, 
.... 
NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL 
DECLASSIFIED 
E.O. 12356, Sec. 3.4 6 ~/b 
!\/ / e m er 1968 
NL) 07-t..f / ­

By~NARA. Date 8-IS-71> 
MEMO FOR MR. RO 

I have inquired into the current troop dispositions of those forces likely to be involved in an invasion of Romania. My conclusions are as follows: 
-our knowledge of actual troop locations, as opposed to home stations, is very limited. 
-even so, it does not yet appear that the Soviets have massed sufficient forces close enough to the borders to assure a successful invasion against organized military resistance. 
-on the other hand, the Romanians do not seem to have redisposed their own forces to back up their stated intention to resist invasion. 
-if an invasion is imminent, it is certainly not along the conservative pattern of the Czech intervention, which was carefully planned, gradually built up, and thoroughly rehearsed in place before execution. 

WILLIAM L. LEMNITZER