TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW A. Monthly Summary of Business and Economic Conditions in Texas BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH THE UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS VOL. XXVII, No. 8 TWENTY CENTS A COPY-TWO DOLLARS A YEAR SEPTEMBER 1953 The first eight months of 1953 found Texas business flying high but declining slightly. How much higher business was than during January-August 1952 is shown in the chart below, with its plus side far outweighing the one negative change. Tota I e I e ctr i ci t y u s e ___________ _ Industrial power :use____________ _ Reta iI s a Ies________________________________ Crude o i I to s ti 11 s___________________ Misc eII an e o us fre ight.___ _ Crude oii production____________ _ Urban building permits _____ _ The shaded block at right represents the cumulative I 952-to-1953 increase (I I%) in the level of Texas business at large, as measured by the weighted composite of all seven index series charted above. For the first two-thirds of this year, crude oil output barely wavered from its comparable 1952 position, and the volume of urban building authorized in the state dipped slightly. But every other indicator rose. A table on the following page and charts throughout this issue detail the past and present status of each key barometer of Tex as business. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW • The Business Situation Ill Texas Business activity in Texas registered a substantial de­cline between July and August, according to the composite index of business compiled by the Bureau of Business Re­search. August, the second successive month to show a pronounced drop in the index, gave strong confirmation of the signs that began, last spring, to suggest that the current boom in Texas business was reaching an end. The chart at the bottom of the page shows the leveling off of the index after it reached its all-time high in January. This plateau, established during the first half of the year, gave rather convincing warning that the strong rise was over. The past two months indicate that a decline is now under way. The table below shows that the drop in the composite index was not just the result of an unusually strong move­ment in one or two of the components; five of the seven components fell, while two registered increases. Crude runs to stills showed the only substantial increase. INDEX OF TEXAS BUSINESS ACTIVITY AND COMPONENT SERIES (adjw;ted for •easonal va riation, 1935-89=100) Aug July Percent Indexes Weight 1953 1953 change INDEX OF BUSINESS ACTIVITY (COMPOSITE) -------------­ 100.0 283* 291* Retail sales, adjusted for price ch anges ___ 47.7 230* 242* Industrial electric power con sumption .. _ 14.8 620 61 8 x Crude oil runs to stills ----------------··--·--­ 4.5 218 205 + 6 E lectric power consun1ption ------­------­ 3.0 732 776 Miscellaneous freight carloadings ·--­-------­ 17.6 140 145 3 Urban building permits, adjusted for price cha nges ----­----------­------------­ 3.8 151 * 157* 4 Crude petroleum production ---------·····--­ 8.6 231 232 x *Preliminary. xChange is less than one half of one percent. 350 300 250 200 150 100 In spite of the downturn in the level of Texas business in August, it appears that the year 1953 will register an all· time high. For practically all segments of the economy ex­cept agriculture and construction, the year to date has ex­ceeded any previous period by a substantial margin. The cover chart on this issue illustrates the status of each of the most significant components of Texas business during the first eight months of 1953 as compared to its cumulative record at the end of August 1952. It is evident from this chart that even if business for the remainder of the year should continue to decline, 1953 may reasonably be ex­pected to add up as the best year on record for many Texas business firms. Business volume that depends on consumer expenditures will probably fare better in the near future than other ac­tivities. The income of consumers remains at an all-time high, and savings continue large. Retail sales in Texas up to August showed only a slight decline since the first of the year, although between July and August the Bureau's sea· sonally adjusted index declined 5%. It is not expected, however, that retail trade for the remainder of the year will suffer greatly. Most analysts believe that at least through the Christmas season retail sales will hold up well. The level of inventories continues to rise, although re­ports in business periodicals indicate that merchants are not worried about the size of their stocks of goods. The De­partment of Commerce reports that retail inventories had a total value of $20.1 billion at the end of July 1952 and a value of $22.1 billion a year later. This rise of 10% was ac· companied by an increase of 6% in retail sales, so inven· tories at the end of July a year ago were 1.47 times sales TEXAS BUSINESS ACTIVITY Index • Adiusted for seasonal variation • 1935-1939 .. 100 350 300 250 200 150 100 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 for the month, while in 1953 they were 1.52 times the sales for the month of July. As long as sales remain strong, there appears to he no trouble in sight with respect to inventories, hut any slowing down of retail sales would result in an immediate reduction in buying from manufac. turers. Industrial production has been slipping a little since the first of the year, hut a widespread move on the part of retailers to reduce inventories would bring on a much sharper curtailment in manufacturing output. Some of the factory products have been going into manufacturers' in· ventories, and any reduction in sales of manufacturers would almost inevitably cause an immediate reduction in the level of production. IN DEXES OF CONSUMERS' PRICES IN THE UNITED ST ATES Source : Bureau of Labor Statistics, U. S. Department of Labor Percent cha nge Index • 1947-1949 • 100 12D Index ALL ITEMS .···········-··· Aug 1953 115.0 July 1953 114.7 Aug 1952 114.3 Aug 1953 f rom Aug 1952 + 1 Aug 1953 from July 1953 x 111 100 v v-.... ~ I ....... ,... - Food --­-----------------------------­Housing ---------------------------­Apparel -------------------­---­Transportation ------------­Medical care -------~-----­Personal care --------------­Reading and recreation .... _ Other ----------------­ 114.1 118.0 104.3 130.6 121.8 112.7 107.6 118.4 113.8 117.8 104.4 129.7 121.5 112.6 107.4 118.3 116.6 114.6 105.1 127.0 118.1 112.1 107.0 115.9 2 + 3 1 + 3 + 3 + 1 + 1 + 2 x x x + 1 x x x x IO JD .CO -JUI IS40 v 1541 i..­l!M2 1943 1"4 IMS .l J 194& 1947 1941 1549 1950 1151 1952 1953 120 111 100 for a smaller number of housing starts in 1954 than this year. There is no indication that easier credit will he avail­able in the near future. Wholesale prices declined slightly in August to end the month a little below the July level. Industrial prices re­mained practically unchanged during August, but food and farm prices declined. The decline during August, however, did not equal the sharp rise in July, so prices are still higher than for any month of 1953 except July. The Index of Con­sumers' Prices for all cities rose 0.3 points between July and August, with every type of goods except apparel show­ing an increase. This represents another all-time high for this index, which is used to measure changes in the cost of living of moderate-income families in urban centers. Wholesale Prices in the U.S. !I • JO lO .CO xChange is less than one half of one percent. The index of industrial power consumption in Texas, which serves as the measure of industrial production in the state, has declined 4% since the peak established early in 1953. The index of industrial production compiled for the United States by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System has declined 3 % from the 1953 high. The movement of these two indexes leads to the conclusion that the decline in manufacturing in Texas has approximately paralleled the situation in the remainder of the country. The index of bank debits, compiled by the Bureau of Business Research from data collected by the Federal Re­serve Bank of Dallas from banks in 20 Texas cities, de­clined 3% between July and August. This was equal to the percentage decline registered by the composite index of business activity and tends to confirm the movement of that barometer. The level of bank debits in August was Bank Debits in Texas The outlook for petroleum refining in Texas is clouded by the size of gasoline stocks at the close of the period of peak consumption. Although gasoline consumption set a record during the past summer, stocks are higher than in previous years. Crude stocks are also increasing and have brought on a cut in crude production. In addition to this troubled state of the industry, increased imports of crude seem to he imminent. In several areas of large consumption, gasoline prices are showing weakness. There is an almost universal feeling that the course of the industry in the im­mediate future will he downward. The outlook for the building industry continues uncertain, although the volume of building permits issued during August declined 5% from July. For the first eight months of 1953, the volume of urban building authorized was 9% higher than the same period of 1952. For the United States new housing starts during the first seven months exceeded the same period of 1952 by 3%. For the United States new housing starts dur­ing the first seven months exceeded the same period of 1952, but the seasonally adjusted number of starts has been declining since February. The plans of builders are still be­ing hampered by tight money, and official predictions look Index • Adjusted for seasonal variation • 1935-1939. 100 11111 - Ill DO 1 IOO 600 500 400 IOO Ill 300 !ti 20D 111 100 6% higher than a year ago, although the composite index was 12% higher. One of the differences between the two is the fact that the index of bank debits reflects changes in prices as well as changes in the physical volume of business. The composite index of business activity does not reflect price changes and so was not depressed by the decline in the wholesale price level during the past 12 months. JoHN R. STOCKTON TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Robert H. Ryan__ _____________Managing Editor College of Business Administration, .The University of Texas __________ Dean William R. Spriegel. Business Research Council William R. Spriegel (e., offecw), A. Hamilton Chute, F. L. Cox, Elizabeth Lanham, R. H. Montgomery, G. H. Newlove, and Charis E. Walker. STAFF OF THE BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH John R. Stockton Directcw Stanley A. Arbingut Assistant Directcw Resources Specialist Marjorie T. Cornwell Resea,rch Sup4r11isor Stella Traweek A. Hamilton Chute Richard C. Henshaw, Jr. Consulting Statisticia,n Reta,iling Specialist Sta,tisticia,n Raymond V. Lesikar Robert H. Ryan Research Associates Harvey B. Smith Research Assistant Jo Overstreet William S. Lowe Statistical A ssistants Calvin Jayroe Offset Press Operator Eleanor A. O'Neal Publications Assistant Alice R. Locklin Library Assistant Judy Vaughan Beverly Webb Emily J . Vavra Yvonne Hawn Secretaries Statistical Clerks Assistants Marilyn Biel, Carroll Boudreaux, Allen Brewster, Robert Clayton, Ben Cummins, Floyd Eiland, Maurice Friedman, Tom Greer, Olin Hardwick, Benny Hill, Vera Jeffrey, Henry Love, Sam Muller, Don Noble, Tina Piedrahita, Cecilia Pingenot, Ann Roche, Anne Schuler, and Newton Youngblood. Cooperating Faculty A. B. Cox E'lizabeth Lanham Professor of Associate Professor Cotton Marketing of Mana,gement TABLE OF CONTENTS The Business Situation in Texas_______________ ______________ __ 2 Construction ·---------------------------------------------------------------4 Finance -------·------------------··------·--------------------·---·--------·-6 Retail Trade ______ --·---------------·--------------------------------------8 Industrial Production -------·----------------------------------------10 Labor --------------------------------------------------------------------------13 Agriculture ---------------------·-----------------------------------------·--14 Mellorine: Challenge to Dairy Industry --------------------16 Local Business Conditions ---------------------------·--·---------18 Barometer of Texas Business ----------------------------·-------24 Published monthly by the Bureau of Buslnesa Reaearch, College of Business Administration, The University of Texas, Austin 12. Entered as second clasa matter May 7, 1928 at the post office at Austin, Texas, under the act of August 24, 1912. Content of this publication Is not copyrighted and may be reproduced freely. Acknowledgement of source will be appreciated. Subscription, $2 .00 a year: individual copies, 20 cents. CONSTRUCTION Additions, alterations, and repairs show drop. The value of permits issued for major types of building in Texas during August diverged sharply from the July pat· tern. The most significant change was a 23% drop in the category of additions, alterations, and repairs, the result of declines of 29 and 16%, respectively, in the nonresi­dential and residential classifications. The value of nonresidential permits issued for new build­ings in August made a very weak comeback (+7%) over the July level, which was the lowest since December of last year. Important changes bringing about this modest in· crease were in the following types: factories and workshops +382%, institutional buildings +l,837%, and educa· tional buildings +82%. Cement Produ------·-------------- ---$ 1,588,771 + 6 5 Employment (area ) ------------·--------------------24,100 + End-of-month deposits (thousands) i------$ 1,056,922 -10 + 1 Manufacturing employment (area) ___ 3,775 Annual rate of deposit turnover____________ 18.1 -5 + 1 Percent of labor force unemployed Air express shipments ----------------------4,516 + 2 + 10 (area) ------------------------------------------4.2 12 -Air express shipments ------·--·----------·---·--3 -25 0 For explanation of symbols, see page 28. SEPTEMBER 1953 LOCAL BUSINESS CONDITIONS Percent change Percent change Aug 1953 Aug 1953 Aug 1953 Aug 1953 Aug from from Aug from from City and item 1953 Aug 1952 July 1953 City and item 1953 Aug 1952 July 1953 HEREFORD: (pop. 5,207) LEVELLAND: (pop. 8,264) Postal receipts -------------------------------------------$ 5,654 + 15 -1 Postal receipts --------------------------------------------$ 5,303 + 7 -19 777,841 Value of building permits ____________________$ Value of building permits -----------------------$ +9051 +3704 68,500 -1 +142 Bank debits (thousands) --------------------------$ 7,548 -12 -la Bank debits (thousands) -------------------$ 6,418 + 18 End-of-month deposits (thousands) L ----$ 8,161 15 -8 End-of-month deposits (thousands ) t -----$ 7,434 -4 Annual rate of deposit turnover______________ 10.6 + 2 -12 Annual rate of deposit turnover____________ 10.1 + 23 JASPER: (pop. 4,403) LOCKHART: (pop. 5,573) Retail sales• ---------------·------------------------+ 3 Department and apparel store sales_______ + 6 + 28 Postal receipts -----------------------------·------------$ 4,108 9 -12 Postal receipts -------------- --------------------------$ 2,673 + 9 -5 Bank debits (thousands) -------------------------$ 3,982 8 -1 9,000 -31 -79 Value of building permits _____________________$ End-of-month deposits (thousands)+- ----$ 5,024 6 -3 Bank debits (thousands) -----------------------$ 3,274 -7 2 + + Annual rate of deposit turnover --------___$ 9.3 4 End-of-month deposits (thousands) L ----$ 4,869 9 7 Annual rate of deposit turnover____________ 8.4 -14 6 KERMIT: (pop. 6,912) Postal receipts ----------- ·-----------------------------$ 4,532 + 7 -18 LONGVIEW: (pop. 24,502) Value of building permits -----------------------$ 19,000 -31 -66 Postal receipts --------------------------------------$ 24,300 + 15 -11 Bank debits (thousands) --------------------------$ 3,018 -7 -14 Value of building permits _____________________$ 185,110 +445 -45 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ------$ 2,965 -31 -11 Bank debits (thousands) ______________________$ 26,815 6 -21 Annual rate of deposit turnover____________ 11.5 + 28 -12 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ------$ 36,355 + 2 x Annual rate of deposit turnover____________ 8.8 -9 -21 Employment (area) ---------------------------24,100 +KILGORE: (pop. 9,638 ) Manufacturing employment (area) ____ 3,775 0 Postal receipts --------------------------------------------$ 9,627 + 9 -li Percent of labor force unemployed Value of building permits -----------------------$ 23,000 +130 + 53 (area) -------------------------------------4.2 -12 Bank debits (thousands) -----------------------$ 12,754 + 7 6 Air express shipments ---·--------···--------------159 + 29 -19 End-of-month deposits (thousands)+------$ 14,622 x x Annual rate of deposit turnover____________ 10.5 Employment (area) -----------------------------------24,100 + 7 + LUBBOCK: (pop. 71,747) Manufacturing employment (area) ____ 3,775 0 Retail sales ---------------------------------------------­x 9 Percent of labor force unemployed Automotive stores ------------------------­+ 15 8 (area) --------------------------------------------------4.2 -12 Department and apparel stores --------­-2 Air express shipments ------------------------------19 -24 0 Furniture and household appliance stores ---------------------------­-55 -51 General merchandise stores --------------­-4 -8 KILLEEN: (pop. 7,045) Lumber, building material, Postal receipts -------------------------- ---------------$ 14,421 -25 + 2 and hardware stores -----------------·------··-­-47 -27 Value of building permits ------------------------$ 23,279 + 46 Postal receipts ------------------·-----------------$ 70,966 -7 -13 Value of building permits _____________________ _$ Bank debits (thousands) ----------------------$ 4,373 -37 + 4 986,498 -29 + 4 End-of-month deposits (thousands) :j: ___ ___ $ 9,203 -10 5 Bank debits (thousands) -------------------------$ 85,030 -7 8 Annual rate of deposit turnover______________ 5.5 -32 + 8 End-of-month deposits (thousands) L----$ 75,122 -24 x Annual rate of deposit turnover________ __ __ 13.6 2 + 3 Employment• -----------------------------------------32,400 + 7 LAMESA: (pop. 10,704) Manufacturing employment* -------------· 3,325 + 3 1 Percent of labor force unemployed•-------­6.4 +100 2 Postal receipts ---------------------------------------------$ 7,529 x + 2 + Value of building permits -----------------$ -­ -------600 99 40 Air express shipments ---------------------------629 +183 7 Bank debits (thousands) -------------------------$ 5,982 -6 -15 End-of-month deposits (thousands) +------$ 11,720 + 16 -1 LUFKIN: (pop. 15,135) Annual rate of deposit turnover___________ ___ 6.1 -5 -13 Postal receipts _____________________________ _ $ 11,231 -3 -21 Value of building permits -----------------------$ 63,850 -15 -59 Bank debits (thousands) -------------------$ 14,701 1 7LAMPASAS: (pop. 4,869) End-of-month deposits (thousands) :j: ______ $ 20,750 1 8 + + Retail sales• ------------------------------------------------2 Annual rate of deposit turnover_____________ 8.8 -2 6 Postal rec~ipts -----------------------------------------$ 2,438 -25 -37 Air express shipments ----------·--------------35 + 59 + 6 Value of building permits ---·-------------------$ 16,300 -52 -27 Bank debits (thousands) ------------------------$ 3,706 -13 + 5 End-of-month deposits (thousands)+------$ 6,451 -3 2 McALLEN: (pop. 20,067) Annual rate of deposit turnover______________ 6.8 -13 6 Retail sales -------------------------------------------+ 1 + Department and apparel stores____________ + 15 Postal receipts ---------------------------------$ 13,865 9 -1 LAREDO: (pop. 51,910) Value of building permits ---------------------$ 52,475 -46 + 26 Air express shipments --------------------·--42 + 8 + 5 Department and apparel store sales_______ -10 + 4 Postal receipts -------------------------------------------$ 21,933 + 5 -15 Value of building permits _______________________ $ 14,855 -95 -87 MARLIN: (pop. 7,099) Bank debits (thousands) -------·-----------------$ 17,064 -15 10 Postal receipts --------------------------------$ 5,003 3 -14 End-of-month deposits (thousands)+______ $ 18,162 -28 -1 Value of building permits -------------------$ 27,311 + 2 -20 Annual rate of deposit turnover______________ Bank debits (thousands) ______________$ Air express shipments --------·-----·-------------­163 -14 + 21 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ---$ 4,169 -20 + 5 Tourists entering Mexico -------------------····-­16,087 16 1 Annual rate of deposit turnover_ ___ _______ 8.4 + 29 6 Tourist cars entering Mexico -----·------------5,009 -9 2 11.3 -7 -7 2,853 + 4 6 + For explanation of a;vmbola, see page 28. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW LOCAL BUSINESS CONDITIONS P ercent chan ge Percent change City and item Aug 1953 Aug 1953 from Aug 1952 Aug 1953 from July 1953 City a nd item Aug 1953 Aug 1953 from Aug 1952 Aug 1953 from July 1953 l\fARSHALL: (pop. 22,327) Department and apparel store sales_______ _ Postal receipts ----------­---------------­------­-------$ Value of building permits -----­------------------$. Bank debits (thousands ) ________________ _____ __ _$ End-of-month depos its (thousands)+­---­$ Annual rate of deposit turnover______________ 17,115 702,846 12,881 19,789 7.8 + 8 + 24 + 844 + 3 + 2 0 + 9 -4 + 447 5 4 PLAINVIEW: (pop. 14,044) Retail sales ------------­------------------------------­Department and apparel stores_________ Postal receipts ----­----­----------------­------$ Value of building permits ______________________ $ Bank debits (thousands) ---------------------$ E'nd-of-month deposits (thousands)+­----$ Annual rate of deposit turnover_________ _ 11,360 74,300 12,544 18,860 7.9 -4 -6 + 12 -63 -13 -2 -11 + 3 + -55 9 -3 -5 Air express shipments -------.----­---.------­ 22 + 38 -59 MIDLAND: (pop. 21,713) Postal receipts -------­---------------------------------$ Value of building permits -----­---------------­-­$ Bank debits (thousands) -----------------------$ End-of-month deposits (thousands)+______ $ Annual rate of deposit turnover______________ Air express shipments ----------­-----------------­35,001 522,645 46,065 62,420 9.0 201 + 5 -78 -5 + 17 -18 + 28 -21 7 2 + 3 2 + 13 ROCKDALE: (pop. 2,321) Postal receipts ------­----------------­----------$ Value of building permits ---------------------$ Bank debits (thousands) ________________________$ End-of-month deposits (thousands)+------$ Annual rate of deposit turnover__________ 3,059 39,220 3,592 3,575 12.1 + 10 -71 + 8 5 + 3 -30 -91 + 5 + + PORT ARTHUR: (pop. 57,530) NACOGDOCHES: (pop. 12,327) Retail sales* -------------------------------------­--­Automotive stores* ----------------------------­ + 9 + 36 + 4 + 2 P ostal receipts ---------------------------­---­----------$ Value of building permits -----------------------$ Bank debits (thousands) ---------­--­-----------$ End-of-month deposits (thousands)+-----­$ Annual rate of deposit turnover______________ 7,656 8,000 9,001 15,338 7.1 -14 -84 -6 -59 3 + 1 7 Department a nd apparel stores ---------­Drug stores* ---------­-----­------­-----­---------­Filling stations• ------­--------------­--------­--­Food stores* --­----------------------------------­Furniture and household -7 + 5 -22 x + 14 + 2 + 11 6 appliance stores* --------------------------­ -15 + Lumber, building material, NEW BRAUNFELS: (pop. 12,210) Postal receipts --------­---­---------------------------$ Value of building permits -----­--------------$ Bank debits (th ousands ) ---------------------$ End-of-month deposits (thousands ) +------$ Annual rate of deposit turnover-----------­9,458 57,800 7,069 10,310 9.5 + 5 -37 -4 -22 -24 + 38 -25 and hardware stores• -------------------­Postal receipts ---­-----------------------------$ Value of building permits ------------­--------­$ Bank debits (thousands ) ------------------------$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) L---­$ Annual rate of deposit turnover__________ ____ Employment (area) ---------------------------­------­31,814 180,739 43,435 37,070 14.0 78,300 -31 + 6 -54 -1 -14 + 1 5 + 25 + 10 + 14 8 x 8 1 Manufacturing emp loyment (area) ____ 27,230 + + ODESSA: (pop. 29.495) Department and apparel store sales.______ -20 -24 Percent of labor force unemployed (area) -----------------------------------------­-------­Air express shipments 5.7 123 + - 16 4 0 + 7 Postal receipts ---------------------------­---­-------------$ Value of building permits -----------------­--------$ Bank debits (thousands) _____________________ ____ $ 30,639 941,060 31,443 x -21 -22 -:­23 + 74 5 SAN ANGELO: (pop. 52,093) Retail sales ------------------------­-----­ - 4 - 4 End-of-month deposits (thousands);______ $ 30,980 -19 + 2 Department and apparel stores__________ _ + 2 - 8 Annual rate of deposit turnover_____________ _ Air express shipments -------------------------­ 12.3 136 -- 9 18 -2 + 15 Postal receipts -----------------------------------------$ Value of building permits -----------­----------­$ 38,130 393,227 -15 -9 -18 -28 Bank debits (thousands) -----­------------------$ 34,492 - 4 8 End-of-month deposits (thousands>+-----$ 44.311 -14 ORANGE: (pop. 21,174) Postal r eceipts --------------------------------------------­$' Value of building permits -----------------------­$ Bank debits (thousands) ____ ___ __________________ _$ End-of-month deposits (thousands)+------$ 12,945 142,261 16,906 24 ,519 x -61 + 9 + 8 -11 -39 5 x Annual rate of deposit turnover__ ___________ _ Employment ---------­-------------­--------------­Manufacturing employment --------------­Percent of labor force unemployed__________ Air express shipments ---------­-------------­ 9.2 21 ,650 2,375 4.6 290 -2 -5 + 13 + 10 + 70 + + Annual rate of deposit turnover______ ___ ____ _ 8.3 + 8 6 SAN ANTONIO: (pop. 408,442) Retail sales* ----­---------­------------------------­-­- 8 - 6 PALESTINE: (pop. 12,503) Postal receipts ----------------­-------­-----------------­$ Value of building permits ------------------------$ 8,595 50,832 + 6 -77 -15 -3 Apparel stores* -------­-------------­------------­---­Automotive stores• ------------------------------­--­Depai-tment storest --------------------­----------­Drug stores• ----------------------------------­--------­ 4 8 5 2 + 8 -31 + 10 + 1 Bank debits (thousands ) ------------------------$ End-of-month deposits (thousands)+-----­$ 4,816 12,178 -12 3 -18 + 5 E ating and drinking places* -----------­­Filling stations• -------------------------------------­ - 12 9 + Annual rate of deposit turnover______________ 4.9 - 8 -17 Food stores* -----------------------------­---------­ - 6 Furniture and household PARIS: (pop. 21,643) Retail sales ----­--­-----------­---------­--­-----------­---­Department and apparel stores__________ _ Postal receipts -------­-----------------------­-------$ Value of building permits ---------------------$ Bank debits (thousands) -----------­---$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) t_____$ Annual r ate of deposit turnover_____________ Air express shipments --------­-----­---------­-­14,638 20,455 11,467 13,534 10.0 46 + 43 + 2 + 14 -39 9 -7 -3 +109 + 13 + 13 + 10 -29 4 3 2 + 7 appliance stores• ------------------------------­General merchandise stores* -------­------­Lumber, building mater ial, and hardware stores• ---------------------­-­-Postal receipts ------------------------------------------.$ 429,873 Value of building permits -----------------------$ 3,329,986 Bank debits (thousands) --------------------­--­$ 379,937 End-of-month deposits (thousands)+ - ­-­$ 313,627 Annual rate of deposit turnover ______ ______ _ 14.6 Air express shipments ----­-----------­---­2,018 -32 -6 -11 + 2 + 10 + 10 -21 + 7 -8 -26 + 9 -24 -5 -23 + 2 + 2 For explanation of symbols, see page 28. SEPTEMBER 1953 LOCAL BUSINESS CONDITIONS Percent change P ercent change City and item Aug 1953 Aug 1953 from Aug 1952 Aug 1953 from July 1953 City and item Aug 1953 Aug 1953 from Aug 1952 Aug 1953 from July 1953 SAN MARCOS: (pop. 9,980) Postal receipts ________________________________ $ Value of building permits --------------­-------$ Bank debits (thousands) ----------------------$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) t -----­$ Annual rate of deposit turnover·---·------· 9,119 54,775 5,171 8,137 7.7 + 6 + 30 2 + 8 9 -5 +172 + 11 + 2 + 8 WAXAHACHIE: (pop. ll,204) Postal receipts --------------------------------------­-$ Value of building permits -------­--------­----$ Bank debits (thousands) ------------------------$ End-of-month deposits (thousands ) t---. $ Annual rate of deposit turnover___________ 7,224 39,036 3,416 3,707 11.7 -3 + 30 + 2 -30 + 23 -17 -9 + 2 + 13 + 2 SEGUIN: (pop. 9,733) TEXAS CITY: (pop. 16,620) Postal receipts -·-·-­----------­--------------··----­$ Value of building permits --­-----------------­---$ 6,863 52,075 + 7 + 76 -17 -26 Postal receipts ----------------­------------­--­--------$ Value of building permits ____________________$ 12,131 227,450 + 1 -13 -22 -24 Bank debits (thousands) ---------·--------------·-$ 7,302 + 2 + 8 Bank debits (thousands) ---­--------·-·-·-----­--$ 24,422 7 7 End-of-month deposits (thousands) L ... $ 15,747 + + End-of-month deposits (thousands) L ----$ 24,250 1 7 Annual rate of deposit turnover_____________ 5.6 3 + Annual rate of deposit turnover______________ 11.7 7 1 Employment (area) --------------------------­ 46,650 4 4 SHERMAN: (pop. 20,150) Manufacturing employment (area) ____ Percent of labor force unemployed 11,400 x 5 Retail sales -------------­------­----------­---------­ + 18 + 2 (area) --------------­-------------­---------­ 3_9 + 3 0 Department and apparel stores___________ + 8 + 14 Postal receipts ---------------­--------------$ 19,616 Value of building permits ----­---------------­$ 1,096,008 + 6 + 408 -8 + 783 TYLER: (pop. 38,968) Retail sales -----------­--­---------------­ + 16 - 7 SNYDER: (pop. 12,010) Postal receipts ----­-----­-------------------------·$ 7,775 + 4 -20 Postal receipts ---------------------$ Value of building permits -----------------------$ Bank debits (thousands) ______________________$ 43,058 922,070 55,310 + 7 + 120 + 8 -2 + 99 5 Value of building permits ----------------------­$ 99,050 -48 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t -----$ 52,641 - 4 x Bank debits (thousands) ----------------------· $ 10,664 6 Annual rate of deposit turnover______________ 12.6 + 3 5 E'nd-of-month deposits (thousands) t -----­$ Annual rate of deposit turnover______________ 10,550 12.0 2 5 Air express shipments -----­--------------------­ 268 + 44 + 17 SWEETWATER: (pop. 13,619) Department and apparel store sales_______ _ Postal receipts -------------------------------------$ Value of building permits _______________________$ Bank debits (thousands) _____________________$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) L ....$ Annual rate of deposit turnover_____________ Air express shipments ------­------------------­9,960 24,375 7,527 9,789 9.2 21 + 8 + 11 -54 + 91 + 23 + 1 -61 3 -1 -1 + 91 WACO: (pop. 84,706) Retail sales -----------------------------------­Apparel stores ----------------------------------­Automotive stores -------------------------­Department storest --­------------­----------­Florists ------------------------------­--------­Furniture and household appliance stores ------------­-----------­General merchandise stores ---­-------­---­ + 9 + 3 + 26 5 -8 -19 + 3 + 8 + 21 -9 + 16 + 4 2 + 27 TAYLOR: (pop. 9,071) Postal receipts --------­---------------------------------$ Value of building permits ---·-------------------$ Bank debits (thousands) ---------------­--·-----$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) t -----­$ Annual rate of deposit turnover_____________ 6,557 26,484 13,542 15,821 8.2 + 16 -18 + 5 + 15 -28 -12 -21 + 25 + 16 -15 Postal receipts ----------------------------$ Value of building permits ----­-----­----------$ Bank debits (thousands) ----------------­----$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) L ....$ Annual rate of deposit turnover_____________ Employment -----­-------------------------­--------­-Manufacturing employment ---------------­Percent of labor force unemployed_______ 88,522 794,193 68,452 63,032 13.1 44,350 8,880 5.1 -8 + 49 x -30 -2 -14 + 4 + 42 -19 -33 -9 + 1 -10 x + 2 + 4 Air express shipments ------------------------­ 108 - 18 -22 TEMPLE: (pop. 25,467) Retail sales --------------------------------------------­Department and apparel stores____________ -11 -19 + 3 + 6 WICHITA FALLS: (pop. 68,042) Postal receipts -------·-·-------------------------------$ Value of building permits __________________ $ Bank debits (thousands) ________________________.$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) L ----$ Annual rate of deposit turnover_____________ 25,485 120,100 17,071 22,020 9.3 x -50 3 -1 -4 + 2 + 42 + 6 -1 + 8 Retail sales --------------------­---------------------­Department and apparel stores____________ Postal receipts -------------------------------­---·$ Value of building permits ----------------------­$ Bank debits (thousands) ------·----­-----------·$ 71,338 731,730 77,804 -11 + 7 + 4 -18 4 -23 + 7 -17 + 6 5 Air express shipments ----------------------------­ 59 + 55 + 51 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t_____ $ 97,119 - 8 x Annual rate of deposit turnover_____________ 9.6 - 7 TEXARKANA: (pop. 40, 628)§ Employment ---·-------·------------------------------------­Manufacturing employment ---·----------­ 35,950 3,790 x 1 Retail sales§ ----------------------­-------------------­Department and apparel stores§__________ + 18 -2 + 5 + 15 Percent of labor force unemployed ._________ Air express shipments ----------------------------­ 5.0 493 + 172 + 2 + 10 Postal receipts§ ----------------------­----------------$ 53,072 -17 + 14 Value of building permits§ ·--·-·-----·---­··--­$ Bank debits (thousands) § ---·--··­--·-·-­-------­$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ---­$ 79,265 39,746 18,392 -35 + 5 -35 -40 11 xChange is less than one half of one percent. *Preliminary. Annual rate of deposit turnover_____________ 11.9 0 2 tReported by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. Employment§ --·----------------------------------·--·---­ 41,850 -12 3 tExcludes deposits to credit of banks. + 32 + 57 Texas (pop. 24,753) . Manufacturing employment§ --------·-----11,010 + 20 1 UReported by the Bureau of Business and Economic Research, Uni­ + Percent of labor force unemployed§._______ versity of Houston. 6.7 + 37 + 10 Air express shipments§ ---·-·--------------------129 §Figures include Texarkana, Arkansas (pop. 15,875) and Texarkana, BAROMETERS OF TEXAS BUSINESS Year-to-date Average Aug July June average month 1963 1963 1963 1953 1952 GENERAL BUSINESS ACTIVITY tlndex of Texas Business Activity (I00.0) -------­-­--· ----------------­-----­lndex of bank debits__________________________ 283* 666 291* 690 298* 708 294 692 269 659 Income payments to individuals in the U.S. (billions-seasonallyadjusted at annual rate) ______________ ______________ ____________________ _ _ $ 288.1 $ 286.3 $ 283.8 $ 269.7 Index of wholesale prices in the U.S. (1947-49=100, unadjusted)_______ _ 110.6 110.9 109.4 108.6 111.6 Index of consumers' prices in the U.S. (1947-49=100, unadjusted) ...... .. Index of postal receipts______________ 115.0 394 114.7 420 114.5 415 114.1 400 113.5 382 tlndex of miscellaneous freight carloadings in the Southwestern Dis­ trict (17.6) --------------·------······ ···········----­-----------------·--· ··············-···--·-······-----··-·. Business corporation charters issued (number)······· ···-···----··-----··· -------­·-·--·-­Business failures (number) ----------------------------····­-·-·---­-------·--···-······ 140 253* 17 145 301 17 145 317 13 144 322 14 144 278 8 fRADE tlndex of total retail sales (adjusted for price changes, 47.? )...... ·----···-­.. Index of total retail sales_____ _________________ 230* 480 242* 504 252 525 247 514 231 486 Durable-goods stores ····---------·-------------------------­---·· ··-··-· ··­·· ····­·· ···-·· ·--···--···· Nondurable-goods stores -··-·-···-----­-----------······ ·· -· ······--·· ---­-------­----·-··· -·· ·­·· 640 401 683 417 734 424 720 415 672 397 Hndex of total retail sales in the U.S·-··········-· ····--·­·· ··· --·-·--­-·······-·----·····­-----· ·· 451 449 447 424 Durable-goods stores ···· ········-······ -------­-----­--···----· ···--·----··········--···---··-­-----· 647 644 649 582 Nondurable-goods stores ------·--·--­--·-----------------·-····­·· ·· ·------·--·--· ·---· ··­····· ·· · Ratio of credit sales to net sales in department and apparel stores.... .... 63.1 388 59.9 385 63.9 381 63.4 372 63.6 Ratio of collections to outstandings in department and apparel stores.... 35.1 40.2 38.1 40.4 43.7 Index of gasoline sales·-----·-----------···--------······------------·-···-···-·····-·--···-···--·-····-···­ 250 275 272 260 PRODUCTION tlndex of industrial electric power consumption (14.8) ____________________________ __ 620 618 625 630 536 tlndex of crude runs to stills (4.5) ----------------­------------------·-­-----­-·-···· ·-···--····-·-­Index of wheat grindings...·------------------------------------------------------···· -----····----· ··--·­lndex of cottonseed crushed......------------------------------·-------------------------····--·--·-­·--· 218 205 87 186 220 92 327 221 98 191 209 99 126 Index of southern pine production (unadjusted)··-··­------------------­--···--···-·--­Index of dairy product manufacturinl!>--------­tlndex of urban building permits (adjusted for price changes, 3.8) _____ __ _ 48 151* 128 49 157* 129 63 208* 128 66 189 123 49 190 Index of urban building permits.--------­---------------­----------­------­---·-----·--­----·-·-·­·-· tlndex of crude petroleum production (8.6 >---·-----·-----·---·---···-··-·------­·----·--·-·· 336* 231 350* 232 463* 222 414 227 399 232 tlndex of total electric power consumption (3.0) ......-------------· ··-----·--··-··--···-· Index of industrial production in the U.S...---········-···-·-·····-··· ·-·---·--------------· · 732 238* 776 233• 749 240 698 239 594 219 Index of cement production·-----------------­---------------------------·······-·-··----··--·----·····-· Construction contracts awarded (thousands)----------·-------·· ··-----·-­·--------·----·· ·· $ 84,960 313 $ 84,000 317 $ 89,957 325 $ 96,437 325 $lll,344 AGRICULTURE Index of farm cash income (unadjusted>--------------­·····------······---------------·--··-· Index of prices received by farmers (unadjusted) ······-·····--· ····--·-··· -·-· ···-·· . Index of prices paid by farmers in the U.S. (parity index-unadjusted, 388 270 337 272 291 264 323 279 506 332 1909-14=100) ········-·----····· --­··--··········--·····-···· .... ·--····--···--···­·· Parity ratio __ -­--------------­Index of prices received by farmers-livestock (unadjusted, 1909-14=100) _________ __ _______________________ _____ _____________ ___ _____ _____ ______ __ ___________________ ______________________ _ 278 97 281 278 98 288 276 96 269 279 100 305 286 116 371 Index of prices received by farmers-all crops (unadjusted, 1909-14= 100) ______ __________ __ _______ _________ ________ ___________ ___ _____ _______________________________________________________ 261 260 260 259 303 FINANCE Loans, reporting member banks in Dallas district (millions)-­-----­---------­ $ 1,782 $ 1,776 $ 1,759 $ 1,767 $ 1,609 Loans and investments, reporting member banks in Dallll.!I district (millions) ····----­-----------··-­-----------------­---·-------· -----------­----· ········-····-------------------­Demand deposits adjusted, reporting member banks in Dallas district (millions) ___ ......----------------------------------------------------------------------­-------·-----------·-. ­-Bank debits in 20 cities (millions> ---·-----· ······-----------------------------·-----------------­Revenue receipts of the State Comptroller (thousands) ___________ __ ___ __________ __ $ 3,209 $ 2,477 $ 5,198 $ 56,669 $ 3,188 $ 2,486 $ 5,551 $ 62,935 $ 3,103 $ 2,410 $ 5,718 $ 69,068 $ 3,121 $ 2,456 $ 5,497 $ 63,494 $ 2,999 $ 2,385 $ 5,382 $ 58,076 Federal Internal Revenue collections (thousands>-------------· ------------­·---------­ $157,446 $124,821 $249,509 $209,391 $188,187 LABOR Total nonagricultural employment (thousands> -----------------------------------------­Total manufacturing employment (thousands)--·­---------------­----­----····· Durable-goods employment (thousands) __________________________ ___________ _ 2,269.6* 438.1* 208.5* 2,275.3 438.6 209.6 2,280.8 437.6 208.5 2,262.3 437.5 207.4 2,215.2 425.9 203.3 Nondurable-goods employment (thousands> -----------------­-------------­ 229.6* 229.0 229.1 230.0 222.6 All figures are for Texas unless otherwise Indicated. All indexes are based on the average months for 1935-89 except where Indicated and are adjusted for seasonal variation (except annual Indexes). Manufacturing employment estimates have been adjusted to first quarter 1952 benchmarks. *Preliminary. tThe index of business activity is a weighted average of the Indexes indicated by a dagger (t) . The weight given each lndu In computing th• composite is given in parentheses. fNew series. Index computed from e8timates of retail sales published by Bureau of the Cen&ua.