APlllL 22, 1912 491-412-lm-1217 BULLETIN OF THE UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS No 228 FOUR TIMES A MONTH GENERAL SERIES 26 AP.KIL 22, 1912 Everyday Economic Errors BY LEWIS H. HANEY, PH. D., Professor of Economics, The University of Texas. PUBLISHED BY ~rHE UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS AUSTIN. TEXAS Entered as second class mail matter at the postoffice at Austin, Texas Cultivated mind is the guardian genius of democracy. • • • It is the only dictator that freemen ac­knowledge and the only security that freemen desire. President Mirabeau B. Lamar. PREFACE. The writer would preface the following discussion by calling the reader's attention to the fact that many important mat­ters are here dealt with in very small compass. Necessarily, then, some explanations and small qualifications are omitted. The aim· is to .give a concise and forceful statement of common errors, toge.ther with the gist of the criticism. If discussion is promoted and more accurate thought directed to hazy notions, the writer's object will have been attained. EVERYDAY ECONOMIC ERRORS. Every day, in common speech or in the newspapers, one meets with statements which to the economist seem erroneous. Now, such statements come from some selfish special "interest;" again, from some enthusiast lost in a haze of sentiment. Here a socialist of the radical and ill-balanced type speaks; there it is the narrow prejudice of ignorant conservatism. So compli­cated are the facts and forces of the industrial world, that fe,v are able to see its problems from all sides or in all relation­ships, and consequently loose reasoning and fallacies are unusu­ally common in economic thought. It is the irony of fate that a complicated and abstract science should have as its province the ways in which men get their daily bread, and the ordinary phenomena of the business world; and that on subjects con­cerning which no one hesitates to form an opinion, a high de­gree of scientific training or a broad and varied experience is necessary to enable one to see the truth. Economic life moves in a sort of ci.rcle. Put in a nutshell, men consume to produce and at the same time produce to con­sume-; sometimes it is hard to tell whether ·we work to eat or eat to work. By the same token, the same men are generally both producers and consumers. And so, if some politician ar­gues that a tariff duty on raw wool is passed along by the man­ufacturer and merchant to the consumer, and that with an in­crease, he forgets, perhaps, that this consumer is also a pro­ducer-a worker as well as an eater and "vearer-and that his product is needed by the woolen manufacturer in the latter's capacity of consumer; that the duty is handed around a circle, rarely coming to one who is a mere consumer. One can't keep piling it on the consumer indefinitely, for, worm though he is, as a producer he will turn. This case is mentioned to bring out forcibly the circular nature of economic life, and so lead up to a series of common errors, some of ·which get lost in the circle (perpetual motion), while others seek to move backward against the stream (put the cart before the horse). The University of Texas Bulletin REASONING IN A CIRCI..tE. 1. Perpetual motion fallacies. One of the most widespread and persistent of economic er­rors, and one which rests largely on circular reasoning, is the common notion that by placing certain restrictions on freedom of exchange a man or group of men may gain a favorable bal­ance in trade with another man or group of men. The idea is that by restricting the other fellow's ability to trade freely with you, you may gain at his expense. This idea may be based upon hasty generalization from individual experience. We see certain individuals gaining steadily, while others are losing. We see the strong or cunning winning at the expense of the weak. We straightway conclude, that, in exchanges or trades with one another, one party generally gains while the other loses; and we proceed to favor restrictions which we hope will make our town, State, or nation the winner in its exchanges with other towns, States, or nations. But, (1) we fail to reflect that in the case of individuals, the majority of the winners and losers are competing with one another without legal restriction and that their winnings or their losings are generally an expression of their economic merits-that, or chance. We, however, are proposing the restriction of competition, and a system that probably will prevent m·en 's gains and losses from corresponding to their efficiency. (2) We overlook the simple fact that a man can not sell without buying; that trade (made up as it is of many individual ''trades'') is reciprocal; and that, therefore, barring monopoly, no man or group of men can keep on selling without giving the buyer an equivalent for his purchases. Even the monopolist's price is limited by the purchasing power of consumers. But, you say, I know some men who put things through and gain continuously. The reply is, that in the first place, you must throw out all cases of pure chance or luck, for they are as likely to go one way as another. As for the rest, you may be forgetting that a part of the things sold by thfl successful man are his skill or his foresight or his energy or his integrity, all things which do not appear as the ·goods leave the factory or pass over the counter. These things are a pa.rt Ev-ery