I~ 10 5 5 10 15 20 TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW A MONTHLY SUMMARY OF BUSINESS AND ECONOMIC CONDITIONS IN TEXAS BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH COLLEGE OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION THE UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS VOL. XX, NO. 11 December 1946 HIGHLIGHTS OF TEXAS BUSINESS PERCENT DECREASE PERCENT INCREASE NOVEMBER 1946 COMPARED 20 WITH NOVEMBER 1945 Life insurance sales______________ --------__ Farm cash income________________________ ------­Construction contracts_______________________ _ Crude petroleum production _____________ _ Cotton consumption ____________ --------·--·· Bank debits ----···· -----··----------··----·-········ Pay rolls ·-------------------------------------···-···· Retail sales ········---·······-------····------····· -· Electric power consumption ____ ________ ___ Employment ___________ __ ---------·····----------­ Postal receipts ········---------------------------· NOVEMBER 1946 COMPARED WITH OCTOBER 1946 Farm cash income_______________________________ _ Postal receipts ----········----·--·--···------·---· Construction contracts_______________________ _ Cotton consumption ___________________________ _ Bank debits -----------------------------------------· Retail sales ------------------------------------····-­Employment ····------------····-----···--······---· Pay rolls -----------------------------------····-·····­ Crude petroleum production _____________ _ Life insurance sales -------------------···· --­Electric power consumption _______________ _ PERCENT DECREASE PERCENT INCREASE 15 10 5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 ONE DOLLAR PER YEAR TEN CENTS PER COPY FIGURES FOR TH~ MONTH INDEX OF TEXAS BUSINESS ACTIVITY (1935-39=100) *...... Index of department and apparel store sales (10) _______ _______________________________ ____ Index of miscellaneous freight carloadings in Southwestern District (20) --------------­Index of crude oil runs to stills (5) -----------------------------------------------------------­Index of electric power consumption ( 15) -----------------------------------------------------------­Index of employment (25) --------------------------------------------------­Index of pay rolls (25) --------------------------------------------------­ TRADE Retail sales of 1,230 independent stores------------------------------------------------------------------------------­ Ratio of credit sales to net sales in department and apparel stores__________________ ___ _ _ Ratio of collections to outstandings in department and apparel stores_________ ____ _ _ _ Advertising lineage in 31 newspapers--------------------------------------------------------------------------------­Postal receipts in 57 cities --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------­ PRODUCTION Industrial t;l.ectric p,awer consumption for 10 companies (thousands of kilowatt hours) Man-hours worked 439 manufacturing establishments___________________________________________________ _ _ Crude oil runs to stills (42-gallon barrels) _____________________________ _______ Gasoline stocks at refineries (thousands of barrels) _ ____ __________________________________________________ _ Fuel oil stocks at refineries (thousands of barrels)-----------------------------------------------------­ Cotton consumption (running bales) -------------------------------------------------------­ Cotton !inters consumed (running bales) ____ _____________________________________ _ _____ Cottonseed crushed (tons) __ _________ _________:______________________________________ _________ _ Manufacture of dairy products (1000 lbs. milk equivalent) ________________________________ ___ _ _ _ Lumber production in southern pine mills (weekly per unit average in board feet) _____ _ Construction contracts awarded ----------------------------------------------------------------------­ Co~st:uction C?nt~acts a~arded _f?r residential building_________________ _ ________________________ Bmldmg permits issued m 45 clties-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------­ Number of loans made by savings and loan associations________________ ____________________________ Amount of loans made by savings and loan associations_________________________________________ _______ Telephones in service (end of month> ---------------------------------------------------------~--------------------­ Crude petroleum production (daily average in barrels) ___________________ _ ________________________ AGRICULTURE Farm cash income--------------------------------------------------------------­. Shipments of livestock (carloads) ---------------------------------------------------------------­Rail shipments of poultry (carloads) ----------------------------------------------------------­Rail shipments of eggs (shell equivalent) -----------------------------------------------------------­Interstate receipts of eggs· at Texas stations (shell equivalent) -------------------------------------­ FINANCE Loans, reporting member banks in Dallas District (thousands)_________________________________ Loans and investments, reporting member banks in Dallas District (thousands) ----------­Demand deposits adjusted, reporting member banks in Dallas District (thousands) ______ Time deposits, reporting member banks in Dallas District (thousands) _____________________ Bank debits in 20 cities (thousands) -------------------------------------------------------­Corporation charters issued (number) -----------------------------------'-----------------------­Ordinary life insurance sales (thousands) --------------------------------------------------------------------------­ TRANSPORTATION Revenue freight loaded in Southwestern District (carloads) _ _________________________ _ Export and coastal cars unloaded at Texa5 ports---------'-----------------------------------­ Miscellaneous freight carloadings in Southwestern District (carloads) _________ _________________ Air express shipments (number) LABOR Total manufacturing employmenL---------------------------------------------------­Nonagricultural civilian labor force in 21 cities-----------------------------------------------------------------­Unemployment in 21 cities -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------­Placements in employment in 21 cities -------------------------------------------------------------------------------­ GOVERNMENT Cash receipts of State Comptroller ---------------------------------------------­Federal internal revenue collections ------------------------------­ N ov. 1946 187.2 310.9 137.4 144.8 258.2 119.7 211.2 $ .46,076,212 50.7% 67.6% 26,377,561 $ 2,593,819 230,845 3,031,337 40,455,329 17,361 20,435 18,715 2,262 122,861 55,954 184,563 $ 28,306,650 $ 10,087,860 $ 11,800,290 1,770 $ 6,510,612 782,038 2,085,550 ~135,557,000 10,262 300 73 85 $ 755,000 $ 1,942,000 $ 1,496,000 $ 316,000 $ 2,715,968 191 $ 57,868 271,513 13,547 163,383 24,790 328,900 1,312,303 73,077 23,439 $ 37,907,262 $ 49,207,316 Oct. 1946 178.4 288.5 128.6 150.7 244.6 115.1 205.1 $ 37,307,290 55.3% 65.6% 25,392,408 $ 2,928,605 237,809 2,920,291 43,358,000 16,131 19,978 21,649 1,720 103,705 77,088 191,564 $ 33,966,867 $ 12,650,662 $ 16,594,763 2,113 $ 8,062,675 771,987 2,050,850 $221,471,000 12,388 45 143 49 $ 730,000 $ 1,958,000 $ 1,479,000 $ 314,000 $ 2,764,661 263 $ 61,794 282,784 1,577 161,734 26,213 315,900 1,316,303 78,366 26,162 $ 33,064,201 $ 58,469,523 Nov. 1945 171.9 256.0 132.6 145.3 235.6 114.1 194.9 $ 45,136,286 39.9% 72.2% 22,781,904 $ 2,553,033 216,843 3,170,452 40,585,000 17,870 12,212 15,775 1,627 127,587 55,428 177,393 $ 28,928,431 $ 2,983,023 $ 13,255,753 1,744 $ 5,095,508 677,546 1,868,150 $149,259,000 11,736 389 76 110 $ 616,000 $ 2,069,000 $ 1,377,000 $ 279,000 $ 2,203,106 122 $ 38,462 278,012 10,424 158,145 16,956 312,200 1,262,009 80,168 20,753 $ 31,927,868 $ 51,946,343 *The composite index is made up of the indexes listed. All component indexes except employment and pay rolls . are adjusted for B!'8"onal variation, and all indexes are bas<;v.1946 establish­fre>m from ' ments Nov. !945 Oct. 1946 Business + 23.5 + 2.1 TOTAL ··············--·~··-----······················-1,230 ================= 8.5 1.4 APPAREL ----------------···-·······-··-· 158 + Family clothing ste>res .. --------···-· 33 + + 6.3 2.7 Men's and be>ys' clothing ste>res ... --57 + 13.8 + 1.7 Shoo ste>res ------------····--··-·······--·· 24: + 4.4 6.6 3.5 5.9 We>men's specialty shops ----·--44 + + nl.6 3.1 Motor vehicle dealers ···-····-····-····-· 8.1 AUTOMOTIVE• -··-····--·-·············---101 +n8.6 3.5 + 15.7 + 7.4 COUNTRY GENERAL ----··········-······· 76 + 22.9 8.9 DEPARTMENT STORES --·······--··-·-61 + 8.3 0.3 DRUG STORES -······-·····-····-··········-··· 116 + GENERAL MERCHANDISE ----·--· 43 + 4.7 0.5 1.3 -20.6 FILLING STATIONS ·---·······--·-··-43 8.7 + 10.9 +FLORISTS ···-··-:············-···------······· 26 + 3.6 FOOD• ··-···········----····-·-········-_:_____ 178 14.5 + Grocery ste>res (without meat) ···-· 47 + 13.9 + 1.1 Combinatio.n stores (gre>ceries and meats) ···-··-········:_----·········---95. Other grooery and ce>mbination stores ·······-····-··--····---------····--· 21 + + 15.1 2.2 FURNITURE AND HOUSEHOLD•.. 88 + 24.0 + 3.9 Furniture s~res ··------------------····· 77 + 19.5 + 5.0 -10.0 + 24.2 LUMBER, BUILDING, AND HARDWARE• ······--------------175 JEWELRY --·-···-····-·············--·········· 32 + 22.7 -10.6 Farm implement dealers .................. 19 + 38.5 9.5 + 22.1 4.0 Hardware ste>res ···-···-··········------52 ­Lumber and building · material dealers -------····-----------------98 + 18.6 -12.7 EATING AND DRINKING PLACES• 81 + 5.5 3.1 Restaurants ---····-·-·-···--·-······-···--59 + 6.6 -2.6 ALL OTHER STORES ------····· 52 + -5.9 2.7 •Total includes kinds e>f business e>ther than the classifications listed. (1935-39=100). The normal seasonal pattern for de­partment store sales is a decrease in November from October, due to the fact that November has 1 less ciay and in addition 2 holidays. This year, however, de­partment and apparel store sales increased 2.7%, which after adjustment for seasonal variation became an in­crease of 7.8%. In comparison with a year ago, the sales of all types of business showed increases except filling stations and jewelry stores, which had sales decreases of 1.3% and 10.0'/o, respectively. Sales for November increased over October in 8 of the 12 crop-reporting districts, and decreased in the other 4. For the East Texas Timbered Plains (District 5) the decrease was negligible ( 0.1 % ) , but for the Southern Texas Plains (District 8) it was 3.1 % , and for the Lower Rio Grande Valley (District 10-A) it was 9.6%. Every crop-reporting district reported an increase in sales over November 1945. The greatest increase was in the Trans-Pecos with 40.5%, and the smallest was in the Red Bed Plains (8.9%). The Southern High Plains reported sales 34.8% above November of last year, and the East Texas Timbered Plains reported 12.3%. The remaining crop-reporting districts showed increases over last year very near the average for the state as a whole. The cities with population over 100,000 reported the greatest increase in sales over October. The average increase for the group was 2.8%, with Houston well ahead of the other cities with 6.8%, San Antonio with 2.5%, Dallas with 2.0%, and Fort Worth with 1.1 %. The next largest gain was in the cities with popula­ tion between 50,000 and 100,000, which showed a 2.2% increase. Even more variation appeared in this group, with Galveston reporting an increase of 13.8~1o and Beaumont a decrease of 10.0%. Corpus Christi also showed a decrease from October (7.2%) . In the re­ maining cities of the group, sales increases were as fol­ lows: Amarillo 11.6%, El Paso 6.3%, Waco 5.7%, and Austin 4.7%. RETAIL SALES OF INDEPENDENT STORES BY DISTRICTS Source: Bureau of Business Research in co-operation with the Bureau of the Census, U. S. Department of Commerce Number ()f reporting establish- Percent change °Ne>v. 1946 Ne>v. 1946 from from District ments Nov. 1945 Oct. 1946 + 15.9 + 6.2 TOTAL --------·················-----·-·1,230 + 23.5 + 2.1 Northern High Plains (District 1-N) Southern High Plains (District 1-S) Red Bed Plains (District 2) ----··--·­Western Cross Timbers (District 8) 51 24 81 33 + 29.7 + 34.8 + 8.9 + 12.3 + + + 3.9 5.0 0.2 1.7 Black and Grand Prairies (District 4) 205 + 22.1 + 2.3 East Texas Timbered Plains (District 5) ----­-----------------------------­-----­--­Trans-Pecos (District 6l --·-····-·-······­Edwards ' P lateau (District 7l ----·····­Southern Texas Prairies (District 8) 329 36 44 166 + 17.0 + 40.5 + 12.9 + 28.2 I + + + 0.1 5.7 3.5 2.4 Coastal Prairies (District 9l -------··· Southern Texas P lains (District 10) 164 100 + 24.5 + 23.8 + 4.0 3.1 Lower Rio Grande Valley (District 10-A) ------------­---------­--------------­Not specified -----------------------­----­ 36 31 + 17.7 + 20.0 9.6 4.3 TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW In the cities of the 2,500 to 50,000 group a gain of 0.9% was registered between October and November. Separate tabulations were made for 7 individual cities in this group, with the following changes in sales: Abi­lene, up 2.0%; Lubbock up, 6.2%; Port Arthur, up 1.5%; Plainview, down 4.0%; Temple, up 4.8%; Tyler, up 6.0%; and Wichita Falls, up 0.3%. Reports were received from 206 communities with a population of less than 2,500. They reported a de­crease in November sales of 3.3%. In relation to November 1945, every population group and every individual city registered an increase. The greatest increase was in the second largest group (between 50,000 and 100,000 population) with the next largest gain in the over 100,000 population group. RETAIL SALES OF INDEPENDENT !TORES BY CITY-SIZE GROUPS AND CITIES Source: Bureau of Business Research in co-operation with the Bureau of the Census, U. S. Department of Commerce Number Percent change of reporting Nov. 1946 Nov. 1946. establish­ from from City-size group and city. ments Nov. 1945 Oct. 1946 TOTAL ---·---·-··--···--------------·-··--------·--=1=,2=30===+=====23.5 + ==2.1 = OVER 100,000 P PULATION_______ 350 + 22.3 2.8 + Dallas ···-------------········-·-··---····· .94 + 18.2 + 2.0 Fort Worth --------···-·-----···-· 111 + 24.1 + 1.1 Houston -------------------·-36 + 26.7 + 6.8 San Antonio ------------------·-------109 + 23.5 + 2.5 50,000-100,000 POPULATION ------1r,6 + 32.0 + 2.2 Amarillo -----·······---------···-----------19 + 24.9 + 11.6 Austin ----····-----······----···--------··· 29 + 45.4 + 4.7 Beaumont --------··--···-·····--······-····--·-47 + 16.2 -.10.0 Corpus Christi ------·-··-··-·------------· 22 + 46.1 -7.2 El Paso ···-····-·····-------···--·--------13 + 45.0 + 6.3 Galveston 9 + 15.1 + 13.8 Waco -------·--··-··----------------------··-· 26 + 15.7 + 5.7 2,500-50,000 POPULATION ----·-·--·--508 + 20.8 + 0.9 + 14.3 2.0~~~:::k -:::~L:==::::=::::::=:::::::~--=:::::: ~: + 41.4 + + 6.2 Port Arthur ------·--·------------· 38 + 16.1 + 1.5 Plainview ··-············---------------·····-···-9 + 49.4 4.0 Temple ··-------------···-21 + 13.1 + 4.8 Tyler ----···········-·---···---------·--·-····-······· 11 + 33.2 + 6.0 Wichita Falls -·-····-----------14 + 7.6 + 0.3 Other -----···---------------------····---------------381 + 19.6 0.4 UNDER 2,500 POPULATION_________ 206 .+ 16.7 3.3 The ratio of credit sales to net sales rose from 39.9% in November 1945, to 50.7% in November 1946 for the 39 stores reporting to the Bureau. This ratio has been substantially above the corresponding months of last year for all of 1946, even though controls over open account credit were retained until December of this year. With the modification of Regulation W, stores selling on open account no longer need to freeze an account that is not paid within 40 days. The ratio of collections to outstanding accounts re­ceivable was 67.6% in November, compared to 72.2% a year ago. The ratio of credit salaries to credit sales was down slightly from a year ago. Every city for which separate tabulations were made showed an increase in the ratio of credit sales to net sales, and every city except Bryan showed a decrease In the ratio of collections to accounts receivable out· standing. Every type of store also showed an increase m the ratio of credit sales to net sales. CREDIT RATIOS IN DEPARTMENT AND APPAREL STORES (in percent) Ratio of Ratio of Ratio of credit sales collections to credit salaries Number to net sales* outstandingst to credit salest of reporting Nov. Nov. Nov. Nov. N ov. Nov. Classification stores 1946 1945 1946 1945 1946 1945 _____ 39 ALL STORES 50.7 39.9 67.6 72.2 1.1 1.2 BY CITIES: Austin 5 45.3 36.6 73.9 74.4 1.4 Bryan -----3 43.0 35.2 69.l 57.1 0.9 1.3 Dallas --------3 57.8 41.8 65.7 76.3 0.7 1.0 Fort Worth ------------3 53.2 45.0 70.6 75.8 1.1 1.0 ---------59.0 ----------· 1.3 Houston -3 46.5 64.0 68.1 1.3 1.2 San Antonio 3 37.0 29.2 64.4 68.7 0.9 1.3 Waco 4 48.7 39.2 67.2 70.9 1.2 1.4 Other -----------45.7 35.4 67.5 70.7 1.2 1.3 15 BY TYPE OF STORE: Department stores (annual sales over $500,000) -------------8 53.8 44.3 67.4 72.2 1.0 1.1 Department stores (annual sales under $500,000) 7 40.3 32.5 64.5 65.9 1.6 2.1 ---------~-­ Dry &'Oods -apparel stores ----------------37.9 68.7 2.2 4 31.4 75.4 2.1 Women's specialty shops --------------8 47.6 37.8 64.8 73.5 0.8 1.0 Men's clothing stores 12 49.1 34.1 7(}.8 72.1 0.9· 1.3 BY VOLUME OF NET SALES (1945): Over $2,500,000 -----8 56.0 45.0 67.1 72.7 0.9 0.9 $1,000,000-$2,500,000 8 45.9 34.4 68.3 73.9 (}.7 1.0 $500 ,000-$1,000,000 .. 9 88.9 29.7 68.4 69.1 0.9 1.0 Less than ' $500,000 .. 14 37.3 26.& 69.9 63.4 1.6 2.3 •Credit sales divided by net sales. tCollections during the month divided by the total accounts unpaid OD the first of the month. tSalaries of the credit department divided by credit sales; Newspaper advertising lineage for November reported by 31 Texas newspapers increased 3.9% from October. These same newspapers reported an increase of 15.8% in November 1946 over November 1945. Postal receipts in 57 Texas cities declined 11.4% for November in comparison with October. This was slightly more than the normal seasonal decline, which resulted in the Bureau's seasonally-adjusted index of postal receipts declining from 207.1 to 200.0 (1935­39=100). In common with many other measures of business conditions, postal receipts show a strong sea· sonal rise in the fall, but the fact that November is a 30-day month, plus the fact that many businesses close for Armistice Day and Thanksgiving, normally leads to an average decline of 8.3% in November receipts. The volume of postal receipts for November 1946 was slightly above November 1945, when the index stood at 198.2. For the first 11 months of 1946, the index of postal receipts averaged 204.1 in comparison with an average of 201.0 for the first 11 months of 1945, a de­cline of 1.5%. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW POSTAL RECEIPTS Percent change City Nov. 1946 Oct. 1946 Nov. 1945 Nov. 1946 Nov. 1946 from from Nov. 1945 Oct. 1946 TOTAL ---------------$2,593,819 $2,928,605 $2,553,033 + 1.6 -11.1 Abilene 28,254 32,449 28,334 - 0.3 - 12.9 Amarillo ------------­ 53,545 59,305 55,133 - 2.9 - 9.7 Austin ----------­----­ 98,916 129,600 92,083 + 7.4 -23.7 Beaumont --------­ 43,497 55,570 48,925 -11.1 -21.7 Big Spring --­--­ 7,737 9,2U 9,400 -17.7 -16.0 Borger ---------­ 6,532. 9,810 6,481 + 0.8 -33.4 Brownsrille ------­ 11,262 14,365 11,118 + 1.3 -21.6 Brownwood ·-·-··· 10,469 10,576 18,2.30 -42.6 -1.0· Bryan --------­--­---·· 9,089 8,623 8,253 + 10.1 + 5.4 Childress -----­·-----­ 2,994 3,966 4,687 -36-1 -24.5 Cleburne ···­---------­ 4,707 5,340 5,136 - 8.4 -11.9 Coleman ----------··­-·­ 2,942 4,091 4,587 -35.9 -28.1 Corpus Christi __ 62,149 66,062 62,473 - 0.5 - 5.9 Corsicana ----------­ 9,302. 9,652 10,975 -15.3 -3.6 Dallas ---­---------­--­ 674,286 742,105 630,427 + 7.0 -·9.1 Del Rio 4,278 5,083 4,411 -~-0 -15.8 Denison --------­--­ 8,912 9,723 9,197 - 3.1 - 8.4 Denton --------------­ 11,429 13,181 12,026 - 5.0 -13.3 Edinburg ---­---------­El Paso -------------­ 6,870 94,412 6,940 97,157 5,120 90,185 +24.4 + 4.7 -8.2 -2.8 Fort Worth -------­ 303,253 326,222. 2.78,647 + 8.8 -7.1 Gainesville --------­ 5,597 6,708 4,880 +14.7 -16.6 Galveston ---·----­-· 41,397 47,685 49,033 -15.6 . -13.2 Gladewater ----­--­ 3,459 5,323 3,645 - 5.1 -35.0 Graham ------------­ S,542 3,765 3,233 + 9.6 -5.9 Greenville ----­------­ 9,249' 10,337 9,411 - 1.7 -10.5 Harlingen ----··---­Houston --­-----­---­ 12,732 427.000 14,520 ·471,144 13,735 404,392. -7.3 + 5.6 -12.3 -9.4 Jacksonville ----­--­ 4,846 5,705 4,878 - 0.7 -15.1 Kenedy --·---------·· 1,537 2,048 1,996 -23.0 -25.0 Kerrrille ---­---··· 4,561 5,745 4,059 +12.4 -20.6 Laredo ···-------------Longview --··-·----­Lubbock ----------­---­ 13,611 13,479 32,367 16,838 15,348 44,039 16,028 13,076 29,509 -15.1 + 3.1 + 9.7 -20.6 -12.2 · -26.!) Lufkin ------·-··---·---­ 7,458 8,077 7,446 + 0.2 -7.7 McAllen ----·-·--·­--· 10,210 11,936 10,320 -1.1 -14.5 ·Marshall --·--­--···­-­ 9,657 11,746 10,351 - 6.7 -17.8 Midland --------­----­ 9,775 14,768 12,109 -19.3 -33.8 Orange 10,734 12,652 11,734 - 8.5 -15.2 P.alestin.; ------------­ 8,561 8,628 6,981 +22.6 -0.8 Pampa -------------­·-­ 8,760 11,517 8,799 - 0.4 - 23.9 Paris -----------·------­ 8,Hl 10,838 10,827 -22.3 -22.4 Plainview -------­-·· 6,137 6,133 5,,915 + 3.8 -0.1 Port Arthur ---­-·­ 22.,656 24,063 23,465 - 3.4 - 5.8 San Angelo ---­---­ 22,102. 24,465 23,525 - 6.0 - 9.7 San Antonio Seguin ----···-------­­ 243,740 4,051 2.85,605 4,841 254,081 3,731 -4.1 + 8.6 -14.7 ( -16.3 Sherman ------­---·­ 12,223 13,913 13,841 -11.7 -12.1 'Sweetwater -------­ 9,702 9,726 8,249 +17.6 -0.2 Temple --­--··­··-·--­ 12,427 13,243 14,761 -15.8 -6.2 Texarkana ---···­-­ 21,865 \ 30,733 22.,552 - 3.0 -28.9 Texas City ----·----­ 6,198 7,517 6,928 -10.5 -17.5 Tyler ----,------··-----· 24,921 29,239 2-7,086 - 8.0 -14.8. Vernon -·---------­---· 5,832 7,806 ' 6,394 - 8.8 -25.3 Victoria --···-­-----­--­ 7,907 9,858 9,449 -16.3 -19.8 Waco ----------------­ 56,401 62,599 55,242 + 2.1 -9.9 Wichita Falls ___ 36,380 40,464 45,544 -20.1 -10.1 Wholesale Trade (Wholesale sales represent the movement of goods to retailers, and when compared with the changes in retail sales indicate whether 1toeka In the hands of retailers ar• being maintained at a constant I.vet or are being allowed to lncreaae or decrease. Tbe Information on Inventories of wholesalers slvea an Indication of the availability of goods to retailers, which In this period of shortages la a signifi­cant factor In the bualneaa situation.) Wholesalers' sales of 128 firms reporting to the Bu­reau of the Census were up 9% in October 1946 over September 1946 and 42% above October 1945. The greatest sales increase was in electrical goods, which gained 36% over the previous month and 202% over the same month a year ago. General hardware sales increased 6% above the previous month, and sales of automotive supplies 8%. In comparison with the same month a year ago, general hardware sales rose 50%, and a sales of automotive supplies 15%. Only drugs and sundries showed a decrease in sales from the previ· ous month (17%). In comparison with October 1945, drugs and sundries sales increased 2%. Twelve firms classified as miscellaneous reported a 4% sales increase ove.r September 1946 and a 53% increase over October of last year. WHOLESALERS' SALES Source : Bureau of the Census, U. S. Department of Commerce Number Percent change of Oct. 1946 Oct. 1946 Business reporting firms from Oct. 1945 from Sept. 1946 TOTAL --­-----­--------------------­--­--------------­128 + 42 +~ Automotive supplies -----­---·-··---------------­ 11 + 15 +8 Drugs and sundries• -----------·---­------·-· 18 + 2 -17 Electrical goods --­------------------·--------­ 24 +202 . + s6 Groceries and foods (except farm products) -----------·------------------·--­------·­ 49 + 28 +16 General hardware -------­----­---------·------­ 14 + 50 +6 All other ----------­---·-----------------------------­ 12 + 53 +4 *Includes liquor departments of other trades. Wholesalers' inventories in October were 50% over a year ago and 10% over September. Inventories of electrical goods were 317% above a year ago but only 13% higher than in the previous month. Automotive supplies were 42% above last year and 16% greater than the previous month. General hardware inventories showed no change from the preceding month but were 35% larger than in October 1945. It will be noted that these durable goods lines all showed a substantial in­crease in inventories over October 1945. Wholesalers' inventories of drugs and sundries (including liquor departments) were 20% above October 1945 and reg· istcred an increase of 5% over September 1946. In­ventories of groceries and foods were considerably higher in comparison with last year, increasing 42%. At the same time they were 21 % above inventories in the preceding month. WHOLESALERS' INVENTORIES ·source: Bureau of the Census, U. S. Department of Commerce Percent cha nge Oct. 1946 Oct. 1946 from from Business Oct. 1945 Sept. 1946 TOTAL -----·-----··-----···---------------------------·---·-------·--------+ 50 +10. ======= Automotive supplies ·--·--·--··------------------·-------------···---·-+ 42. +16 .Drugs and sundries* ----·-------------------------------------+ 20· +6 Electrical goods -·---------------------'----------------------------· +317 +13 . Groceries ;tnd .foods (except farm products) _____ + 42. +z1 General hardware --·--------------·----------------------··-----+ 35 All other -----·-------'-----------------------------·-·------------------+ 56 +a •Includes liquor departments of other trades. Foreign Trade (Tonnaa:e fiirures for export shipments from the principal ports of the State provide an accurate physical measure of the current volume of foreia:n export trade. Value fia:ures for exports and imports, however, represent a more common measurement of foreil'D trade transactions.) Exports of foreign and domestic merchandise from Texas during August recovered from their July slump and bettered their June level with a total of $117,140,000. This represented a gain of 19.5% for the month in contrast to last year's 34.5% decline between July and August. Exports this August ran 130.l% above August 1945 for the State as a whole. All of the Texas customs districts shared in the gen· eral increase in exports during August. Gains ranged from approximately 17% in the El Paso, Galveston, and Sabine districts to 26.1% in the Laredo District. A year ago at this season the exports of all districts declined. Increases between August 1945 and August 1946 were very great in all districts: El Paso 83.1%, Laredo 89.l%, Galveston 134.6%, and Sabine 480.9%. EXPORTS OF DOMESTIC AND FOREIGN MERCHANDISE (In thousands of dollars) · Source: Bureau of the Census, U. S. Department of Commerce Percent change Customs district Ana:. 1946 July 1946 Aug. 1945 Aug. 1946 Aug. 1946 from fr6m Aug. 1945 July 1946 TOTAL -_ _____117,140 98,017 50,919 + 130.1 +19.5 El Paso ------­ 3,651' 3,106 1,994 + 83.1 +17.5 Galveston ------------72,175 61,560 30,759 +134.6 +11.2 Laredo ------------------­30,992 24,570 16,389 + 89.1 +26.1 Sabine ----------------­10,322 8,781 1,777 +480.9 +17.5 Imports of general merchandise into Texas during August totaled $10,101,000, a decrease of 21.2% from the July figure and slightly less than June imports. Last y~ar the July-to-August decrease was 24.5%. Compared with August 1945, the volume of imports during August this year was virtually unchanged. Every customs district in the State showed a decline in imports between July and August 1946. Almost no rose, while imports through the Galveston and Laredo districts fell. Big gains in imports from August 1945 to August 1946 were reported for the El Paso (24.0%) and Galveston (63.7% ) districts; declines appeared in the import figures for the Laredo and Sabine districts. The lifting of the quarantine on cattle importations from Mexico to meet the domestic meat shortage was not immediately reflected in the import figures. Al­ though the quarantine was raised in October, it was late November before sizable shipments were made. Exports of merchandise by air from Texas rose 8.8% in August over July to reach a total of $2,047,755. The Galveston and Laredo districts turned in respective gains of 23.7% and 13.3% for the month; El Paso's exports declined 60.9%. Although Brownsville claimed over one-half of this trade, Fort Worth showed the largest gain among the State's leading airports. ~ EXPORTS OF MERCHANDISE BY AIR Source: Bureau of the Census, U. S. Department of Commerce Percent change Aug. 1946 Aug. · July from District and port 1946 1946 July 1946 TOTAL ------------------~$2,047,755 $1,881,488 + 8.8 Galv.;.ton ----------­ 398,516 332,04(} + 23.7 F ort Worth ---­---­ 398,516 332,04(} + 23.7 Laredo -------------·-· 1,587,019 1,400,474 + 18.S Brownsville --------­--·­1,139,535 998,283 + lU Laredo .-------­ 28,188 30,726 - 8.3 San Antonio ----­--­ 419,296 371,(65 + 12.9 El Paso ---------­----------· 62,220 158,974 - 60.9 El Paso 62,220 158,974 --------------------------60.9 /'!"ports of general merchandise into Texas by air dunng August dropped 65.2% from their July total to $309,051. The 94.4% decline in Fort Worth's im· ports by air was the principal factor in the Statewide decrease. Imports through the Laredo District were up 41.2% and El Paso's imports increased 71.7%. Other airports to report declines for the month were Dallas 2.5%, San Antonio 8.2%, and Laredo 23.3%. imports were reported for the Sabine District in August, but the most significant drop was the 34.5% fall in imports through the Galveston District. Twelve months earlier imports through the Sabine and El Paso districts IMPORTS OF GENERAL MERCHANDISE (in thousands of dollars) Source : Bureau of the Census, U. S. Department of Commerce Percent change Customs district Aug. 1946 July 1946 Aug. 1945 Aug. 1946 Aug. 1946 from from Aug. 1945 July 1946 TOTAL --------­10,101 12,816 10,113 - 0.1 - 21.2 El Paso ---­--------­ 1,169 1,439 _ 943 + 24.0 - 18.8 Galveston -----------­ 3,933 6,005 2,402 + 63.7 - 34.5 Laredo -------­ 4,997 5,331 6,757 - 26.0 - 6.3 Sabine -------­ 2 41 11 - 81.8 - 95.1 IMPORTS OF GENERAL MERCHANDISE BY AIR Source: Bureau of the Census, U. S. Department of Commerce Percent change Aug. 1946 Aug. July from District a'nd port of unlading 1946 1946 Jnly 1946 TOTAL --- ------------------$ 309,051 887,657 -65.2 Galvest~n ..................................--. 55,296 712,797 -92.2 Dallas ---------------------------------""'1""6"",5"'7=7----::c:~-::---'---,.---l17,000 -2.5 F ort Worth ------------------38,719 695,797 -9(.4 Laredo ----------------------------215,181 152,389 + 41.2 56,750 +125.4 Brownsville ---------------""12:-=1-=,8c::96,,.----,-,---------l Laredo -------------5,260 6,859 -23.3 San Antonio _ ..__________.._ 81,464 · 88,780 -8.2 El Paso ----------------------38,574 22,471 + 71.7 E l Paso -------------=3"'8-=22,471 + 71.7 --------,5"°7"'"4----=---~----___, PRODUCTION Manufa.cturing (The volume of manufacturinc activity in any lr.duatrial area is • sensitive measure of the chances In business activity. The vol­ ume of durable goods manufactured tends to fluctuate more vio­ lently than ~he volume of nondurable coods such as foods, and may 1erve to indicate changes in the b•1siness situation at an early date. Since many manufacturing industries vary regularly with the 6 easons, thla factor muat be taken into consideration In interpretinc the changes from month to month.) Peak peacetime production prior to the coal strike in November was matched in many lines of Texas manu­facturing, while in others production lagged. T?e _index of industrial electric power consumption, an md1cator of manufacturing activity, rose 2.9% in November over October after seasonal adjustment, to better last year's rise of 2.4%. From Novem­ber 1945 to November 1946 the index rose 6.4%. Last month it ~as 151.3% above its average level in the 1935-39 penod. Man-hours worked in Texas manufacturing establish­ments, another general indicator of manufacturing ac­tivity, increased 3.8% in November over October, but the gain did not come up to the October-to-November advance of 11.9% a year earlier. Man-hours declined 4.4% between November 1945 and November 1946. Crude oil runs to stills dropped 6.7% between Octo­ber and November to 40,455,329 barrels, whereas last year between the same months they rose 18.7%. Novem­ber 1946 runs were approximately the same as runs in November 1945. When seasonally adjusted the index of crude oil runs to stills fell 3.9% in November this year as compared with a 22.3% rise a year ago. Runs in November 1946 were 44.8% greater than in the average prewar (1935-39) month. Refinery stocks of gasoline in Texas at the end of November 194.6 stood 7.6% higher than for the previous month. Gasoline stocks in the Texas Gulf Coast section were 5.2% above the figure for October 1946, while for Inland Texas the corresponding rise was 18.8%. Prospects for the future expansion of the refinery industry seemed bright in view of the increased produc- REFINERY STOCKS* (In thousand• of barrels) Source: The OU and Gu Journal Percent change Nov. 1946 Nov. 1946 Nov. Oct. Nov. from from Section and item 1946 1946 1945 Nov. 1945 Oct. 1946 TEXAS Gasoline Distillate Residual ---·-·-­--·-----­-··----·· -------------­----····­··· --------­···­--­-···-----­17,361 11,962 8,473 16.131 11,225 8,753 17,870 6.428 5.784 -2.i +86.1 +46.5 + 7.6 + 6.6 -3.2 TEXAS GULF COAST Gasoline Distillate Residual --­--­-­---···-·····--­----············-···-­--······-------------··· 13,945 11,381 7,q88 13,256 10,585 8,027 14,989 5.993 4,834 -7.0 +89.9 +57.0 + 5.2 + 7.5 -5.5 INLAND TEXAS Gasoline Distillate -----··········--·······­--------·-·····--·-·····­ 3,416 581 2,875 640 2,881 435 +18.6 +33.6 +18.8 -9.2 Resjdual ·······-----········--·· 885 726 950 - 6.8 +21.9 •Fiirures shown for week endinir nearest last day of month. tion of automobiles, the growth of air traffic, the in· c:easing mechanization of agriculture, the more exten­sive u~e of Diesel-driven locomotives, the rising demand for oil heat, and the development of new industrial uses for petroleum. The consumption of cotton during November in Texas ?ropped 13.6%, but the consumption of cotton linters increased 31.5%. Last year between October and No­vembe.r cotton consumption held steady, but linter con­sumpt10n went up only 7.5%. Nevertheless November 1946 consumption of cotton and cotton !inters exceeded Novem?er 1945 consumption by 18.6% and 39.0%, respectively. Upward revisions of early estimates of con­sumption are indicated by these figures. CONSUMPTION OF COTTON AND COTTON LINTERS (in running bales) Source: Bureau of the Census. U. S. Department of Commerce Percent change Nov. 1946 Nov. 1946 Nov. Oct. Nov. from from Item 1946 1946 1945 Nov. 1945 Oct. 1946 Cotton ···--·-···--····-·------18.715 21,649 15,775 +18.6 -13.6 Linters ···-····-····-·-----2.262 1,720 1,627 +39.0 +31.5 Cottonseed received at Texas mills fell sharply (37.7% ) in November as compared with October in contrast with last year's October-to-November rise of 17.5%. November 1946 receipts were 34.6% less than receipts in November 1945. Crushings, on the other hand, increased 18.5% for the month as compared with 4. 7';1a a year ago, although last month's production was down 3.7% from the total for last November. Removal of the seasonal factor pushed up the index of cottonseed crushed by 34.2% last month as against a rise of 18.1 % last year. November 1946 crushings were 31.7% below their prewar level. Stocks at the end of November were 3.2% lower than a month earlier and 13.4% less than a year ago. Last year stocks increased 24.8% during Novemb er. COTTONSEED PRODUCTION (In tons) Source: Bureau of the Census, U. S. Department of Commerce Percent change Nov. 1946 Nov. 1946 Nov. Oct. Nov. from from Item 1946 . 1946 1945 Nov. 1945 Oct. 1946 Received at mills ··········--115.800 185,877 177,193 -34.6 -37.7 Crushed ··--·----··············-··· 122.861 103.705 127,587 -3.7 + 18.5 Stoeks at end of month.. 216,148 223,209 249,647 -13.4 -3.2 In the face of high prices and a strong demand for dairy products, their manufacture in Texas fell 27.4% between October and November this year to almost dou~le last year's 15.4% decline. November 1946 pro­duct10n was about the same as production in November 1945, the 10.3'/.f independent stores.. Department and apparel store sales Postal receipts ···········-·---··········-···$ 437 ,000 + 26.7 + 18.0 + 5.6 + 6.8 -0.2 -9.4 Postal receipts ·····--············-··-···----$ Air express shipments -----­· ~-----------­Bank debits to individual accounts 22,102 254 -+ 6.0 86.8 + 9.7 0.8 Building permits ······-··-··········-----$1,265,603 Telephones in service ...................... 172, 794 -47.5 + 16.2 -57.7 + 0.7 (thousands) ---··--·-·-·-··-·-------$ 24,609 + 16.7 -10.6 Air express shipments ··-········--·"··· 3,814 + 37.1 + 0.1 Bank debits to individual accounts (tho'usands) ··--················--·-·---$ 733,655 + 23.2 0.7 Placements in employment (area) 4,425 + 27.0 14.3 P~rcent change Unemployment (area) ··········-········ 15,000 + 20.0 -11.8 SAN ANTONIO Nov. Nov. 19461 from Nov. 1946 from 1946 Nov. 1945 Oct. 1946 Retail sales of independent stores.. + 23.5 + 2.5 Department and apparel store sales + 14.4 ·+ 4.6 Postal receipts ·····-···-·-····················$ 243,740 4.1 - 14.7 Percent change . Building permits ························-··---$1,694, 729 + 4.1 - 23.6 JACKSONVILLE Nov. 1946 Nov. 1946 from · Nov. 1945 Nov. 1946 from Oct. 1946 Telephones in service ·····-·-····-······ Air express shipments -----···-·-··-· Bank debits to individual accounts 85,323 2,371 + 14.5 + 40.3 + 1.0 + 17.0 Postal receipts ······················-·····-·····$ Building permits ·······-··-····-····-·······$ 4,846 20,700 -0.7 -54.2 -15.1 + 21.1 (thousands) ····-······--·-·····-··········-$ Placements in employment ............. . Unemployment ·--····----·····-·······-·· 214,277 2,212 8,900 + 17.9 + 10.4 -25.1 -1.3 + 20.0 -11.0 Percent change LUBBOCK Nov. 1946 Percent change Nov. 1946 from Nov. 1945 Nov. 1946 from Oct. 1946 TYLER Retail ,sales of independent stores.. Nov. 1946 Nov. 1946 from Nov. 1945 + 33.2 Nov. 1946 from Oct. 1946 + 6.0 Retail sales of independent stores.. Postal receipts ····­-·······-·--·--·-·······$ Building permits ·····-···················-····$ Te)ephones in service ....................... . Air express shipments ···········­········· Bank debits to individual accounts 32,367 494,596 13,437 225 + 41.4 + 9.7 + 4.2 + 23.5 +11o.3 + 6.2 -26.5 + 71.6 + 3.3 + 6.6 Postal receipts ····-····­'.····--·-····-----$ Building permits --········--·····-····$ Telephones in service ---------------­Air express shipments ··········--········ Bank debits to individual accounts (thousands) -·······'···---·-·--·······-$ 24,921 153,884 10,322 197 32,369 -8.0 + 15.8 + 21.6 0.0 + 13.0 -14.8 -41.6 + 0.2 -65.7 -5.0 (thousands) ··-·······-----·········-··­$ 50,003 + 31.7 + 4.8 Placements in employment ·-········ Unemployment ····-·····-···········-······-­ 466 800 -36.5 + 29,9 -42.3 -11.1 Percent chanire WACO Nov. Nov. 1946 from Nov. 1946 from 1946 Nov.1945 Oct. 1946 Retail sales of independent stores.. + 15.7 + 5.7 PLAINVIEW Nov. 1946 Percent change Nov. 1946 from Nov. 1945 Nov.1946 from Oct. 1946 Department and apparel store sales Postal receipts ····-···---·-···---$ Building permits -----······-------$ Telephones in service ---­--------­56,401 427,935 18,295 + 17.3 + 2.1 +210.3 + 17.9 + 1.0 9.9 1.5 + 0.3 Retail sales of independent stores.. Postal receipts -·-­·-···-­--··­--­-$ Building pe~its ------------$ 6,137 90,000 + 49.4 + 3.8 +160.9 ;_ 4.0 -0.1 + 19.2 Air express shipments ··--···-········· Bank debits to individual accounts (thousands) -··-----------.$ Placements in employment ---··­ 218 46,147 555 +103.7 + 30.8 + 73.4 + 21.8 3.7 6.7 Unemployment --····-------­ 3,300 - 5.7 0.0 Percent change Percent change PORT ARTHUR Nov. Nov.1946 from Nov.1946 from WICHITA FALLS Nov. Nov. 1946 from Nov. 1946 from 1946 Nov.1945 Oct. 1946 1946 Nov. 1945 Oct. 1946 Retail sales of independent stores_ Postal receipts --·-···-···---·-··--·---$ Buildinir permits ----­·-··-----$ Telephones in service ---------­Air express shipments ------­ 22,656 89,700 16,297 198 + 16.1 -3.4 -45.8 + 21.4 +182.9 + 1.5 _. 5.8 7.7 + ·2.2 7.0 Retail sales of independent stores_ Postal receipts ···--­---------­--·-··$ Building permits --·-·········-·····-$ Telephones in service ---------·­Air express shipments ---------­ 36,380 113,993 15,929 218 + 7.6 -20.1 -7.1 -0.1 + 30.5 + 0.3 -10.1 -14.5 + 0.2 4.4 Bank debits to individual accounts (thousands) ··-······--··­·····-·····-····$ Placements in employment (area) Unemployment (area) -----·­ 27,085 1,594 7,250 + 25.8 -16.9 + 13.7 . 6.7 -38.9 -9.7 Bank debits to individual accounts (thousands ) -···-·············-··········-'$ Placements in employment ----------­Unemployment ----------­-----------­ 43,574 431 1,327 + 14.4 -11.5 -23.2 + 1.6 7.1 -19.0 RAIL SHIPMENTS OF POULTRY AND EGGS FROM TEX.AS STATIONS , (in carloads) Source: Bureau of Business Resear ch in co-operation with the Division of Agricultural Statistics, Bureau of Agricultural Economics, U. S. DeJlartment of Agricult_ure RAIL SHIPMENTS OF FRUITS AND VEGETABLES* (in carloads) Source: Production and Marketinir Administration, U.S. Department Percent chan ge Nov. 1946 Nov. 1946 Classification Nov. 1946 Oct. 1946 Nov. 1945 from Nov. 1945 from Oct. 1946 of Agriculture Item TOTAL --··---------------­- Nov. 1946 6,555 Oct.t 1946 1,633 Nov. 1945 7,544 Percent Nov. 1946 from Nov. 1945 -13.1 chanire Nov. 1946 from Oct. 1946 +sou TOTAL SHIPMENTS Chickens ---­------­--------­ --­ 6 10 16 - 62.5 - 40.0 Turkeys --------------­----­-Eggs__:_,,hell equivalent* Shell ------ -----------­----­ --­293'h 72'h --4'h 35 143 9 373 76 2 -21.3 -4.6 + 125.0 +738.6 -49.3 -50.0 Frozen -------­--------­ ---­ 14 27 21 - 33.3 - 48.1 Dried ---------­-------­ 10 4 + 25.0 - 50.0 INTRASTATE SHIP­ MENTS Chickens --­-----------------­ ---­ 1 4 3 - 66.7 - 75.0 Turkeys ----­-------­-------­E ggs-shell equivalent* Shell ---------­-----------­ ---­ 32 3 3 12 11 6 2 +433.3 -50.0 + 50.0 + 166.7 -72.7 -66.7 FroZen ----------------­ ---­ 0 1 2 Dried ------­ - 0 0 0 INTERSTATE SHIP- MENTSt Chickens ----------­------­ ---­ 13 - 61.5 - 1 6.7 Turkeys ---------------­Eggs-shell equivalent• --­261% 69'h 23 132 367 70 -- 28.7 . 0.7 + -47.3 103 7.0 Shell ----+--------------­ 1'h 0 0 Frozen --------------­ --­ 14 26 19 - 26.3 -46.2 Dried -----------------­ --­ 5 10 4 + 25.0 - 50.0 •Dried eggs and frozen eggs are converted to a shell.egg equivalent on the following basis: 1 rail-carload of dried eggs = 8 carloads of shell eggs and 1 carload of frozen eggs = 2 carloads of shell eggs. tThe destination above is the first destination as shown by the oriirinal waybill. Changes in destination brought about by conversion factors are not shown. INTERSTATE Source: Bureau REof CEIPTS OF EGGS STATIONS (in carloads) Business Rese1lrch BY in RAIL AT cc>-operation TEXAS with the Division of Agricultural Statistics, Bureau of Agricultural Economics, U. S. Department of Agriculture . Percent change Nov. 1946 Oct. 1946 Nov. 1945 Nov. 1946 from Nov. 1945 Nov. 1946 from Oct. 1946 TOTAL RECEIPTS-SHELL EQUIVALENT* ______.... 85 49 110 - 22.7 + 73.5 Shell _,________________..___..___ 69 47 24 + 187.5 + 46.8 Frozen ..--·-..·-·------·--.......... 8 1 43 -81.4 +100.0 Dried ._.._..____________...._..___ 0 0 0 *Dried eggs and frozen eggs are converted to a shell-egg equivalent on the followinir basis : 1 rail-carload of dried e1nrs = 8 carloads of 1hell egirs and 1 carload of frozen eirgs = 2 carloads of shell eggs. Fertilizer Sales (Sales of fertilizer are indicative of the amount of money farmers need and are able to spend in keeping up the soil fertility of their farms. Sales figures are based on monthly statistics for the equiva­lent number of short tons of fertilizer represented by the tax tags sold to fertilizer producers and which are required by law to be attached to each hag of fertilizer sold.) Sales of fertilizer tax tags in Texas represented 16,830 tons of fertilizer in November, compared to 23,343 tons Beans 85 11 109 -22.0 +672.7 ----------·----·--·----·­ Grapefruit 2,918 763 2,681 8.8 + 282.4 Mixed citrus ·--·-··------------576 234 795 -27.5 + 146.2 Oranges ---------------------------866 357 971 -10.8 + 142.6 Peppers 261 73 430 -39.3 +257.5 Spinach 95 ao2 -53.0 ----·----·----·---·-+ ·-------------------·------­Sweet potatoes 83 44 149 -44.3 + 88.6 -·--------------­ Tomatoes 1,028 4 1,011 1.7 --------------·----·---+ Mixed vegetables -----------465 76 869 -46.5 +511.8 Other fruits and vege­tables 178 71 327 -45.6 +150.7 •Figures for oranges and grapefruit include both rail and truck shipments. tRevised. a year ago. For the first 11 months of 1946 sales were 330,913 tons, an increase of 54% over the same period of 1945. For the 11 southern states for which data are available, tag sales increased 13% for the January-November period. Only Oklahoma, where sales were up 118%, reported a greater increase than Texas. Cotton (The cotton balance sheet shows the basic demand and 1uppl1 factors affecting cotton, which Is an outstandins elemellt In the farm Income of the State.) The 1946-47 cotton year has been a hectic one to date. The prospects for the months ahead give no indi­cation of being less turbulent. The 1946-47 market started last spring with great enthusiasm. A considerably larger crop was expected, and deliveries out of the new crop were being offered at lower than current prices. In January 1946 new crop cotton for delivery in October was being sold at about 23.50 cents or about a cent a pound under the then current delivery price. The very strong demand based on unprecedented buying power, low inventories, and a huge accumulated demand growing out of the unavail­ability of most peacetime cotton goods during the war caused manufacturers to make unusually large pur­chases out of the new crop early in the year. Between January and April the price of the new crop advanced to nearly 28 cents a pound in spite of the pros­pects for a larger crop. The postwar speculative boom which took hold of real estate, stocks, and all commodity markets sent cotton prices above 31 cents by July. The first govern­ment estimate of acreage planted in cotton was issued July 8. It was much lower than expected, and served more than anything else to center speculation in cotton. The strong decline in prices of stocks and other com­modities caused drastic liquidation of the hull cotton market in the latter part of October and early Novem­ber. The low was reached on November 7 when May COTTON BALANCE SHEET FOR THE UNITED STATES AS OF DECEMBER 1, 1946 (figures in thousands of running bales except as noted) Year Carryover Aug. 1 Imports to Dec. 1* Final ginnings Total Consumption to Dec.1 E xports to Dec. 1 Total Balance Dec. 1 1937-38 ---------------------------------­ 4,498 31 18,746 23,275 2,212 2,434 4,646 18,629 1938-39 --·---------·----------------------­ 11,533 54 12,008 23,595 2,236 1,535 3,771 19,824 1939-40 --·-----------------­--------­ 13,033 48 11,792 24,873 2,660 2,328 4,988 19,885 1940-41 ------------------­-----------------­ 10,596 42 12,686 23,324 2,801 495 3,296 20,028 1941-42 ------·------------------------­ 12,367 + 10,976 23,343 3,553 + 3,553 19,790 1942-43 -------------­-------------­ 10,590 + 12,982 23,572 3,777 + 3,777 19,795 1943-44 -----------­···------------------­ 10,687 + 11,478 22,165 3,472 t 3,472 18,693 1944-45 ----------------------------­--­ 10,727 65 12,359 23,151 3,266 650 3,916 19,235 1945-46 -­----­----­---------------­-­ 11,164 84t 9,195 20,443 2,944 867 3,862 16,581 1946-47 ---------­--· ---­--­---------­ 7,522 94t 8,482 16,098 3,483 758t 4,241 11,857 *Figures are in 500-lb. gross bales. tFigures to November 1. :j:Data not available. cotton sold at 27.13 cents. Since that time the trend of the market has been definitely upward. The market is now on a considerably higher level than at this time last year, and there is the same type of inverted market as last year but in a much more pro­nounced degree. October options, the first active de­livery in the new 1947-48 cotton year, are selling at nearly 4 cents a pound under May 1947 deliveries. There is currently a very strong demand for spot cotton for delivery in the spring months. Consumption is tak­ing place at a very high rate. The cotton balance sheet shows less cotton on hand than in any December since 1929. The tight spot cotton situation plus the very strong demand promises much activity in the cotton market for the remainder of the present cotton year. FINANCE Bank Credit (Since bank credit is essential to all business, the condition of the commercial banks and the Federal Reserve Banks Is a slirnlficant Indicator of the state of business. Chanirea In the volume of credit the banks have outstandinir reflect the state of business. The con· ditlon of the Federal Reserve Banks In like manner reflects the con­dition of credit available to commercial bankli.) The earning assets of weekly reporting member banks in the Dallas Federal Reserve District declined $127 million during the 12 months ending November 27, 1946. The explanation of the decline is to be found in the much smaller holdings of United States Government securities by these banks, particularly the short and medium term issues. Holdings of Treasury bills, certifi­cates of indebtedness, and Treasury notes by weekly re­porting banks of the District were almost $300 million smaller at the end of November 1946 than on the corre­sponding date a year earlier. To a considerable extent these declines reflect the results of the Treasury's pro­gram of debt retirement during recent months. Although these declines were balanced in part by a small increase in holdings of Treasury bonds, total holdings of all types of United States Government securities by this group of banks at the end of November were 20 per cent smaller than those a year earlier. An additional offset to these substantial reductions was the general increase in bank loans during the past year. Bank loans increased enough to make up for just about half the decline in Government security holdings. Total loans at the end of November of $755 million were $25 million larger than at the end of October and $139 mil· lion larger than on the corresponding date a year earlier. During November 1945 total loans of weekly reporting banks increased $155 million or about $15 million more than the increase in the subsequent twelve months, but a considerable part of the November 194.S increase prob­ably originated (directly or indirectly) in connection with the Victory Loan Drive underway at the time when banks normally would be expected to provide part of the funds to enable individuals and other nonbank in­vestors to purchase Government securities. On the other hand, loans made after the Victory Loan Drive reflected, to an increasing extent, the financing of private business transactions. CONDITION OF WEEKLY REPORTING MEMBER BANKS Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Percent change Item Nov. 27 1946 from Nov. 28 1945 Nov. 27 1946 from Oct. 30 1946 Nov. 28 1945 from Oct. 31 1945 ASSETS Loans and investments.... ·-·--·---··-·--·····----6.1 -0.8 + 9.1 Loans ----·-·--··-·------·----··------------·-----+22.6 + 3.4 +33.6 Treasury bills ··----··-----·-·-----------·--···-----36.1 -14.8 + 7.5 Treasury certificates of indebtedness .. __ -35.1 -11.4 + 1.5 Treasury notes -·-·-·------···--------·--···--------44.2 0.0 -0.3 United States bonds ----------··--·---·-----+ 2.7 -O.& + 1.1 Other securities -····-·---------·---------------+ 24.6 + 2.9 0.0 Reserve with Federal Reserve Banks____ + 3.8 + 5.5 + 2.4 Cash in vault ----·-------·-·--------·-------··-------3.6 0.0 +12.0 Bal~nces with dom;,,,tic banks.·--·-----··----. -21.5 -4.3 + 4.9 LIABILITIEE; Demand deposits adjusted ----·----·---··---+ 8.6 + u -0.1 Time deposits --------··-----·-------·------------+13.3 + 0.6 + 1.8 United States Government deposits. _____ -70.0 -24.4 + 69.2 Interbank deposits: Domestic banks ····-··-·-··-·---·-·-----·-------17.5 + 0.6 + 8.7 0.0 0.0 Foreign banks ----··-··-------·-----------0.0 CAPITAL ACCOUNTS ---·------·--·----+15.2 + 1.3 + 0.8 Total deposits of weekly reporting banks in the Dallas Reserve District declined $82 million during the 12 months ending November 27, 1946, amounting to $1,914 million on that date. A sharp reduction in United States Government deposits was offset in part by increases in demand deposits and time deposits. When the Treasury withdraws deposits from War Loan Accounts in commercial banks and spends them, the de­posits return for the most part to commercial banks as deposits of individuals, partnerships, corporations, and others. Banks must hold reserves against these private deposits, whereas no reserves are required for Govern­ment deposits in War Loan Accounts. As Government deposits are converted into private deposits the effect is to increase the required reserves of member banks. Mem­ber banks usually build up their reserves with the Fed­eral Reserve Banks either by selling United States Gov­ernment securities to the Reserve Banks or by borrowing from the Reserve Banks using Treasury securities as collateral. The condition statement of the Dallas Re­serve Bank seems to indicate that member banks of the District have been using both methods of replenishing their reserves. There has been some increase in Govern­ment security holdings by that Bank, and discounts and advances to member banks rose from $1,410,000 at the end of November 1945 to $11,089,000 at the end of November 1946. Federal Reserve Notes of the Dallas Reserve Bank in actual circulation remained virtually unchanged during November and at the end of the month amounted to $607 million. SUMMARY STATEMENT OF CONDITION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS (In thou.sands of dollars) Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Percent change Item Nov. 27 1946 Oct. 30 1946 Nov. 28 1945 Nov. 27 1946 from N ov. 28 1945 Nov. 27 1946 from Oct. 30 1946 ASSETS Gold certificate reserves ------------­ 509,716 491,426 483,383 + 5.4 + 3.7 U. S. Government securities ---------­ 908,536 898,970 903,876 + 0.5 +u Discounts and ad­ vances -----------­ 11,089 7,314 1,41()> +686.5 +51.6 Other cash -----------­ 10,671 9,278 8,905 + 19.8 + 15.0 Other assets ··-··-·--­ 98,262 91,879 91,979 + 6.8 + 6.9 TOTAL ASSETS ___l,538,274 1,498,867 1,489,553 + 3.S + 2.6 LIABILITIES Federal Reserve notes 607,395 606,573 624,085 2.7 + 0.1 Deposits -------------­ 824,909 789,046 776,061 + 6.3 +u Other liabilities ........_ 82,644 80,154 70,127 + 17.8 + 3.1 TOTAL LI'ABILITIES ,___l,514,948 1,475,773 1,470,273 + s.o + 2.7 Capital paid in ----­ 6,786 6,781 5,958 + 18.9 + 0.1 Surplus ---------­ 11,977 11,977 7,332 + 63.4 0.0 Other capital accounts 4,563 4,336 5,990 - 23.8 + 5.2 TOTAL LIABILITIES AND CAPITAL ACCOUNTS ,----1,538,274 1,498,867 1,489,553 + 3.3 + 2.6 Bank Debita (Since the bulk of business transactions are settled by check, chanrea In bank debits to Individual accounts represent chanres In the volume of transactions and are a basic measure of busineaa activity.) Bank debits in 20 Texas cities, which normally expe­rience a seasonal drop in November, fell off by less than the usual amount in November 1946 and were only 1.8% below the all-time high reached in the preceding mo~th. Consequently, the Bureau's index of bank debits, which has been adjusted for seasonal variation, rose to a new high level of 341.7 per cent of the 1935-39 average, thereby continuing the generally upward trend which has been in evidence since the end of the war with Japan. During November bank debits amounted to $2,716 million and were 23.3 % above those in November 1945. Sub~tantial gains over the corresponding month a year earher were reported throughout the State during No­vember 1946. When comparison is made with the record October 1946 volume, however, relatively small declines occurred in 16 of the 20 reporting centers whereas minor gains were reported in El Paso, Galveston, Lubbock and Wichita Falls. ' BANK DEBITS• (In thoueand1 of dollars) Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Percent change I Nov. 1946 Nov. Oct. Nov. from Ci.ty 1946 1946 1945 Nov. 1945 N ov. 1946 from Oct. 1946 TOTAL _:___ 2,715,968 2,764,661 2.,2(}3,106 +23.3 Abilene 27,755 29,480 21,501 +29.1 Amarillo -­- 66,465 71,271 51,015 +so.a Austin --­-78,791 87,077 71,234 + lo.6 Beaumont ---­66,504 68,196 59,563 +11.7 Corpus Christi -60,148 63,91(} 59,287 + 1.5 Corsicana ---­9,723 10,457 8,566 +18.5 Dallas ---­770,508 780,940 581,769 +32.4 El Paso ___ 104,603 103,398 84,342 +24.o · Fort Worth -266..411 272,390 228,556 +16.6 Galveston ·-­54,871 52,579 44,559 +23.1 Houston -----­733,655 738,462 , . 595,625 +2P Laredo ---­--­14,827 15,604 11,859 +25.0 Lubbock --­50,003 47,707 37,972 +31.7 Port Arthur -­27,085 2.9,033 21,534 +25.8 San Angelo -24,609 27,57l 21,094 +16.7 San .Antonio ---­214,277 217,135 181,685 + 17.9 Texarkanat ----­23,643 24,686 20,912 + ls.1 Tyler ·-----­-32,369 34,060 28,655 +13.0 Waco -----­. 46,147 47,942 35,277 +30.8 Wichita Falls -­48,574 42,867 38,101 + 14.4 -1.8 -5.7 -6.7 -9.5 -2.5 -5.9 -7.0 -1.3 + 1.2 -2.2 +u -0.7 -5.0 +u -6.7 -10.6 -1.3 -4.2 -5.0 -S.7 + 1.6 • Debits to depoelt accounts ucept Interbank accounts. tlncludee two banka in Arkansas, Eighth Diatrlct. • Corporations (The Issue of corporation charters measures the additions to the business population and reflects the state of optimism or pessimism of businessmen.) There were 191 new corporation charters issued in Texas during November with a total capitalization of $3,925,000 according to information furnished by the CORPORATION CHARTERS ISSUED BY CAPITALIZATION Source : Secretary of State Nov. Oct. Nov. Capitalization 19~6 1946 1945 Over $100,000 ···-····-·····-·········-··--············-· 8 11 10 $5,000--$100,000 ···-····-··························-····-· 101 147 81 Less than $5,000 ····­··········-······-·-··········­Capitalization not specified ·········­····.-······ 48 4 62 31 • No capital stock ·······················-·--············ 30 37 *Not tabulated in 1945. Secretary of State's office. Both the number of new charters and the capitalization of new corporations were substantially below October 1946 and only slightly above those in November 1945. More than a fourth of all new charters issued during the month were for mer­chandising firms, followed in order by manufacturing, real estate, and oil companies. Only 8 firms were char­tered with a capitalization in excess of $100,000, as compared with 11 in the preceding month and 10 in November 1945. CORPORATION CHARTERS ISSUED BY CLASSIFICATION Source: Secretary of State Nov. Oct. Nov. Classification 1946 1946 1945 DOMESTIC CORPORATIONS ·capitalization (1,000 dollars) ---· 3,925 6,533 3,428 . Number ···-····-······················-····-····· 191 263 122 =================== Banking-finance ···············-··········-· 6 Construction ···-···-··········-·-·-·---·­ 8 Manufacturing ···-·-·····-··--····-····· 17 Merchafidising -----­--------------------­ 53 Oil ······················-···················--········· 10 Public service ·········-····-··········-······· 1 Real estate ···-··········--··-··--···········. 14 Transportation ····················-········· 4 All others ·····················-················-­ 48 No capital stock ·········-·-····--­ 30 5 2 18 • 37 13 76 48 7 8 2 0 15 16 4 3 62 ' ll2 37 • FOREIGN CORPORATIONS Number ·-·-···--····-··········-·-·-··----23 32 20 *Not tabulated separately. Life Insurance Salea (Since the aales of life lneurance are relatlvelJ' aenaltlve to the changes In coneumer Income, the,. may be uaed aa a meaaure of the consumer market.) Sales of ordinary life insurance fell 6% in Novem· her to continue a downward movement which began several months earlier. Despite this decline the $57,868,000 of insurance sold during the month topped last November's total by 36%. These shifts were roughly comparable to the 9% national decline for the month and 32% rise in nationwide sales for the 12-month period. Failures (The number of failures and the amount of llabllitlea vary In· veraely with the prosperity of bueinesa and reflect in a simple and direct manner what la happening to buslneea.) According to Dun and Bradstreet's reports, there were 2 business failures in Texas during this November as compared with 1 last November. Liabilities of the 2 firms failing this past month totaled $152,000. Thus far in 1946 there have been 8 failures in Texas. Veterans' Loans (At the pruent time there la considerable Interest In the volume ef government &'llaranteed or insured loans to veterans as a factor In the buslnesa and economic adjustment to peacetime conditions.) At the end of November the five regional offices of the Veterans Administration in Texas had guaranteed more than 25,000 loans, the Veterans Administration's commitments amounting to $61 million. Of that amount $55,000,000 represented home loans, $2,500,000 were farm loans and $3,600,000 were for business purposes. A total of 3,115 applications for loans were received during November, slightly under the number in Octo­ber. The number of applications pending was further reduced during November, when disposition was made of 3,364 applications. Of the total applications received during November, 1,157 were at Dallas, 812 at Houston, 404 at Lubbock, 401 at San Antonio, and 341 at Waco. TRANSPORTATION Rail (The movement of good• by rail Is fundamental to all bu•lneH operation•, and chanires In the number of freight cars loaded reflect baale ehang-In the volume of business. The commodity groups are •ll'nlficant for the Information they give on specific lncluatrl... The miscellaneous group includes manufactured goods and is generally considered a measure of the volume of trade. Merchancllae I.e.!. •hlpmeats Include the same type of l'OOds ahlpped In smaller lots. Cara unloaded for export reOect the changes In the voluma of export•.) A 4.0% drop in the total revenue freight loaded dur­ing November 1946 from October of this year was re­ported in the Southwestern District. This 4.0% loss rep­resented the difference between 271,513 carloads in No­vember and 282, 784 cars loaded in October. All com­modities, with the exceptions of minor gains of 1.0% in ore and in miscellaneous freight and a 0.5% gain in grain and grain products, showed decreases for this month. This decline in loadings followed the normal pattern for this season of the year. Coal showed the largest decrease with a 31.7% decline from October. The index of miscellaneous freight carloadings, ad­justed for seasonal variation, rose 6.8% for November over October of this year and stood 37.4% above the 1935-39 average. REVENUE FREIGHT LOADED IN SOUTHWESTERN , DISTRICT (in carloads) Sou-rce: Car Service Division, Association of American Railroads Percent change Nov. 1946 Nov. 1946 Nov. Oct. Nov. from from Item 1946 . 1946 1945 Nov. 1945 Oct. 194fo TOTAL ··­--···--····-···············­271,513 282,784 278,012 - 2.3 - 4.0 Grain and 1?:rain _products.. 22,497 22,376 26,746 -15.9 + 0.5 Livestock ·······-·­·········-·-----·­ 9 ,288 9,427 10,287 - 9.7 - 1.5 Coal ··········­-····­·······-­----···-··­ 18,524 27,127 28,181 -34.3 -31.7 Coke ···-····-····­-···---········-·-··­ 783 803 745 + 5.1 - 2.5 Forest products .................. Ore --······--·--·--···········-··--······-·· Merchandise (I.e.!.) ···--···· 21,987 2,215 32,236 25,324 2,192 33,801 19,462 1,936 32,510 +13.0 + 14.4 + 1.0 -13.2 + 1.(} -2.9 Miscellaneous ······----·-··-------· 163,383 161,734 158,145 + 3.3 + 1.0 20 TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW AIR EXPRESS SHIPMENTS (in number of shipments) Source: Railway Express Agency Percent change Nov. 1946 Nc>v. 1946 Nov. Oct. N ov. from from City 1946 1946 1945 Nov. 1945 Oct. 1946 TOTAL 26,213 16,956 + 46.2 5.4 ----------------24,790 Abilene ____ .. _____............. 129 120 75 + 72.0 7.5 + Amarillo 437 408 318 + 37.4 7.1 Austin 449 308 + + -----------------+ -------------------------500 62.3 11.4 Beaumont 255 226 199 28.1 + 12.8 ----------------+ Big Spring ______............ 57 53 62 -8.1 + 7.5 Brownsvil1e 3,085 2,902 1,812 + 70.3 6.3 -------------+ Corpus Christi 554 551 316 + 75.3 0.5 --------+ Dallas 7,994 9,220 5,500 + 45.3 -13.3 El P aso -------------------1,336 1,353 816 + 63.7 -1.3 Fort Worth -------------­ 2,056 2,547 1,742 + 18.0 19.3 Galveston 370 341 237 + 56.1 + 8.5 Houston 3,814 3,810 2,781 + 37.1 0.1 ----------------+ L aredo 350 348 415 -15.7 0.6 -----------------------+ Lubbock 225 211 107 +uo.3 + 6.6 Midland ----------------84 119 55 + 52.7 -29.4 Port Arthur ......... __..__ 198 213 70 +182.9 7.0 J San Angel;, -------------254 252 136 + 86.8 + 0.8 San Antonio ------..---2,371 2,027 1,690 + 40.3 + 17.0 Texarkana 88 81 43 +104.7 + 8.6 T yler --------------·--·------197 ­575 65.7 218 , 179 107 +103.7 + 21.8 Wichita Falls ____ 218 228 167 + 30.5 -u Waco ......--------------.. -­ •Airport opened February 1946. ceipts 64,451 tons, imports 2,489 tons, and exports 92,296. The remainder was taken up by internal and intraport receipts and shipments. October tonnage for the port was 770,682. The port of Beaumont handled 16,797 tons of cargo freight during November, the bulk being represented by exports of flour (3,011 tons) and rice (12,055 tons). Intracoastal shipments and receipts amounted to 998 tons for the month. Corpus Christi's total tonnage in November was 652,563. Harbor Island handled an additional 637,208 tons and Ingelside 59,496 tons. Coastwise shipments from Corpus Christi were about two-thirds of the port total. LABOR Employment (Employment statistics are among the most Important Indicators of Texas business and economic actlvfty. The estimates of total employment In Texas manufacturing Industries Include all em­ployees, both production workers and others. The Bureau's statistic• of nonmanufacturfnr Industries alae comprise all employ__ Hew­ever, the statistics of manufacturlnr employment and manufactur­ing pay rolls are baaed on production and related workers only. Proprietors, officers of corporations, and other principal executives are excluded from all the aeries.) Employment in Texas in November 1946 made the largest gain of the year, increasing 4.0% over October 1946, according to reports collected from 1,464 estab­lishments by the Bureau of Business Research in co· operation with the Bureau of Labor Statistics, United States Department of Labor. This 4.0% increase con­tinues a well-established trend of employment recovery starting with April 1946. This trend has not been con· Export and coastal carloads unloaded at the 5 prin­cipal Texas ports for November, showed a gain of 11,970 cars for last month reflecting in part the backlog created by the maritime strike. The port of Beaumont led in gains for November over October with a 20-fold increase. Gains at other ports were equally exaggerated. The number of export and coastal freight cars unloaded in November 1946 was 3,123 cars over the same month of last year. This export trade consisted mainly of UNNRA supplies of flour, rice, wheat, and cotton. EXPORT AND COASTAL CARLOADS ·UNLOADED* Source: Car Service Division, Association of American Railroads Percent change N ov. 1946 Nov. 1946 Nov. Oct. Nov. from from Port and type 1946 1946 1945 Nov. 1945 Oct. 1946 TOTAL --·-·-....___13,547 1,577 10,424 + 30.0 + 759.0 348 17 9 + 3766.7 + 1947.1 Galveston ---..·--·-------8,621 839 5,757 + 49.7 + 927.5 Houston + Beaumont ---------------­ .._______.... _ .. ,___ 4,003 448 3,592 11.4 + 793.5 Port Arthur ----------Z46 243 655 62.4 + 1.2 Texas -------------­ City 329 30 411 20.0 + 996.7 EXPORT TOTAL .... _13,387 1,413 1(},279 + 30.2 + 847.4 Beaumont 348 17 9 + 3766.7 + 1947.1 Galveston ....... ___...._,__ 8,621 839 5,757 49.7 + 927.5 + Houston + ____.._ .. ___ .. ___ 4,003 448 3,592 11.4 + 793.5 Port Arthur 86 79 510 83.1 + 8.9 Texas City ---------------329 3(} 411 20.0 + 996.7 COASTAL TOTAL ---· 160 164 145 + 10.3 2.4 Port Arthur 160 164 145 10.3 2.4 ---------------+ •Excluding coal. Air Express (The total volume of commodities shipped by air express is only a very small percentage of all commodities moved, but the rapid Increase in the use of this type of transportation makes Its growth of general interest to business.) Although a majority of the 22 cities reporting air express shipments showed increases for Novem­ber, total shipments declined 5.4% from the preceding month. Despite reduced shipments, traffic was 46.2% above the 16,956 shipments in November 1945. It should be noted that of the decline of 1,423 shipments for November, Dallas accounted for 1,226. However, no significant changes in the relative positions of the re porting cities is noticeable, the monthly variations in shipments shifting from city to city. Water (Since a sizable volume of traffic moves into and out of the State by water. statistics on water-borne commerce are an important lndi· calor not only of transportation but of general business activity.) The movement of cargo freight through Brownsville fell in November from the October total of 66,299 tons. Exchange with the Atlantic seaboard was confined to general cargo, and with Gulf ports to gasoline and other petroleum products. Bananas from Mexico continued to be the principal foreign import. Total tonnage through the Texas City Channel was 1,044,843 in November of this year. Of this total, coast­wise shipments represented 639,348 tons, coastwise re­ tinuous, however, since there were very slight decreases of 0.4% in both May and September. Employment in November of this year was 3.5% above what it was in November 1945. This increase was general throughout all industrial groups with the exception of decreases in machinery (except electrical) 14.7%, other manufacturing 13.0%, laundries 6.4%, and public utilities 4.8%. The largest increases were in stone and clay products ( 43.7%) and finished lumber products (22.9%), which emphasize the expansion of construction activities. The smallest increases were reg· istered by paper products (0.4%) and forest products (1.6% ). Total manufacturing employment in Texas in Novem· ber was estimated at 328,900 persons by the Bureau of Business Research in co-operation with the Bureau of Labor Statistics, United States Department of Labor. This was a significant increase of 4.1 % above the pre· vious month. Ten of the 16 industrial groups showed increased employment. Increases were moderate (rang· ing from 1.2% for textile mill products to 7.1 % for miscellaneous industries) except for a large employ· ment increase of 15.0% for food manufacturing. There were small decreases in 5 groups, ranging from 0.7% for lumber products to 3.1 % for stone, clay, and glass products. Employment remained stationary in prod­ucts of petroleum and coal. Pay Rolla (Pay roll firures are renerally recognized as significant Indicators of Income and purchasing power by both economists and businessmen. Emphasis on the maintenance of purcbaslnr power as a roal fer the country's postwar economy rfvea particular Importance to these firurea at this time.) Pay rolls in Texas increased 3.0% from October to November 1946, according to reports collected from 1,4.64 employers by the Bureau of Business Research in co-operation with the Bureau of Labor Statistics, United States Department of Labor. Advances were registered in 16 industrial groups and decreases were registered in 7 industrial groups. Advances were mod­erate, ranging from 0.6% for textiles to 8.3% for quarrying, except for food products which had a large (29.0%) increase in pay rolls. It should be pointed out that food products also had a 28.8% increase in em­ployment during the same period. Compared with a year ago, pay rolls were 7.0% higher in November of this year. This increase was a general pay roll trend, since all industrial groups ex· cept 3 showed increases. Eleven of the 23 groups had large pay roll increases of 20% or more, with increases ranging as high as 40.1 % in textiles and 44.0% in finished lumber products. Of the 4 groups which showed decreases compared with a year ago, the only major decrease was machinery (except electrical) 20.1 % . PRELIMINARY COMPARISON OF EMPLOYMENT AND PAY ROLLS IN IDENTICAL ESTABLISHMENTS Source: Bureau of Business Research in co-operation with the Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of I..ahor Number , of reporting establish· Industrial group ments EMPLOYMENT PAY ROLLS Number of wage earners• Percent change Nov. 1946 Nov. 1946 Amount (weekly) Percent change Nov. 1946 Nov. 1946 Nov. Oct. from from Nov. Oct. from from 1946 1946 Nov. 1945 Oct. 1946 1946 194(1 Nov. 1945 Oct. 1946 TOTAL -----------------------­ MANUFACTURING Food products Textiles --·------------­Apparel Finished lumber products Forest products Paper products Printing and publishing Commercial products -----­Petroleum refining ·--------·-------·--··--··-­Stone and clay products -----­Iron and steel products Nonferrous metal products --­Machinery (except electrical) --­Other manufacturing -·--·-­ NONMANUFACTURING Crude petroleum production ---------------­Dyeing and cleaning Hotels ----· Insurl\nce Laundri.., ____ Public utilities -------­Quarrying Retail trade ----~·------­Wholesale trade -···-·-------·--------··-----­1,464 127, 776 122,873 3.5 + 4.0 $5,727,144 $5,561,388 7.0 + + + 3.0 137 9,574 7,436 + 11.() + 28.8 375,919 291,329 + 17.7 + 29.0 16 39 24 18 5 35 4,354 4,116 1,789 2,585 512 1,291 4,284 3,978 1,748 2,729 534 l,293 + 13.9 + 10.9 + 22.9 + 1.6 + 0.4 + 17.4 + 1.6 ·+ 3.5 + 2.3 5.3 4.1 0.2 162,306 113,837 62,734 88,638 21,595 71,840 161,352 107,046 63,728 97,097 22,182 70,987 + 40.1 + 28.2, + 44.0 + 20.9 + 20.4 + 30.0 + 0.6 + 6.3 1.6 8.7 2.6 + 1.2 69 5,584 5,366 + 5.3 + 4.1 278,208 262.,236 + 8.2 + 6.1 40 31 33 12 25,22& 2,428 3,834 4,034 25,157 2,503 3,899 4,005 + 4.5 + 43.7 + 14.9 + 12.7 + + 0.3 3.0 1.7 0.7 1,402,084 91,398 169,914 219,324 1,428,541 88,346 170,214 209,715 + 2.9 + 39.6 + 19.6 + 25.5 1.9 + 3.5 0.2 + 4.6 46 9,~31 9,017 -14.7 + 2.4 435,914 474,260 -20.1 8.1 18 13,208 12,299 -13.0 + 7.4 623,052 579,042 + 2.3 + 7.6 44 9 18 99 7,284 134 2,622 2,010 ' 7,214 140 2,586 2,010 + 9.5 + 7.4 + 2.2 + 21.3 + + 1.0 4.3 1.4 0.0 ,436,186 4,673 62,494t 88,562 424,161 4,894 60,723'i' 87,185 + 1.5 + 13.7 + 6.2 + 31.8 + 2.8 4.5 + 2.9 + 1.6 8 420 421 6.4 0.2 9,568 9,406 - 0.9 + 1.7 237 14 368 Ill 6,949 1,624. 14,269 3,142 6,828 1,626 13,572 3,069 -4.8 + 9.9 + 13.5 + 10.3 + + + 1.8 0.1 5.1 2.4 320,413 84 ,682 405,124 130,904 309,794 78,167 386,270 128,964 -2.7 + 20.4 + 27.4 + 14.2 + 3.4 + 8.3 + 4.9 + 1.5 *Does not include proprietors. firm members. officers of corpoz:ations, or other principal executives. Manufacturing emPloyment comp:rises production and related workers; nonm.anufacturing employment comprises all employees. tCash payments only; the additional value of board, room, and tips cannot be computed. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Hours and Earnings ESTIMATES OF TOTAL MANUFACTURING EMPLOYMENT (in thousands) (Statistics on hours and earnlnl"• show clearly the effects of the shift of the State's economy and the l"•neral upward move­ Source: Bureau of Business Research In co-operation with the ment of wal"U since V-J Day. Aver&&'• hourly eernlnl"• are com­ Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor puted by dlvldinl" the total number of man-hours worked In re­portinc establishments Into total pay rolls.) Percent ~hange For November 1946, 7 of the State's manufacturing Nov. 1946 Nov. 1946 Nov. Oct. Nov. from from industries reported a work week of over 42 hours, while Industrial group 1946 1946 1945 Nov. 1945 Oct. 1946 the remaining 7 reported a work week of 42 hours or TOTAL ---------·-· 328.9 315.9 Si2.2 + 5.3 + 4.1 less. Stone and clay products (-13.7%), petroleum refining (-13.6%), paper products (-9.3%), and Food -----------71.4 62.l 60.8 +17.4 +15.0 Textile mill products and finished lumber products (-8.2%) showed the largest other fiber manufacturers_ 8.7 8.6 7.6 + 14.5 + 1.2 percentage decreases in weekly hours worked in the Apparel and other finished comparison of November 1945 with November 1946. textile products --~-24.1 23.3 21.4 +12.6 + 3.4 Over the same yearly period the largest percentage in· Furniture and :finished lumber creases in weekly hours worked were found in other products --·-------11.7 11.5 10.4 +12.5 + 1.7 manufacturing ( +6.2%), textiles ( +5.6%), and forest Lumber and timber basic products ---------28.3 28.5 25.9 + 9.3 -0.7 products ( +5.6%). Paper and allied products -·-3.8 3.9 3.8 0.0 -2.6 All the 8 nonmanufacturing industries reported an Printing, publishing, and al-average work week of fewer hours in November 1946 lied industries ·-·--·--18.3 17.9 15.8 +15.8 + 2.2 than in November 1945. The largest percentage de­ Chemicals and allied products 19.6 18.9 20.0 -2.0 + 3.7 creases in weekly hours worked for this yearly period Products of petroleum and · coal --------39.6 39.6 37.3 + 6.2 0.0 were in public utilities (-14.0%), crude petroleum Stone, clay, and glass products 9.4 9.7 1.1 +22.1 -3.1 products (-8.8%), and wholesale trade (-7.5%). Iron and steel and their prod-Hourly earnings between November 1945 and Novem· ucts -··-··---------16.5 16.8 15.4 + 7.1 -1.8 her 1946 increased in every industry in both the manu­ Transportation equipment, ex­ facturing and nonmanufacturing groups. November was cept automobiles ·-----25. 7 24.2 37.2 -30.9 + 6.2 the first month for some time that this particularly Nonferrous metals and their products ·--·-·-·------· 10.1 9.9 9.1 + 11.0 + 2.0 favorable report has been made. The percentage in­Machinery, except electrical _ 29.7 29.3 30.7 -3.3 + 1.4 creases in hourly earnings for the 12-month period vary Miscellaneous industri_es _____ 4.5 4.2 3.2 +40.6 + 7.1 from +3.7% (machinery, except electrical) to +26.8% 7.7 5.9 +28.8 " -1.3 All others ··--·---·-·····-···---7.6 (crude petroleum production). HOURS AND EARNINGS• Source : Bureau of Business Research In co-operation with the Bureau of Labor Statlatlca, U. S. Department of Labor Average Average hourly Average weekly Percent changeweekly h\)urs earnings (in cents) earnings pn dollars) Nov. 1946 fromNov. 1945 Nov. Nov. Nov. Nov. Nov. Nov. Weekly Hourly Weekly Industrial group 1946 1945 1946 1945 1946 1945 hours earnings earnings MANUFACTURING 48.8 78.1 68.6 86.71 38.48 3.7 + 13.8 + "9.6 Food products ---------47.0 40.8 86.6 74.1 37.32 30.23 + 5.6 + 16.9 + 28.5 Textiles -----------43.1 Apparel 41.3 3,9.5 66.7 58.6 27.55 23.15 + 4.6 + 13.8 + 19.0 Finished lumber products------42.5 + 21.6 + 11.6 46.3 79.4 65.3 33.75 30.23 8.2 46.3 78.8 65.l 34.44 30.14 5.6 + 21.0 + 14.S Paper products 41.1 45.3 100.2 82.8 41.18 37.51 9.3 + 21.0 + 9.8 Printing and publishing ------39.8 + 13.3 + 8.4 Forest products --------43.7 41.6 127.6 112.6 50.78 46.84 4.3 Commercial products -------45.6 49.1 108.8 95.5 49.61 46.89 7.1 + 13.9 + 5.8 Petroleum refininll" -------39.4 45.6 0140.9 122.8 55.51 56.00 -13.6 + 14.7 0.9 Stone and clay products______ 42.8 49.6 86.7 75.2 . 37.11 37.30 -13.7 + 15.3 0.5 Iron and steel products 40.7 43.1 104.9 98.7 42.69 42.54 -5.6 + 6.3 + 0.4 Nonferrous metal products---·---43.7 42 .. 6 120.7 100.8 52.75 42.94 + 2.6 + 19.7 + 22.8 Machinery (except electrical) ---41.9 45.3 107.6 103.8 45.08 47.02 -, 7.5 + 8.7 • -U Other manufacturing-------37.7 35.5 125.0 114.8 47.13 40.75 +. 6.2 + 8.9 + 15.7 NONMANUFACTURING Crude petroleum production 41.2 45.2 147.6 116.4 60.81 52.61 8.8 + 26.8 + 15.6 Dyeinll" and cleaning_______ 48.9 50.3 71.8 67.1 35.11 33.75 2.8 + 7.0 + 4.0 Hotels -· 45.8 46.1 39.7 33.1 18.18 15.26 0.7 + 19.9 + 19.1 Laundries -·--------46.2 46.2 49.3 45.3 22.78 20.93 0.0 + 8.8 + 8.8 Public utilities 41.2 47.9 115.7 93.4 47.67 H .74 -14.0 + 23.9 + 6.6 Quarrying 42.5 45.2 122.6 101.9 52.11 46.06 6.0 + 20.3 + 13.l Retail trade 38.8 40.2 79.9 69.1 31.00 27.78 3.5 + 15.6 + 11.6 Wholesale trade -------42.2 45.6 97.6 79.0 41.19 36.02 7.5 + 23.5 +iu •Figures do not cover proprietors, firm members, officers of corporations, or other principal executives. ManufacturinK data cover production and and related workers ; nonmanufacturinll" data cover all employees. Weekly ·take-home pay, between November 1945 and November 1946 showed a general increase in all in­dustries in both the manufacturing and nonmanufactur­ing groups with only three exceptions-petroleum re­fining (-0.9%), stone and clay products (-0.5%), and machinery, except electrical (-4.1% ) . Man-hours (The reports which the Bureau receives on employment include every employee who worked any part of the week. This means that chan&'eS in the number of employees in an industry do not always measure the chan&'es in the volume of output. Chances in the number of man-hours worked, however, are closely associated with the rate of manufacturiD&' activity, and may be used as a measure of the volume of production.) Total man-hours worked in 4,39 establishments re­ porting to the Bureau were down 4.4% in November 1946 as compared to November 1945. However, be­ tween October and November 1946 total man-hours worked were up 3.8%. This is the second consecutive month that this situation has arisen. It can be explained by the fact that there has been an increasing number of workers employed, while average hours worked per employee have remained nearly unchanged. Man-hours worked in paper products (-6.0% }, commercial prod­ ucts (-4.0%}, petroleum refining (-9.5% }, machin­ ery, except electrical (-23.0% }, and other manufactur­ ing (-6.9% } were below comparable 1945 figures. The other industrial groups reported increases in man­ hours worked between November 1945 and November 1946, ranging from 2.2% (food products} to 24.5% (finished lumber products}. I MAN-HOURS WORKED IN IDENTICAL MANUFACTURING ESTA.8LISHMENTS Source : Bureau of Business Research in co-operation with the Bureau of Labor Statistice, U. S . Department of Labor Number Percent change of reporting Nov.1946 Nov. 1946 establish­from from Industrial group ments Nov. 1945 Oct. 1946 -4.6 + 3.8 TOTAL --····-···--···--·----·-···---·-439 ===================== + 2.2 +33.5 Food products ····----···----·····--··-· 104 +15.3 + 0.9 Textiles ----················-···-----·····-······--··· 13 Apparel ·····-····-····--···----------------····-32 + 13.1 +4.3 Finished lumber products ·······--······· 20 + 24.5 -1.7 Forest products ---------···--·················· 16 -6.0 -4.5 Paper producui ----------···--·--·----····-· 5 Printing and publishing ---------···-··· 28 + 12.8 -0.7 Commercial products ··-···--····--···-·-65 -4.0 + 8.2 Petroleum refining ··-·····---------32 -9.5 -1.0 Stone and clay products ---------------30 + 18.6 + 1.9 Iron and steel products -----------········ 29 + 4.5 + 1.4 Nonferrous metals ------········-------· 9 Industrial Relations (Althou&'h ne statistical data are available on industrial disputes la Texaa, a knowledge of current develepments in industrial rela­tions ia necessary to an underatandinc of the State's !alter picture.) In keeping with national industrial relations, the Texas scene was active and unsettled during November. Events of this month and other recent months gave no indication of a let-up in strikes, threats of strikes, Na­tional Labor Relations Act elections, and bargaining demands. About 800 operating engineers at the Dow Chemical Company in Freeport struck on November 16 for higher wages and other concessions. Nearly 6,000 plant and construction workers were thrown out of work when they refused to cross picket lines. Settlement was reached on December 8 after 21 days of idleness. The settle­ment included a 6-cent wage increase (instead of the 22 cents requested) and portal-to-portal pay. Strikes at cement companies in Houston and Dallas which began October 2 continued through November. The Dallas strike was settled December 4 after 62 days, and the Houston strike was settled December 9. Settle­ment terms included a 15-cent hourly increase, instead of the 25 cents requested. As a result of alleged violence and mass picketing during this strike, the District Court in Dallas issued a temporary restraining order against such action during the strike. In Dallas employees of the Federal Reserve Bank voted 375 to 180 against union representation in a sig­nificant National Labor Relations Act election. Unions were also declined in a bookbinders' election in Houston and in a clothing company election in Hillsboro. The Sinclair Oil Company, which has many opera­tions in Texas, agreed on November 15 to a cost-of­living wage increase in its labor contract effective through September 194.7. The initial increase amounted to approximately $31.20 monthly; however, this amount is subject to revision quarterly based upon revised cost­of-living figures. Labor Force (Estimates of the nonagricultural civilian labor force are made currently for the State's 17 principal labor market areas by the Texa s State Employment Service. Labor force data, indicating the total supply of labor in these areas, include all employed workers, as well as all others who are available for jobs and who are willing a nd able to work.) Another slight (0.3% ) drop in the State's nonagri­cultural labor force took place in November according NONAGRICULTURAL CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE Source: State Employment Service, Texas Unemployment Compensation Commission + 3.1 -5.9 Percent change Area Nov. 1946 Oct. 1946 Nov. 1946 from Oct. 1946 + 7.7 0.0 Machinery (except electrical) -····· 39 -23.0 -7.5 Other manufacturing ·········--···-----·-17 -6.9 + 7.2 TOTAL ·········-···-·····----·········-----1,312,303 1,316,303 -0.3 Abilene 18,562. 18,552 + 0.1 Amarillo 28,000· 27 ,550 + 1.6 Austin ·······--··········-····-----------· 43,608 43,602 + 0.01 Beaumont-Port Arthur-Orange _ 82,684 85,770 -3.6 Brownsville ---------------­--­------------­ 13,053 12,875 + 1.4 Corpus Christi ----···--·-······----­ 49,700 50,400 -1.4 Dallas ·········-------·········-····-········--· 214,110 211,735 + u E l Paso ······-----·~---·····-············-----· 49,575 49,050 + u Fort Worth ···-··········-----------····-· 126,700 124,900 + 1.4 Galveston-Texas City ·········-····-··· 50,875 51,800 -1.8 Houston-Baytown ······------·-·······­ 305,590 305,250 + 0.1 Longview -------------------------------­ 21,550 21,550 0.0 Lubbock ---····-------·-··········-----­ 25,272 25,130 + 0.6 San Antonio ····················--------· 167,900 167,000 + 0.5 Texarkana ---------------------------------­ 41,000 41,500 -1.2 W aco ----------------------------------~---­ 46,000 46,000 0.0 Wichita Falls -------···-·-······-····­ 28,124 33,639 - 16.4 to the Texas State Employment Service. Ten out of the 17 cities covered by the Employment Service re· ported small increases; but the 3.6% decrease in the Beaumont-Port Arthur-Orange area and the 16.4% fall in the Wichita Falls estimate tipped the balance down­ward for the State as a whole. No change in the labor force was reported for Longview and Waco. Unemployment (Estimates of unemployment in various areas of the State are currently made by the Texas State Employment Service. Data on the payment of unemployment benefits also provide a rough measure of unemployment in Texas, altbou1h only employees in establish· ments employln1 8 or more workers for 20 or more weeks per year are covered. Veterans' claim actions and disbursements are less inclusive, but throw li1ht on the important problem of veteran re­employment.) Unemployment in the 17 principal urban labor markets of the State was estimated at 73,077 in November, a 6.8% decrease from October and an 8.8% decline from November 1945. Last year at this time reconversion shot unemployment up 20.4% in this State. During November unemployment increased in 6 cities, was unchanged in 1, and decreased in 10. Dallas was the largest city in the first group, experiencing a 12.5% rise in estimated unemployment between October (when unemployment hit its postwar low) and November. In that particular market the re-entrance of wartime work­ers and inmigration were important factors in the rise, although the demand for women workers in manufactur· ing and retail trade continued strong. Stenographic workers remained short, and governmental unemploy­ment did not materialize because of increased employ· ment provided by expanding postwar agencies of the federal g-0vernment. In Austin where unemployment continued to decline in November by 4.4%, the slight decrease in government workers was offset by gains in nonmanufacturing employment. November was the sixth consecutive month in which the amount of benefits paid by the Texas Unemployment Com- UNEMPLOYMENT Source : State Employment Seryice, Texas Unemplo:Yment Comp ensation Commission Nov. Oct. Nov. Area 1946 1946 1945 TOTAL --······'.·-··················-·-__:_·-··------------73,077 78,366 80,168 === ==== = Abilene -·····--·-···--·---···---·······-··-·-·-·--·-···-1,241 1,026 876 Amarillo ·-------------········-··-······-····-·········-· 1,200 1,100 875 Austin ·········-----·-···-··········-----·····-······· 2,534 2,651 1,716 Beaumont-Port Arthur-·Orange ....•.......... 7,250 8,025 6,375 Brownsville -----···-····--····-·-·-----·······-1,235 1,525 815 Corpus Christi ······-·------------···----------· 1,900 2,700 2,400 Dallas --··········-··-············-····--··-·--····· 9,000 8,000 14,800 El , Paso ---·-······-·····-··-················-···-2,300 2,250 1,700 Fort Worth ------------------····-····-··· 7,300 8,500 7,900 Galveston-Texas City ·---------······--·······-····· 2,100 2,500 1,350 Houston-Baytown ---·-····--··-·········--··· 15,000 17,000 12,500 Longview ------------·-····---··-····--·······--·--2,000 1,750 ,2,888 Lubbock -------·····-······--------···------800 900 616 San Antonio ---···------···--------------·-· 8,900 10,000' 11,887 Texarkana ···---------····-----·---·······--···· 5,,690 5,500 8,743 Waco -------·-·····-····--······-·····-·······--3,300 3,300 3,500 Wichita Falls ·····-··-····-------------1,327 1,639 1,728 pensation Commission declined. November 1946 payments of $568,612 left a balance of $158,786,636 in the Unem­ployment Trust Fund. Employers' contributions for the month were $2,226,244, which was almost 4 times the amount disbursed. Operation of the employment service passed hack to the State during the month of November, but Texas expects to receive $358,963 in federal funds to cover costs of operation during the last 6 months of the fiscal year in accordance with federal requirements. There were 5,840 applications for veterans' benefits filed during November 1946 compared with 4,848 ap· plications filed in October of this year. November ap· plications brought the year-to-date total of claims to 227,980. Unemployment claims in Texas amounted to $5,009,372 in October and $4,216,062 in November, a drop of 15.8%. To date this year these claims have totaled $66,686,493. Self-employed claims in November dropped 41.3% from October to total only $843,506. Thus far in 1946 such claims have amounted to $22, 791,131. The Veterans' Administration estimated late in No­vember that 15% of the veterans applying for unemploy­ment compensation have exhausted their 52 weeks of payment. This number is expected to double by the first of the year. Most states, including Texas, have had 40 to 50% of their veterans on the payment list. Placements (Tbe number of placements reported by the State Employment Service indicates roughly the relationship of the supply of and the demand for jobs in various parts of the State. Placements do not include private placements in business and industry, but only those made throu1h the State Employment Service. Furthermore, the num• her of placements made should not be considered as additions to total employment, since many of them represent shifts from one Job to another.) Placements by the Texas State Employment Service totaled 23,439 in November or 10.4% less than in PLACEMENTS IN EMPLOYMENT Source : State Employment S~rvice, Texas Unemployment Compensation Commission P ercent chanire A rea N ov. 1946 Oct . 1946 N ov. 1945 Nov. 1946 Nov. 1946 from from Nov. 1945 Oct. 1946 TOTAL ----­-----­-------- -23,439 26,162 20,753 +12.l! -10.4 ' Abilene -----------------------­ 676 779 476 + 42.0 -13.2 Amarillo ---------------------­ 797 769 461 +72.9 + 3.6 Aust in -----------------------­ 889 1,057 914 :._ 2.7 -15.9 Beaumont-Port ·Arthur- Or ange ----------------------­ 1,594 2,609 1,919 -16.9 -38.9 Brownsville --.---------------­ 132 116 141> - 9.0 +13.8 Corpus Christi ( 98 479 517 - 3.7 + 4.0 Da llas ------------­-----------­ 8,721 4,752 3,414 + 9.0 -21.7 El Paso ----------------.------­ 944 958 769 + 22.8, -1.5 Fort Wor th ---------------­ 4,080 3,761 2,962 + 37.7 + 8.5 Ga lveston-Texas City .. 958 740 1,289 -25.7 + 29.4 H ouston-Baytown -------­ 4,425 5,163 3,485 + 27.0 -14.3 Longview ------------·--------­ 502 659 403 + 24.6 -23.8 Lubbock -------­----­------­ 466 808 734 -36.5 -42.. S San Antonio ---­---------­ 2,212 1,843 2,003 +10.4 +20.0 T exarkana --­-------------­-- 559 610 383 +46.0 -8.4 W aco ------------------­------­ 555 595 320 + 73.4 -6.7 W ichita Falls -----­------ 431 464 487 - 11.5 -7.1 CASH RECEIPTS OF .STATE COMPTROu..ER October. This decrease approximated last year's Octo· Source: State Comptrolln of Public Accounts ber·to·November decline of 11.2%. November 1946 placements were still 12.9% greater than November 1945 placements. Considerable variation appeared among the several cities. Between October and November this year the only cities reporting gains in the number of placements were Amarillo, Brownsville, Corpus Christi, Fort Worth, the Galveston-Texas City area, and San Antonio. For the 12·month period increases were more general. Fewer placements last month than a year ago were reported in ~~stin, the Beaumont area, Brownsville, Corpus Chnstl, the Galveston area, Lubbock, and Wichita Falls. GOVERNMENT Federal Finance (Federal collections of Income. pay roll, and exclaa taxes Yal'J' directly with the level of business prosperity. Durinc the war period federal taxatlan laaa likewise become an Important determi­nant of ceneral lauslnesa activity.) Federal internal revenue collections in Texas for No­ vember totaled $49,207,316, a decrease of 5.3% from November 1945. The largest decrease again was in in­ come tax withholdings, while income taxes and employ­ ment taxes increased. The First District (South Texas) reported collections of $23,600,685, a decrease of 16.2% from November 1945. The Second District (North Texas) collections were $25,606,631, an increase of 7.7%. The total in­ come tax withheld decreased in both districts, 14.7% in the First District and 4.2% in the Second. Income tax collections increased 20.1 % in the Second District but decreased 16.9% in the First District. Employment taxes increased in both districts, 27.4% in the First and 11.6% in the Second. Total collections for the fiscal year to date (July 1 to November 30) were $338,686,598, a decrease of 5.1 % from the same period last year. The First District re­ ported a decrease of 9.6% and the Second District an increase of 0.1 %. Employment taxes increased in both districts for the fiscal year to date, and income taxes Sept. 1-Nov. SO Percent Item 1946 1946-47 1945-46 change Nov. TOTAL CASH RECEIPTS .............. $37,907,262 $101,309,231 $82,387 ,685 +23.o TOTAL REVENUE RECEIPTS .... -....... 28,998,113 84,869,020 72,988,808 +16.3 Ad valorem, inherit­ ance, and poll taxes 4,060,511 4,593,237 6,739,779 -31.8 Occupation, gross re­ ceipts, and produc­ tion taxes --­--·--------­ 5,171,449 16,118,521 11,928,423 +35.1 Use and sales tax........ 8,702,151 26,702,680 21,494,994 +24.2 License fees and main­ tenance taxes -----­--­ 607,038 1,760,602 l ,894,155 +26.3 Income from ' public lands and buildings 867,567 2,688,841 5,019,800 -46.4 Interest ------­----·······-·-· 305,628 2,039,679 2,094,973 -2.6 Miscellaneous revenues 2,286,482 7,978,941 10,366,795 -28.0 Contributions and aid 6,997,287 22,986,519 13,949,889 +64.8 NONREVENUE \ RECEIPTS ···-·······­· 8,909,149 16,440,211 9,398,877 +74.9 increased in the Second District. Income tax withhold­ing and other collections decreased in the First District for the fiscal year to date, while withholding and other collections decreased in the Second District. State Finance (Statiatlca on .State finance are cloeely connected with cluiqaa in the level of business activity. State occupation, production, use, and sales taxes and license feea vary directly with chana-ln1 business conditions.) Total cash receipts of the State reported by the State Comptroller were $37,907,262 for November 1946, com­pared with $33,064,207 in October. Total revenue re­ceipts totaled $28,998,113 in November in comparison with $30,815,472 in October. Ad valorem, inheritance, and poll taxes amounted to $4,060,511 in November, almost 10 times the $441,965 collected in October, but the receipts from all other tax sources were less than in October. FEDERAL INTERNAL REVENUE COLLECTIONS Source: Office of the Collector, Internal Revenue Service, Treasury Department November July 1-Nov. 30 Percent Percent.. District 1946 1945 change 1946-47 1945-46 change TEXAS $ 49,207,316 $ 51,946,348 -5.8 $338,686,598 $356,952,158 -5.1 -······-·-····------··--·-·---·---------------------­ Income 9,135,147 8,902,948 2.6 151,662,229 149,692,015 + 1.3 Employment 5,738,709 4,857,172 +18.1 21,695,375 19,778,604 + 9:7 ·----·····..··--·······--··---------------------·-·· + ····--········--·-------------­ Withholding -.··--·-------------------·-24,~17,059 27,372,315 -10~4 108,376,565 122,628,068 -11.6 Other ----··----------------------9,816,401 10,813,908 -9.2 56,952,429 64,853,471 -12.2 FIRST DISTRICT ······-···----·-·-----------------23,690,685 28,178,870 -16.2 172,331,834 190,672,882 -9.6 Income 3,495,706 4,206,32Q -16.9 77,606,296 80,407,449 -3.5 ········-·-·-··-···-------------------------·-­Employment -···-··--------------------------2,571,784 2,018,193 +27.4 10,213,085 9,748,719 +u Withholding 13,784,026 16,165,270 -14.7 57,389,229 66,967,271 -14.3 -------·--·-----~------­ Other --···------------------3,749,169 5,789,078 -35.2 27,123,224 33,549,443 -19.2 SECOND DISTRICT -----------·--25,606,631 23,767,473 + 7.7 166,354,764 166,279,276 + 0.1 Income -·--------------·--·------------5,639,441 4,696,619 +20.1 74,055,933 69,284,566 + 6.9 Employment ----·-------·---------3,166,925 2,838,979 + 11.6 11,482,290 10,029,885 +lu Withholding --·---------------10,733,03~ 11,207,045 -4.2 50,987,336 55,660,797 -8.4 Other --··--------·-·-­ 6,067,232 5,024,830 +20.1 29,829,205 31,304,028 -4-.7 For the first 3 months of the fiscal year total revenue receipts were 16.3% ahead of the same period in 1945. A total of $84.,869,020 has been received from the different sources of revenue during the first 3 months of the fiscal year. Total expenditures for the month of November were $26,233,622 and for the year to date totaled $67,715,629. The largest expenditure for the year to date was public welfare, $20,221,618, followed closely by education, $19,448,292, and highway maintenance and construc­ tion, $16,666,757. The General Revenue Fund had a balance of $34,976,706 on November 30, 1946. Receipts for the remaining 9 months of the fiscal year were estimated by the State Comptroller at $42,273,322, making a total amount available to August 31, 1947 of $77,250,028. The unexpended balance of appropriations was $41,752,831, leaving an expected surplus on August 31, 1947 of $35,497,197. PRICES Wholesale Prices (Changes in the prices of commodities are of fundamental im­portance to businessmen, since the level of prices has an Important effect on profits. The index of wholesale prices compiled by the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics is the most comprehensive meesure of price changes published In the United States.) The level of wholesale commodity prices for the coun­ try as a whole increased 8.1% in October from the level of September, to raise the index of the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics to 134.1 % of the 1935-39 base. This is 26.6% above the level of October 1945. The most spectacular increase for the month was in the price of foods, which rose 19.7%. The price of farm products increased 7.1 %, while all commodities other than farm products and foods increased 3.1%. The index of the Bureau of Labor Statistics for the week ending November 23 rose to the highest level in 26 years and 22% above the level of June. Food prices at this date were 52% above a year ago. INDEXES OF WHOLESALE PRICES IN THE UNITED STATES (1926= 100) Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, U. S. Department of Labor Percent change Oct. 1946 Oct. 1946 Oct. Sept. Oct. from from Group 1946 1946 1945 Oct. 1945 Sept. 1946 ALL COMMODI'I'IES ...... 134.1 124.0 105.9 + 26.6" + 8.1 Farm products .................... 165.3 154.3 127.3 +29.9 + 7.1 Foods ---------------157.9 131.9 105.7 +49.4 +19.7 Hides and leather products 142.4 141.6 118.6 +20.1 + 0.6 Textile products ------128.6 125.7 101.0 +27.3 + 2.3 Building materials .............. 134.8 133.8 118.3 +13.9 + 0.7 Lumber ____............_ .. 178.9 178.2 155.2 + 15.3 + 0.4 All commodities other than farm products ......_,__ 127.1 117.2 101.0 +25.8 + 8.4 All commodities other than farm products and food~ 115.7 112.2 100.1 + 15.6 + 3.1 TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW Published monthly by the Bureau of Business Research, College of Business Administration The University of Texas, Austin 12, T~xas Material contained in this publication is not copyrighted and / may b~ reproduced freely. Acknowledgment of source will be appreciated. Entered as. second class matter on May 7, 1928, at the post utlice at Austm, Texas, under the Act of August 24 1912 Subscription $1.00 Per year. ' · J. Anderson Fitzgerald .........................._ ...................__________....Dean STAFF OF THE BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH Robert W. French John R. Stockton Mae Jo Winn Director Statistician Editorial A•siotant Elsie Watters Office ManagerHelen Woodcock · Se~retar11 Lorame Campbe!l Elmer H. Johnson Industrial Geographer . F . W. Knight Field Representative Evelyn Balagia Elizabeth Greirg Research Assistant Mary Elder Library Assiatant Bonnie Fleming B.L.S. Representative B.L.S. Representative Publications Assistant Business Research Council J . Anderson ~itzgerald Everett G. Smith (ex otlic10) J ohn Arch White Robert W. J'.'rench E. Karl McGinnis (ex offic10) E. T. Miller Cooperating Faculty A. B. Cox W. J . Hudson Cottcm TraMportation Keith Davis and H. H. Elwell W. Nelson Peach Labor E. T . Miller Jl'i714­Government Assistants Leon Baird, Doris Coffee, Joe Darsey, Peggie Doole James Douglass, Ada Fenlaw, Morris Floyd, Edwin Gell Mary Grann Carl. Gromatzky, Carl Gustafson, W'.'yne Hall, A~drey Jackson: Calvm J~yroe, James Jeffrey, Mariorie Kidd, Carroll Kinker, Ernest ~1tz1er, Claren cQ Mart1_n, James Martin, Mary McLain, Anne 0 Bryan,. June Perry_. Richard Ridgway, R. E. Rothchild, Ila Taylor, Lucile Teel, Elsie Van Haselen, David Ward. Highlights of Texas Business.................. 1 Figures for the Month................ . .....................-...... 2 The Business Situation in Texa~ -.............................-...... 3 Trade .......................................... Retail Trade ----..-......________................................. 5 Pro.E~!~1T,;d~d~_:::::::::::~=:::..-=:::::::::::::::::::::::::::~:::::::::::::::::::::: 7 8 ~~f@~~~§~;;~~:::::~~:::=:::::::::~::::::=:::::::::::.~::::::::=::::::=::::::::: i~ 12 Agriculture -------------................................... 14 Local Business Conditions ------...:............................... j~i~_,~~~=~~~~:~~~~~~=: !l TJ~if~~o;~;~~~~~~~! ~~:e~;~~~~~:::==~:===:~~=::::::=.::::::::::::~~ ::::::::::::::::::=.:::=.:=::::: 20 Labor [~~~~~~-~=j~;~~II 24 Government Federal F)nance ..........................................................._ .............. 25 State Finance .........................._ .........._ ......................-........... 25 Prices · Wholesale Prices .......................................................................... 26 Figures for the Year to Date...................................:............ 27 Barometers of Texas Business................_____________ 28 FIGURES FOR Tl-IE YEAR TO DATE January-November Percent : 1946 1945 change TRADE Reta~ salesIo.f reporting independent stores, total___ _____________________________________ __ __________________ _ $387'772,684 $301,381,116 + 28.7 : $ 73,362,739 $ 61,813,658 + 18.7 $ 48,694,417 $ 25,532,944 + 90.7 ­$ 7,560,000 $ 6,374,005 + 18.6 ­$142,637,08'1 $115,558,014 + 23.4 $ 9,995,111 $ 2,993,727 + 11.1 + $ 6,737,815 $ 6,268,726 7.5 $ 3,359,994 $ 2,683,751 + 25.2 ~~~~~~l~~:s-;~~~~~~:~~~~~z $ 1,449,991 $ 1,266,364 + 14.5 Food stores --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------$ 23,120,894 $ 19,782,906 + 16.9 . Furniture-household stores ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------$ 20,512,419 $ 13,913,829 + 47.4 Jewelry stores --------------------------------------------------------------------------~--------------------------------------$ 4,419,993 $ 3,756,917 + 17.6 Lumber, building materials, and hardware stores.----------------------------------------------$ 32,203,103 $ 22,883,948 + 40.7 Restaurants -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------$ 8,721,683 $ 8,104,239 7.6 + Al 1 other stores ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------$ 4,997,441 $ 4,448,088 + 12.4 Ratio of credit sales to net sales in department and apparel stores (monthly average) _ 48.7% 42.1% + 15.7 Ratio of collections to outstandings in department and apparel stores (monthly average) 66.2% 67.4% 1.8 Postal receipts in reporting cities·--------------------------------------------------------______-----------------------$ 28,459,973 $ 27,939,717 1.9 + PRODUCTION Lumber production in southern pine mills (weekly per unit average in board feet) _ ___ _ 188,077 192,039 -2.1 Cotton consumption (running bales) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------­200,983 174,977 + 14.9 Cotton !inters consumed (running balesl -----------------------------------------------------------------------------23,204 15,866 + 46.2 Cotton spinning activity (average spindle hours per spindle) ___ __ _ _____ _ ______________________ _ Cottonseed crushed (tons) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------­562,600 813,701 -30.9 Cement (barrels) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------­ Manufacture of dairy products (1,000 lbs., milk equivalent) _______ __ _ _________ _________________________ 873,486 1,053,594 -17.1 Man-hours wm·ked in reporting manufacturing establishments (April-November total) _ 24,253,059 32,572,077 -25.5 467,698,329 457,337,000 2.3 + ii~~l~~n~1 p:~:it~0 i:~~d \!2-;e~~~~inbt~~~~~::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::~:::::·::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: $233,256,241 $104,689,680 +122.8 Construction contracts awarded·-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------$411,430,127 $220,335,500 + 86.7 Construction contracts awarded for residential building__________ _ _ _________ _ ____________ _ ________ _ $ 99,239,075 $ 19,212,812 +416.5 Number o.f loans m.ade by savings and loan associations.--------------------------------------------------­23,894 15,426 + 54.9 Amount o.f loans made by savings and loan associations-------------------------------------------------------­$ 88,131,712 $ 42,553,548 +10n lndustrial electric power consumption for 10 companies (thousands of kilowatt hours) 2,497,363 2,898,673 -13.8 Crude petroleum production (daily average in barrels) ------------------------------------------------2,080,254 2,081,704 0.1 AGRICULTURE $ 1,154,537 $ 1,064,306 8.5 106,475 111,154 -4.2 Farm cash income (thousands) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------­+ Shipment o.f livestock (carloads) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------­ Rail shipments of poultry (carloads) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------­ 746 620 + 20.3 Rail shipments of eggs (shell equivalentl------------------------------------------------------------------------­ 4,775 7,192 -33.6 lnterstate receipt of eggs at Texas stations (shell equivalent) -------------------------------------------­ 456 778 -41.4 FINANCE $ 23,044,640 + 19.4 $27,~ ~~~o~aet~~~ ~ha~e~~t!~u~~h(~~~t~rL::=::::::::::=::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::':::::::::::::::::::::::::=:::::= 2,948 C87P +238.5 $711,96"2;000 $401,332,0 0 + 77.4 Ordinary life insurance sales --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------­8 6 + 33.3 Business failures (number) -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------­ ) TRANSPORTATION I 3,322,168 -10.5 Revenue freight loaded in Southwestern District (carload&)·---------------------------------------------2/,972,827 92,001 + 36.5 Export and coastal cars unloaded at Texas ports-----------------------------------------------------------------125,538 Miscellaneous freight carloadings in Southwestern District (carloads) _ ___ ____ ______________ _ / l ,744,310 2,093,604 -16.7 145,880 + 58.1 Air express shipments (number) -------------------------------------------------------------------·-----------------230,588 LABOR 370,118 -8.2 Total manufacturing employment (monthly aveTagel -----------------------------------------------------339,691 GOVERNM~NT * I $ 82,387,685 + 23.0 $356,952,158 -5.1 ~=d~r~icf~f~n~ ;!~:u~0~tI~~~~!~~st:::=::::=::::=::::=::::=:::::::::~~:::::::::::=::::=:::~~::::=::::=::::=:·--= ~~~k~~~'.~~~ *State fiscal year to date--September 1-November 30. tFederal fiscal year to date-July 1-November 30. TEXAS BUSINESS REVIEW BAROMETERS OF TEXAS BUSINt=SS INDEX OF MISC.FREIGHT CARLOADINGS IN SOUTHWEST H>EX OF TEXAS DEPT. AND APPAREL STORE SALES ADJUSTED FOR SEASONAL VARIATION ADJUSTED FOR SEASONAL VARlATION PERCENT 1935 39• 100 -400 • 350 I\. 300 .... " ,._ 250 ,. I l'1 " '° . , A .. I A 200 00 "'. .I "' - .. 150 - 50 I - 100 oo'­ 50 50 1929 1933 1937 '941 1942 19 "43 1944 19 45 1946 1947 INDEX OF SOUTHERN PINE PRODUCTION! PERCENT 1935-39 • 10 0 PERCENT 1933 1937 1941 1942 19 4 3 1944 1945 1946 r947 INDEX OF CRUDE OIL RUNS TO STILLS IN TEXAS ADJUSTED FOR SEASONAL VARIATION INDEX OF ELECTRIC POWER CONSUMPTION IN TEXAS . ADJUSTED FOR SEASONAL VARIATION PERCENT PERCENT 1935 ~ 39 s 100 300 300 A. 275 275 ,.. \. la & 250 250 ·' . .. a J - 225225 I v­ "' 20 20 r 175 175 r 15 0 150 125 125 " 10 100 01• 7 5 "" ... 75 ~ " 50 501929 1933 1937 1941 '942 1943 1944 1945 1946 1947 INDEX OF BANK DEBITS IN TEXAS INDEXES OF EMPLOYMENT AND PAYROLLS IN TEXAS PERCENT 1935 -39• 100 PERCENT 3so~~~~~~~~~r~--,,---~-.-~~~~~~-r~--,350 1 325 •"" 3 25 300>-+--+-+-+--+-+-+--+-+--+--+-+-+r~--j'--~•L•·~!~••~~'-+-•1_,~-+~~\--~~ 300 275>-+--+-+-+--+-+-+--+-+-+--+-+-+r~__,i-..~~__.1~~+1__,\~~+-~-+-~__, 275 250!-+-+-+-t-+-t--+-+-t-+-+-+-lr~-w~·~PAYRO_S~~l-+-~~+--~~250 ·~~-__LL+22s 1-+-+-+-+-+-t--+-+-+-+-+-+-ir~<'-'r-~41~~+~~+-~-+-~-1225 1 200·1-+-+-+-+-+-t--+-+-+-+-+-+-lr-f.~-1'--~41~~+1~-;..,0-_,.><+.~-1 2001751-+-+-+-+-+-t-+-+-t-+-+-+-+~~~-~.....:::.i.l:::c--_·~·~·~·~··~'1--~~ 175 ·-1~..,.......1.150 >-+--+-+-+-+-t-+--+-+--+--+-+-+•• 1--~~---l ~ 100 ' ••.,.. r-I I 100 75 I I 75 I I 50 501929 1933 1937 194 1 1942 19 43 1944 1945 1946 1947