Semiannual Issue TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW A Monthly Summary of Business and Economic Conditions in Texas BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH THE UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS VOL. XXVII, No. f> 6 TWENTY CENTS A COPY-TWO DOLLARS A YEAR JULY 1953 Tin: f.o.b. Texas City The Longhorn Smelter in Texas City, only major source of refined tin in the Americas, poured out nearly half as much tin as U. S. consumers used last year. But the nation remains heavily dependent upon other, far-flung sources to help build a domestic stockpile of this nearly indispensable metal. At the beginning of World War ll, the nation was caught short. The chart below shows why such a shortage is unlikely to recur.Two circles, at center, represent the 1952 U. S. supply of tin, about I 03,000 long tons, and the year's consumption, less than half that amount. Most of the rest was stockpiled, an undisclosed portion of it for defense purposes. A report beginning on page 15 of this issue sketches the important place of the tin industry in Texas and the world. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW • The Business Situation 10 Texas Nearly all phases of business in Texas showed an in­crease in June over May and established the first half of 1953 as the best six months ever experienced by busi­ness in the state. The composite index of business activity compiled by the Bureau of Business Research rose 2% in June to bring it to 297% of the 1935-39 base period. This level of the index has been exceeded only once, by the 300 registered in January 1953. The upswing between May and June was shown in most of the component series. Industrial power consumption remained un­changed, and five other series increased. Only crude runs to stills declined (-1% ) . The detailed changes in the component series are given in the following table. I N DEX OF TEXAS BUSINESS ACTIVITY AND COMPONEN T SERIES (adjusted for seMonal variation, 1935-39=100) Indexes Weight June 1953 May 1953 Percent change INDEX OF BUSINESS ACTIVITY (COMPOSITE) ---------­--­-­-100.0 297• 291 • + 2 Retail sales, adjusted for price ch a nges.... 47.7 251• 246 + 2 Industrial power consumption -­-----------­-·­ 14.8 625 625 0 Crude oil runs to stills --­----­----.----------------­· Electric power consumption -----­------------­-­ 4.5 3.0 220 749 222 678 -1 + 10 :Miscellaneous freight carloadings -----------­ 17.6 145 143 + 1 Urban building permits, adjusted for price cha n ges -----------------­------­---­----­---­Crude petroleum production ----­-----­--­--­- 3.8 8.6 212• 222 191• 211 + 11 + 5 •Prelimina ry. The all-time high for the index in January was fol­lowed by a rather sharp drop in February, but March and April showed a rising trend. May witnessed another downward movement, which was reversed in June, leav­ing the level of business only slightly lower than at the beginning of the year. Month-to-month changes in the index can be seen in the chart at the bottom of this page. In spite of the fact that business has established a record, many businessmen are watching for indications that a change of direction is imminent. For this reason it seems wise to examine the extent of the boom that has established this new record, in the hope that this exami­nation will give some indication of the degree of sta­bility in the present situation. The average of the index of business activity for the first six months of 1953 was 295, an increase of 10% over the average for 1952. Re­tail sales, adjusted for changes in prices, increased 9% between the two periods. Total electric power and indus· trial power consumption increased considerably more than the composite (14 and 18%, respectively). Crude runs to stills and urban building both increased 7%, while crude petroleum production decreased 3%. The most dynamic element in the Texas business situa­tion has been the growth in industrial activity. New manufacturing plants--petroleum refining, chemicals, aircraft, automobiles, and many types of fabricating in· dustries-have been built in the state since the end of World War II. The industrial expansion in the United States stimulated by the start of the Korean war affected the Texas industrial picture significantly. The first half of 1953 saw the industrial expansion still in full swing. We have no direct data with which to measure the expan­sion in industrial activity, but since the use of electric power is affected by all changes in industrial activity, particularly power sold under the industrial rate, the changes in industrial power consumption have been used to measure the changing industrial activity. The fact that this series showed the greatest increase over 1952 of all components in the index of business activity is taken as corroboration of the assumption that industrial activity has been one of the most dynamic forces. TEXAS BUSINESS ACTIVITY Index • Adjusted for seasonaI variation • 1935-1939 "100 1939 1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 The increased employment of industrial workers has resulted in increased disposable income in Texas from industrial sources, offsetting much of the decline in agri· cultural income that took place in the first half of 1953. With the stream of income to consumers well maintained, it followed more or less automatically that retail sales to consumers would stay at a high level. As long as dis· posahle income continues to increase, it can logically he assumed that retail sales will increase, except as savings and consumer credit affect consumer buying power. The question that deserves the most attention at the present time is not the level of consumer buying hut rather the decisions businessmen are making with respect to plans for expansion. Wholl!sale Prices in the U.S. Index •.1947-1949 • JOO 120 120 110110 100llO ID 90 " ll 10 60 ID " ijll ii.a IMI 11<2 1843 1114 1945 114' 1917 1941 1949 1150 1951 1552 195l Economists who are trying to determine what will hap· pen to business are not unanimous in their forecasts of the immediate future. One group holds that demand is still so strong that there will he no letup in the rate of business activity. Another group fears that the peak has been reached and that the level of business is going to decline and perhaps has already started down. This decline was expected by the second half of 1953, hut some analysts now believe that the second half of 1953 will be as good as the first. The picture for Texas business during the second half of 1953 is no clearer than for the rest of the country. One major question will be how fast building and indus­trial expansion taper off. The listing of new plants and additions to existing plants in Texas that is maintained by the Bureau of Business Research shows a slowing down; in fact, some major projects have recently been cancelled. The increase in interest rates threatens to slow down building operations, although permits issued by Texas cities rose 11% in June and for the first six months of 1953 were 11 % higher than the average for the year 1952. The tapering off of defense expansion has resulted in a reduction in some contracts held by Texas manufacturers, and it seems likely that still further reduc­tion is coming. There appears to he little doubt that the administration will still further reduce the number of contractors; with the armed services beginning to ap· proach their peak strength, the building of new facilities is about ended. The signing of the armistice in Korea probably will have little effect on the course of business, since it had already been discounted rather completely. - f .,,-­ I'-... ,-.... I Ir' -....... ..... J J In spite of the fact that employment, consumer income, and retail sales are at all-time peaks, a slowing down of capital expansion in Texas and the rest of the country seems inevitable, and when it comes a reduction in total economic activity will result. The tremendous expansion since 1945 has filled most of the need for manufacturing capacity, including the equipment needed for munitions production. In other words, future capital creation will he to replace existing plant and equipment and to pro· vide for the growing population and rising standard of living. It does not appear likely that these factors will support a level of activity as high as the past eight years. One important result of the high level of business ac­tivity is the fact that inventories at the beginning of June totalled 77 billion dollars, an increase of 3% from Janu­ary 1. However, during the five months sales also in­creased, with the result that inventories per dollar of monthly sales increased only slightly. A different pic­ture is revealed when inventories are compared with their level of June 1950. Manufacturers' inventories have in· creased 50% during this period, while inventories per dollar of monthly sales have increased from $1.34 to $1.71. Over the same period, total business inventories increased 42%, and inventories per dollar of monthly sales have increased from $1.37 to $1.56. There is a general, uneasy feeling that too much of current output is going into inventories; if sales continue at their present high level, inventories are not too large, but if a reduc· tion in consumer demand should develop, the large stocks of goods could become a serious factor in the business situation. The index of bank debits rose 2% from May, which brought it to a level 15% above a year ago. The first six months of 1953 averaged 5% higher than the year 1952. The chart below shows that this index parallels rather closely the composite index of business activity and that both show the high degree of stability main· tained during the first half of the year. Banl< Debits in Texas Consumer prices in the United States rose in June, the fourth consecutive month of rise. Wholesale prices, which were higher on the average in May than in April, fell slightly during June. Prices of farm products and foods declined throughout June, hut industrial prices rose slightly during the last half of the month. JOHN R. STOCKTON TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Robert H. Ryan Managing Editor College of Business Administration, .The University of Texas William R. SpriegeL_.___________________Dean Business Research Council William R. Sprlegel (ez officio), A. Hamilton Chute, F. L . Cox, Elizabeth Lanham, R. H . Montgomery, and C. Aubrey Smith. STAFF OF THE BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH John R. Stockton Stanley A. Arbingast Marjorie T. Cornwell Director Assistant Director Research Supervisor Resources Specialist Stella Traweek A. Hamilton Chute Richard C. Henshaw, Jr. Cimsulting Statistician Retailing Speci, and Sherman (+7%). of reporting June June Advertising linage in 34 Texas newspapers as a group June June Classification s tores 1953 1952 1953 1952 fell 12% from May but equaled June of 1952. The first ALL STORES -----------·-----··-··-----·--69 63.9 64.2 38.1 39.7 six months of 1953 topped January-June 1952 by 4%, BY CITIES with 23 papers ahead. Austin -------------····-------------------------5 58.2 57.8 52.6 50.0 ____________..__________ ______ Corpus Christi 3 60.9 58.5 38.7 40.5 Sales of gasoline subject to tax totaled 260,760,000 Dallas ------------------------------------------8 71.1 71.0 39.6 43.9 gallons in May, 3% below April and 1% down from a Denison ------ ---------------------- ----3 57.7 55.8 41.0 34.9 year earlier. Gasoline sold to the federal government El Paso -------------------------------------3 58.7 32.4 36.1 56.4 amounted to 1,393,554,000 gallons, 4% under April but Fort Worth ---------------------------------4 62.3 64.5 43.4 39.8 Galveston ---------------------------------3 56.4 54.2 44.9 46.2 40% higher than in May 1952. Houston ------------------------------------7 62.4 63.2 32.9 32.8 San Antonio --------------------- ---------5 64.8 65.8 43.6 45.9 A. HAMILTON CHUTE Waco ------ ------------ --------------..---------4 59.9 58.6 49.5 52.3 Others -----------------------------------24 57.0 55.1 40.4 44.3 POSTAL RECE IPT:; BY TYPE OF STORE Department stores (over $1 million) -----------------------··-----21 65.2 65.7 36.5 38.2 January~June Department stores (under $1 June Percent million) -- ------------------------------20 46.8 44.0 43.6 44.4 City 1953 1953 1952 change Dry goods and apparel stores.... 4 69.7 68.6 54.2 54.0 TOTAL• -------·-·· $ 5,362,690 $32,994,291 $30,896,181 + 7Women's specialty shops...·-·--·--14 60.4 59.0 42.4 44.4 Men's clothing stores ·-----·----10 59.8 63.1 53 .0 52.7 Bastrop ---·----·--------·--­1,339 10,209 9,860 + 4 BY VOLUME OF NET SALES (1952) Bay City ·-·----·-------·-­7,396 44,655 42,164 + 6 -20 65.8 38.6 Over $3,000,000 ----------------------65.4 37.0 Belton -------···-------···----­5,238 28,933 31,331 -8$1,500,000 to $3,000,000 ---·-·---··-6 57.6 60 .9 48.4 50.4 Borger ·-----·-----·-----·----12,162 71,949 72,019 x $500,000 to $1,500,000 -----------·--20 56.0 64.5 48.7 48.7 Brady ----·------·-·-----3,586 23,462 26,254 -11 $250,000 to $500,000 --·--·-·-·-·--··-11 39.2 38.3 41.8 41.3 Brownfield ----··-------5,616 35,489 34,461 + 3 Less than $250,000 ----·----·------12 46.8 45.0 42.5 43.2 Bryan -·-----···----17,015 103,344 88,816 + 16 Cameron --------------­6,189 43,421 39,605 •Credit aales as a percent of net salei. + 10 Childress ·----·-·-4,126 27,068 28,856 tCollections durinii the month as a percent of accounts unpaid on the 6 Cisco -------·-------3,621 23,393 23,761 -2first of the month. Cleburne -------·-·­9,574 61,443 57,701 + 6 Coleman ---------·----­4,818 29,190 29,939 3 Crystal City ----------·--2,120 far ahead. Although consumer credit has reached an all· 14,944 15,842 + 6 Cuero -------------------4,475 24,528 26,248 7 time high point of about $26.2 billions, and consumers El Campo ---------··-­6,317 39,752 37,307 are still saving about 8% of their disposable income, yet Gainesville ------·-------· 8,425 52,982 49,446 + 7 + 7 their spending intentions remain high, as reported in Gatesville ------·---· 3,194 21,558 25,859 -17 the 1953 Survey of Consumer Finances of the Federal Giddings --------------·--·-2,374 14,578 14,750 -1 Gilmer ----·-·-·--·-·---·· 3,753 21,663 22,862 6 - Reserve Board. Numerous basic economic indicators are Goldthwaite -----···-----­1,595 8,888 9,141 -astill favorable, although others have developed challeng­Granbury ---··-------·-···· 1,341 8,221 6,749 + 22 ing positions or movements. Grand Prairie --------­11,200 67,390 52,765 + 28 Hillsboro ----·------­4,925 29,686 30,496 Texas retailing at mid-year. Of 45 cities reporting 3 Huntsville -------··--­5,357 39,037 39,708 + 2enough retailers of various types to be listed individu­Jacksonville -·----······ 9,524 58,541 57,178 + 2 ally, 11 bettered May, 18 topped June 1952 and 27 were Kenedy ··--------------·-·-­3,413 19,152 17,457 + 10 Kermit ··-·------···-·-----· 4,388 28,382 27,807 ahead of January-June 1952. Best showings in the June­ + 2 Kerrville -··------····--­7,811 45,220 44,575 + 1 to-June comparison were at Big Spring (+26%), Hous­ Kilgore -----·---·-·---·--··· 9,637 63,213 61,576 + 8 ton and Pittsburg (+24% each), Denison (+ 18%), Kingsville ----·-----·---·­10,737 59,351 48,994 + 21 Texas City (+17%), Austin and Marshall (+14% La Grange ----------·--·· 4,346 25,792 23,141 + 11 Levelland -----·····--------­4,912 35,168 32,864 each), Waco (+12%), and Orange (+IO%). Compar­ + 7 Littlefield ---------------­5,096 27,032 26,884 + 1 ing the January-June periods, leading increases were at Luling --··-··-·----·-----­2,801 16,089 15,646 + 3Houston (+25%), Pittsburg (+24%), Texas City McCamey --·-··----·--··--·-2,325 16,202 17,154 6 5,217 (+19%), Orange (+18%), Corpus Christi and Deni­Mission ---·------------------34,312 33,918 + 4 Navasota -·-·--·------------· 3,238 22,073 20,518 son <+15% each), Austin (+14%), Odessa and Port + + 4 8 New Braunfels ----··----10,791 64,721 62,055 Arthur (+12% each). Pampa ··-··--·--··--·-·---···-15,417 83,637 81,769 + 2 14,274 79,949 72,204 Reporting by cities, 328 Texas department and apparel Pasadena -··--··-----··--·---- + 11 Pecos --··---------····-····----8,209 46,490 42,846 + 9 stores averaged a decline of 10% from May but equaled Pittsburg ···-----·····-···--­2,369 14,773 11,854 + 25 June 1952 and gained a nominal 1% over January-June Snyder -·---·-·--·-----····-----­7,892 49,417 56,140 -12 of 1952. Among the 37 cities included, only three topped Terrell ··----·-----··-·-··--···-· 4,573 28,694 28,490 + 1 May: Marshall (+7%), Denison (+2%), and Texas Uvalde ----·---·-··-·---·····---­6,315 36,016 33,594 + 7 Vernon -------------·-------­7,109 52,865 54,122 -2 City (+ 1%). Sixteen cities bettered June 1952 and 14 Victoria ---···--··----------­19,463 113,858 96,626 + 18 were ahead in comparing January-June with those months Weatherford ·------·-----7,616 41,573 37,151 + 12 of last year. In the June-to-June comparison, the leaders Yoakum ---·----·-··---·-----8,182 53,053 50,510 + 5 were Texas City (+27%), Marshall (+17%), Green­ xChange is less than one half of one percent. ville (+ 16%), Denison and Houston (+ 11 % each), *The total includes receipts for cities which are listed individuallySherman <+10%), and Brownwood (+8%). Best show-under "Local Business Conditons." TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW FARM CASH INCOME AGRICULTURE January-June Continued drouth. Drouth, the worst in Texas history, tightened its grip on the western half o~ the state during Value (thousands of dollars) July, in spite of light to moderate ramfall _over much Percent Commodity 1953 1952 change of the area. Rains fell in a spotty pattern, varymg sharply m amount from farm to farm. Yet much of the stricken TEXAS ---···-·-···-····---·················-····· 648,011 792,403 -18 Cotton 116,539 193,287 -40CARLOAD SHIPMENTS OF LIVESTOCK* Cottonseed ---···-··-·········-·--·-------·-·-···-··· 1,934 9,756 -80 Ssurce: Bureau of Business Research In cooperation with the Bureau of Wheat -·····--·--·---------····-··-··········--·-·--­27,398 50,286 -46 A11:ricultural Economics, U. 8. Department of Agriculture Oats ···-·--·······---·······-···-···------·---·---··--····-·­6,717 5,833 + 16 Corn -····---------·-·····--·-········-··-·--·------·--· 4,475 6,054 -26 Percent change Grain sorghum ·-·---------·-·······-······-----·· 10,179 28,119 -64 Flaxseed ·----·---·······--·---··----·-··---···-··· 8,911 3,155 + 24 June 1958 June 1958 June May June from from Peanuts -····-·------·-----··-···-·-···-----········ 1,294 1,584 -18 Classification 1953 1953 1952 June 1952 May 1958 Cattle ---·-------········---····----··-····-···-----·· 133,017 215,211 -38 Calves ···--·-·-···--···-·--········-···-----------·--·-· 44,013 60,731 -28 TOTAL SHIPMENT S 6,072 4,418 2,060 + 146 + 15 Hogs --·----····-·······-------------·········-----··--·· 40,922 50,195 -18 Cattle 3,983 3,092 1,422 +180 + 29 Sheep and lambs --··-···---·---·---···-···-··-· 12,368 10,076 + 23 -------------·-----------·--­ Calves 564 433 209 +170 30 Wool ·-·--····-··········--·-------·--··--······-------·· 13,006 20,382 -36 ----------------------~---------+ 2 48 96 -60 Mohair ··-··---·--··-··········--·--·----·--·-·········-· 5,481 8,292 -34 Hogs ------------------------ ­ 41 P oultry --····--··---·--------·-·····-······-----------··· 30,657 36,107 -15 Sheep --------------------523 888 381 + 37 ­ INTERSTATE ------------4,771 4,230 1,824 +162 + 13 Eggs ·····-···-----··-··--·--·-·-··-·-···-······-44,753 43,083 + 4 Cattle 3,712 2,948 1,259 + 195 + 26 Milk and milk products ···---··----·----···· 103,672 127,855 -19 Calves 540 408 200 +170 82 Fruit and vegetables ···---------··········---47,675 52,905 -10 ----------------------------- + 0 2 6 -100 -100 Hogs -----------------------------­ Farm cash income as computed by the Bureau understates actual farm Sheep ---519 872 359 45 -40 ------------------ + cash income by from 6 to 10%. This situation result.a from the fact that INTRASTATE -------301 188 236 + 28 + 60 means of •ecuring complete local marketings, especially by truck, have Cattle 271 144 163 + 66 + 88 n ot yet been fully developed. In addition, means have not yet been Calves 24 25 9 +167 -4 --------~-----------------­ developed for computing cash income from all agricultural specialties Hogs 2 3 42 -95 -33 of local importance in scattered areas. This situation does not Impair4 16 22 -75 Sheep --------------------- -------- 82 ­ the accuracy of the index shown on page 24. •Rail-car basis: cattle, SO head per car: calv•, 60 ; bop, 80 ; and sheep, 250. were made, principally from cotton to sorghums. Wide variation in the state of the cotton crop was reported, region remained dry, as sun-scorched ranges deteriorated although the general condition was said to be good. In to the worst condition ever reported for July. Farmers the Rio Grande Valley, excellent progress was made in and stockmen, hard hit by the drouth, held on to hope harvesting the short 300,000-bale crop. for survival as carloads of feed for hungry cattle and Decrease in vegetable production. Texas' summer $150 million in loans were made available through ac­vegetable crop was sharply cut by disease, drouth, and tion by the federal government. intense heat during July. The East Texas tomatoes,Reduction in cotton acreage. Cotton acreage in the usually a big crop, were reduced to less than a third state as of July 1 was estimated at 9,600,000 acres­ F R UIT AND VEGETABLES about 18% under that for a year before. Most of this cut may be attributed to the drouth, not to the intentions Source : Compiled from reports of Bureau of Agricultural Economics, U. S. Department of Agriculture of farmers. In counties where farmers vainly waited for enough rain to bring up dry-planted acreage, major shifts J anuary-June INDEXES OF PRICES RECEIVED BY FARMERS Rail shipments (carloads) (1909-14=109) Percent Item 1953 1952 change Source: Bureau of Agricultural Economics, U. 8. Department of Agriculture TOTAL ·--·-····--··-···-·---··---·····--26,677 25,720 + 4 FRUIT ··---·-·-----·-··-·······---····--·-····-· 1,812 449 +304 Percent change Cantaloups -·---···--·---····----·-···--·-·····­1,124 314 +258 Grapefruit -··---------------······-·-···--······ 43 June 1953 June 1953 June May June from from Lemons --------------------------------------­23 Index 1953 1963 1962 June 1952 May 1953 Oranges ----·---··-----····--·-··-·-·-··-83 Plums and prunes --··-·--····--······----··-·· 35 ALL FARM PRODUCTS-··-····-264 280 338 -22 6 Tangerines ------------------------------------------1 ALL CROPS ---------------260 267 307 -15 + 1 Watermelons ···-·--·--·---···-··---···-···-···-··---484 135 +259Food grains ----··------------·--·· 246 266 236 4 8 + ­ Mixed fruit -------·---··----·-·-··--········:·-·· 19Feed grains and hny ···-··--·---· 198 206 226 -15 -6 Potatoes and sweet potatoes--. 310 356 339 VEGETABLES ···---·-···--··--·---·--24,865 25,271 -2 -9 -13 Beets ····----··-·--·--------·-------------·······-··· 139 208 -33 Fruit 147 --------------------·----147 240 -39 0 Cabbage ---···--------·-·-----··------····-1,390 2,196 -37 Truck crops -······---------··--------------388 295 472 -18 + 32 Carrots ···---·-··--·-·---········----·····-·--···-· 4,518 3,705 + 22 Cotton ------··---------------·----- · 252 252 304 -17 0 Cauliflower ··-·---··--·---····----·······-·-···-·-····-115 162 -29 Oil-bearing crops 290 307 325 -11 LIVESTOCK AND ----------------- -6 Corn -··-·---·-·----··----··-····--···-··----··---512 423 + 21 PRODUCTS 269 L ettuce ---····--····--------··---·---·--·-····-····-1,311 1,156 + 13------------------309 380 -29 -13 Onions ------···-·--···-··-----···········--······-6,524 6,583 -1 Meat animals -·-····-·····-·······--264 334 482 -45 -21 Potatoes ----···--···-·--···-··-·····--····-··---·--66 94 -30 Dairy products ---------------242 254 271 -11 5 Poultry and eggs 251 258 204 Spinach -------··-·--·-·-··--·-······-·---1,009 1,074 -6 ---------------- + 28 3 404 891 366 Tomatoes -----·-·-·-·-·-···-·--·--·--·····-4,254 4,175 + 2 Wool ···---·--··-···---··-·-···--·--·-···· + 10 + 8 Mixed vegetables ·-··-·····-··-···-··--···-···-·-··· 5,027 6,495 -85 of normal as a result of unfavorable weather. In other areas, lack of rainfall parched large acreages of vege· tables, especially watermelons and peppers. In the Pan­handle the season's potato yield was sharply cut by disease. But early July rains did benefit vegetable fields in Central and South Texas. Fall in agricultural prices. Prices received by farm· ers during June averaged 6% under those of the pre· ceding month and 22% under those received in June 1952. The sharp May-June drop was largely a result of an overall 13 % decrease in prices of livestock and products. Crops changed little in value, rising to about 1 % above the May level. RAYMOND v. LESIKAR TEXAS WATER RESOURCES: I 1953-YEAR OF THE DROUTH Drifts of sand and topsoil blocking the highways pro· vided daily work for bulldozer crews from Lubbock to Lamesa. And southwest of Lubbock, a baby dust bowl stretched across the High Plains and far into New Mexico. Section crews on West Texas railroads had to shovel sand off their track to keep the lines clear for emergency ship· ments of grain and feed. After nearly four years of drouth, some areas of Texas reached what seemed a breaking point in June and July. In spots, conditions appeared to be the disheartening equal of the Dust Bowl drouth of the 1930's. The causes were similar; scant, ineffective rainfall; scorching heat; high winds that dug into every acre of uncovered ground; and continued efforts to cultivate lands that in many cases should never have been plowed. The breaking point, however, has not come, nor is there much indication that it will. Improved methods of dry· crop farming, the spread of irrigation, experience gained in the last great drouth, and above all the much higher economic stability of the state and nation have kept what might have been a major agricultural crash from being anything worse than a painful adjustment. Many farmers have been obliged to move to town in search of nonagri· cultural work. But the employment market they are enter· ing is a relatively active one, far from the jobless depres­sion that bankrupt Dust Bowl farmers faced twenty years ago. The map on this page shows the shaded, western half of Texas, 128 counties officially designated as drouth disaster area by Governor Allan Shivers. In some of these counties, the 1953 crop of grass withered and died before it was well out of the ground. And around Lub· bock, Del Rio, and Falfurrias, these conditions have pre· vailed with little natural relief for 45 months. Late in June, agricultural experts set July 20 as the deadline for cotton planting, provided some rain had fallen by that time. Early July showers scattered across most of the state promised that the late planting might be justified. But the promise was broken. In temperatures above 100°, half the sparse rain that did fall evaporated at once, and much of the rest ran off the hard crust of earth. Now High Plains cotton growers face their third year of ruined crops. Unless August brings a fair quota of rainfall, fields of grain sorghum, planted in desperate attempt to hold the soil in place, will also fail. During the days of the 1930 Dust Bowl, most of the hardest hit drouth area of 1953 suffered little, for it was unplowed grassland at that time, and the grass cover held soil in place. High rainfall and high prices during the 1940's were the factors that stimulated cultivation of the dry High Plains. In many cases, one bumper crop repaid farmers the low original cost of their land. Cotton and grain sorghum rose in green opulence. Then the rains stopped, and with them the brief prosperity. The black blot on the accompanying map indicates the region where wind has reportedly done the most drastic damage. And that damage may be only a token of what is to come, for October is the windiest season in this windy area, and unless rains fall by then, the blown region may spread as sharp sand, driven from field to field, blasts the cover of vegetation from lands that now have some natural protection. It remains to be seen what August and September may bring. A late summer heat wave, almost a yearly event even in better times, could undo the slight good that July rains did some regions. Farmers in the rainiest spots have complained that July torrents eroded their fields severely, or that their oncoming crops of grain sorghum will bring them little cash income. But their neighbors who have had no rain at all are almost beyond complaining. R.H.R. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION By the last, torrid week in June, production of elec· tric power across the nation had reached a new high. Unusually heavy demands on Texas air-conditioning and water-pumping equipment combined with the increasing industrial power consumption to help raise total power use to its highest recorded level, 7.49 times as great as during the 1935-39 prewar period. The Texas electric power indexes are computed by the Bureau of Business Research from reports that include the major portion of the Texas electric utility business, and the nearly constant rise in these indexes is one of Industrial Electric Power Use in Texas Index • Adjusted for seasonal variation • 1935-1939 • 100 PETROLEUM AND GAS ACTIVITY Source : State Comptroller of Public Accounts and Oil and Gas Divl•ion, Railroad Commission of Texas Percent change Product June 1953 May 1953 .Tune 1952 .Tune 1953 .Tune 1953 from from .Tune 1952 May 1953 CARBON BLACK PRODUCED (value in thous of dols) .. 1,855 2,920 5,138 -64 -36 CRUDE OIL Value (thous of dols) .... 209,879 213,907 157,175 + 34 -2 Production (thous of bbls) ----··············-··--80,732 82,745 60,820 + 33 -2 Ru ns to stills (thous of bbls) -········ 61,109 62,291 56,699 8 -2 + NATURAL AND 100 "'" "") v v h,,-J 100 ,_ ,,.,., -.J~ . ,,/ .zoI _,,,.; f-.r"' " .100 I 800 600 500 400 300 200 100 mt tw:i 1941 m2 m J 1gu 1945 1946 190 1948 ms m o 19s1 1ss2 1953 ELECTRIC POWER CONSUMPTION J anuary-June .Tune P ercent Use 1953 1953 1952 change Consumption (thous kw-hrs) TOTAL .................... 1,387,137 7,133,795 · 5,834,956 + 22 Commercial .................... 261,428 1,224,336 1,106,274 + 11 Indust rial ---···················· 616,679 3,456,201 2,796,771 + 24 Residential ...................... 222,695 1,089,448 934,339 + 17 Other ······-·······-················ 286,335 1,363,808 997,572 + 37 •Prepared from reports of 10 electric power companies to the Bureau of Bus iness Research. the most revealing measures of growth and moderniza­tion in Texas homes, businesses, and factories. It is oh· vious from other statistical series that even though Texas industries have grown tremendously since the prewar years, their output is not 525% greater than it was then, although their consumption of electric power is. The explanation lies partly in the greater use of elec· tricity per unit of product. Many manufacturers have installed more efficient, electrified equipment to turn out their products at lower cost; some have moved into streamlined, windowless buildings provided with high· CASINGHEAD GAS PRODUCE'D (Value in thous of dols) .. 32,271 32,923 24,966 + 29 ­ and by other factors. The longer-term increment to the electric power load is reflected in gains of 11 % for com­mercial use and 17% for residential use in the com· parison of January-June 1952 with the first half of this year. In an expanding economy like that 0£ Texas, it is difficult or impossible to separate the long-term trends of industrialization, population growth, and technologi· cal change from the month-to-month fluctuations that may superficially suggest, for example, that in the Texas industrial world, June 1953 was a 16% better month than May. With the speed-up in industrial activity has come a related increase in manufacturing employment. The aver· age for the first half of this year, 437,200, is more than 4% up from the January-June 1952 level. And in cer· tain industries the payrolls have grown even more strikingly. Texas primary metals plants, for instance, em· ployed 32% more workers this June than last; electric equipment manufacturers employed 19% more, metal fabricators 12% more, and chemical producers 9% more. During the second quarter of the year, industrial prices throughout the nation rose an average of less than 1 %. While no industrial price index is available for Texas alone, it is likely that the state ran somewhat ahead of the national increase. Crude petroleum, top Texas commodity, was up 25.5 cents a barrel in price (the first oil price rise in over five years) ; and Alcoa Crude Petroleum Production wattage lighting and cooling facilities. In addition, cer· Index • Adjusted for seasonal variation • 1935-1939 • 100 tain manufactures that require enormous amounts of power 250 (e.g. aluminum refining) have only recently been estah· m 225 lished in Texas. Today, residential and commercial use of electricity in 175 Texas registers an exaggerated "thermometer effect." It might be expected that these classes of power consump· llO 150 tion would rise rather sharply with the opening of the 125 125 air-conditioning season. But the increases scored this year IOO from May to June ( +26% for commercial; +28% for 75 residential) were apparently distorted by the widespread installation of new air-conditioning and ventilating units 50 WELL COMPLETIONS REFINERY STOCKS Source: The Oil ""d Gaa J+------$ 18,961 -11 + 1 Bank debits (thousands ) -----------------------$ 2,933 -7 + 9 Annual rate of deposit turnover__ ___________ _ 12.7 7 0 + End-of-month deposits (thousands>+-----$ 4,240 -17 + 2 Air express shipments -----------------------------­143 -24 -14 Annual rate of deposit turnover__________:__ 8.4 + 11 9 Telephones in service -----------------------·--­10,099 + 13 + Tourists entering Mexico ----------------------11,198 -21 + 24 Tourist cars entering Mexico.................... 4,143 -12 + 43 MARSHALL: (pop. 22,327) Retail sales ------------------------------------------------+ 5 -9 Department and apparel stores____ ________ LLANO: (pop. 2,954) + 10 + 7 Postal receipts ------------------------------$ 1,682 -4 + 7 Postal receipts -------------------------------------------$ 15,675 + 11 -14 Value of building permits _________________ ___ ____$ 9,000 -24 -31 Value of building permits _______________________$ 154,446 + 73 + 49 Bank debits (thousands) -----------------------$ 2,115 -19 -10 Bank debits (thousands ) -------------------------$ 14,673 + 15 + 8 End-of-month deposits (thousands)+------$ 3,497 -1 x End-of-month deposits (thousands) i - ----$ 20,109 + 5 x Annual rate of deposit turnover____________ _ 7.3 -17 -12 Annual rate of deposit turnover______________ 8.8 + 9 + 10 Telephones in services -------------------------------8,301 + 4 LOCKHART: (pop. 5,573) Postal receipts ---------------------------------------$ 2,861 + 5 + 14 MERCEDES: (pop. I0,081) Value of building permits ____________________ __ $ 15,850 -71 + 89 Bank debits (thousands) __________________________$ + Postal receipts -----------------------------------------$ 4,363 3 -1 2,646 -2 -13 Value of building peTmits ------------------------$ 2,650 + 175 + 919 End-of-month deposits (thousands)+------$ 4,459 + 7 -1 Bank debits (thousands) __________________________ $ 6,531 6 6 Annual rate of deposit turnover.............. 7.1 -13 -10 + End-of-month deposits (thousands) i ______$ 5,728 Annual rate of deposit turnover___________ _ 13.4 0 7 LONGVIEW: (pop. 24,502) + Postal receipts -------------------------------------------$ 27,605 + 6 + 15 Value of building permits _______________________$ 337,882 -34 3 MIDLAND: (pop. 21,713) Bank debits (thousands) --------------------------$ 32,847 + 2 + 1 Postal receipts ------------------------------------------$ 41,072 + 12 + 7 Value of building permits ________________________ $ End-of-month deposits (thousands)+------$ 36,676 + 6 + 3 567,509 3 + 61 Annual rate of deposit turnover.............. 10.9 -1 + Bank debits (thousands) ------------------------$ 49,103 4 Air express shipments ----------------------------­175 + 42 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t -----$ 62,626 + 4 + 3 Annual rate of deposit turnover______________ Telephones in service -------------------------------12,588 + 7 9.5 9 -5 Air express shipments ------------------------------­159 -13 -15 Telephones in service -----------------------------17,671 + 18 LUBBOCK: (pop. 71,747) Retail sales -----------------------------------------------+ 10 -14 Automotive stores --------------·------------··---+ 16 MONAHANS: (pop. 6,3ll) -1() Department and apparel stores___________ _ x -21 Postal receipts ----------------------------------------$ 4,654 -3 + 11 Furniture and household Value of building permits _____________ _________$ 51,235 + 138 + 23 appliance stores ------·-----------·---------­+ 46 -7 Bank debits (thousands) ------------------------$ 6,122 + 8 + 3 General merchandise stores -------------·--­x -23 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ------$ 6,163 + 4 + 7 Lumber, building material, Annual rate of deposit turnover______________ 12.S 4 + + and hardware stores ---···----···-----·------­+ 10 -7 Postal receipts ------------------------------------------$ 78,745 + 5 + 6 Value of building permits ------------------------$ 1,323,093 + 14 + 11 NACOGDOCHES: (pop. 12,327)Bank debits (thousands) ------------------------- $ 95,929 + 3 + 1 Postal receipts -------------------------------------------$ 8,795 + 8 + 10 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ------$ 82,507 6 2+ Value of building permits ------------------------$ 40,900 +25(} + 962Annual rate of deposit turnover____________ 14.2 9 2 + + Bank debits (thousands ) -------------------------$ 9,431 2 + 6 Employment --------------------------------------------32,950 + 8 0 End-of-month deposits (thousands ) +------$ 14,493 -3 -3Manufacturing employment -----------------3,430 + 7 1 Annual rate of deposit turnover_________ ___ 7.7 1 + 8 Percent of labor force unemployed__ __ _____ 6.3 + 26 + 80 ­Air express shipments ----------------------------14 + 52 + 40 Air express shipments ···----------··---·····----· 721 + 135 -6 Telephones in service -·--··-------------·--·-··--33,357 8 + For explanation of symbols, see page 23. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW LOCAL BUSINESS CONDITIONS Percent chanire Percent change Jan-June 1953 June 1953 Jan-June 1953 June 1953 June from from June from from City and item 1953 Jan-June 1952 May 1953 City and item 1953 Jan-June 19.52 May 1953 NEW BRAUNFELS: (pop. 12,210) PALESTINE: (pop.12,503) Department and apparel stores sales____ + 2 -17 Postal receipts -----------------------------------------$ 8,790 x -12 Postal receipts -----------------------------------------$ 10,791 + 4 + 9 Value of building permits ------------------------$ 83,585 + 28 -35 Value of building permits ----------------------$ 103,450 -27 + 30 Bank debits (thousands) -----------------$ 6,415 4 + 29 Bank debits (thousands) ---------------------$ 7,151 -13 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t-----$ 12,422 + 4 -2 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t-----$ 10,049 + 22 + 30 Annual rate of deposit turnover___________ 6.1 7 Annual rate of deposit turnover____________ 9.4 -13 PHARR: (pop. 8,690) ODESSA: (pop. 29,495) Postal receipts -------------------------$ 4,044 + 1 + 15 Value of building permits _______________ $ 39,327 + 20 +649 Retail sales ----------------------------+ 12 + 6 Department and apparel stores_________ _ Bank debits (thousands) -----------------$ 2,467 -9 -15 -10 7 End-of-month depoiilts (thousands) L ----$ 3,375 + 15 + 10 Postal receipts -------------------------------------------$ 30,484 + 2 6 Annual rate of deposit turnover____________ 9.2 -18 -16Value of building permits ------------------------$ 1,350,675 -21 + 52 Bank debits (thousands ) -----------------------$ 34,736 -13 2 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t------$ 32,630 -13 + RAYMONDVILLE: (pop. 9,136) Annual rate of deposit turnover_____________ 12.7 -2 2 Postal receipts ------- --------------------------$ 4,878 -2 -4 Air express shipments --------------------------138 -27 + 3 Value of building permits ----------------------$ 2,800 -52 -75 Bank debits (thousands) ----------- ----------$ 5,847 -13 + 62 End-of-month deposits (thousands)t_____$ 8,601 ORANGE: (pop. 21,174) -9 + 15 Annual rate of deposit turnover____________ 8.7 -3 + 53Retail sales --------------------------------+ 18 -17 Telephones In service ------------------------1,718 + 15Postal receipts --------------------------- --------$ 13,597 + 1 + 9 Value of building permits -----------------------$ 510,112 +163 +184 Bank debits (thousands) ________________ _______ 20,403 $ + 13 + 22 ROCKDALE: (pop. 2,321) End-of-month deposits (thousands) t------$ 24,258 -7 + 2 Annual rate of deposit turnover_____________ 10.2 + 22 + 19 Postal receipts ----------------------------$ 2,888 + 12 -2 Value of building permits _________________$ 39,505 -11 -55 Telephones in service ---------------------------10,896 + 7 Bank debits (thousands) ---------------$ 3,694 + 84 + 19 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t------$ 3,675 + 30 + 13 Annual rate of deposit turnover________ PARIS: (pop. 21,643) 12.8 + 3 + 8 Retail sales ------------------------------------+11 -16 Department and apparel stores____________ -3 -18 SAN ANGELO: (pop. 52,093) Postal receipts -----------------------------------------$ 12,292 x -9 Retail sales ----------------------------9 + 3 Value of building permits -----------------------$ 62,219 + 49 +125 Department and apparel storefi__________ 7 -14 Bank debits (thousands ) --------------------------$ 11,314 6 + 6 Postal receipts -----------------------------$ 42,850 2 -1 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t------$ 14,161 -5 + 3 Annual rate of deposit turnover__ ____________ 9.7 -1 + 5 Value of building permits ---------------------$ 499,674 -34 -19 Bank debits (thousands) ----------------------$ 39,756 9 Air express shipments ---------------------------­33 + 52 -52 + End-of-month deposits (thousands) t-----$ 45,271 x Telephones in service -----------------------------·--7,435 + 2 Annual rate of deposit turnover__________ 10.6 0 + 9 Employment -------------------------------21,350 6 x PLAINVIEW: (pop. 14,044) Manufacturing employment ---------------2,230 + 6 + Percent of labor force unemployed_________ 4.9 7 + 7 -20 Retail sales ----------------------------10 + Department and apparel stores____________ Air express 1hipments --------------------241 6 2 Postal receipts ------------------------ -----------------$ 14,841 + 1 + 80 Value of building permits _____________________ $ 79,800 + 17 -52 SAN ANTONIO: (pop. 408,442) Bank debits (thousands ) ----------------------$ 12,708 -7 8 8 Retail sales• --------------­+ End-of-month deposits (thousands) t----$ 20,333 + -3 -------4 -5 Annual rate of deposit turnover_____________ 7.4 -13 -4 Apparel stores• ---------------------------­-1 -16 Automotive stores• ---------------------------­+ 89 Air express shipments -----·--·----------·-----­40 + 15 +11 Department store salest -------------------­xTelephones in service ----------------------6,020 + 7 Drug stores• ------------­+ 8 Eating and drinking places• -------------­8 4 PORT ARTHUR: (pop. 57,530) Filling stations• ---------------------------2 + 4 Retail sales•--------------------­+ 12 x Food stores• -------------------------------2 Furniture and household Automotive stores• -----····-----------------+ 30 4 Department and apparel stores___________ -15 -11 appliance stores• -----------------­-10 + Lumber, building material, Drug stores• --------------------------+ 5 -10 Eating and drinking places• ---------­+ 30 and hardware storefi• -------------­-9 + 5 Office, store, and school Filling stations• --------------------------9 4 8 9 --------------------­ Furniture and household Postal receipts -------------------------$ 442,350 + 2 ·4 appliance stores• --------------------------­+ 22 Value of building permits --------------$ 4,412,066 + 44 -19 Lumber, building material, Bank debits (thousands) ---~-------$ 405,776 + 7 + 4 End-of-month deposits (thousandsH-----$ 325,839 -10 + 4 Food stores• ---------------------------------------+ 7 supply dealers• + 36 and hardware stores• -------------------+ 8 + 16 Annual rate of deposit turnover___________ 15.2 + 19 + 8 Posta! receipts ------------------------------------$ 33,679 + 5 -2 x Value of building permits -------------------$ 372,938 + 12 + 74 Employment ----------------------------193,400 + 2 50,967 + 12 + 11 Bank debits (thousands) ______________________$ Manufacturing -employment --------------21,940 x x Percent of labor force unemployed______ 5.2 + 49 End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ------S 36,912 -10 -2 + 24 Annual rate of deposit turnover_______ __ 16.4 + 24 + 13 Air express shipments ----------------­1,966 9 -16 124 6 Telephones In eervlce --------------------156,862 + 8 Air express shipments -····-------------------­+ + 18 Telephones in service --·------..·------------·--28,600 + 4 J'or uplanatlon of 171Dbola, 1ee pas• ZS. LOCAL BUSINESS CONDITIONS Percent change P ercent change Jan-June 1953 June 1953 Jan-June 1953 J une 1958 June from from June from from City and item 1953 Jan-June 1952 May 1953 City and item 1953 J an-June 1952 May 1953 SAN MARCOS: (pop. 9,980) TEXARKANA: (pop. 40, 628) § Postal receipts -----­-------­------------­---­$ 10,099 + 7 + 6 Retail sales§ ----­-------------­---------------------­ + 4 + 4 Value of building permits ----­----------------­-$ Bank debits (thousands) ______________$ 765,751 4,922 -11 1 +soi + 4 Postal receipts§ -------­------­-----------------------$ Vslue of building permits§ ------­-----------$ 41,749 144,944 + 1 + 48 -11 + 35 End-of-month deposits (thousands) ______$ 7,752 2 x Bank debits (thousands) § ---------------$ 41,500 + 6 + 6 Annual rate of deposit turnover____________ 7.6 + + 7 End-of-month deposits (thousands) j _____$ 19,302 -12 + 1 Annual rate of deposit turnover______________ 11.8 + 20 + 9 SEGUIN: (pop. 9,733) Air express shipments§ ---------­------­---------­Telephones in service§ ----------­-----------­-----­ 95 15,419 -6 + 10 + 16 Postal receipts ----­----- ----­-----------------$ 8,812 + 10 + 17 Value of building permits -------­-----------­-$ Bank debits (thousands) ________ ________ $ 113,580 6,352 + 7 -11 +sos + 3 WACO: (pop. 84,706) End-of-month deposits (thousands) t------$ Annual rate of deposit turnover________ 15,362 5.0 + 6 -29 2 + 4 Retail sales ------­-----------­-------------------­Apparel stores ---­-----­---­----­----------­----­ + - 4 6 + - 1 21 Automotive stores ----­----------------­---­ + 14 + 10 SHERMAN: (pop. 20,150) Retail sales ---­---­--­-------------­--­-------­- + 9 + 4 Department store salest -------­----------­Florists -----­-------------------------­Furniture and household + 1 + 7 + 62 -48 Department and apparel stores________ ____ Postal receipts --------------------­----­----­---$ Value of building permits ---------­------­--­--$ Bank debits (thousands) ----------­--$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) j ___ __ $ Annual rate of deposit turnover__________ 21,560 162,862 23,997 15,028 19.7 + 7 + 3 + 50 + 7 + 2 + 6 7 + 4 + 99 + 11 + 6 + 8 appliance stores --------------------------­Lumber, building material, and hardware stores --------­-------­-----­Postal receipts -----­-----------------------­$ 96,180 Value of building permits----­-------------------$' 1,225,140 Bank debits (thousands) ---------------$ 78,490 -16 + 9 + 5 -25 + 11 + 94 + 15 -3 + 40 + 22 End-of-month deposits (thousands)+---$ 61,574 -21 + 4 SULPHUR SPRINGS: (pop. 8,991) Postal receipts ----­-----­--------­-------$· Value of building permits -------­--­-------$ Bank debits (thousands) ----­----­-------$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) t ----S Annual rate of deposit turnover___________ 4,999 13,000 5,913 10,394 7.0 + 3 6 x 5 -4 -52 + 9 + 6 + 8 Annual rate of deposit turnover_____ ________ Employment ------­-------­----------­------­Manufacturing employment ---------­Percent of labor force unemployed_______ Air express shipments ------------------­----­Telephones in service --­-------------------­ 15.6 42,700 7,340 6.4 132 38,614 + 41 -8 -3 + 34 2 + 10 + 18 + 3 + 7 -12 -20 Telephones in service ----­------------­----­-­ 2,640 + 4 WAXAHACIDE: (pop. 11,204) SWEETWATER: (pop. 13,619) Retail sales -----­----------­---­---­Department and apparel stores____________ Postal receipts -----------------'-­--­--------­-------$ Value of building permits -----------­----­-----$ 9,667 35,550 -16 -10 -1 -74 -13 -13 -33 -26 Postal receipts --­-------­----------------$ Vslue of building permits -----------------­---$ Bank debits (thousands) -----------------------$ End-of-month deposits (thousands)+------$ Annual rate of deposit turnover____________ 5,272 70,487 3,757 3,686 13.5 + 8 + 30 1 + -44 + 24 + 17 + 23 + 13 Air express shipments ------­---­-----------------­ 13 -29 -28 Telephones in service ---­--­------­------·-­---­ 4,618 + 2 TYLER: (pop. 38,968) TAYLOR: (pop. 9,071) Postal receipts -----------­-------­·-------­-----­$ Value of building permits --------­--------------$ 47,166 743,490 + 19 + 169 -23 -60 Postal receipts -------­--------------­-------­-----$ Value of building permits ----------­--$ Bank debits (thousands) ---------------$ 6,222 46,802 9,937 + 2 + 49 -8 x -78 + 6 Bank debits (thousands) -------­---------­$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) t­-----$ Annual rate of deposit turnover____________ 56,666 53,183 12.8 + 8 + 2 + 6 + 4 x + 6 End-of-month deposits (thousandslt---$ 13,560 + 7 2 Air express shipments --------------­---------­ 238 + 31 + Annual rate of deposit turnover____________ 8.7 - 12 + 7 Telephones in service ---------------­---------­ 20,067 + 4 TEMPLE: (pop. 25,467)Retail sales _ ________________:____ _ _______ Department and apparel stores_______ -5 -12 5 2 WICIDTA FALLS: (pop. 68,042) Retail sales ---------------------------------­Department and apparel stores___________ + 4 7 -3 -22 Postal receipts ---------------------------­$ Value of building permits --­--­--------$ 22,271 16•,162 + 5 -38 7 +190 Postal receipts --------------------------------------$ Vslue of building permits ______________________$ 87,568 565,250 + 5 -63 + 13 -32 Bank debits (thousands) ---­----­---$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) t­--$ Annual rate of deposit turnover___________ 15,760 22,726 8.6 2 + 1 -2 + 2 + 7 + 1 Bank debits (thousands ) --------------------­$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) +------$ Annual rate of deposit turnover______________ 82,773 98,440 10.3 + 4 + 4 + 4 + 3 Air express shipments -------­-------------­---­Telephones in service --­------­--------­-­42 10,111 TEXAS CITY: (pop. 16,620) -15 + 6 2 Employment -----------­------­---------------­---­Manufacturing employment ---------------­Percent of labor force unemployed ---------­Air express shipments -----­-----------------------­Telephones in service --------­----------------------­ 39,650 3,880 4.4 389 32,740 1 + 13 + 36 + 74 + 15 0 2 + 2 Retail sales ----­---------­---­------­--­ + 19 2 Department and apparel stores____ ______ Postal receipts ---------------------------------------$ Value of building permits ------------­---------­$ Bank debits (thousands) ---------­------------$ End-of-month deposits (thousands) L ----$ Annual rate of deposit turnover_____________ 18,942 689,039 27,941 27,001 12.4 + 15 + 18 + 10 + 23 + 24 0 + 1 + 4 + 98 + 3 x + 2 xChange is less than one half of one percent . •Preliminary. tReported by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. ;Excludes deposits to credit of banks. §Fi&'ures include Texarkana, Arkansas (pop. 15,875) Texa1 (pop. 24,753) . and Texarkana, 24. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW BAROMETERS OF TEXAS BUSINESS Year-to-date Average June May Apr average month 1953 1953 1963 1953 1962 GENERAL BUSINESS ACTIVITY tlndex of Texas Business Activity (100.0) _________ ___ ___ ___ ___ _______ ____ ___ _ Index of bank debits________________________________________ 297* 708 291* 695 294 706 295 697 268 664 Index of wholesale prices in the U.S. (1947-49=100, unadjusted) ...... . Ulndex of consumers' prices in Houston (1947-49=100, unadjusted) ­--­Index of consumers' prices in the U.S. (1947-49=100, unadjttsted) ....... . Index of postal receipts·-·-----····-­-----­----------···· t Index of miscellaneous freight carloadings in the Southwestern Dis­trict (17.6) ------·-··--··-·····-········-·············-· ···········­-···-········· ··--·· ·· ·······-·······--·-··-· Business corporation charters issued (number) ····························--··--··-·--··-· Business failures (number) ·····················-······················-·········-·············-··-··-­ 109.4 114.5 415 145 277* 13 109.8 116.8 114.0 404 143 344 12 109,4 113.7 401 145 357 13 109.7 116.5 113,9 398 144 329 13 111.6 115.4 113.5 382 144 278 8 fRADE tlndex of total retail sales (adjusted for price changes, 47.7) ..... . ............ . Index of total retail sales _______________________________________ _ 251* 520 246 510 248 514 249 517 229 481 Durable-goods stores ·········--­···-··­··········· ·······-············ ··--····-······-················ Nondurable-goods stores ·····--·-···-···--·······················-·-··· ·-·····-·· ················­tindex of total retail sales in the U.S.................. ..................... ............... ........ . 717 425 696 419 448 739 406 443 722 418 446 653 398 424 Durable-goods stores_______ _____ Nondurable-goods stores ________________________ 647 383 645 377 650 379 582 372 Ratio of credit sales to net sales in department and apparel stores ..... 63.9 65.6 63.6 64.1 63.7 Ratio of collections to outstandings in department and apparel stores. 38. 1 39.0 40.0 41.3 44.4 PRODUCTION tlndex of industrial electric power consumption (14.8) _ ............................ 625 625 627 634 536 t Index of crude runs to stills ( 4.5 ).. ............................................................... . 220 222 229 224 209 Index of wheat grindings ................... .. ............. ......... ______ _____ ........................ ··-· 99 110 101 99 Index of cottonseed crushed ...... -----··----·············· ··········----· ····· ····--· ·--··············--· 212 183 203 126 Index of southern pine production (unadjusted) ....................................... . Index of dairy product manufacturing ________________ 63 127 70 139 77 128 72 123 49 tlndex of urban building permits (adjusted for price changes, 3.8) ...... . 212• 191* 210 203 190 Index of urban building permits ....... .......... ......... ........................................... . 463 417 458 441 399 tlndex of crude petroleum production (8.6) ................................................ .. 222 211 216 225 232 tlndex of total electric power consumption (3.0) ................................ .......... 749 678 686 680 594 Index of industrial production in the U.S .. ..................................... ............. . 241 * 24f" 241 240 219 Index of cement production ........................ ........... .......................................... . 330 332 329 325 Construction contracts awarded (thousands) ................................ ............... . s 89,957 $130,338 8112,277 $100,422 $111,344 AGRICULTURE Index of farm cash income (unadjusted) ..................................................... . 291 312 314 309 506 Index of prices received by farmers (unadjusted).................................... .. 264 280 279 281 332 Index of prices paid by farmers in the U.S. (parity index-unadjusted, 1910-14=100) ............................................. .................................................. . 275 279 279 279 288 Parity ratio ---­--­---····-····-------------------------------­Index of prices received by farmers-livestock (unadjusted, 1910-14= 104 100 100 102 116 100) ................... ................................... ............................................................. . 269 309 311 312 371 Index of prices received by farmers-all crops (unadjusted, 1910-14= 100) ............................................................. ..................................................... . 260 257 255 258 303 FINANCE Loans, reporting member banks in Dallas district (millions) .................. $ 1,759 $ 1,761 $ 1,781 $ 1,763 $ 1,609 Loans and investments, reporting member banks in Dallas district (millions) ................... ................................ .................................................... . $ 3,103 $ 3,039 $ 3,071 $ 3,095 $ 2,999 Demand deposits adjusted, reporting member banks in Dallas district (millions) .. ..................................... .. .............................................................. . Bank debits in 20 cities (millions) .......................................................... .. .... Revenue receipts of the State Comptroller (thousands) ........................... . $ 2,410 $ 5,718 $ 69,068 $ 2,442 $ 5,377 $ 68,027 $ 2,448 $ 5,511 $ 84,614 $ 2,447 $ 5,538 $ 64,724 $ 2,385 $ 5,382 $ 58,076 Federal Internal Revenue collections (thousands) ....... .. .................. . $249,509 $171 ,596 $153,695 $232,144 $188,187 LABOR Total nonagricultural employment (thousands) ........ ................................. . Total manufacturing employment (thousands) ................................. . Durable-goods employment (thousands) ........................... .......... . Nondurable·goods employment (thousands) ......................... ...... . 2,281.5* 437.2* 207,9* 229.3* 2,267.9 437.5 207.0 230.5 2,268.2 437.1 207.9 229.2 2,259.0 437.2 206.9 230.3 2,215.2 425.9 203.3 222.6 All figures are for Texas unless otherwise indicated. All indexes are based on the averaire months for 1936-39 except where Indicated and are adjusted for seasonal variation (except annual indexes) . Manufacturing employment estimates have been adjusted to first quarter 1962 benchmarks. •Preliminary. tThe index of business activity is a weighted average of the index"9 Indicated by a dagger (t). The weight &inn each Index In computlnir the composite is given in parentbesee. tNew series. Index computed from estimates of retail sales published by Bureau o! the Cenaus. Vlndex computed for February, May, August, and November only.