry a:n,d to prevent any drastic set­ back to business in the immediate fu:tu.re. · · · Possibly the outstanding development in August was the improvement in cornmodity prices . . This was. especially true ·for agricultural products. Cot­ ton prices 1:idvanced ·almost daily -!a.nd December fut,ures' sold above · 23-l/2)t' a pOllnd at the end of the month. · PP.ices ,of cattle;; 6;gs, and sheep iffid wool were upward insuring greH.ter returns to produce.rs _tl)i's.,;{ear than in 19 26; Grain prices were downward, but the loss to farmers from .this source will riot be very extensive becuuse the bulk of tho crops has already been sold; moreover, these crops are relatively unimportant · in this-~fr~te. Weather conditions were general l:f' fuvorable for the maturing of crops' although some s:ec·tions were rather. dry"and anprelrension was expressed re­ garding fall pasturage for ce.ttle a;.d i5heep. Re,c~rit rains, however, · have re­ lieved this s ituati0n .to a large extent so: thi:.t 'ample fall and v1inter feed seems a:rnured. Harvesting of cotton. is makfng .r!.IJiid pi:-ogress and c'onsiderable land is ready for the planth:ig of fall wheect.: · Vvuges for harvesting ·are about on the same leve1 as those prevailing n yeG.r .~gp, and. ' there has been no labor shortage of consequence reported. . ' . ·. . . Livestock deter.iorai;ed from 3 .:to 5 ,poiI)ts over.the month • . Moreover, the condition of both cattliq and sheep ranges. q.eclined sharply due to pro­ longed drouth, especially in the ':re stern and southwestern· parts of the State. In .add ition to recent storms, several more ·general rains [,re ·needed tb improve late pastures Wld t o start.the fall whe9.t, ~s~n9e this crop· is very important as winter pusturc for livestock. Ht:avy runs . of cattle and calves ho.ve been the rule at the st~;·1~;;-rcE»; ''blit-i'ec·cipts ..of· hog.s:: and.sheep have. l:Jeen compu.ra­ tively light. ·· The building industry seems to have reversed the downward trend of the summer, and a0t:t\rity in 1;11n.t industry was .c ms iderably above expectations. Allowing for seasonal influences, building 'permits increased more than a third over the July figure, and contra?ts awarded assute activitJ' in the industry for some time to come. Lum.ber mills increased their production, and the out­ turn of cement reached a new: hig~ record. Daily·: D.vcra:~e flow of crude petro­ leum f6l1 slightly. under the. ·July output and drilling of new wellft­drink company; one chemical, , and tvfo oils. ;The weekly .hig!l of each stock was averaged for the month, and the avernge' of a;ll seven st.ocks .for;-the years 1923-24-25 is the base equal to 100. The following are . ti1e . companies included in the list as they are listed on the New York Stock Exchange! Coca Cola, Freeport-Texas, Guli' States St>e~1. Tennessee Copper and Chemical, Texas Com­pany, Texas Pacific Coal and Oil; -and .Te:iw.s ""Gulf Sulphur. Te~as Charters There was a sharp .·reductiori: in the number of ne~·e~terprises receiv­ing ·charters to do ·business vlitr;in .the State. The downward ·. tendency during ) 'the '·surmner months is normai, but the decline this year is..much greater than usual. There were 109 companies which received charters' in August wit~ a ca­pitalization cf $36,059,000, compared to 195 enterprises in July with a capi­talization of.$58,3l4;000. ··· Twenty..three .foreig:ri permits-were granted, or 7 less than in July. There ·were but 6 oil coii1.panii:::s, l public service corpora­tion, and 18 manufacturing firms chartered in August as against 13 oil com­panies, 6 public se:rvice corporations and 24 manufacturing firms in July. Banking and: real es_tate firms ~lso recorded a large decrease. Twenty:-nine companies increased their ca.pitali.zation by $1, 319, 000, and permits were issued t() 23'outside companies to opera.te within the State. Fewer oil companies organized over the past.i fey; months resulted from the un­favorable situation in· 'the· petroleu:m indus-try. ..--------------· -----------··-·---·---­ Texas Charter.s August, 1927 Jul y, 192:7 August, 1926. Number of charters 109 195 175 Capita.ii za:tion $36,d59,000 $58,3'14,QOO $$9,920,000 Classification of new corporations.. :. . " Oil 6 13 31 Public Service 1 6 2 Manufacturing · 18 24 10 Banking and Fina.nee 9 16 ·7 R'eal Estate and Building 8 17 4 General 67 ll9 145 Foreign Permits . 23 30 45 ':Building . '.' After a downward tendency during i;;he 'E'.ar.:ly. surmnei months, building permits increased. sharply durinr; August a.pd reached the highest total since last March. Perini.ts from 27 cities reporting t,o the University of· Texas Bureau of Busine9s Research went up from $8,~32,320 in July to $11,390,3f0 in August, or a.n inc.reuse of 36%. Apprehension has been felt for several months regarding the ov:erbuUt sit.1.i.ai;.ion in many of t ·he ·;larger cities and it was be­lieved that the time was ready for curtailirient·. ·· The August report seems to have dispelled this fear, and the industry i.s moying forward in larger volume. Whether the increase .is beyond the.nonnal :requirements remains to be seen. The larger cities·again account.foi:: .most of the increase, although many of the medium sized cities record increases. Houston is fa.r in the lead with a total of $3,649,000, followed by-Sah ,Antonio, Fort Worth, and Dallas . . , •·, . ""· .•· " I TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW in the order listed. Losses were reported in several towns in the northwest sections of the State. Construction costs were slightly lower in August than in July, ac­cording to the monthly report of the S. W. Straus and Company. Prices of lum­ber and brick were lower, but structural steel increased almost enough to off­set the loss. Labor costs were approximately the same. Based on 1913 as equal to 100, the building materia l index fdl from 162.4 in July to 160.8 in August. A year a.go in August~ ·the ind.ex was .J 71. 8. Compared to the general .. w:hofe.sale price. . bf_ , ~l~--COrnplPd_ities, building materials are still relatively ..h~g~, as ·shoW!l. by: the)ureau "of Labor Stntistics figures given above. . ~ . . •. . . . . .. .·,. ~ .•' ·; :.: . ! ,;· ...:.f ; • • : : • . . • • • • • ·' : .' • ~ • .. : • . . . , '·· . August, 1927 ·1·-July , 19 27 1I ~. , No . · · Amount No~ . Amount · · . j 60 $293,385 .· 61: $.1:~5., 008 .. • I ~ .--.i·. -. t;·;~~~o . ....... .. 517,150 -. ~8 797, 4b6 .. Austin 82 245,793 6i 154,594 ···· 1', .-.Beaumont 224 610,2~1 125 152,488IB:towrisville 42 87, doo 13 110, ooo . -43 :, Brownwood 144,400 93, 600 Cisco 11 25, 000* ~: J ( Corpus Christi 67 250, 13"5-.' 25 11_8·' 98(5, Corsicana 16 32~665 8 8~ •. 925 Dallas 334 770, 975 .·,4~8 673, 837 Del Rio 19 72, :395 ·21 .1.2 .. 7"20 El Pa.so ., 70 301,021 60 7'6' 344 Fort Worth 357 1,161,610 277 908 , 883 Galveston 224 172,376 214 115, 469 HoU&ton 501 3,649,190 475 2, 473·, 063 I ·:i.. Laredo · 21 __ ,_ 35,000 16. 49,000 Lubbock · 27 98,054 28 118' 270 ! ,, .. Marshal~ 22 12, 580 . 75 40,080 I ... JlcAllen 70,120 156,050 I ! Paris 10,440 19,675 Port Arthur 152" 312,636. 114 127,158 i Ranger_· 4 7,120 · 6. 40, 570 .1 Sen Angelo · · 120-267,545 211, 430 San Antonio"" · ·· 358 1, 236 ,.548 320 933,436 ..... 23, 967 Sherman 89' 117 2CY Waco 46 579, 327 31 126,465 .. I Tyler 25,987 43 54,630 Wich-it.a .. Fal 1s 67 337' 580· 187,267 ':,·· Tota.),. $11,390,370 $$.332,320 ·:*Not incl uded in total. Lumber . . .. There was renewed activityin t he lumber industry during August due partly to seasonal influences but more particularly to more bui ld ing and con­struction work over the month. Decreasing building cost s i s 8.nother important factor contribut.in,,g .~o the better demand for lumber. Despite an ·8% decrease in construction cont~act_s from Augu-st las.t . Y~?.!, awards last month were 3% ' ·• • .. . .. . above those of July, a.ccordinr.; to tho F. W. Dodge Corporation. Product.ion il;l :-$2 pipls in 'l'exas reporting to the :southern Pine As­sociation for the five weeks ending Septeinber · 2 was 71,6761 000 feet, an in­crease of almost. 3,000,000 feet from th.~. previous montn. ·· Shipnents went up from 61,123,000 feet in July to 70_,°7.63,000 feet' in August, en . increase of 16%, · Stocks o:ri" hand were reduced to 212, 280, 000 feet at the · end-of the month, com­pared' to 215; 98~, 000. .fe~:t. a mon:t.~-i eftl"1ier. :· \ The Lillnb'er Situation* ,_ In ·thousa.nds .of f~~t , ·· :· ·>!.. -1927 · d"uly, 1927 Au~ust,­~ · Freii~tna.ry report of 10.5 Miils in the So'\,lthwest · Average production per mill ,Average shipments pei' mill 2,977 2,994 2,889 2,7g6 Average unfilled orders per mill 2,169 2,097 Ahgust July .. August 1927 . 1927 . 1~26 Finai ~epofts of 32 ·Texll.s Mills · Average .production·per mill 2,2;39 · 2,080 2,.236 Average shipments per mill 2, 211 1,850 2,,331 .. Average ·stocks . · pet:mill on · · hand · · 6,633 6,545 5,107 . NOTE: Beginning this. month, iumber statip~ics will be given in "Averages" per mill.. · ,.. · · *F'rom the .Southern ·Pine Association : Cement · -.; . Production of portland cement in T8xus millt; rn.fl,de a new high record in August. During the r..on,th, .a total of 496, 000 barrels were produced, com­pared to 458,000 barrels in ·Juiy and 440,000 b'o.rre1s i:n August la.st year. A similar situation is noted· fo.r ,the entire country and i .s due largely ta the in· creased activity in: the building p..nd' constructiorL industries. The increasedin output from July to August amount's to 8%; last year there was a decrease of 4.6% in ·the same period, a.n.d ~n 1925_.the increase was 6%. · , Shipments were e:_ no cause for alarll"., ·it is noted that unfilled.· orders. increased by a· very much''slovierr::rate thE?-n; in previous months. At the present rate of production, ur..filled orders are less 1'.han two months 1 run, ~Jhereas in. previous months they v:ere equar to about 75 d,~ys' output;. The 17 mills are about 77% of the industry i~~ the ·Sb::te. · Se~enteen Mills .A,ugust , 1927 July, ·19 27 · . Bales of cotton u sed •' 9 , 504. · s ,254 Y rds Sale~ o·f cot t on of cott on produced · .. cloth , yard~ · . 7' 89.0', 000 : : 8 ... 5.56 ; 000 .. 6 , 88'7 ; 250 ·4,661',0oo · I . .. ! Unfilled orders of cloth, 'yir ds . 14~51 5 ,000 '. . 1.4'; 034' 000 Active Spindle s 15.5 I 000 .. ' , · .... ---------­ -----­--­-· ... .... .~ ,.-. . ~ .. ( . I , .i 1 ~ ·., I ~ : Spinners I Margin COJ.1:tinued tho dovmw1.i:rd trend in August and reached the lowe;:;t point since September a year ago; with the single exception of Ju.ne the index has been steadily dmmwo.rd since last October a~d is now but 4 points p,bove normal. The; index ·fell from 167 i.n ,July ·to . 164 in Augu:;rt, and · compares with 160 Qr norrnal i):;, 'Aw;us.t; .1920. The ,drop was due largc:iiy· to the. higher prices of cotton, althoiJgh yarn prices .vcertt up, but at a'less rilpid rate. · During the .Po nth, .. American middling cotto~· in Liverpool averaged 10. 78d against 9. 67d ::.n July, ~·,hereas 3'.2 -tviist cotton ya.rn in lfonche~ter averaged 17. 70d, compa.red to lt3. 20d. in July. Cotton pri'ces have gone up nE..:ar­ly 53% during the eight months of the pre;:; ent ~rna.r, while yarn prices have ad­vanced but 43%. In the la.c:t wcek> of /,ugt.:st, cotton c.veraged l?.04d and 32-. twist yarn sold for. J8.75d. The·rnt:i.o at these prices .is 4 points· below nor..: mal, indicating that tho demand· for cotton is likely to decline .unle2-s there , is a dovmward movet'lent of cottori prices or an upward revision of yarn prices. ... ... .. ... Spinr:ier ~... argin . ... -· · ~ , ... . . ..·····.. ~ . 1927 1926 1925 January 174 150 .. . l .7.4. F'ebruilry 170 160 168 March 173 156 ; 165 i April ... : r .1.68 1·55i 166 I . Mriy . , , '153" ., 163· ..... 165." ·June . -·: 172 ~ 157 '·, · 152 ! I J' \l· I~y"" ~ ..:_.,16.7 .158 . .• ::147 . :J ' l . •· ~ ... .. A~gust· . ,; ·1 .. : 1·64 160 : .-1'5 3 . " · 'septeiube.r ~~: '.".:i;f-\I>: : .. ·... :.. · ·. -' · ·octob~r ·' November 187 . 163 ... : : De·ce~bef . . · ' . ·186 162 ·.·; 1 __ ___j 9 TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Agriculture The agricultural situction in Texas failed to make the progress in August which was noted in July. While conditions arc fnr fror.: being serious and while crops for the most pert arc fair to good, yet th(,r e ar e many things to be desired in placing agriculture in the r.10st favorabl8 position. Reports coming to hand show conditions too dry in one secti'.m, poQr yield i..; others, and severe insect damage ·in s t ill others . Prices of grains and most feed crops declined r ather sha.rply during the month, and the yield per acre of wheat was very low'. In spite of these discourae;inr.; influE:nccs , crops arc r.mturing about as usual, and final returns from this year's harvest m~y be much better than present indications seem to show. The threshi ng se'.1.san is over, · and consider­able land has been prepared for fall sowing, although very little actual planting has taken place. Farmers are experiencing little diffi~ulty in ob­taining ample labor for harvest, and the weather has been favorable for gather­ing crops in tho past few weeks •. The September 1 r eport .of the United Stutes Dep'lrtment of Agricul­ture indicates the.t crops generally in this State arc only fair but that with a spell of good weather the final harvest is likely to be better. The section of the report covering corn, ~eed crops, and cotton is the nest encouraging pnrt of the report for Texas. The condition of the cotton crop is pln.ced at 56/~ of normnl, com­pared to a 10-yee.r average of 53%. Thie: is a fuirly good shovring in view of the poor st~rt of the crop, the r Qthcr dry summer, and the prevalence of in­sects and fungous diseases. Considerable root rot is r eported in some parts of the State, und weevil da.mn.gc is quite generul. A condition of 56% indi­cates a yield of 137 pounds of lint per acre . This shows a final yield of 4,700,000 bales on the 16,354,000 acres left for harve st . On September 1, 928,000 bales were ginned in the Stat e against 488,000 bal es on the same date la::>t year. Bolls are opening much earlier this ye'lr than usual, and harvest­ing is making re.pid progress. Labor is ample and most of the cotton has been ginned very promptly. Marketir..g r eyort[_; 8.re conflicting; some SP... y most of the cotton is being hold, ond others shovr that farinc:rs are selling as quickly as tho bales come from the gin. It sa cJM:; qui tE: likely that the crop is moving about as 1.rnual; some producers ar c holding for higher prices, nhilc others are selling immediately~· · Prices moved up\v9rd all duringthc month and reached the highest quotations on August 29 th11t have beeE r ccchcd sil~ce th. , After a seasonal decline in demand for pcultLy lllld .dairy products, .. mark~ts for these. pr9ducts have begun' ·to firm up und the next few months should witness better prices. Cold storage holdings of butter· are --qery large in :the country so that the upward tendency of prices may be slower than usual. Unofficial reports indicate that the turkey crop will be very large this year and present conditions point to fair prices. · . Shipments of livestock inc_reased shar.ply in August, cattl'e and calves accounting for most of the increase. Total receipts o.t the Fort Worth yards, exclusive of horses and mules, were 164,368 head, compared to 133,690 head in July and 115,175 in August of 1926 • ., .. Prices were ·:f'irm dur'ing the in6n.th ·and trend.ed upward ·generally. Hog prices recovered most of the loss recorded in June and July, und beef prices were the highest since 1920. Althou~h cattle shipments are heavy at this time, the movement is quite likely to be temporary, insuring prices around present levels for some months to come. The corn and hog ratio is again back to normal after being below for several months. The normal condition is due to the dropin the price of corn and the increase in the price of hogs. Handy-weight hogs were selling on the Fort Worth market for the week ending September 11 at 11.50.¢' a pound against 10~25t last month, und prime beef steers were bringing 10.25.¢' to 10.75.¢', half a cent up for the month. Calves advanced slightly to 11.60.¢'. Best lambs were selling at 13.¢' compared to 12.50.¢' a month earlier, and muttons brought 8.¢', a cent above quotations in July. Livestock Recei pts ut For t Wor th*in August Cattle Cal ves August , 1927 80 , 545 42, 598 Jul y, 1927 71,729 19 , 055 August, 1926 59,124 20, 701 Hogs Sheep *Fr om t he For t 18, 349 18 ' 065 22,876 24 , 829 Yior th Stock Yar ds Company 12,455 22 , 895 ------­----· Texas Crop Report, September l, 1927 The Crop Reporting Bourd of tho United States Department of Agri­culture made the estimates and forecasts from reports and data. furnished by crop correspondents, field sto.tisticia.ns, and cooperating Sta.to Boards of Agriculture ond Agricultural Colleges as of September 1, 1927. The condi­ tion of potatoes o.nd svreet poto.toes wo.s reported o.s being less favorable than on August 1, while Apples vlere improved; .'the condition of peaches and grapes did not change . . ·-. ... . ... '· Texas Cr op. Rcport,,J3e.pt~ptber. 1, l~.27. .... . Condition Pr oduct.ion ,., •. I Sept ember August . . (In thousands of bushels) . . ! . . 1, 1927 1, 1927 Harvested, 1926 Indicat ed, 1927 Corn 81% 84%'. .61,178 114, 646 Winter Wheat 9. 7* 32,796 17, 829 Oats . ·22* I '. 22* ' . 83,666 45,804 Berley 16* .i6* ·..' ! : . 7' 700. 4, 928 • Rye . t* . 206 380 Peanuts · 81% · 49', 345 · 1bs. 95,018 lbs. , Potat o'es .· 62%·· 68% 2, ioo· 2,449 Sweet Potatoes 70"/o 82% 8,556 11, 544 Apples 33%· 31% 380 Peaches ._. 25% 25% '2,310 785 Grapes 67% 67% T , 200 1, 283 *Bushels per acre