Annual Issue TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW A Monthly Summary of Business and Economic Conditions in Texas BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH THE UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS VOL. XXXIV, NO. 2 TWENTY CENTS A COPY-TWO DOLLARS A YEAR FEBRUARY 1960 The Texas Economy: 1959 Virtually all components of Texas economic activity showed gains from 1958, as indicated in the chart of selected barometers below. Retail Sales, Durables Industrial Power Consumption Nonresidential Building Authorized Texas Business Activity Ordinary Life Insurance Sales Crude Runs to Stills Miscellaneous Freight Carloadings Crude Oil Production J Manufacturing Employment Residential Building Authorized Retail Sales, Nondurables This issue contains a summary of business and economic activity in the state in 1959, with emphasis on the oil industry (page 2). A special re­ port on industrial expansion in Texas in 1959 will appear in the March . issue. The Business Situation in Texas By FRANCIS B. MAY The seasonally adjusted Index of Texas Business Ac· tivity for December rose 1 % to a value of 223% of the 1947-49 average. At this level it was 1 % below the all-time high of 226% established in July. In 1959 the index aver· aged 11 % above its average value for 1958, establishing 1959 as another record year in total business activity in the state. The index covers total volume of all transactions resulting in money payments in industry, trade, agricul­ture and service industries. Purely financial transactions such as sales of real property and of securities are included. If there had been no steel strike, the index would have averaged higher. Layoffs and inventory depletions resulting from the strike slowed the rise of the index in the last quar· ter of the year. Crude petroleum production in December was 6% above November after adjustment for seasonal variation. It was 7% below December of last year. Texas producers were given a 12-day allowable in December of 1958 by the Rail· road Commission and 10 days in December 1959. This was a 17% decline in the number of producing days. The in· crease in the number of wells to which the allowable ap· plied mitigated the effect of the smaller number of pro· ducing days. January and February allowables of 10 days each mean a small increase in average daily production in January and a more substantial increase in February since there are only 29 days in February. Year-to-year com· parisons for the two months will be affected by the fact that 12 producing days were allowed in January of 1958 and 11 days in February of that year. During the January 1959-February 1960 period the number of producing days in Texas varied from a high of 12 days in January of last year to a low of 9 days in the July-November period. A rise to 10 days in December of last year has been held at that level during the first two months of 1960. The effect of this low level of proration is apparent in the year-end crude production figure for the state, which was 942 million barrels. This is an increase of 3.5% over 1958, but 1958 was a very poor year. In April, May, and June of that year only 8 days of production monthly were allowed. When one considers that domestic crude production rose 5% in 1959, compared with 3.5% for Texas, it is clear that the state is supplying a shrinking proportion of the domestic market. Other states are supply­ing an increasing proportion of the domestic crude market. While Texas producers tighten their belts in order to re· duce excessive crude inventories, some other states make no comparable contribution to solving the problem of temporary over-production. What is needed is a program of proration in all states which will spread the burden. At present only five producing states have state proration. Texas has been traditionally the state that bore the brunt of cut-backs because it was the largest producer. This cannot continue indefinitely. Production in the state reached a peak of 1.11 billion barrels in 1956. In 1957, production was 1.09 billion barrels. It dropped to 910 million barrels in 1958. The 942-million-barrel total for 1959 is 169 million barrels below the 1956 peak. At an average price of $3 a barrel this is a $507 million loss in annual revenue to the state's oil producing industry. An indication of the difficulties involved when a single state tries to serve as a balance wheel to the industry can he gained by examining the ratio of end-of-month U. S. Texas Business Activity Index • Adjusted for seasonal variation • 1947-1949 ..100 250 250 200 200 150 150 100 100 50 50 0 '55 '56 '57 '581946 '47 '48 '49 '50 '52 '53 '54 TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW stocks to production in the following month. Data for the period of January 1946 to July 1959 have been prepared by the Bureau of Business Research. The ratios fluctuate widely, reaching a peak of 1.88 in June of 1949. This means that total crude stocks were 1.88 times production in the following month. The lowest value was 1.07 in February of 1957. Averaging these ratios by years yields the follow­ing data: Average of Monthly Ratios of End of Month Crude Inventories to Year Production in Following Month 1946 1.58 1947 1.51 1948 1.42 1949 1.73 1950 1.47 1951 1.33 1952 1.39 1953 1.43 1954 1.40 1955 1.27 1956 1.25 1957 1.27 1958 1.29 1959* 1.22 •January-July inclusive. There is a declining trend in the data that is encouraging. From an average of 1.73 month's supply on hand in 1949, the ratio dropped to an average of 1.22 month's supply in the first seven months of 1959. It is apparent that the na· tion's production and stocks are being kept in better balance but that more improvement is needed. Even with 1.22-1.29 ratio of stocks to production, wide swings in the number of producing days in Texas, varying from 8-12 days in 1958 to 9-12 days in 1959, have been necessary in order to achieve this balance. If end-of-month crude stocks are expressed as a ratio to runs to stills in the following month the results are similar to the comparison of stocks with production. The annual averages of these ratios are: Ratio of Stocks to Year Runs to Stills 1946 1.63 1947 1.56 1948 1.44 1949 1.77 1950 1.51 1951 1.36 1952 1.45 1953 1.45 1954 1.42 1955 1.29 1956 1.28 1957 1.32 1958 1.29 1959* 1.23 *January-July inclusive The same declining trend in the ratios is evident in this series of data, showing that stocks are being managed more RA TIO OF CRUDE PETROLEUM STOCl<.S OVEP FOLLOWING MONTH'S CRUDE PETROLEUM PRODUCTION. UNITED STATES, 1946-1959 .5t---t--t--t--t--l--+---l--+---l---i---+-+---+--l.5 0 1946 ·47 48 ·49 ·so 51 52 ·~3 ·54 ·55 ·56 ·57 58 ·59 So urce: Annual Summary Monthly Petroleum Statement. Mineral industry Surveys, Bureau of Mires; 1949, 1950 onrt 1959 token from mo nthly publicotiont RATIO OF END-OF-MONTH CRUDE STOCKS TO CRUDE RUNS TO STILLS FOR THE FOLLOWING MONTH, UNITED STATES 1946-1959 2.0 2.0 ~ v \\ \ 1.5 I .5 w 'fJ'. Vrl ~ ""V ~ rt\, tJ r\ l,A 1.0 1.0 .5 0 1946 ·41 ·40 ·49 50 ·51 ·52 ·53 ·54 ·55 '56 57 ·50 ·59 ° Source1 Annual Summary Crude Petroleum and Petroleum "Products, Mineral lndu1try Surveys, U.S. Bureau of Mine11 1949 computed from Monthly Pettole\lm StOtemenh. Bureau of -Busineu ReHarch. carefully. It is unfortunate that one geographical area has had to bear the brunt of the wide swings in production necessary to achieve this relative stability of the ratios. Crude runs to stills in Texas were up 1 % in December after adjustment for seasonal variation. They were 2% above December 1958. Stocks of refined products are still high. Unless runs are kept down, more price weakness will result. Total electric power consumption in December declined 2% after adjustment for seasonal factors. It was 10% above December of 1958. Comparing annual averages for 1958 and 1959 reveals that the index averaged 377% in 1959 and 337% in 1958. The 1959 average was 12% above 1958, a substantial gain. Industrial power consumption dropped 2% in Decem­ber to 371 % of the 1947-49 average consumption. It was 8% above December 1958. Total industrial power con· sumption for all of 1959 averaged 12% above 1958, indi­cating a substantial gain in industrial activity in the state. Life insurance sales in December were up 8% from November after allowing for seasonal factors . They were 11 % above December of 1958. For all of 1959 the index of life insurance sales averaged 8% above 1958. There was only one month in 1959 that the index did not exceed the value for the corresponding month of 1958. Total retail sales in December were 3% above Novem­ ber after seasonal adjustment. They were down 3% from December of last year. The decline resulted from a drop in sales of durable goods. Sales of durables fell 1 % in December from the November figure after taking seasonal factors into account. They were 16% below December of 1958. Automobile and farm implement sales were the prin­ cipal contributors to the unfavorable showing. Automobile sales rose less than they usually do at this time of the year because of shortages induced by the steel strike. Farm im­ plement sales declined more than seasonally in December in part because of the relatively unfavorable income re­ sulting from high costs and declining prices of farm pro­ ducts. Nondurable goods sales in December rose 5% above November after seasonal adjustment. They were 1 %above December of 1958, which was one of the best Decembers on record. Total urban building permits issued in December were 22% above November after seasonal adjustment. At 246% of the 1947-49 average they were equal to the December 1958 level. Residential permits were up 6% in December to 228% of 1947-49. At that level they were 27% below December of 1958 when a vigorous upsurge in residential construction was under way. Nonresidential permits in December were 6.2% above November after seasonal adjustment. They were 52% above December of 1958. Principal gains in this category were in office buildings, stores, and mercantile buildings. It is clear from the available data that 1959 was a record year in business activity in the state for many lines of busi­ ness. It was not a record year for oil producers. Certain chronic problems of the oil industry require solution. In view of the problems of the oil and farm sections of the state's economy, it is essential that industrialization be pushed forward with all speed. Otherwise, an unnecessary lag in economic growth will result. By "lag" it is meant that other states will outstrip Texas in growth rate. SELECTED BAROMETERS OF TEXAS BUSINESS (1947-49 =100) Percent change Dec 1959 Dec 1959 Dec Nov Dec from from Index 1959 1959 1958 Nov 1959 Dec 1958 Texas business activity ·-----··--·-223 220 211 + + 6 Miscellaneous freight carloadings in S.W. district . 76 78 75 + Crude petroleum productionN 115* 108* 124r 6 7 Crude oil runs to stills .............. 145 143 142 + + + 2 Total electric power consumption 366• 374* 332r 2 + 10 Industrial electric power consumption ---------------------371* 377* 344r 2 + 8 Bank debits ... ---------------------265 262 251 + + 6 ········-··········· Ordinary life insurance sales .... 457 425 413 8 + 11 + + Total retail sales ............... 218* 211r 225r -3 Durable-goods sales .. 147* 149r 175r -16 Nondurable-goods sales 255* 244r 252r 5 + + 1 Urban building permits issued 246 201 247 + 22 •• Residential .......... 228 215 313 6 27 + ­ Nonresidential 278 172 183 + 62 + 52 Adjusted for seasonal variation, except annual averages and farm cash income. •Preliminary, r Revised. •• Change is less than one-half of one percent. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Editor ................................................... John R. Stockton Managing Editor ................................ Robert H. Drenner CONTENTS The Business Situation in Texas.................................. 2 Industrial Production 5 Building Construction 7 Agriculture ................................................................ 9 Finance ................. .................................................... 11 Retail Trade ................................................................ 13 Local Business Conditions ........................................ 15 Barometers of Texas Business .................................... 28 BUSINESS RESEARCH COUNCIL J ohn Arch White, Acting Dean of the College of Business Adminis. tration (ex officio); J ohn R. Stockton; W. H. Baughn; L. G. Blackstock; E. W. Cundiff; J. Neff; G. H . Newlove. BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH J ohn R. Stockton Stanley A. Arbingast Florence Escott Director Assistant Direct Canteloupes ................................. . 387 1,212 -68 Grapefruit ................................................. . 392 335 + 17 Honeydews .............................................. . 313 604 -48 Lemons ·······----------·-·---­········ --·················--­ 3 16 -81 Oranges 77 113 -32 Strawberries .......... -----·---··············­ 2 -67 Watermelons .............................................. 906 1,228 -26 Plums & prunes ...................................... . 4 +125 Tangerines ----····---················--------······· 9 11 -18 Mixed citrus ................. --­-------·-··--··-········· 599 569 -2 Mixed melons .......................................... 24 +2.300 ALL OTHERS ............................... . 162 131 + 24 Prices Received by Farmers in Texas Index • Unadjusted for seasonal variation • 1909-1914·100 and flooding in October 1958 and a December cold wave in all the Texas vegetable-growing areas, resulting in a drop to 95 cwt. yield per acre, cutting the 1959 crop sharply to 19.0 million pounds. Blight trouble also was experienced in January and February. California, with a much lower planted acreage, upped its yield per acre and harvested a 218.4-million·pound crop. Average Texas yield in 1958 was 160 cwt. per acre, producing a 312.0-million-pound crop, some 163.6 million pounds over the California harv­est. Principal growing areas for Texas winter carrots are the Lower Rio Grande Valley (largely Cameron and Hi· dalgo counties), the Winter Garden and the Eagle Pass area, the San Antonio area, the Laredo region, and the Coastal Bend (mainly Nueces and San Patricio counties) . Planting begins in early August, continuing into January. Harvest in the San Antonio, Winter Garden, and Laredo areas usually begins in November, but not in the Valley until December. Coastal Bend carrots do not usually start making until late February, with production continuing as late as June. Ample supplies should be available into April this year. Production of fall carrots in Texas also dropped drastic­ally in 1959. This drop, rather than due to adverse weather, was the result of a more than 50% decrease in acreage planted. Although hail caused damage to some plantings in early summer, yield per acre was increased. Texas ranked first in fall carrot production in 1958, with a 97.5­million-pound crop. In 1959 the state dropped behind New York, Wisconsin, and Oregon, showing a 52.5-million­pound production. Plantings of fall carrots in Texas are from mid·April to August, with harvest beginning in late July. The peak sup­ply is hit in mid-September, but production usually con­tinues into January. The Panhandle (Bailey, Castro, Deaf Smith, Hale, Lamb, and Parmer counties) is the principal producing area. Lettuce is a second vegetable crop of which Texas pro­duces both a winter and fall harvest. However, Texas ranks much lower in lettuce production than in carrots. The state stood third in winter production last year, but sub­stantially below California and Arizona. In fall production Texas was second below California, but again substantially under this state. In winter production in 1959 California turned out 652.5 million pounds of the 869.0-million-pound total. Arizona produced 160.0 million pounds, while Texas produced only 32.5 million pounds. In the fall crop, Texas produced only 36.4 million pounds of the 457.3-million­pound total. California turned out 362.7 million pounds. Although a 94% increase in Texas winter lettuce produc­tion in 1960 is indicated, the harvest will still stand sub· stantially behind California's estimated 690.0 million poun~s and ~rizona's estimated 160.5 million pounds. Texas 1959 wmter crop fell below the 1958 crop by some 23.6 million pounds due to an approximate 50% acreage cut. The fall crop was substantially the same in 1958 and 1959. Principal lettuce-growing areas in Texas are the Lower Valley, t?e Winter. Garden, th~ Laredo area, and the Eagle ?ass reg10n (especially Ma~en~k County). Planting begins m September and product10n m the Winter Garden con· tinues as late as April. Heavy marketings should continue !hrough March this year. Light harvest began in the Valley m late November, but volume did not start moving to market until mid-December. A freeze in the Winter Garden on November 7 lowered yield prospects, but no acreage was lost co~pletely. The freeze also caused some tip-burn. Plantings of Texas early fall lettuce begin in late June in the Panhandle, the chief producing area. Harvest is in September and October, but lettuce which stays in the field into November is usually killed by freezes. Texas drew ahead of Florida in production in fall green or bell, peppers in 1959 (the state produced about one-third of the nation's fall peppers last year), but plantings in summer peppers in the state in recent years have been so low that the U. S. Department of Agriculture discontinued estimates in 1956. Texas fall production was 12.2 million pounds in 1959; Florida, 10.5 million pounds. Florida topped Texas 16.5 million to 10.0 million pounds in 1958. Chief growing areas for fall peppers in Texas are the Lower Valley and the Winter Garden. Seedbeds are prepared in early July and the plants are placed in the fields in late August. Harvest begins in late October and remains active throughout November and December. Seedbeds for summer Texas bell peppers are planted in early January, with plants carried to the field in early March. Principal growing areas are the San Antonio area (Atascosa and Bexar counties), the Coastal Bend (Jim Wells, Kleberg, San Patricio counties), South Texas (prin· c~pally ~arris County), East Texas (Cherokee, Falls, Hop· kms, Milam, Robertson, Rusk, Shelby, Smith, Van Zandt, and Wood counties). Production in South Texas the Pan· handle, and East Texas runs as far as mid-July. ' C ARLOAD SHIPMENTS OF LIVESTOCK* Sour ce: Bureau .of Busi~l!Ss Research in cooperation with Agricultural Marketing Service, U. S. Department of Agriculture Percent change Classification Dec 1969 Nov 1969 Dec 1968 Dec '59 from Nov '69 Dec '69 from Dec '68 TOTAL ---i,774 1,704 i.879 4 -6 + Cattle ·--· ----------·········· 1,486 1,442 1,687 + 3 -6 Calves ----················----------------201 198 263 + 2 -2A Hogs ------··-·· 3 0 0 Sheep -·-·--··-----------------·········--·· 84 64 29 + 31 +190 INTERSTATE l ,589 1,626 1,664 4 + 2 + Cattle -·····-···········-------------------· 1,338 1,311 1,823 + 2 + 1 Calves --------------------············---· 166 160 216 + 10 -24 Hogs ··--------------········----·--·-----··· 3 0 0 ····-·-·--··--------· Sheep 83 64 26 + 80 +232 INTRASTATE 185 179 315 + 3 -41 Cattle 148 131 264 + 13 -44 -········-·---·---··-·-­Calves -------·-----------------36 48 47 -26 -23 Sheep 0 4 -75 --··················------·----------­ * Rail-car basis: Cattle, 30 head per car ; calves, 60 ; hogs, 80 ; and sheep, 250. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Finance: THE U. S. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS-A CHANGING PICTURE IN A CHANGING WORLD By P. JOHN LYMBEROPOULOS* As 1959 came to an end, concern was expressed by the Administration, and by many businessmen and other per­sons versed in the field of international economics, with regard to the relatively high deficit of approximately $4 billion that the United States was running in its balance of payments with the rest of the world. To others the situ­ation did not seem at all of alarming nature or to bear unpleasant consequences for the economy, but on the con­trary was viewed with hope and enthusiasm as indicating the end of a postwar era that was characterized by a major dollar shortage and trade barriers among nations. The last thirty years, with two major wars and a period of tensions that divided the world into two rival philos­ophies, possess significant importance in the economic hi~­tory of this nation. It was an era during which economic "isolation" policies in the United States gave way to trade interdependence and cooperation with other nations, based upon economic justice and opportunity. The wars in Europe and a tremendous growth of wealth and power in the United States have given to this country the role of economic and political leadership in the society of nations. The growing concern of the United States with international economic affairs has been intensified in the postwar years through ample military and economic grants in aid, vast exchanges of goods and services and the exportation of valuable tech· nical knowledge to other lands aimed toward the raising of living standards, and facilitating higher levels of eco­nomic activity in less developed areas of the world. The effort on the part of this nation to aid less developed economies and restore war-devastated countries resulted in a heavy over-all surplus in the balance of payments of this country, which was financed primarily by large im­portations of gold. Such a balance is simply an a<:counting statement which provides, in summary form, valuable in­formation with regard to a country's over-all economic picture and especially its economic status among other na­tions. It covers all transactions conducted by the residents of one nation with the rest of the world during a given period of time, usually one year. All transactions are classi­fied into a few distinct groups that constitute major com­ponents of economic activity. Recently the United States has ceased playing the bene· factor to the majority of the free world, and on the contrary has come to realize that she has undertaken a new duty and role, that of a free competitor in the world's markets. For a period of ten years this nation diligently strove to rehabilitate its present competitors through various mutual defense and economic assistance programs that originated with the Marshall Plan in 1943. Such an effort has brought forth strong economies that, along with the United States, are presently directing their trade activities toward striking financial balance in their international economic relations. *Instructor in Business Statistics and Finance, The University of Texas. The present deficit in the balance of international pay­ments constitutes the most tangible proof of the over-all success of the military, economic and technical aid that was provided for the war-torn economies. In a period of less than ten years the economies of the previously devastated nations emerged reconstructed, fairly stable, vital and highly competitive. This strength and vitality of both Western Europe and Japan first became evident in 1950 when trade surplus figures of the United States drastically declined from $7 billion to $3 billion. Between 1947 and 1957 the same nations, having overcome major inflationary problems within their own economies and having improved considerably on wage scales, production costs, managerial techniques and technological advancements, were able to experience a tremendous leap in their exports, which in turn caused a considerable increase in United States im· U.S. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS (Excluding Military Grants In Aid) Seasonally Adjusted (Millions of Dollars) 1958 1959 Classification II III IV II U.S. PAYMENTS, TOTAL ----$6,697 $6,832 $7,027 $6,650 $7,348 $7,351 Imports, total 5,166 6,272 5,517 5,513 5,986 5,985 Merchandise 3,187 3,2181 3,432 3,540 3,930 8,956 Services and mil. expendit. 1,979 2,054 2,085 1,973 2,056 2,029 Remittances and pensions .... 170 173 186 186 185 198 Govt. grants and related capital outflows (net) 609 612 580 647 559 627 U .S. private and other govt. capital outflows (net) 752 775 744 304 6182 541 U. S. RECEIPTS, TOTAL _ 5,734 5,897 5,869 5,614 5,864 6,308 Exports, total 5,749 5,923 5,817 5,539 5,674 6,17-1 Merchandise ............... . 4,019 4,143 4,000 3,807 3,925 4,335 Services and mil. transactions 1,730 1.780 1,817 1,732 1,749 1,839 Foreign long-term invest­ments in the U.S. ____ _ -15 -26 52 75 190 134 ERRORS AND OMISSIONS (net receipts) -------·------112 45 148 117 362 -12 INCREASE IN FOREIGN GOLD AND LIQUID DOLLAR ASSETS THROUGH TRANSAC· TIONS WITH THE UNITED STATES 851 890 1,010 919 1,122 1,055 1 Excludes census trade adjustment of $33 million. 2 Excludes $1,375 million IMF subscription. Source: U. S. Department of Commerce, Office of Business Economics, Siirvey of Current Bu.siness, D ecember 1959, p. 6. ports at an average rate of increase of nearly 12% a year. However, the United States continued assisting the rest of the free world intensively, even though indirectly. Defense assistance continued with nuclear weapons. Protective measures on the part of many nations, designed to discrim­inate against dollar goods and services, were tolerated. In addition, the United States financed other nations' exporta­tions of goods and services to underdeveloped areas and thus made available to them additional amounts of highly­needed dollars. This explosive growth of Western European and Jap· anese trade, along with inflationary prices in this country during the period of 1947-57, has accounted to a great extent for this present reversal in the balance of payments. This shift from the position of net surplus to that of a de­ficit has in recent years caused considerable impact on foreign gold and short-term dollar holdings which in the period between 1949 and 1958 were slightly more than doubled, with Canada, Asia, the Sterling Area countries and Latin America benefiting the most. The table on page 11 provides a summary of the eco­nomic status of the United States and its activity with other nations for the last three quarters of 1958 and the first three quarters of 1959. In the third quarter of 1959, U. S. payments reached a high point. In the second quarter, im­ports, even after the required seasonal adjustment, attained a new peak of activity and even exceeded exports of non­military goods. Nonferrous metals, newsprint, vehicles, tex­tiles and wood products led in the list. In the third quarter, however, this increase in imports continued at a decreasing rate. Sales of foreign automobiles and agricultural ma­chinery in American markets experienced the most notice­able decline. Following the same pattern, exportation of non-military goods experienced an increase during the second quarter of 1959, but not comparable to that of imports. Finished manufactured goods and foodstuffs accounted primarily for this increase. The picture, however, changed somewhat when merchandise exports during the third quarter rose $410 million over the second, for one of the largest quarter­ to-quarter changes in recent years. Studies by the Depart­ ment of Commerce indicate that nearly half of this sea­ sonally adjusted increase can be attributed to exports to Wes tern Europe (nearly 40% of the total) , Australia and Canada. Trade with Western Europe, one of the principal export markets of the United States, is under pressure as the Euro­ peans, with their economies reconstructed and enjoying "healthy" economic cooperation, are industrially compet­ ing with the United States. There is no doubt, however, that the demand for American products will continue. Consequently, in the months or even years to come, the United States will not cease experiencing a favorable bal­ ance of trade. The only changes that are expected to occur are in the nature and character of the commodities to be exported, which have already begun shifting from heavy manufactured and capital goods to chemicals, plastics, and consumer durables. While the export-import relations of this nation have followed a more or less "normal" pattern, direct United States private foreign investment, especially to Western Europe and Japan, has been subject to a tremendous growth. Reconstructed economies have created in recent years an investment-favorable environment that has boosted the new outflow of direct investment capital to Europe from $74 million in the first six months of 1958 to $284 million in the period between January and June, 1959. As the 1960's began, a new era of financial interdepend­ ence among nations of the free world saw its beginning. It is the beginning of an epoch during which the United States is destined to play probably the most vital role, that of the "world banker." At present, however, a rather size­ able deficit in the country's international balance of pay­ ments and the potential action with regard to the deficit's absorption seem to occupy the minds of policy planners. This deficit, even though it has performed the service of better distributing the existing monetary reserve through­out the world and has thus increased the probability of peaceful coexistence, is the result of an unfavorable balance of trade. Devaluation of the dollar and an increased re­striction of imports, even though they guarantee immediate results, are excluded as undesirable and extremely drastic for the restoration of balance in the U. S. international accounts. Foreign aid if directed toward countries who de­pend on United States exports might eventually create a favorable balance of trade and thus contribute to the re­duction of the existing deficit. Currently the Administration has taken steps toward the elimination of this balance deficit by taking decisive action toward a tight money policy that will control inflationary pressures. Thus, a close control will be kept between costs and the price structure. In addition, since the United States will be carrying on international trade on equal terms with the rest of the nations, it has been suggested that other countries immediately remove the remaining discrimina­tory restrictions against dollar goods and services, that they shouM carry heavier responsibility in the rehabilitation of underdeveloped areas, and that defense expenditure?! should be shared financially on a more equal basis. CHANGES IN CONDITION OF WEEKLY REPORTING MEMBER BANKS IN THE DALLAS FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Percent change• Dec 1959 Dec 1959 Dec 1958 from from from Account Nov 1959 Dec 1958 Nov 1958 TOTAL ASSETS + 2 - 2 + 5 Loans and investments, less loans to banks and valuation reserves -----------­ + 1 •• + 2 Loans, less loans to banks and valuation reserves ---· + 2 + 4 + Commercial, industrial, and agricultural loanst .................. + 1 + + 7 Loans for purchasing or carrying securities ·--­··-·-----­---­Real estate loans ................................ + 1 + 1 8 + 14 3 Other loans .............. ......................... + 4 + 14 + 2 T otal U.S. Government securities _------------··········-------· - 9 - . Treasury bills .................................... -39 -36 -33 Treasury certificates of indebtedness .......... ..................... Treasury notes and bonds .............. Other securities ............................ •• + 2 + 8 -75 + 2 + 5 -2 •• + 5 L oans to banks .......................... + 41 +650 -89 Reserves with Federal Reserve banks ....................... . Cash in vaults .......................... . -9 + 10 -6 + 12 + 1•• Balance with domestic banks Other net assets .............. . + 19 + 6 -22 + 12 + 49•• TOTAL LIABILITIES ...... + 2 3 + 5 Total adjusted deposits ............. . + 2 2 + 2 Demand deposits ......................... . Time deposits ......................... . + 4 + 1 3 2 + 7•• U. S. Government deposits ....... Total interbank deposits ........... . -30 •• + 11 -16 -50 + 22 Domestic banks ............................... . + 6 -16 + 23 Foreign banks .................................... + 13 + 6 -16 Borrowings ................................... . -14 -100 Other liabilities CAPITAL ACCOUNTS.... + 2•• + 16 + 9 -- 8 1 *Percentage changes are based on the week nearest the end of th• month. *• Change is less than one-half of one percent. tincludes loans t-0 nonbank financial institutions. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW FEDERAL INTERNAL R EVENUE COLLECTIONS Source: Internal Revenue Service, U. S. Treasury Department July 1-December 30 Percent District 1959 1958 change TEXAS _ ------------------------------­ Income ................. Employment -------------------------­Withholding _______ ----------------------­ Other ------------------------------------­ SOUTHERN DISTRICT.. Income ····---·---······· ----·---·---·---···-··· Employment -------------------------------­ Withholding -------------------------­Other _ NORTHERN DISTRICT__ Income ---·-············--·-................... . Employment Withholding ---­Other -------------------------------------------­ $1,177,43C>,614 435,462,391 6,926,845 623,345,868 111,695,510 594,885,512 2.12,092,240 43,997 314,874,952 67,874,323 582,545,102 223,370,151 6,882,848 308,470,916 43,821,187 $1,044,005,414 373,385,672 6,222,239 554,004,893 110,392,610 539,615, 783 189,455,222 86,344 281,957 ,860 68,116,357 504,389,631 183,930,450 6,135,895 272,047 ,033 42,276,253 + 13 + 17 + 11 + 13 + 1 + 10 + 12 -49 + 12 + 15 + 21 + 12 + 13 + 4 ** Change is less than one-half of one percent. REVENUE RECEIPTS OF THE STATE COMPTROLLER Source: State Comptroller of Public Accounts September 1-December 31 Percent Account 1959 1958 change TOTAL ..... -----···-··---·····---­Ad valorem, inheritance and poll taxes __ ---·----····--······· Natural and casinghead gas production taxes --··--·····--······· Gas severance ben eficiary tax .. Crude oil production taxes ---------­Other gross receipts and production taxes ........................ Insurance companies and other occupation taxes ........................ Motor fuel taxes (net) ·············-·­ Cigarette tax and licenses .......... Alcoholic beverage taxes and licenses ·······················-···· Automobile and other sales taxes All licenses and fees _____ Franchise taxes ······--······--··-·····-··­Mineral leases, land sales, rentals, and bonuses Oil and gas royalties Interest earned ·····-·················-···--· Unclassified receipts ···-·-········ Other miscellaneous revenue ...... Federal aid for highways -----------­Federal aid for public welfare __ __ Other federal aid ······--··-·-·-··--····--­Donations and grants .................... $374,2(}4,521 18,763,058 15,843,766 104,302 39,125,140 6,438,842 231,629 61,454,817 26,075,566 13,490,157 10,153,272 12,450,627 12,871,756 10,510,286 9,011,961 10,948,606 4,375,664 4,533,359 63 ,359,809 40,448,737 13,914,325 98,842 $330,248,567 17 ,452,2.43 14,390,291 0 44,934,691 5,788,649 303,022 57,897,613 16,855,847 11,372,732 5,887,517 11,366,108 907,199 10,960,644 9,424,476 10,207,249 3,990,426 4,147,427 51,554,780 45,819,117 6,783,315 205,221 + 13 + + 10 + 11 + 6 + 55 + 19 + 72 + 10 +1.319 -13 -24 4 4 + 7 + 10 + 9 + 23 -12 +105 -52 Newspaper Advertislng linage Index • Adjusted for seasonal variation • 1947.1949·100 Retail Trade: DECEMBER SALES GOOD, BUT BELOW A YEAR AGO By ROBERT H. DRENNER Total retail sales in Texas in December were an esti­mated $1,437.3 million, 3% below retail volume in the same month a year ago. Such a showing, though not up to the expectations of the more optimistic merchants, does not imply that Christmas trade was poor. It was in fact quite good. The percentage decline is the result of compari­son with a month when many observers were startled by the sudden resurgence of consumer buying after the 1957­58 recession. Texas retail volume in December 1958 was at a record level, up 7% from December 1957-though total 1958 sales fell l % from 1957 volume. It is also significant that December 1959 sales of nondurable goods actually exceeded (+1 % ) the extremely high level of such sales a year ago. The December-to-December decline in total ESTIMATES OF TOTAL RETAIL SALES (Unadjusted for seasonal variation) (Millions of dollars) Percent change Dec '59 Dec J an-Dec from Type of store 1959 1959 Nov '59 Total ---------­--------­-1,437.3 13,734.9 + 27 Durable goods• -------­ 287 .5 3,706.4 + 8 Nondurable goods ---­ 1,149.8 10,028.5 + 33 Dec '59 from Dec '58 Jan-Dec '59 from Jan-Dec '58 -3 -16 + 5 + 16 + 1 + 1 • Contains automotive stores. furniture stores, and lumber, building material and hardware stores. sales was the result of a sharp drop in durables volume (-16%), which had been expected. Though sales declines were general throughout the durables category, most were small-with the important exception of sales by motor ve· hide dealers, down 24% from December 1958. This was largely responsible for the over-all 16% drop in durables sales. Further evidence that December buying was better than usual is the fact that the November-to-December increase in total sales was greater than the normal seasonal gain from the one month to the other. The seasonally-adjusted monthly index of total retail volume rose 7 points, from 211 % of the 1947--49 average in November to 218 in De· cember. The adjusted nondurables index rose 11 points (from 244 to 255 ) and the durables index, in spite of the sharp dollar decline from December 1958 sales, dropped only 2 points ( 149 in November to 147). In short, though merchants did not have quite as good a Christmas season as they did a year ago, December 1959 retail volume was barely below its 1958 high. For the year as a whole, total retail sales in Texas in 1959 rose 5% (to an estimated $13.735 billion) from the 1958 figure, for a new annual record. Generally high auto· mobile sales through the year (with the exception of the last quarter) were chiefly responsible for the magnitude of the total sales gain. Up 19% for January·December, the gain contrasted with a nominal 1 % rise in total sales of nondurables during the year (leaving the latter category at about the 1957 sales level. Sales of nondurables in 1958 fell 1 % from 1957) . Sales showings in the various retail subclassifications varied considerably in the comparisons with November 1959 and with December 1958, but records were, with several important exceptions, much more uniform for the 12-month period. In the nondurable goods area, December sales by apparel stores showed no change from the same month a year ago, were up 66% from November, and rose 5% from January-December 1958. Drug store volume, which also showed no significant change from December 1958, was up 44% from November, and gained 4% for the year as a whole. Food store volume, influenced by sig­nificant food price declines, was the major exception to the general trend in nondurables sales; up 15% from Novem­ber and 2% above December 1958, total 1959 sales in the category fell 6% from 1958. December volume of gasoline and service stations rose 12% from November, fell 4% from December a year ago, and gained 4% from 1958. General merchandise stores, including department stores, recorded approximately the same sales volume as in December 1958, posted a 71 % gain from November 1959, and for the 12-month period showed a 5% dollar sales rise from 1958. Other nondur­able goods stores (including florists, jewelry stores, and liquor stores) recorded a 9% sales gain for the year, and reported December volume 50% above the preceding No­vember and 7% above the same month a year earlier. Annual sales records in the durable goods subcategories all showed substantial improvement from 1958. Most im­portant was the strong 18 % rise in dollar sales by auto­motive stores, including motor vehicle dealers; the cate­gory, though down 21 % from December 1958, reported a 4% gain from November 1959. Volume of furniture and household appliance stores rose 9% from the preceding year; December sales were down 3% from the same month in 1958 but were 26% over November 1959 sales. Lumber, building material, and hardware stores (including farm implement dealers) reported 1959 sales up 8% from 1958, though a 2% drop from December 1958 and a 1 % decline from November 1959 were also reported. Farm implement dealers reported 1959 sales 11% above the 1958 level. CREDIT RATIOS IN DEP ARTMENT AND APPAREL STORES Credit Collection ratios• ratios•• N umber of Classification reporting st or es Dec 1959 Dec 1958 Dec 1959 Dec 1958 ·----­ ALL STORES 44 67.7 67.0 40.1 41.2 BY CITI ES Austin ___ ----------·············----­- 55.8 57.8 45.8 47.6 Da llas .... 4 79. 7 80.9 41.1 41.5 Galveston 63.7 64.1 27.7 28.2 San Anton io ----------------····--··-······· 3 75.3 70.4 41.6 46.2 W aco 4 55.5 54.7 41.3 42 .2 HY TYPE OF STORE Department stores (over $1 million) ·­ 10 70.8 70.8 38.4 39.4 Department stores (under $1 million) 15 42.2 42.8 53.4 46.2 Dry goods a nd a pparel stores . 4 70.8 71.4 57.1 56.9 W omen's specialty shops .. 8 64 .1 60.9 41.6 45.4 Men 's clothing stor es . 7 57.9 55.7 44.0 42.8 BY VOLUME OF NET SALES Over $1,5 00,000 ----------------­-----···· 13 90.4 69.9 39.5 40.8 $500,000 to $1,500,000 ----­ 10 49.3 47.9 44 .2 46.5 $250,000 to $500,000 11 46 .5 48.4 43.3 44.7 L ess than $250,000 .................... 10 48.1 46.6 45.7 44.2 • Credit sales divided by net sales. •• Collections du ring the month divided by accounts unpaid on the first of the month. RETAIL SALES TRENDS BY KINDS OF BUSINESS Source: Bureau of Business Research in cooperation with the Bureau of the Census, U. S. Department of Commerce Percent change Normal seasonal* Actual Number of reporting Dec '59 Dec '59 Dec '59 Jan-Dec establish-from from from 1959 from men ts Nov '59 Nov '59 Dec '58 Jan-Dec Kind of business DURABLE GOODS Automotive stores _ 247 + + 4 - 21 + 18 Furniture & household ap pliance stores 153 + 28 + 26 3 + L umber, building mater ial, and h ardwa re stores . . 294 - 1 - 1 2 + NONDURABLE GOODS A pparel stores _ 195 + 64 + 66 x + Drug stores 149 + 44 + 44 x + Eating and drinki n g places 86 + 4 + 4 3 + F ood stores ····---······-·---···-·-· 346 + 6 + 15 + Gasoline and ser vice stations 124 + 6 + 12 4 + General merchanrlise stor es 186 + 58 + 71 + 1 + Other retail stores . 206 + 56 + 50 + 7 + * A vera!< 2 85,465 88,9·35 4 P ercent unemployed (area) .................................... . 3.0 - 14 -14 3.3 4.3 - 23 DELRIO (pop.14,292) Postal receipts• ·················································-··········· $ Building permits, less federal contracts .................. $ Bank debits (thousands) ·····························--···--······­$ 14,202 82,254 9,672 + 37 + 52 •• -10 $ 1,632,440 $ 1,459,755 + 12 End-of-mont!> deposits (thousands>: ...................... S 12,870 + Annual rate of deposit turnover ...... ........................ . 9.0 + DENTON (pop. 29,479r) Retail sales ................................................................... . Drug stores ......................................................... . Postal receipts• ... . ................................................ $ + «t 33,351 + 72 + 12 + •• $ 366,685 $ 311,953 + 4 + 18 Building permits, less federal contracts ............ $ 836,700 -71 -19 $ 7,221 ,491 $ 6,213 ,665 + 16 Bank debits (thousands ) .. ....................... .................. $ 16,324 3 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t ............ S 19,002 + 4 Annual rate of deposit turnover ............ . 10 .6 5 EDINBURG (pop. 15,993r) Postal receipts• .............................................................. $ 12,968 + 61 + $ 137 ,480 $ 120,643 Building permits, less federal contracts ................. $ 100,530 + 24 + 33 $ 1,623,923 $ 1,741,890 Bank debits (thousands) .. .......................................... $ 14,411 + 11 + 44 $ 162 ,974 $ 126,734 End-of-month deposits (thousands ) t ...................... S 8,993 -12 - 8 $ 8,655 $ 8,7 43 Annual rate of deposit turnover ---·­......................... . 18.0 + 10 + 44 18.9 14 .8 EL PASO {pop. 244,000r) Retail sales ..................................................................... . + 23t + 28 - 8 Automotive stores ······ ···· ···· · ··-­·~---·· -·---·--······---·-·-· + Bt + 6 -43 Drug stores --·······································-················· Food stores .. ........................................•................... + 44t + 6t + 51 + 7 1 5 General merchandise stores __ + 5Bt + 30 6 Lumber, building material, and hardware stores ........................................... . - lt - 3 -25 ,· Postal receipts• .............................................................. $ 346,726 + 25 + 10 $ 3,475,443 $ 2,988,544 Building permits, less federal contracts ................. $ 3,890,435 -23 -4() $ 65,()02,529 $ 66,939,151 Bank debits (thousands) ...................... ...................... $ 399.340 + 8 + $ 4,213,093 s 3,660,789 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ...................... $ 172 ,234 + 2 2 $ 168,134 $ 174,135 Annual rate of deposit turnover ............................... . 28.2 + 7 + 6 25.0 23.5 Employment (area ) ·······-···················-"····················­Manufacturing employment (area) .. 90,000 13,460 + 4 + 5 + 8 + 1 84,150 13,330 80,950 13,285 Percent unemployed (area) ·················-·-·····---····-···· 4.• 5 + 7 + 7 4.2 4.7 FREDERICKSBURG {pop. 3,854) Postal receipts• ............................................................ $ Buildi ng permits, less federal contracts . $ Bank debits (thousands) .................. . ........... ....... $ End-of-month deposits (thousandslt ..... $ Annual rate of deposit turnover ........ . 5.703 24,245 7,044 6,940 12.7 + 17 -46 + 6 + 9 + 11 $ 63,5-35 + 19 GARLAND (pop. 28,15Jr) Postal receipts• .................... S 30,572 + 11 - 9 Building permits, less federal contracts --'· .. i 562,511 -40 - 52 $ 13,111,928 $ 14,048,984 7 Employment (area) ................................................... . Manufacturing employment (area) ......... .. ... . . 406,900 86,025 + 1 •• + - 3 2 394 ,300 85,4.65 385,650 88,935 :+ - 2 4 Percent unemployed (area) .................................... . 3.0 - 14 - 14 3.3 4.3 - 23 For explanation of symbols, see page 27. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Percent change Percent change City and item Dec 1959 Dec 1959 from Nov 1959 Dec 1959 from Dec 1958 1959 1958 1959 from 1958 FORT WORTH (pop. 373,000r) . Retail sales •·········-···---··-··-······-····--··-----··-·--·-··················· + 25t + 27 - 10 + 5 Apparel stores ... ·-·--·-·················--················ + S5t + 62 - 4 + 4 Automot,ive stores ····························--·--------·· + 3t - 6 - 38 + 14 Drug stores ..................................... Eating and dr inking places . --········---·-············-·· + 3lt 2t + 30 •• -- l 20 + 2 4 Liquor stores ··--·-···-··················--·-·--·----······­-········· + 67 - 24 5 Food stores .. ................................... + St + 11 - 4 8 Furniture and household appliance stores .. General merchandise stores ................................ + + 29t 55t -+ 5 77 - 21 •• + + 9 5 Lumber, building material, and hardware stores ··­·-······-·········--······ Gasoline and service stations .... -12t . + St 5 l + 4 7 •• •• Postal receipts* .......... ------------··-······-·····-······················· $ 783,582 + 7 G $ 8,799,752 $. 7,9S3,Sl4 + 10 Building permits, less federal contracts ... ...... $ 2,5S3,S92 - 58 - 29 $ 58,38S,105 $ 53,712,076 + 9 Bank debits (thousands ) .................... $ 873,43S + 19 - l $ 9,431,14S $ 8,68S,SlS + 10 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t Annual rate of deposit tu rnover ............. ................ $ " 375,447 27.5 + l 18 - 3 •• $ 37S,520 25.0 $ 3S8,147 23.6 + + 2 s Employment (area ) ...................... Manufacturing employment (area) 209,200 66,150 + + 2 2 + - 2 l 204,760 66,735 200,900 65,800 + 2 •• Percent unemployed (area) ·······-··········-······ 4.3 - 2S 4.9 s.s - 2S GALVESTON (pop. 71,590r) Retail sales ... ······················-······ ······························-····· + 23t + 51 5 + 3 Apparel stores ................ ···················-···----·-··----·-­ + 64t + 85 + 4 Food stores ··-·························-··········-·····-·-············· + St + l + 6 4 Furniture and household appliance stores + 28t + 24 6 + 8 Lumber, building m aterial, and hardware stores ······--·-····-····························· - l t + 30 - 16 + 3 Postal receipts• ............... ·····-··················-····--·· $ 93,741 + 5 + l $ 1,118,675 $ l,010,523 + 11 Building permits, less federal contracts Bank debits (thousands ) -··············· ........ s ········ s 55S,156 102,415 +S3 1 + 13 + + 8 $ $ 4,111,956 l ,OS7,8SO $ $ 4,2S2,073 l,OSS,373 - 4.. End-of-month deposits (thousands)t . ··········­$ S4,1S8 + l + 2 $ S3,743 $ S6,S56 4 Annual rate of deposit turnover 19.2 + 10 + 2 lS.8 15.9 + 6 Employment (area ) .... 49,800 + + 2 49,300 48,560 + 2 Manufacturing employment (area ) 9,860 ( : • - 10 10,410 11,155 7 Percent unemployed (area) 6.0 9 - 14 7.3 7.5 3 GIDDINGS (pop. 2,532) Postal receipts• ... ·········-··········· ···-···-····· $ 4,488 + S7 + 28 $ 41,0Sl $ 34,854 + 18 Bank debits (thousands) .. .. .. ······················-·· ······-···· $ 2,3S4 + 2 $ 28,304 $ 24,287 + 17 End-of-month deposits (thousandslt ................. $ 3,988 + + $ 3,757 $ 3,694 + 5 Annual rate of deposit turnover .. 7.1 + 7.5 S.8 + 10 GILMER (pop. 4,096) Retail sales ···········-······-·······-····· ·········-··········-·····-·····-···· Lumber, building material, and hard ware stores .. .......................... Postal receipts* ...................... ······················ ················ $ Building permits, less federal contracts . ············­$ -l t 4,438 5,000 --- 8 28 60 ~ 15 -27 -89 $ $ S3,440 28S,800 $ $ 59,128 192,540 + 9 + + 49 GLADEWATER (pop. 6,28lr) Postal receipts* ····--···········-······················-······--············­$ 5,477 + 10 - 8 $ 78,818 Building permits, less federal contracts .................. $ 3,100 - 82 - 91 $ 429,lSO $ 346,119 + 24 Bank debits (thousands) ........... ············--·············· $ 3,824 + lS + 2 $ 44,573 $ 42,619 + 5 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ...................... $ 4,279 - 5 - n $ 4,473 $ 4,S03 3 Annual rate of deposit turnover .... ·········-··············-·· 10.5 + 24. + 15 9.9 9.3 + s Employment (area ) ···•······-···-········ 28,300 + + 3 27,80 0 2S,860 + 4 Manufacturing employment (area) ·- 5,0'70 + + 10 4,900 4,370 + 12 Percent unemployed (area) 3.3 8 28 4.0 5.S - 29 GOLDTHWAITE (pop. 1,566) $ 2,799 + 92 -12 $ 27,S97 $ 27 ,39S + Bank debits (thousands) .. s 2,846 + 2 + 5 $ 41,197 $ 38,104 + 8 ····~-­ Postal receipts• ·····-······-··-·······-··-···················-.-­ ····-·················· End-of-month deposits (thousands) i $ 3,580 l + l $ 3,554 $ 3,527 + ············­Annual rate of deposit tu rnover ··········-······· 9.5 + 3 + 6 11.6 10.9 + 6 For explanation of symbols, see page 27, FEBRUARY 1%0 P ercent change Percent change City and item Dec 1959 Dec 1959 from Nov 1959 Dec 1959 from -Dec 1958 1959 1958 1959 from 1958 GRAND PRAIRIE (pop. 35,000r) Postal receipts• ............................................................ $ 22,152 - 2 - 19 $ 281,993 $ 243,712 + 16 Building permits, less federal contracts .............. $ 143,345 - 70 - 42 $ 6,448,188 $ 5,812,034 + 11 Employment (area) ................................................... . Manufacturing employment (area) 406,900 86,025 + •• + - 3 2 394,300 85,465 385,650 88,935 + - 2 4 P ercent unemployed (area) ................................... . 3.0 - 14 - 14 3.3 4.3 - 23 GREENVILLE (pop. 20,034r) Retail sales .................................................................. . + 23t + 22 - 2 + 16 Apparel stores ..................................................... . + 64t + 87 + 14 + 3 Drug stores ........................................................... . + 44t + 46 + 3 + 6 Lumber, building material, and hardware stores ...... . .................... . - lt -10 7 2 P ostal receipts• ............................................................ $ 28,035 + 21 1 $ 272,677 $ 235,353 + 16 Building permits, less federal contracts ............. $ 193,450 + 5 + 77 $ 2,160,164 $ 1, 778,381 + 21 Bank debits (thousands) .......................................... $ 17,400 + 4 + 7 $ 199,843 $ 171,499 + 17 End-of-month deposits (thousands) i .................... $ Annual rate of deposit turnover ......... . 16,725 12.4 2 + 3 + 3 •• $ 16,214 12.3 $ 15,149 11.3 + + HARLINGEN ( pop. 31,799r) R etail sales + 2St + 4 - 15 + 10 Automotive stores ---------------------------· + St - 22 - 30 + 15 Drug stores ----······-·······--·······-·············---················ + 44t + 43 - 6 Furniture and household appliance stores ............................................ + 2St + 30 + 15 + 9 P ostal receipts• ............................................................ $ 36,846 6 - 17 $ 444,538 $ 410,198 + Building permits, less federal contracts . .. $ 387,405 + 56 + 22 Bank debits (thousands ) .................................... $ End-of-month deposits (thousandsH .... $ 38,255 27,657 + + 5 1 + 3 •• $ $ 537,422 27,718 $ $ 471,302 26,477 + + 14 5 Annual rate of deposit turnover ................... . 16.7 + 7 + 4 19.0 17.8 + HENDERSON (pop. 11,606) Retail sales ............................................. . + 23t + 28 -13 + 4 Apparel stores ....................... . Food stores ............................... . + 64t + St + + 86 7 + 4 + •• Furniture and household appliance stores ............... . + 2St + 44 + 18 •• General merchandise stores ------------·-····--·---·---·­ + 58t + 82 + 11 + Postal receipts• ................................ ........................... $ 12,775 + 32 + 15 $ 135,813 $ 117,424 + 16 Building permits, less federal contracts . . . ...... $ 47,200 + 44 + 69 $ 1,707,515 $ 979,920 + 74 Bank debits (thousands ) .......................... $ 8,023 - 1 +159 $ 90,661 End-of-month deposits (thousands) i ... ........ $ Annual rate of -deposit turnover ........ .................. . 16,067 6.0 + •• - 3 $ 15,933 5.7 $ 15,705 + 1 HEREFORD (pop. 7,500r) Postal receipts• .................................... . .............. $ 9,048 + 30 - 42 $ 106,207 Building permits, less federal contracts ................ $ 98,850 + 99 - 20 $ 1,518,861 $ 831,450 + 83 Bank debits (thousands) End-of-month deposits (thousands) i .. ..... $ $ 14,501 12,047 - 9 •• + + 19 7 $ 156,625 $ 11,076 $ 136,128 $ 10,525 + + 15 5 Annual rate of deposit turnover ......... . 14.5 - 10 + 12 14.2 12.9 + 10 HOUSTON (pop. 700,508") Retail sales .................................................................. . + 34t + 25 - 6 + 4 Apparel stores ......... . + 61t + 73 - 2 + Automotive stores ·····-······----·-·-· + 14t + 4 - 22 + a Drug sto-res ········································-·-····-··-··--····­Eating and drinking places ............................... . + 32t + lOt + + 31 12 + 15 •• + + 8 1 Filling stations ................................................... . + 7t + 12 4 + Food stores ........................................................... . + 14t + 18 - 8 4 Furniture and household appliance stores --··········---­······-··-------·---------·· + 23t + 32 - 24 •• General m erchandise stores ··········-····-··-----------­ + 53t + 50 + + Lumber, building material, and ha rdware stores .................. . - 4t + 2 + 3 - 13 Other retail stores ............................................... . + 51t + 47 + 14 + 11 Postal receipts• ....................... . .. $ 1,742,226 + 18 + 3 $ 19,185,936 $ 16,532,138 + 16 Building permits, less federal contracts ................ $ 22,705,104 + 62 + 20 $226,578,122 $233,189,347 - 3 Bank debits (thousands) .. $ 2,927,523 + 22 + 4 $ 30,706,880 $ 27.750,385 + 11 End-of-month deposits (thousands) i .... $ 1,327,215 + 5 + 1 $ 1,254,427 $ 1,209,302 + Annual r ate of deposit turnover ..... . 27.1 + 18 + 5 24.1 23.0 + 5 Employment (area) .................................................. . Manufacturing employment (area) .. 500,000 94,300 + + 2 2 + + 5 2 481,350 93,595 462,450 93,605 + 4 •• Percent unemployed (area) ............... . 4.0 - 11 - 29 4.7 6.4 - 27 For explanation of symbols, see page 27. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Percent change Percent change City and item Dec 1969 Dec 1959 from Nov 1959 Dec 1969 from Dec 1968 1969 1968 1969 from 1968 IRVING (pop. 40,065r) Postal receipts• -------···---·····---·--·-········ --­···-·················· $ 26,619 + 20 + 7 $ 270,499 $ 206,327 + 82 Building permits, less federal contr""ts -·--······-----­ $ 689,284 - 32 + 7 $ 18,128,181 $ 12,330,004 + 47 EmploYment (area) -· -·················-------························· Manufacturing employment (area) ·-----------·--· 406,900 86,026 + 1 •• + 3 2 394,300 86,466 386,660 88,936 + 2 4 Percent unemployed (area) --­-----·-·············-·······----­ 3.0 - 14 - 14 3.3 4.3 - 23 JACKSONVILLE (pop. 8,607) Postal reeeipts• ----------------­-­------·-·-·············--··-·------­----­$ 14,743 - 4 + 29 $ 201,776 $ 177,763 + 14 Building permits, less federal contr""ts ················ $ 17,600 - 62 - 68 $ 937,313 $ 1,016,680 - 8 Bank debits (thousands) ·······-·-······ ························· $ 9,676 + 2 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ·------·-··········· $ Annual rate of deposit turnover --­--------················· 9,208 12.8 + 4 •• JASPER (pop. 4,403) Retail sales ········---·-­·-----·-··-·-·-··---··---·-­··--··-················· Automotive stores --······--···--·--·····························­ + St - 14 - 27 + 19 P ostal receipts• ·································----·············-----····­$ 7,078 + 16 + 9 $ 89,847 $ 72,736 + 24 Bank debits (thousands) -··--··----··---········-·-··----··-··-··­$ 7,346 + 17 + 7 $ 83,669 $ 76,186 + 10 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ···················· $ 9,118 + 11 + 20 $ 8,004 $ 6,844 + 17 Annual rate of deposit turnover --·····-··--················ 10.2 + 12 - 11 10.6 11.2 - 6 KILGORE (pop. 12,373r) P ostal receipts• ............................................................ $ 16,132 + 36 + 4 $ 180,469 $ 162,929 + 11 Bank debits (thousands) .......................................... $ 13,191 6 - 20 $ 184,689 End-of-month depoeits (thousands lt ···················· $ 15,446 + 1 - 1 $ 184,666 Annual rate of deposit turnover ............................ 10.3 4 - 18 12.0 EmploYment (area) ············································-------­ 28.300 + + 3 27,800 26,860 + 4 Manufacturing employment (area) ··········--···· 6,070 + 1 + 10 4,900 4,370 + 12 Percent unemployed (area) ........ -·-· -······-·---------····· 3.3 8 - 28 4.0 6.6 - 29 KILLEEN (pop. 26,646r) Retail sales ··············----··-············································· Apparel stores --··············································----.­ + 64t + 88 + 46 + 12 Lumber , building material. and hardware stores ········----·-----------------­ - lt + 15 +us + 36 Postal receipts• ······---·····-····································-········ $ 33,972 + 60 + 6 $ 331,232 $ 314,090 + 6 Building permits, less federal contracts ················ $ 924,644 +131 +1184 $ 4,911 ,688 $ 3,047,966 + 61 Bank debits (thousands) ·········································· $ 9,920 + 9 + 13 $ 110,346 $ 95,659 + 15 End-of-month deposits (thousands ) t ········--­--------­$ 7.668 + 9 + 10 $ 7,100 $ 6,665 + 7 Annual rate of deposit turnover ··········-·-----­ 16.2 + 6 + 16.6 14.4 + 8 LAMESA (pop. 13,813r) Retail sales ··········--------·································-·············· Automotive stores ·····-······----·············-------·····-······ + St + 7 - 19 + 81 Postal receipts• ······························-­----·-····-··············--· $ 14,921 + 17 + 1 $ 172,832 $ 142,161 + 22 Building permits, less federal contracts ···--·-·· .... $ 199,400 + 25 + $ 3,006,882 $ 3,177,836 - 6 Bank debits (thousands) ···-··············--·--··············· ... $ 21,781 - 32 3 $ 227,471 $ 178,264 + 28 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ·······•············ $ 19,229 - 6 2 $ 17,053 $ 16,126 + 13 Annual rate of deposit turnover ············----------······ 13.1 - 32 6 13.3 11.7 + 14 LAMPASAS (pop. 4,869) P ostal receipts• ............................................................ $ 6,706 + 66 + 6 $ 60,375 $ 63,870 + 12 Building permits, less federal contr..,,ts ················ $ 37,400 +149 - 38 $ 387,015 $ 601,140 - 23 Bank debits (thousands) ·········································· $ End-of-month deposits (thousa nds) t ···················· $ 6,878 6,637 + 8 •• 4 2 $ $ 77,102 6,896 $ $ 65 ,384 6,351 + + 18 9 Annual rate of deposit turnover ···························· 10.6 + 9 4 11.2 10.3 + 9 LAREDO (pop. 59,350r) Postal receipts• ·--------···············································---­$ 31,919 + 11 - 7 $ 392,327 $ 360,250 + 9 Building permits, less federal contracts ················ $ Bank debits (thousands) ·········································· $ 117,850 28,818 -+ 37 9 +164 •• $ $ 2,689,423 323,815 $ $ 1,298,724 311,619 + + 99 4 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ·------------------­$ 22,899 + 8 + $ 22,107 $ 21,700 + ~ Annual rate of deposit turnover --------------------------­ 16.4 + 8 - 1 14.7 14.4 + 2 LLANO (pop. 2,957r) Postal receipts• $ 4,071 + 88 + 40 $ 34,317 $ 26,637 + 29 --················-·-·························-·-------····· Bank debits (thousands) 2,664 2 -12 $ 36,944 $ 36,639 + 1 ·········································· $ End-of-month deposits (thousands) t .................... $ 4,051 3 + 6 $ 3,919 $ 3,643 + 11 Annual rate of deposit turnover 17 9.6 10.3 -8 ·----------·-··············· 7.8 + 1 ­ For explanation of symbols, see page 27. FEBRUARY 1960 Percent change Percent change---­--­ Dec 1959 Dec 1969 1969 Dec from from from City a nd item 1969 Nov· 1959 Dec 1958 1969 1968 1968 LOCKHART (pop. 7,067r) Postal receipts• -------­---------------------------------------------------­$ 4,899 + 69 + 8 $ 61,863 Building permits, less federal contracts -·------------·­$ 26,700 +196 +183 $ 911,713 379,210 +140 Dank debits (thousa nds) ·---------------------·---···---·----­---­$ 3,949 3 - 6 $ 56,476 End-of -month deposits (thousands) t -------------·-----­$ 6,829 + 2 + 6 $ 6,384 Annual rate of deposit turnover ---·-------·-­--­-----­---·­ 8.2 - 11 10.3 9.7 + 6 LONGVIEW (pop. 46,688r) Postal receipts• -----····---------------­---------------------------------­$ 50,372 + 27 + 12 $ 516,049 Building permits, less federal contracts . ----·--------$ 409,800 - 81 - 80 $ 8,349,902 $ 12,922,066 - 36 Dunk debits (thousands) ·················-­ ····· $ 42,229 + 9 End-of-month deposits (thousands )t -------------------­$ 39,006 + 6 Annual rate of deposit turnover ·······-------··----··-··-·· 13.4 + 2 Employment (area) ·················----------························· 28,300 + + 3 27,800 26,850 + 4 Manufacturing employment (area) ................ 6,070 + 1 + 10 4,900 4,370 + 12 P er cent unemployed (area ) -------·························---­ 3.3 8 - 28 4.0 6.6 - 29 LUBBOCK (pop. 152,776r) Retail sales ········-----------·------·-·····························-------···· + 23t + 46 - 4 + 20 Automotive stores ···················----------------······-·-···· + St - 10 - 32 + 31 Furniture and household appliance stores ················-----------------------­---­ + 28t + 67 + 10 + 13 Postal receipts• ---------­--------------------­--------------­···----------­$ 165,182 + 12 + 3 $ 1,843,780 1,681,164 + 17 Building permits, less federal cont racts . $ 2,305,632 - 19 - 21 $ 63,600,672 $ 43,068,049 + 24 Ba nk debits (thousands) ------------------------------·--------­$ 292,978 + 16 + 28 $ 2,451,232 $ 2,030,762 + 21 End-of-month deposits (thousands ) t ---·-------$ 134,119 + 10 + $ 116,608 $ 107,497 + 8 Annual rate of deposit turnover _ 27.6 + 4 + 24 21.0 18.9 + 11 Employment (area) ---------··--···························---­-------­Manufacturing employment (area) Percent unemployed (area) ........ 64,600 6,670 2.6 + •••• + + - 9 9 41 61,400 6,410 3.7 48,260 4,960 6.0 + 7 + -26 LUFKIN (pop. 20,846r) P ostal receipts• ----------­-----------------­------------­-­-·-----­----­--­$ 22,627 + 26 8 $ 267,637 $ 233,163 + 11 Building permits, less federal contracts --· ­--·--·-----­$ 254,130 +144 + s 2,380,065 $ 2,477,680 4 Dank debits (thousands ) ----­-· $ 29,086 + 32 + 13 $ 287,840 $ 277,169 + 4 End-of-month deposits (thousands ) t --­·----------­$ Annual r ate of deposit turnover ............................ 26,997 13.7 + 6 + 28 + + 2 10 $ 24,809 11.6 $ 24,109 11.6 + 3 •• McALLEN (pop. 25,326r) R etail sales -­ -· --··-·················-··-··· + St - 3 - 20 + 28 Postal receipts• --------·-------·---------------------------·----------­---­$ 28,134 + 8 $ 331,286 Building permits, less federal contra.eta --$ 276,087 - 31 + 46 $ 6,614,905 $ 4,731 ,335 + 19 Ba nk debits (thousands) End-of-month deposits (thousands lt ---$ ---­--------------­$ 26,950 21,990 + + 16 10 + + 4 $ $ 317,670 21,688 $ $ 276,687 20,082 + 16 + 7 Annual rate of. deposit turnover ·······-·········-·-·-·-·--­ 16.4 + 12 3 14.7 13.9 + McKINNEY (pop. 16,653r) Build ing permits, less federal contracts ·-­$ 135,600 - 64 +848 $ 1,962,729 $ 1,468,727 + 34 Bank d~bits (thousands) End-of-month deposits (thousands ) t -$ -·-­---------------­$ 10,277 12,988 + + 3 2 + 18 •• $ $ 113,164 12,006 $ $ 99,296 12,036 + 14 •• Annual ra te of deposit turnover ···-----··-­ 9.6 + 2 + 17 9.6 MARSHALL (pop. 28,444r) R etail sales ··--··-·······-······ ··--···-··---·--------·················-···· Apparel stores ············-·-··--·--·-····· -·-·········-··----····· + 64t + 75 - 1 + 7 Gener al m er chandise stores -·--·---·····-·········-----·· + 68t +110 + 8 + 8 P ostal receipts• ····················-·-··---··----·------···········-·----· $ 26,636 + 17 + 44 $ 289,492 Building permits, less federal contracts -·-­-­ $ 191,224 + 69 + 41 $ 2,394,137 $ 1,862,796 + 29 Ba nk debits (thousa nds ) --------····-····--··· ·······---···-·-···· $ 17,980 + 12 + 4 $ 200,238 $ 180,901 + 11 End-of-month deposits (thousands )t -$ 20,809 + 1 + 1 $ 20,817 $ 20,238 + 3 Annual rate of deposit turnover .............. 10.4 -42 + 2 10.4 9.0 + 16 MERCEDES (pop. 10,081) P ostal receipts• -·--····--·-·-----·----------·--------·············· -----­$ 6,980 + 4 + 12 $ 68,875 Build ing permits, less federal cont racts ·-----·-·------­$ Bank debits (thousands ) ········---­---····-----·--·-·· --------­$ 17,135 6,892 + + 12 10 +177 •• $ $ 193,988 76,897 $ $ 241,070 79,498 -- 20 3 E nd-of-month deposits ( thousands ) t ··--··-···-·-------­ $ 4,840 + 7 + 6 $ 4,666 $ 6,629 - 18 Annual rate of dep osit turnover --------­-------------·----­ 16.l + 9 17.0 For explanation of symbols, see page 27. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Percent change Percent chang" City and item Dec 1959 Dec 1969 from Nov 1969 Dec 1969 from Dec 1968 1959 1958 1969 f rom 1968 MIDLAND (pop. 54,288r) Postal receipts ............................................................ $ 142,498 +102 + 12 s 992,125 Building permits, less federal contracts ................ $ Bank debits (thousands) .......... ................... $ 1,722,986 121,087 + 6 + 23 -+ 11 27 s 36.602,466 s 1,176,823 s 30,007 ,663 s 980,066 + 22 + 20 E nd-of-month deposits (thouoands) t ................... $ 97,684 + " + 6 s 90,918 s 86,008 + 7 Annual rate of deposit turnov"r .......................... . 16.2 + 19 12.9 MONAHANS (pop. 10,l83r) P ostal receipts• ........................................................... S 9,602 + 36 + 12 $ 104,034 s 87,991 + 18 Building permits, less federal contracts .... $ 207,776 + 19 - 16 $ 2,061,960 $ 2,268,885 - g Bank debits (thousands) ............................. ..... S 10,344 - 12 ' 123,927 s 113,131 + 10 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t .... $ 8,302 + 7 6 $ 7,742 $ 7,681 + Annual rate of deposit turnover ............... . 16.4 - ' - 7 16.0 14.7 + g NACOGDOCHES (pop. 14,770r) Postal receipts• .........._ ................................................ S 16,864 + 182,769 Building permits, less federal contracts ............... S 21,444 -91" 8 '$ l ,436,842 $ 1,986,769 -28 Bnnk debits (thou•ands) .......................................... $ 13,730 + 8 3 170,131 s 165,693 + 9 E nd-of-month deposits (thousands)t ......... $ 14.933 -7 6 '$ 16,053 $ 15,096 •• Annual rate of deposit turnover ......................... .. 10.6 + 12 •• 11.8 10.3 + 10 NEW BRAUNFELS (pop. 12,210) Retail sales ................................................................. . Automotive stores ................................... . + st + 20 - 40 Postal receipts• .......................................................... S 20,969 + 18 - 16 s 223,916 ' 209,069 + 7 Building permits, less federal contracts ................ $ 38,412 - 47 - 24 ' l,468,481 s 1,482,376 Bank debits (thousands) ........... S 9,948 + - 12 $ 124,086 $ 116,947 + 7 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t .................... $ 12,171 + 3 + 28 ' 11,648 $ 10,060 + 16 Annual rate of deposit turnover 10.0 + 6 - 22 10.8 ODESSA (pop. 87,52Ir) Retail sales ............................................................... .. Furniture and household appliance stores ----·--­·-·-·--··························--· Postal receipts• .......................................................... $ Building permits, less federal contracts ................ $ + 2St 84,496 l,671.360 + 17 + 22 -33 -17 + g + 12 s 929,979 ' 28,831,604 $ ' 767,361 27 ,666,163 -8 + 21 + 5 ORANGE (pop. 31,556r) Retail sales Apparel stores ........................................ + 6(t + 68 + 8 - 2 Lumber , building material, and hardware stores ----···--·-·········-··············· - it + 12 + 2 - 10 Postal rec.,ipts• ............................................................ S 26,670 + 80 - 11 ' 293,803 $ 268,263 + 10 Buildinl!' permits, less federal contracts . .. .......... $ 188,404 - 47 - 37 Bank debits (thousands) .................. .. ... S 25, 237 + 11 + 15 ' 266,074 ' 244,517 + E nd-of-month deposits (thousands)t .. ........ $ 21,440 - g + 3 ' 21,190 ' 21,o42 + Annual rate of deposit turnover ........ . E mployment (area ) .......................................... . Manufacturing employment (area) ..... Percent unemployed (area) ................ . 13.9 106,800 32,660 8.3 + - 12 •• 1 •• + + - 11 3 •• 13 12.6 104,100 32,(60 9.9 11.6 106,300 33,975 9.6 + + 0 4 4 PALESTINE (pop. 15,063r) P ostal receipts• ........................................................... f 16,419 + 49 - 18 ' 160,276 $ 146,050 + 10 Bank debits (thousands) ................. $ 9,279 + s 110,468 ' 103,626 + 7 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t .................... $ 14,704 + 4 + 4 $ 13,622 ' 13,639 + Annual rate o! deposit turnover .. 7.7 3 7 8.1 PAMPA (pop. 26,720') Postal receipts• ................................ . $ 28,067 + 28 + 10 • 302,677 Building permits, less federal contract• . S 239,260 -68 -67 $ 6,600,034 + 6 Bank debits (thousands) .................. .. .... 24,408 + 16 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t 26,603 + 3 ' Annual rate of deposit turnov"r .... ... 11.6 + 12 PASADENA (pop. 58,928r) Postal receipts• .............................................................. $ 38,335 + 24 - 6 $ 469,187 $ 362,27( + so Building permits, less federal contracts .................. S 1,057,450 +185 - 61 E mployment (a rea ) .................................................. .. Manufacturing employm ent (area) . 600,000 94,300 + + 2 2 + + 5 2 481 ,350 93,595 462,460 93,606 + 4 •• Percent unemployed (area) .................... . 4.0 - 11 - 29 4.7 6.4 - 27 For explanation of symbols, Sf>e pa.ire 27. FEBRUARY 1960 Percent change Percent change Cit y and item Deo 1959 Dec 1959 from Nov 1959 Dec 1959 from Dec 1958 1959 1958 1959 from 1958 PARIS (f.op. 24,55Ir) Retail sa cs ...................................................................... Apparel stores ..................................... + + 23t 64t + + 25 52 + 3 •• + + 13 8 Automotive stores ·········-·····--···-·--··· + St + 15 9 + 21 Lumber, building material, and hardware stores --···························· 1 t + 28 + 8 + 8 Postal receipts• ·····-·································· -----·--············ s 21,224 + 16 8 $ 239,983 $ 212,750 + 13 Building permits, less federal contracts .. ................ s 400,512 + 83 + 90 $ 2,811,286 $ 2,044 ,390 + 38 Bank debits (thousands) ----------------------------·····--­··-···-· $ 17 ,968 + 4 + 10 $ 195,548 $ 178,899 + 9 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ...................... $ 13,868 + 2 3 $ 13,475 $ 13,767 - 2 Annua l rate of deposit turnover ..... 15.7 + + 13 14.5 12.9 + 12 PHARR {pop. 8,690) Postal r eceipts• .............................................................. $ 8,185 + 36 + 7 $ 77,568 $ 70,317 + 10 Bank d ebits (thousands ) ............................................ $ 4,428 + 21 5 $ 54,838 $ 50,337 + End-of-month deposits (thousands H ...................... $ 4,242 + 9 - 11 $ 4,455 $ 4,297 + Annual rate of deposit turnover ... ---------·--·· ·············· 13.1 + 11 + 5 12.2 11.9 + PLAINVIEW (pop. 21,I06r) Retail sales .. .................................................................... + 23t + 30 - 14 + 24 Apparel stores ........................................................ + 64t + 83 + 3 + 53 Automotive stores .................................................. + 64t + 83 + 3 + General merchandise stores ___ ------------····---········· P ostal receipts• .............................................................. $ + 58t 22,375 + + 57 36 - 18 •• $ 243,322 s 210,060 -2 + 16 Building permits, less feder al contracts .................. $ 212,000 + 12 + 25 s 3,382,530 $ 2,188,375 + 55 Bank debits (thousands) ······-··-·-·------·--··-··················· $ 53,879 + 16 + 41 $ 371,110 $ 290,822 + 28 End-of-month deposits (thousands H ...................... $ 28,687 + 14 + $ 24,907 $ 22,746 + 10 Annual rate of deposit turnover ...................... 24.0 + 4 + 43 15.0 PORT ARTHUR (pop. 82,150u) Retail sales ...................................................................... + 23t + 25 - 7 Apparel stores ........................................................ + 64t + 82 - 4 + Automotive stores ------­----··· ········ --------··················· + 8 - 7 - 18 + Eating and drinking places ................................ + 4t - 5 + 36 + Food stores ... -­························································ + St + 19 + 8 Furniture and household appliance.stores ...... + 28t + 46 + 8 Postal receipts• ........ ...................................................... ~ 66,373 + 36 $ 666,203 Building permits, less federal contracts .. .. $ 199,226 - 23 - 42 $ 6,087,539 $ 8,776,175 - 31 Bank d ebits (thousands) ·········-····--·····-··········-··········· $ End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ...................... $ 72,417 45;853 + + 24 4 + - 10 4 $ $ 761,796 44,172 $ $ 778,609 45,951 2 Annual rate of deposit turnover ................................ Employment (area) .................................................... Manufacturing employment (area) Percent unemployed (area) ·---­ 19.3 105,800 32,550 8.3 + - 19 •• 1 •• + + - 15 3 •• 13 17.2 104,100 32,450 9.9 17.0 105,300 33,975 9.5 + + RAYMONDVILLE (pop. 9,136) Postal receipts• .............................................................. $ 5,690 + 9 -12 $ 80,032 Building permits, less federal contracts ......... $ 22,220 + 42 +108 $ 571,175 169,930 + 236 Bank debits (thousands) .............. $ 5,994 3 ············-·····-····· End-of-month deposits (thousandsH $ 8,805 4 Annual rate of deposit turnover ........ ··-···-····-··--··-· 8.0 + 4 ROCKDALE (pop. 6,400r) Postal receipts• .............................................................. $ 5,126 + 49 -5 $ 50,571 $ 46,910 + 8 Building permits, less federal contracts .................. $ 2,300 -13 40 -s 139,248 $ 309,200 -55 Bank debits (thousands) ··········--·······-----···················· $ 3,806 + 6 -27 $ 42,988 $ 41,543 + 3 End-of-month deposits (thousandsH ...................... $ 5,428 2 + + 5 $ 5,348 $ 4,994 + 7 Annual rate of deposit turnover .................... 8.5 + 8.1 SAN ANGELO (pop. 62,359r) R et a il sales ........... ·····················-··--·­·-:............·............... J ewelery stores . ·-·················································· +196 - 6 + Lumber, building material, and hardware stores ··································· ········· - 1 t + 25 + 26 + 10 Postal r eceipts• ... -····--·-······--··-······························· $ 74.815 - 3 + 12 $ 868,752 $ 755 .183 + 15 Building permits. less feder a l contracts .................. $ Bank debits (thousands) ·································-·········· $ End-of-month deposits (thousands ) t ...................... $ Annual rate of deposit turnover ................................ 405,113 53,751 47 ,251 13.9 + 35 + 3 + 4 + +103 •• + 7 -6 $ $ $ 4,822,209 649 ,943 45,763 14.2 $ $ $ 4,556,997 591,721 41,679 14.2 + + + 10 10 •• Employment (area) ··­·····-···································-···-··· Ma nufacturing employment (area) ... ............• 23,700 3,240 + 2 •• + 2 + 10 23,100 3,170 22,800 3,030 + + Percent unemployed (area) ·--······-·· ··--··-··············· 4.4 - 4 -88 4.9 7.8 - 37 For explanation of symbols, •ee page 27. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Percent change Percent change City and item Dec 1959 Dec 1959 from Nov 1959 Dec 1959 from Dec 1958 1959 1958 1959 from 1958 SAN ANTONIO (pop. 555,000r) Retail sales ...................................................................... Apparel stores .......... -­----------­··-····························· + 25t + 44t + 26 + 42 - 7 •• + + 6 Automotive stor es ············---­--­----­--­----·············-····· + 4t + 2 - 18 + 20 Florists -----­······-······························--·-­···········-········ + 96 + 10 Drug stores -·-­··­---·····························------­············· + 35t + 30 + + s Eating and drinking places ................................ + 6t + 9 + 2 + 2 Filling stations ...................................................... + 5t + 2 + 8 Food stores .............................................................. + 9t + 13 10 5 Furniture and household appliance stores ...... + 30t + 35 3 + 13 General merchandise stores ............... + 42t + 64 - 3 + 2 Lumber, building material, and hardware stores .............................. - Gt 2 - 17 + 12 Postal receipts• .............................................................. $ 807,138 + 82 + 8 $ 8,329,586 Building permits, less federal contracts ............... .. $ 5,360,345 +103 + 85 $ 60,306,937 $ 58,640,630 + Bank debits (thousands) ·······················---------­-------··· $ 648,737 + 13 + 8 $ 7,223,239 $ 6,498,530 + 11 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ...................... $ 371,664 1 7 $ 387,942 $ 372,589 + 4 Annual rate of deposit turnover ................................ 20.9 + 12 + 9 18.6 17.6 + 6 Employment (area) -­----··---------·-----··--························· Manufacturing employment (area) ................ 205,100 25,375 + 2 •• + + 2 200,550 25,005 196,200 23,750 + + 2 5 Percent unemployed (area) ···-·································· 3.2 + + 10 3.5 4.1 - 15 SAN MARCOS (pop. 14,300r) Postal receipts• .............................................................. $ 10,043 - 3 -23 $ 129,280 $ 120,314 + 7 Building permits, less federal contracts .................. $ 211,714 +904 + 967 s 1,382,875 $ 1,979,488 - 30 Bank debits (thousands) ............................................ $ 6,673 3 -12 $ 89,738 $ 87,645 + 2 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t ...................... $ 8,596 + 1 $ 8,869 $ 8,229 + Annual rate of deposit turnover ................................ 9.1 - 13 10.1 10.8 6 SAN SABA (pop. 3,400) Bank debits (thousands) s 4,373 -8 -6 $ 49,480 $ 48,094 + -······················· End-of-month deposits (thousands)t ..................... $ 4,890 •• + $ 4,614 $ 4,816 + Annual rate of deposit turnover ................................ 10.7 -4 -11 10.7 11.2 SEGUIN (pop. 14,0()()r) Postal receipts• ................................ :. -----··--·-·······--·-·-· ' 11,293 + 11 $ 137,911 Building permits. less federal contracts ·········----­$ 43,015 + 91 - 57 $ 1,248,292 $ 1,395,783 - 11 Bank debits (thousands) ········································-­ $ 9,674 + 11 - 1 $ 117,236 $ 102,755 + 14 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ----·---··------···· $ 14,320 - 3 - 10 $ 14,495 $ 15,129 4 Anual rate of deposit turnover ................................ 8.0 + 18 + 10 8.1 SHERMAN (pop. 31,269r) Retail sales ············­-··-·······-····-···-··-····························· Apparel stores ........................ ···························-­ + 64t + 96 8 s Furniture and household appliance stores ........... + 28t + 21 + + 6 Lumber, building material, and hardware stores --­·---·-·-·· - lt + 7 + 21 + 25 Postal receipts.• ............................................................ $ 38,284 + 47 - 1 $ 870,997 $ 340,741 + 9 Building permits, less federal contracts ---··-········ $ 598,807 +196 +194 $ 4,819,200 $ 3,525,938 + 37 Rank debits (thousands) ·····················-------············-­$ 25,970 + 1 - 1 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ···················· $ 20,605 + 6 + 8 Anual rate of deposit turnover ----··-···········------········ 15.6 2 SLATON (pop. 6,35Jr) Postal receipts• ···········-··········· --·-----------·-·-··············--· Building permits, less federal contracts -----··-····· $ $ 4,155 126,939 + 11 +2208 -+ 19 68 $ $ 47,910 809,450 $ $ 43,633 487,185 + + 10 66 Bank debits (thousands) ·········································· $ 4,266 + 7 8 $ 39,922 $ 34,578 + 15 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ···················· $ 5,101 + 12 5 $ 4,432 $ 4,109 + 8 Annual rate of deposit turnover ............ 10.6 - 5 9.0 SMITHVILLE (pop. 3,373r) Postal receipts• ............................................................ .. 2,157 + 18 Bank debits (thousands) ···················-······------·--······· $ 1,899 + 31 + 25 $ 14,184 $ 11,374 + 25 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t .................... $ 2,386 - 2 - 6 $ 2,393 $ 2,308 + 8 Annual rate of deposit turnover ................ 7.0 + 32 5.9 SNYDER (pop. 16,324r) Postal receipt.s ······························································ $ 22,502 +104 + 50 Building permits, less feaeral contracts ----·-­ $ 74,500 +299 - 70 $ 2,551,020 $ 3,869,593 - 84 Bank debits (thousands) ········----------···········---·--­·­-··· $ 20,294 + 23 + 17 $ 188,034 $ 172,79() + 9 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ··········-··-·-·--­$ 14,717 + 3 - 26 $ 16,541 $ 17,700 - 7 Annual rate of deposit turnover 16.8 + 19 + 62 11.5 9.8 + 17 For explanation of symbols, see page 27. FEBRUARY 1960 Percent change P ercent change City and item Dec 1959 Dec 1959 from N ov 1959 Dec 1959 from Dec 1958 1959 1958 1959 from 1958 SULPHUR SPRINGS (pop. 9,890r ) 80 108,796 Building permits, less federal contracts ......... $ 62,300 +849 Bank debits (thousands) $ 9,958 + 5 •• $ 117,451 $ 106,980 10 Postal receipt•• ·-··········································-··-··-········· $ 9,554 + •• $ 99,863 + 9 ··--·-···································-+ End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ........ $ 13,022 •• + $ 12,297 $ 12,048 + 2 Annual rate of deposit turnover ................. 9.2 + 8 -" 9.6 8.9 + 8 SWEETWATER (pop. 16,283r ) P ostal receipts• ·----········································---···-­Building vermits, less federal contracts Bank debits (thousands) .................................... $ $ $ 12,391 116,930 14,652 + + - 11 6 7 -3 +328 •• $ $ 2,247,410 147,188 $ $ 2,037,722 132,962 + 10 + 11 End-of-m onth deposits (thousands) t ·······---­ $ 12,067 + 2 $ 11,702 ' 11,440 + 2 Annual rate o! deposit turnover ··--······················ 14.6 - 10 + 12.6 11.6 + TAYLOR (pop. 9,071) Retail sales ...... ----------··-································· Automotive stores ··-···········································-­ + 8t + 2' - 7 + 11 Postal receipts• ·················-·················-·-······-········------­ $ 8,999 + 23 - 16 $ 112,074 $ 103,966 + 8 Building permits, less federal contraets -·· $ 21 ,237 - 44 - 59 $ 543,181 $ 798,404 - 82 l"h1nk debits (thousands ) ------------------·······-···--·-········· $ 7,958 4 + 5 $ 97,637 $ 86,687 + 13 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t Annual rate of deposit turnover .................... $ 14,688 6.6 + 2 3 + "•• $ 13,402 7.3 $ 12,091 7.2 + + 11 l TEMPLE (pop. 33,912r) Retail sales . ...................................... .................. + 23t + 61 + 2 + Apparel stores ...................................................... + 64t + 61 + 10 + D~stores ·--·-··­···································· + 4H + 60 + 10 + Furniture and household appliance stores ............... + 28t + 40 + Lumber, buildinll' material, and hardware stores ..................... - 1 t + 42 + Postal receipts• ............................................................ $ 39,331 + 16 + 5 $ 441,967 $ 888,692 + 14 Building permits, less federal contracts ............. $ 182,347 -37 + 2 $ 3,176,742 $ 8,570,260 - 11 B:i.nk debi ts (thousands) ·········································· $ 23,242 + 6 + 12 $ 278,959 $ 237,418 + 17 TEXARKANA (pop. 50,784,r) Retail sales ···-·······-·-··-···-····-·-··-··-····-················ + 23t + 8 - 1' + 18 A pparel stores -···-··-·-····························-·­ + 64t + 63 + 8 + 4 Autom otive stores ................................................ + St - 16 - 21 + 27 Furniture and household appliance stores ............................................ + 2St + 2 - 26 + Postal receipts• § .............................................. .......... ' 60,71.& + 18 + 4 $ 668,002 $ 608,652 + 10 Building permits, less federal contracts§ ........... $ 184,600 + 26 - 20 $ 2,757,187 $ 2,858,146 - 4 Bunk debits (thousands) .......................................... $ End of month deposits (thousands) t $ 61,762 16,359 + 12 •• + - 10 5 $ $ 576,960 16,196 $ $ 499,823 16,438 + - 16 1 Annual rate of deposit turnover ................ Employment (area) ........................................... Manufacturing employment (area) ................ Percent unemployed (area) ·································· 18.4 29,660 3,610 6.9 + + 18 •• " + + - 19 2.. 1 16.3 29,160 3,690 7.2 14.3 28,500 3,685 9.7 + + + - 14 2 8 26 TEXAS CITY (pop. 30,000r ) Retail sales ......................................... ·························· Lumber, building m aterial, and ha rdware stores ........ - lt 10 - 33 + 9 Postal receipts• ·············--·-······································· $ Building permits, less federal contracts $ Bank debits (thousands) ····························· .. $ End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ················· .. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover ......... .................... E mployment (area) ···················································· Manufacturing employment (area) ................ P ercent unemployed (area) ···································· 24,042 896,900 22,480 11,226 24.3 49,800 9,860 6.0 + 23 + 82 + 10 + 2 + 12 + .. -9 ---+ + -- 5 24 •• 10 9 2 10 14 $ $ $ $ 269,434 4,911,925 254,867 11,685 21.8 49,300 10,410 7.3 $ '$ $ 236,570 6,574,016 253,676 15,0U 17.3 48,550 11,165 7.5 + --+ + 14 26 •• 22 26 2 TYLER (pop. 56,725r ) Retail sales ···················· ..................... ······················· Automotive stores ................. ···························· + 8t -1 -16 + 12 Postal receipta ................... ····················· ···················· $ 138,664 + 64 -1 $ 1,073,718 $ 963,639 + IS Building permits, less federal contracts $ 336,075 5 -48 $ 9,885,203 $ 11,877,383 -17 Bank debits (thousands) ················· ........................ $ 88,197 + 8 $ l,043,640 $ 980,982 + End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ·················· + 8 2 $ 61,150 $ 61,453 .. $ 64,091 Annual rate of deposit turnover ........ 17.2 + 5 3 17.0 15.6 + For explanation of symbols, see page 27. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Percent change Percent change City and item Dec 1959 Dec 1959 from N ov 1959 Dec 1959 from Dec 195S 1959 195S 1959 from 195S VICTORIA (pop. 44,188r) Retail sales .................................................................... + 23t Automotive stores ----------······----·--······· + St Furniture and household appliance stores .......................................... . + 2St Lumber, building material, and hardware stores -·······--------------·····----------l t Postal receipts* ............................................................ $ 3S,900 Building permits, less federal contracts ......... $ S5,S32 + 19 •• + 5 + 17 -13 + 11 + 4S + 21 -19 + 1 + 41 + 5 $ 399,515 376,426 + 6 -45 -75 WACO (pop.101,824r) Retail sales ......................................................... . + 23t + 5S •• + 9 Apparel stores ..................................................... . + 64t + 76 5 - 6 Florists ................................................................... . + 90 + s + 12 Furniture and household appliance stores ··········------------------················ + 2St + 16 + 6 + 12 General merchandise ---------············-··············----­­ + 5St + 73 + 4 + 11 Lumber, building material, and hardware stores ······----------------------····---· - it - 4 + 34 + 17 Postal receipts* ............................................................ $ 174,077 + 21 Building permits, less federal contracts .............. $ 712,678 - 25 -46 $ 17,012,541 $ 14,656,578 + 16 Bank debits (thousands) .......................................... $ 114,391 + 16 + 7 $ l,30S,217 $ l ,153,363 + 13 End-of-month deposits (thousands) :j: •...••...••..••.••.. $ 71,400 + 4 - 5 $ 69 ,126 $ 66,667 + 4 Annual rate of deposit turnover .......... . 19.6 + 14 + 11 l S.9 17.2 + 10 Employment (area ) ................................................... . Manufacturing employment (area) ............... . Percent unemployed (a.rea) ····························­---· 4S,550 9,770 4.3 + 1 •••• + 1 -2 -14 47,550 10,100 4.7 45,900 9,660 5.9 + + - 4 5 20 WICIDTA FALLS (pop.103,152r) Retail sales ................................................................... . + 23t + 13 - 25 + 5 Automotive stores ............................................... . + St + 5 - 29 + 6 Furniture and household appliance stores ······-------------------------------------­ + 2S t + 25 - 15 Postal receipts ···················································­····--· $ Building permits, less federal contracts .............. $ l S0,947 697,510 + 66 +104 + + 47 47 $ 13,635,091 $ 9,776,070 + 39 Bank debits (thousands) .......................................... $ End-of-month deposits (thousands) :j: •...•.........•.••.• $ 130,94S 120,157 + 9 + 14 + 7 1 $ l,443,5SO $ 106,313 $ $ l,24S,170 106,276 + 16 •• Annual rate of deposit turnover ----------------------------­ 13.9 + + 9 13.6 11.6 + 17 Employment (a rea) ................................................... . 41,450 + 2 + 2 40,700 39,150 + 4 Manufacturing employment (area) ............... . 3,720 1 + 4 3,690 3,565 + 4 Percent unemployed (a,rea) ..................................... . 4.9 + 11 + 11 4.4 5.9 - 25 t Normal seasonal change from November to December. *For the period November 14-December 11. UReported by the Bureau of Business and Economic Research, University of Houston, for Harris County. :j: Money on deposit at the end of the month, but excludes deposits to the credit of banks. r Revised for use by the Texas Highway Department. u 1950 Urbanized Census. ** Change is less than one-half of one percent. §Figures are for Texarkana, Texas (pop. 31,051) only. Bureau of Business Research Publications 1960 DIRECTORY OF TEXAS MANUFACTURERS twelve dollars Uncertainty in Forecasting and Policy Formation The ]. Anderson Fitzgerald Lectures in the Dynamics of Business Enterprise, Series 1958-59 by V. Lewis Bassie Director, Bureau of Business and Economic Research, University of Illinois one dollar FEBRUARY 1%0 BAROMETERS OF TEXAS BUSINESS Year-to-date averageDec Nov Dec 1969 1959 1968 1969 GENERAL BUSINESS ACTIVITY tTexas business activity, index ............................................................ ..................... . 223 220 211 218 197 Miscellaneous freight carloading in SW District, index .................................... . 76 78 75 81 77 Ordinary life insurance sales, index ............................................ ..... ..................... . 457 425 413 409 379 Wholesale prices in U.S., unadjusted index .................... .................................... . 118.9 118.9 119.2 119.4 119.2 +Consumers' prices in Houston, unadjusted index ...................... ....................... . 125.4 124.6 123.6 Consumers' prices in U.S., unadjusted ................................................................. . 125.5 125.6 123.7 124.6 123.5 Business failures (number) ................................................................................... . 52 37 51 36 38 Newspaper advertising linage, index .................................................................... . 174.l 167.0 167.5 176.7 160.2 TRADE Total retail sales, index ........................................................................................... . 218* 211r 225r Durable-goods stores ....................................................................................... . 147* 149r 175r Nondurable-goods stores ................................................................................ . 255* 244r 252r Ratio of credit sales to net sales in department and apparel stores .................. . 67.0* 70.7* 67.0r 69.0* 68.3 Ratio of collections to outstandings in department and apparel stores ............ . 40.l* 34.2* 4L2r 37.1° 37.8 PRODUCTION Total electric power consumption, index ....................... ...................................... . 366* 374r 332r 377• 337r Industrial electric power consumption, index ..................................................... . 371• 377r 344r 371• 33 lr Crude oil production, index ................................................................................... . 115• 108r 124 115• Ill Crude oil runs to stills, index ................................... .............................................. . 145 143 142 143 136 Gasoline consumption, index ............................................................................... . 172 183 182 Natural gas production, index ............................................................................... . 200 192 185 Industrial production, index ................................................................................. . 170 169 167 170 159 Southern pine production, index ................................. ........................................ . 83 81 103 85 102 Cottonseed crushed, index ...................................................................................... . 165 146 143 154 151 Construction authorized, index ............................................................................. . 246 201 247 245 235 Residential building ........................................................................................ . 228 215 313 268 271 Nonresidential building .................................................................................. . 278 172 183 226 201 Cement shipments, index ····-······-······················································-···-· Cement production, index ····-·······--··· ·················································-····-· Cement consumption, index -······-·····················································--···-·· 182 153 168 172 161 163 197 182 191 199 197 189 184 185 179 AGRICULTURE Prices received by farmers, unadjusted index, 1909-14 =100 ........................ . Prices paid by farmers in U.S., unadjusted index, 1909-14 =100 .................... 262 262 297 283 295 278 279 293 Ratio of Texas farm prices received to U.S. prices paid by farmers ......... ........ . 88 96 95 FINANCE Bank debits, index ................................................................................................... . 265 262 251 260 234 Bank debits, U.S., index ......................... ................................. ................................ 236 227 216 227 207 Reporting member banks, Dallas Reserve District: §Loans (millions) ................................................................................ ............. . §Loans and investments (millions) ................................................................. Adjusted demand deposits (millions) .......................................................... . Revenue receipts of the State Comptroller (thousands) .................................... Federal Internal Revenue collections (thousands) ............................................ . $ 2,943 $ 4,613 $ 2,815 $102,044 $118,382 $ 2,885 $ 4,558 $ 2,702 s 89,690 $283,944 $ 2,835 $ 4,620 s 2,899 $109,932 $ 97,673 $ s s 2,837 4,526 2,756 s 98,201 $233,917 s $ s 2,602 4,285 2,680 s 87,573 $223,535 LABOR Total nonagri cultural employment (thousands) IT .......................... ................. . Total manufacturing employment (thousands) IT ..................................... . 2,499.6* 482.4* 2,464.7r 480.8r 2,467.l 478.3 2,441.8* 482.1* 2,402.0 477.9 Durable-goods employment (thousands) IT .................................. ........ 230.5* 228.9r 227.6 230.9* 227.4 Nondurable-goods employment (thousands) IT ................................... . 251.9* 251.9r 250.7 251.2° 250.5 Total civilian labor force in 17 labor market areas (thousands) ...................... . Employment in 17 labor market areas (thousands) ................................... . Manufacturing employment in 17 labor market areas (thousands) . 2,170.9 2,018.9 371.0 2,152.9 1,984.4 368.4 1,854.6 354.8 2,112.8 1,948.0 366.8 1,802.6 355.9 Total unemployment in 17 labor market areas (thousands) ..................... . 89.7 93.6 99.2 96.7 115.2 Percent of labor force unemployed in 17 labor market areas ............ . 4.1 4.3 4.9 4.6 All figures are for Texaa unless otherwise indicated. All Indexes are baaed on the averaee months for 1947-49, except where indicated; all are adjusted for seasonal variation, except annual indexes. Employment estimates have been adjusted to first quarter 1968 benchmarks. •Preliminary. t Based on bank debits in 20 cities, adjusted for price level. i Index computed for February, May, August. and November only. § Exclusive of loans to banks after deduction of valuation reserves. r Revised. VIncludes wage and salary workers only. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW