GONFIDEN!r:r.AL -2-1369 April 8, 11 p.m. from Berlin (SECTION ONE OF THREE) RIVA TH S S!TUATIO C EATES A CE TAIN 0 PO?­T IT RA D MI GHT WELL E RECE?71 VE TO POLICY LI s T iE US f• Y :'ISH TO DVA CE, ESPECIALLY A Y r EW SL ANTS ON THE IO~S OF' A. ANTI C C0~11UNITY ELATIQ~,s, If~TE ~·ATIONAL SECU\ITY, ROG ~SS 10 'A .D CEiT AL EUROPEAN SETTLEMENT. II -S JECTS 8 A'DT AY AlSE: A -GE £·A UE'"' ION~ WHILE PROBABLE THAT BRANDT WILL SEEK PAGE T EE U7 HJA 146 G 0 ~J F ~ D E N T I A L I EXCHAl uE 0 VIEWS ON GERt•J1HJ PROELE"1 ~ WE DO NOT ELIEVE HE HAS SPECIFIC PROPOS LS TO ADVA~C.... o AT Pi'ESENT DRAJDT SEES NO EN· CU G 'G Pf.OS?~CTS 0 SUBS ANTIVE P OG:1ESS IN GERMAN QUESTIO,. UBLIC S1 ATELE. 1TS H• HAS C" ITICIZED CDU d~SSURE FOR INITIAT1Vt 0 GE i PY STRESSI~'G E.."D •. OR SUBSTANTIVE PHOPOSALS RATHER THAN .. OPAGA D • EXERc ·s .. o 1 GOV1~AYOR H S EXPnESSED BEL Ef' THAT BEST DIRECTIO ' FOR '\TESTERN EFFORTS I S TO EXTEND TRADE AND ECONOMIC L_. s ET ~E T~O A. TS OF EUROPE AND -~o PAnTs OF· GE~r ANY; AN D TO -Cr EASE Hu~ COfJT .c-s s ~,ucH AS POSSIBLE l.HIL B 1ND)· · 1s R..::S O~SIV G .uLLE •S IDEAS, PARiICULA\LY WITH :ZT IEEN HESTERN AND EAS. • ~. ,tJR01 E "EU1 0 :AN EUROPE" f.>1S •••..·1-n:~o FORCi..." . t..r !C".N ALLIANCE AS IN.• C.£.JS ;:,,'·" co. s:o..:.l s EUROPE~. AT ' ·oo.. IB .. i cc OR *'{ B. EA: · oour~ uA:~R 1 AI.! !G 1 . T EUPOP· D-GERMAN ELECTION: u. -~y :~;co·P l ~ HEG ......·.0, Yo BR .. .ES?:.:C7 A-t-AC. OWLEDGI JG -HAT· CUL: .....SK AHEAD' iJE ,,P OACHED TH.tOUGH 1 TO CEF~TAIN OF DE .... 0 1·1?i,OV InG f'EL!'.1!01~S RS ST'J•EN '"tO '1RADi .,RES O• EUf: p-_. ... :.I.­HOUL1 O! .. i "' .~0'1 u'Z .. UD-J_ 1 :DED /J.:.:· ,,L,,q, BRANDT Yl.AY EXPRESS CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM REGh.~DINt'.;_ EJEC~;s CONCEPl" OF ETt:~ZN us AD. USSN •. . HE ·~~Gt-.; DS ""'O Sc.CU!')l"l'Y OF' EURO?•, :-i-'D _,t.E t' TH .JT-·1PTS DY AH. '.ATION T s:r: '!GLY .. V011S ;:, Fol\·~s SPD C~:t{C_E$ I~ _ SEPTEMB_ER 19 BUNDESTAG~~LECTIQN~ ALTHOUGH , _ REPRODUCTION FROM THIS COPY IS ___GeNF~~i-BE...i~·..,odA.m.ll..l~~"""'"....... · __.:...--PROHIBITED UNLESS !:A.._ "UNCLASSIFIED" ~GGNF-fDEN'fIAL · ­ -2-1369, APRIL 8, 11,PM. (SECTION 2 OF 3) FROM BERLIN ~·.'E DOu:.. T THAT .. BR AND! EXPECTS TO' \t 1 v MAJO'rt IT YI) HE HOPES F O 1 c O"E· RACE AND COALITION ARRANGEf11ENT E ABLING HIS PA11TY FOR FiRST T!.»1~: . 0 ENTER FEDER ~.L GOVT 0 ,. W~I~E HE HAS_RE.SERVED FI. AL. DECISIOrJ, IT APPEtRS INC~EASiiJGLY . OoABLE THAI BRA DT · WILL 10VE YO BO 1N EVEN IF SPD REMAINS IN O?POSITION, TO BECOME FULL-TIME P ,RTY LEADER. AS REGARDS CAMPAIGN, PAGE THREE RUFH._JA !46/2 ~..i;N ! I 'A t-i·C D 02S NOT PT NOT APPEAR INCL Ii ED T 0 i?E;.)E ~! ..~·~ l ST LE -S'"' C? 1 ou 1, TECHt .i rt., HE USED FOUR YE ARS AGO. BEGI~~ ~JrJG M Y H~ WILL S?E.~ SI .... ADILY I'NCREASitJG AMOUNT OF TIViE i1J UEST G'EKM, f.Y, . TAYIMG FULL L ... ~.vr: o~ A!3SE JC.... FR.OM BE~LIN DU I G LAST SI\ U2E"'S 0 T1.:J ·:Od ES ---;-l";' ·•-t"' ' -er-0·1s ~I l..i h ._ '-~ l I' I> PAG FOUR R FHJA 146/2 -e er ta Fi o-·~ (1 1· ··1 I IN TIMES OF QUIET THIS IS LIKi!.LY 0 ~ /O~G TT • THIS hAS Ll .... E. INCREASINGLY THE CASE DURI1JG LAST .WO YE. S 0 SO. CUFf'o"')~~T SOV-EAST GERMAN HARASSMwNT OVER BU !D.!.S. G SZSSION. HAS DL~:.:C. Ai Et1 BE:L!N ·s VULNERABILITY' AiJD IT HAS Aa...Su SHOHN O? ON 3-B. !N RELATIONSHIP ISSUE • .... CONF!DENTinh • -COMlfIDEN'fI:AL -3-1369, APRIL 8, lJ... P,M ~SECTION 2 OF 3) FROM BERLIN SITU TION: DT MAY GIVE GENER.l\L DESC, IPTIO.~ OF .. rs RLI' sr o·, E·1PHASIZI JG :111r"'J7LY SA"'"IS.i-ACH) OF ECO 0 ~ AND POPUL AT I Of1 1·10VE1·1Er.JT Q ... "l IS POSS uLi:.. DT ·AY. GAI~ RAISE Q ·ESTIOJ O. EF·~C: 3· . US IAX LEGIS­ A· IC I. VEST.·1ErJT ' DZ;-'~I. 1 (SE: s.... -Lr.: •s A-667) • .... C OF CURRE. T LOC .. L \E-E1 . .:RG~ JCE o;. "'HE COLD \'JA, . T­... E -PA-IC . _y FOR HIS POLIC' V.. S-A·V SE ST GZRi·1A. Y-­E I ' ER S"'" I 1G -0 EXPLORE WITH H:M o PAGE I v RuFHJ A 1 4 6 I 2 c 0 H F' I D ~ •. 'f .I ;, t I -SU GES_.. D SU JECTS FOR DIScussro. \i:T . B. A ·nr. I -eeNF-I-DE-NTb\±,­